000 WTPZ24 KNHC 100237 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192006 0300 UTC FRI NOV 10 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.4W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N 105.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.9N 105.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.3N 106.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.8N 106.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 105.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 100237 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192006 0300 UTC FRI NOV 10 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 105.4W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.4W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N 105.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.9N 105.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.3N 106.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.8N 106.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 105.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH