CB-00-25FOR WIRE TRANSMISION 8:30 A.M. ET., Friday February 11, 2000
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail sales for January adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $262.2 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.7%) from the previous month and up 9.6 percent (±0.9%) from January 1999. Total sales for the November through January period were up 9.9 percent (±0.7%) from the same period a year ago. The November to December 1999 percent change was revised from +1.2 percent (±0.7%) to +1.7 percent (±0.5%).
Durable goods increased 1.4 percent (±1.4%) from December and were 11.2 percent above last year. Automotive sales were up 13.4 percent from January a year ago, while building materials sales were up 7.6 percent from last year.
Nondurable goods decreased 0.5 percent (±0.6%) from December but were up 8.4 percent from January 1999. Gasoline sales were up 23.2 percent from January a year ago, while drug store sales were up 8.5 percent from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys.
Percent Change in Retail Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--January 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business Jan Dec Nov code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 262,208 261,332 256,854 Total (excl. auto dealers). 195,310 195,951 192,391 Durable goods, total........ 111,389 109,806 108,319 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,974 15,858 15,792 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 12,352 12,135 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,284 1,292 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 66,898 65,381 64,463 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 63,565 62,012 61,086 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,369 3,377 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 14,021 14,073 13,830 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,507 6,488 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,532 6,263 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 150,819 151,526 148,535 53 General merchandise group stores.. 32,984 32,725 32,384 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 25,647 25,429 25,184 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 26,028 25,601 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,220 1,222 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 6,076 5,978 54 Food stores....................... 39,621 40,498 39,256 541 Grocery stores.................. 37,508 38,385 37,178 554 Gasoline service stations......... 16,668 16,599 16,018 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,264 11,188 11,151 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 919 951 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ (*) 2,959 2,956 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,747 1,722 58 Eating and drinking places........ 24,742 24,780 24,689 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,254 10,347 10,163 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,426 2,371 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 7,567 7,271 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 67,025 66,210 594 1999 1998 SIC Kind of business code Jan(r) Dec(r) Retail trade, total........... 239,331 236,466 Total (excl. auto dealers). 180,351 177,756 Durable goods, total........ 100,153 99,299 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 14,842 14,570 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 11,225 11,048 525 Hardware stores................. 1,313 1,278 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 58,980 58,710 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 55,766 55,553 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,214 3,157 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,145 13,067 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,050 6,146 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 6,082 5,924 5722 Household appliance stores.... (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 139,178 137,167 53 General merchandise group stores.. 30,920 30,072 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,271 23,730 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 24,772 24,189 533 Variety stores.................. 1,051 1,013 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,598 5,329 54 Food stores....................... 37,459 37,360 541 Grocery stores.................. 35,455 35,403 554 Gasoline service stations......... 13,527 13,408 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,104 10,753 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 921 910 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ 3,029 2,931 565 Family clothing stores.......... (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,839 1,784 58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,021 23,141 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,448 9,223 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,163 2,196 5961 Total mail order................... 6,557 6,285 53,56,57, GAF................................ 63,670 62,126 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--January 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business Jan Dec Nov code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 228,574 312,668 257,734 Total (excl. auto dealers). 171,072 253,291 198,959 Durable goods, total........ 93,816 120,342 104,171 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 11,773 14,357 15,176 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 10,969 11,844 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,350 1,271 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 57,502 59,377 58,775 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 54,666 56,183 55,466 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) 48,905 48,123 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,194 3,309 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 12,843 20,098 15,089 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 8,003 7,202 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 10,183 6,764 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) 1,200 1,011 Nondurable goods, total..... 134,758 192,326 153,563 53 General merchandise group stores.. 25,812 54,578 36,810 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 19,774 43,459 28,911 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 44,281 29,469 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 2,047 1,377 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 9,072 6,522 54 Food stores....................... 38,234 44,475 38,613 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,383 41,724 36,583 554 Gasoline service stations......... 15,285 16,632 15,553 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 8,200 18,142 12,387 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 1,604 1,078 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) 4,876 3,163 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) 7,847 5,319 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 2,317 1,669 58 Eating and drinking places........ 22,540 24,879 23,504 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,967 12,665 9,960 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 3,421 2,380 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 11,017 8,863 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 112,324 74,148 594 1999 1998 SIC Kind of business code Jan Dec Retail trade, total........... 209,407 281,619 Total (excl. auto dealers). 158,474 228,459 Durable goods, total........ 