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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 11
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS
LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 535 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CHANUTE KANSAS TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 8...WW 9...WW 10...
DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NWD ACROSS
WATCH AREA AHEAD OF DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER CENTRAL OK. SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE THRU THE EVENING FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES. INITIAL CONCERN WILL BE THE LONG-LIVED
SUPERCELL OSAGE COUNTY OK TRACKING INTO SERN KS. ADDITIONAL STORMS
WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WATCH THRU THE EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 11 TORNADO KS MO 102335Z - 110600Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SW CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 40NE UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /36WNW OSW - 62WSW FAM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38029593 37889136 36439136 36599593
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 11 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 11
VALID 110435Z - 110540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE UMN
TO 10 W SGF TO 45 NW SGF TO 60 SSW SZL.
..DIAL..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC029-039-043-059-065-067-077-085-091-105-149-153-161-167-169-
185-203-209-213-215-225-229-110540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
LACLEDE OREGON OZARK
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
ST. CLAIR SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 11
VALID 110245Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW GMJ
TO 45 NE CNU.
..GRAMS..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-021-037-110340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC009-011-029-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-085-091-097-105-109-
119-145-149-153-161-167-169-185-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-
110340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD NEWTON OREGON
OZARK PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 11
VALID 110130Z - 110240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-021-037-099-125-133-205-207-110240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHEROKEE
CRAWFORD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-029-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-085-091-097-105-109-
119-145-149-153-161-167-169-185-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-
110240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD NEWTON OREGON
OZARK PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 11
VALID 110045Z - 110140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/11/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-021-037-099-125-133-205-207-110140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHEROKEE
CRAWFORD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-029-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-085-091-097-105-109-
119-145-149-153-161-167-169-185-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-
110140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD NEWTON OREGON
OZARK PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
