Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 86
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 215 AM UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PINE
BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MERIDIAN
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 84...WW 85...
DISCUSSION...EXTENSION OF TORNADO WATCH 83. STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AHEAD OF
STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS
WILL ACCOMPANY STRONGER CORES...WITH ADDITIONAL THREAT OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES GIVEN THE STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR IN PLACE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 86 TORNADO MS 280715Z - 281000Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25SW PIB/PINE BELT MS/ - 40NNW MEI/MERIDIAN MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM E/W /33E MCB - 31NNW MEI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 31209022 32868962 32868841 31208904
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 86 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 86
VALID 280845Z - 280940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E MCB TO
35 N PIB TO 40 NNW MEI.
..PETERS..03/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC023-031-035-061-067-069-073-075-091-099-101-280940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST
JASPER JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE MARION
NESHOBA NEWTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