84,709 108,445 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 10,879 13,347 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 8,419 9,899 525 Hardware stores................. 1,091 1,337 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 50,933 53,160 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 48,182 50,164 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... 42,123 44,131 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 2,751 2,996 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 12,164 18,520 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 5,415 7,516 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 5,833 9,158 5722 Household appliance stores.... 813 1,082 Nondurable goods, total..... 124,698 173,174 53 General merchandise group stores.. 24,132 49,791 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 18,640 40,127 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 18,995 40,890 533 Variety stores.................. 767 1,697 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 4,725 7,967 54 Food stores....................... 36,424 40,655 541 Grocery stores.................. 34,640 38,129 554 Gasoline service stations......... 12,526 13,301 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 8,034 17,154 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 780 1,574 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ 2,220 4,775 565 Family clothing stores.......... 2,974 7,281 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,335 2,328 58 Eating and drinking places........ 21,225 23,095 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,174 11,234 592 Liquor stores..................... 1,897 3,037 5961 Total mail order................... 5,882 9,101 53,56,57, GAF................................ 51,097 103,202 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1C. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--January 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 1 month total Change SIC Kind of business 2000 from code 1999 Retail trade, total........... 228,574 9.2 Total (excl. auto dealers). 171,072 7.9 Durable goods, total........ 93,816 10.8 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 11,773 8.2 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) (*) 525 Hardware stores................. (*) (*) 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 57,502 12.9 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 54,666 13.5 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (*) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) (*) 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 12,843 5.6 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) (*) 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) (*) 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (*) Nondurable goods, total..... 134,758 8.1 53 General merchandise group stores.. 25,812 7.0 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 19,774 6.1 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) (*) 533 Variety stores.................. (*) (*) 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) (*) 54 Food stores....................... 38,234 5.0 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,383 5.0 554 Gasoline service stations......... 15,285 22.0 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 8,200 2.1 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) (*) 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) (*) 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (*) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) (*) 58 Eating and drinking places........ 22,540 6.2 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,967 8.6 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) (*) 5961 Total mail order................... (*) (*) 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) (*) 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--January 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Jan Dec 2000 1999 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Dec Jan Nov Dec CODE 1999 1999 1999 1998 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... +0.3 +9.6 +1.7 +10.5 Total (excl. auto dealers). -0.3 +8.3 +1.9 +10.2 Durable goods, total........ +1.4 +11.2 +1.4 +10.6 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. +0.7 +7.6 +0.4 +8.8 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ +2.3 +13.4 +1.4 +11.4 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. +2.5 +14.0 +1.5 +11.6 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. -0.4 +6.7 +1.8 +7.7 Nondurable goods, total..... -0.5 +8.4 +2.0 +10.5 53 General merchandise group stores.. +0.8 +6.7 +1.1 +8.8 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +0.9 +5.7 +1.0 +7.2 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +1.7 +7.6 54 Food stores....................... -2.2 +5.8 +3.2 +8.4 541 Grocery stores.................. -2.3 +5.8 +3.2 +8.4 554 Gasoline service stations......... +0.4 +23.2 +3.6 +23.8 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +0.7 +1.4 +0.3 +4.0 58 Eating and drinking places........ -0.2 +7.5 +0.4 +7.1 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... -0.9 +8.5 +1.8 +12.2 Not Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Jan Dec 2000 1999 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Dec Jan Nov Dec CODE 1999 1999 1999 1998 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... -26.9 +9.2 +21.3 +11.0 Total (excl. auto group).. -32.5 +7.9 +27.3 +10.9 Durable goods, total........ -22.0 +10.8 +15.5 +11.0 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. -18.0 +8.2 -5.4 +7.6 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -3.2 +12.9 +1.0 +11.7 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -2.7 +13.5 +1.3 +12.0 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. -36.1 +5.6 +33.2 +8.5 Nondurable goods, total..... -29.9 +8.1 +25.2 +11.1 53 General merchandise group stores.. -52.7 +7.0 +48.3 +9.6 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). -54.5 +6.1 +50.3 +8.3 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +50.3 +8.3 54 Food stores....................... -14.0 +5.0 +15.2 +9.4 541 Grocery stores.................. -12.8 +5.0 +14.1 +9.4 554 Gasoline service stations......... -8.1 +22.0 +6.9 +25.0 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... -54.8 +2.1 +46.5 +5.8 58 Eating and drinking places........ -9.4 +6.2 +5.9 +7.7 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... -21.3 +8.6 +27.2 +12.7 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE:Advance Monthly Retail Sales--January 2000 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713/2666.
Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. They are based on two components. The first component is a measure of the average difference between the Advance and the Preliminary estimates. The second reflects the variability of the Preliminary estimate. Additionally, both the Advance and the full survey are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors, among others. Precautionary steps are taken to minimize these errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured.
Preliminary estimates for the current month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample are published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions and the techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B,Reliability of Data).
(2) ---- These columns measure the difference between the Advance/Preliminary ratio and the Preliminary/Final ratio estimates -- i.e., the difference between estimates of trend for the same pair of data months. The revisions for Retail trade total are based on the latest 12 months of data.
4th Quarter 1999 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
