000 WGUS82 KTBW 100240 FLSTBW FLC027-049-057-081-101-105-115-101600- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1040 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...THE CYPRESS CREEK AT WORTHINGTON GARDENS...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT BARTOW, ZOLFO SPRINGS, AND ARCADIA... THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...AND THE ANCLOTE RIVER AT ELFERS. HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BRING FLOODING CONDITIONS TO MOST AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS OVER THIS WEEKEND. FOR THE CYPRESS CREEK AT WORTHINGTON GARDENS, THE LATEST STAGE IS 7.0 FEET AT 7 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 8.3 FEET AROUND 8 AM WEDNESDAY, WHICH IS 0.3 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8.0 FEET AROUND 2 PM TUESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.7 FEET ON AUG 11 2004. AT 8.0 FEET, FLOODING BEGINS AT THE RECREATION AREA ON STATE ROAD 54. FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 8.6 FEET AT 7 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 13.2 FEET AROUND 8 PM MONDAY, WHICH IS 0.2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 13.0 FEET AROUND 2 AM MONDAY. THE STAGE WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 AM TUESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.7 FEET ON AUG 23 2004. AT 13.0 FEET, RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD. AT 12.0 FEET, WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640. FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 7.2 FEET AT 10 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 13.6 FEET AROUND 2 AM MONDAY, WHICH IS 2.6 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 11.0 FEET AROUND 9 AM SUNDAY. THE STAGE WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM WEDNESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.6 FEET ON SEP 28 2004. AT 14.5 FEET, FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD STREETS IN RUSKIN. AT 13.0 FEET, THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS. AT 11.0 FEET, THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS. FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD, THE LATEST STAGE IS 7.5 FEET AT 10 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 12.2 FEET AROUND 08 PM SUNDAY, WHICH IS 1.2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 11.0 FEET AROUND 7 AM SUNDAY. THE STAGE WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 1 PM MONDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.2 FEET ON SEP 10 2004. AT 11.0 FEET, PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD. FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA STATE PARK, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH A STAGE OF 7.1 FEET MEASURED AT 7 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 8.1 FEET AROUND 2 AM THURSDAY, WHICH IS 1.1 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE EXCEEDED THE FLOOD STAGE OF 7.0 FEET AT 10 AM SATURDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.5 FEET ON OCT 1 2004. AT 8.5 FEET, MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED. AT 8.0 FEET, THE MAIN PARK ROAD FLOODS. AT 7.0 FEET, TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS FLOOD. FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT BARTOW, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH A STAGE OF 8.2 FEET MEASURED AT 8 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 8.9 FEET AROUND 8 PM TUESDAY, WHICH IS 0.9 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.5 FEET ON AUG 27 2004. AT 8.0 FEET, PRIVATE ROADS DOWNSTREAM FLOOD. FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ZOLFO SPRINGS, THE LATEST STAGE IS 14.9 FEET AT 8 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 17.6 FEET AROUND 2 AM TUESDAY, WHICH IS 1.6 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 16.0 FEET AROUND 12 PM SUNDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.0 FEET ON SEP 2 2004. FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA, MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING, WITH A STAGE OF 12.5 FEET MEASURED AT 9 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 13.7 FEET AROUND 2 PM WEDNESDAY, WHICH IS 2.7 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.2 FEET ON AUG 25 2004. AT 14.0 FEET, K O A CAMPGROUND FLOODS AND 6 HOMES AT RIVER ACRES ARE IMPACTED. AT 13.0 FEET, PEACE RIVER ESTATES FLOODS AFFECTING SEVERAL DOZEN HOMES. AT 12.0 FEET, THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS. AT 11.0 FEET, ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED. AT 10.0 FEET, 3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS. FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA, THE LATEST STAGE IS 11.4 FEET AT 7 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 12.6 FEET AROUND 2 AM MONDAY, WHICH IS 0.6 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FEET AROUND 2 AM SUNDAY. THE STAGE WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 PM TUESDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.9 FEET ON OCT 1 2004. AT 12.0 FEET, THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE. AT 11.0 FEET, SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN TO FLOOD. AT 10.5 FEET, TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED. FOR THE ANCLOTE RIVER AT ELFERS, THE LATEST STAGE IS 10.0 FEET AT 10 PM SATURDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST, WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 21.7 FEET AROUND 2 AM MONDAY, WHICH IS 1.7 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE STAGE WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 20.0 FEET AROUND 1 PM SUNDAY. THE STAGE WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 PM MONDAY. THIS COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.1 FEET ON AUG 16 2004. AT 22.0 FEET, THERE IS WATER OVER THE ROADWAY ALONG THE ELFERS PARKWAY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS... STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. $$ FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED THU CYPRESS CREEK WORTHINGTON 8 7.0 SAT 07 PM 7.5 7.9 8.3 8.3 MSG ALAFIA LITHIA 13 8.6 SAT 07 PM 13.1 12.9 10.6 9.1 MSG LITTLE MANATEE WIMAUMA 11 7.2 SAT 10 PM 13.6 12.7 10.3 7.6 MSG MANATEE MYAKKA HEAD 11 7.5 SAT 10 PM 11.6 7.7 5.6 3.9 MSG MYAKKA MYAKKA STAT 7 7.1 SAT 07 PM 7.5 7.8 8.0 8.1 MSG PEACE BARTOW 8 8.2 SAT 08 PM 8.8 8.9 8.8 8.6 MSG ZOLFO SPRIN 16 14.9 SAT 08 PM 17.1 17.6 17.5 17.2 MSG ARCADIA 11 12.5 SAT 09 PM 13.4 13.7 13.7 13.5 MSG HORSE CREEK ARCADIA 12 11.4 SAT 07 PM 12.6 12.2 11.8 11.3 MSG ANCLOTE RIVER ELFERS 20 10.0 SAT 10 PM 21.1 17.0 14.3 12.7 MSG