FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12, 2007, AT 8:30 A.M. EDT
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for September, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $380.2 billion, an increase of 0.6 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 5.0 percent (±0.8%) above September 2006. Total sales for the July through September 2007 period were up 4.2 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The July to August 2007 percent change was unrevised from +0.3 percent (± 0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.6 percent (±0.7%)* from August 2007 and were 5.0 percent (±0.8%) above last year. Gasoline station sales were up 9.6 percent (±3.1%) from September 2006 and sales of nonstore retailers were up 8.7 percent (±2.3%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Estimates adjusted for seasonal variation, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
The Advance Monthly Retail Sales for Retail and Food Services for October is scheduled to be released November 14, 2007 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
For information, visit the Census Bureau's Web site at <http://www.census.gov/retail>. This report is also available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's STAT-USA (202-482-1986).
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--SEPTEMBER 2007 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2007
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Sep(3) Aug Jul Sep Aug Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 380,230 378,028 376,906 362,103 364,172 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 301,577 300,312 301,648 286,923 289,303 Retail ....................................... 342,466 340,263 339,152 326,064 328,469 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 99,041 98,884 95,885 94,244 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 78,653 77,716 75,258 75,180 74,869 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 72,233 71,384 68,961 68,985 68,727 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 10,293 10,356 10,362 10,391 10,200 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 9,500 9,417 9,339 9,073 9,074 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 7,585 7,501 7,345 7,309 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,832 1,838 1,728 1,765 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 29,541 29,514 29,904 29,318 29,703 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 25,642 26,081 25,866 26,229 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 48,281 47,901 47,978 45,185 45,635 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 43,005 42,650 42,704 40,199 40,695 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,433 3,465 3,176 3,164 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 20,197 20,006 19,974 18,956 18,957 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 16,715 16,759 16,028 16,105 447 Gasoline stations................................ 35,551 34,851 35,793 32,433 35,847 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 18,936 19,020 19,049 18,490 17,918 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S) 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,441 3,400 3,373 3,224 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,334 2,309 2,338 2,274 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,565 7,620 7,624 7,277 7,175 452 General merchandise stores....................... 48,526 48,573 48,445 46,782 46,063 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 17,461 17,545 17,592 17,850 17,526 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 31,028 30,853 28,932 28,537 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 27,465 27,294 25,397 25,014 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,563 3,559 3,535 3,523 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,396 10,528 10,445 9,964 9,866 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 25,027 24,761 24,981 23,015 23,162 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 16,841 16,944 15,569 15,440 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 37,764 37,765 37,754 36,039 35,703 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html (3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2007
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 9 month total % Chg. 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2007 from Sep(2) Aug Jul Sep Aug Code 2006 (a) (p) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 3,318,375 3.9 359,937 394,824 378,471 349,880 379,088 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,609,903 4.2 285,758 308,705 298,147 276,706 296,013 Retail ....................................... 2,982,735 3.7 322,928 355,284 339,396 314,129 342,028 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 100,616 92,264 88,874 94,693 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 708,472 2.5 74,179 86,119 80,324 73,174 83,075 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 651,618 2.5 67,971 79,236 73,788 67,053 76,356 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 64,660 59,933 55,685 63,679 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,883 6,536 6,121 6,719 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 90,172 2.3 9,933 10,988 10,196 10,308 10,741 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 5,726 5,356 5,489 5,718 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 5,262 4,840 4,819 5,023 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 77,313 3.1 8,583 9,318 8,555 8,302 8,960 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 7,464 6,886 6,669 7,156 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,854 1,669 1,633 1,804 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 270,437 -1.7 28,085 31,036 31,473 28,748 31,597 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 27,822 27,776 25,969 28,668 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 422,192 5.8 47,061 48,978 48,493 44,631 46,275 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 377,496 5.6 42,102 43,674 43,174 39,797 41,387 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,515 3,541 3,147 3,167 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 175,493 6.4 18,925 20,026 19,415 18,179 18,900 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 16,665 16,223 15,371 15,976 447 Gasoline stations................................ 317,120 1.7 35,800 38,371 38,692 33,211 39,217 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 154,682 5.9 16,961 19,207 17,134 16,902 17,957 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 744 736 797 793 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,262 3,006 3,214 3,011 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 7,761 6,912 6,604 7,101 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,805 2,157 2,219 2,699 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 62,248 2.6 7,232 8,481 6,984 7,117 7,893 452 General merchandise stores....................... 405,166 5.0 43,895 48,198 45,671 42,466 45,026 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 142,419 -1.0 15,314 17,247 15,619 15,710 16,898 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 17,690 16,026 16,135 17,362 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 30,951 30,052 26,756 28,128 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 27,520 26,721 23,543 24,764 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,431 3,331 3,213 3,364 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 89,646 3.4 9,781 10,852 10,111 9,717 10,163 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 209,794 8.9 22,493 23,710 22,348 21,374 22,224 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 16,504 15,741 14,573 15,270 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 335,640 5.6 37,009 39,540 39,075 35,751 37,060 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2007
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Sep Aug 2007 2007 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug Code 2007 2006 2007 2006 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.6 +5.0 +0.3 +3.8 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.4 +5.1 -0.4 +3.8 Retail .................................. +0.6 +5.0 +0.3 +3.6 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +1.2 +4.6 +3.3 +3.8 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +1.2 +4.7 +3.5 +3.9 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.6 -0.9 -0.1 +1.5 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.9 +4.7 +0.8 +3.8 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.1 +0.8 -1.3 -0.6 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.8 +6.9 -0.2 +5.0 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.8 +7.0 -0.1 +4.8 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.0 +6.5 +0.2 +5.5 447 Gasoline stations................................ +2.0 +9.6 -2.6 -2.8 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.4 +2.4 -0.2 +6.2 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -0.7 +4.0 -0.1 +6.2 452 General merchandise stores....................... -0.1 +3.7 +0.3 +5.4 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -0.5 -2.2 -0.3 +0.1 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.3 +4.3 +0.8 +6.7 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.1 +8.7 -0.9 +6.9 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 0.0 +4.8 0.0 +5.8 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2007
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Sep Aug 2007 2007 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug Code 2007 2006 2007 2006 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... -8.8 +2.9 +4.3 +4.2 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -7.4 +3.3 +3.5 +4.3 Retail .................................. -9.1 +2.8 +4.7 +3.9 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -13.9 +1.4 +7.2 +3.7 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -14.2 +1.4 +7.4 +3.8 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -9.6 -3.6 +7.8 +2.3 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -7.9 +3.4 +8.9 +4.0 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -9.5 -2.3 -1.4 -1.8 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -3.9 +5.4 +1.0 +5.8 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -3.6 +5.8 +1.2 +5.5 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -5.5 +4.1 +3.1 +6.0 447 Gasoline stations................................ -6.7 +7.8 -0.8 -2.2 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -11.7 +0.3 +12.1 +7.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -14.7 +1.6 +21.4 +7.4 452 General merchandise stores....................... -8.9 +3.4 +5.5 +7.0 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -11.2 -2.5 +10.4 +2.1 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -9.9 +0.7 +7.3 +6.8 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -5.1 +5.2 +6.1 +6.7 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -6.4 +3.5 +1.2 +6.7 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
Current Quarter
Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: Retail Indicators Branch, a U.S. Census Bureau | Last Revised: October 12, 2007
