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Ecuador
Country Analysis Briefs
Oil
Ecuador is the third-largest South American supplier of crude oil to the United States.
According to Oil and Gas Journal (OGJ), Ecuador held proven oil reserves of 4.7 billion barrels in January 2009, the third largest in South America. Ecuador is the fifth-largest producer of oil in South America, producing 505,000 bbl/d of oil in 2008 (almost all of which was crude oil), down from 512,000 bbl/d in 2007. Crude oil production has increased sizably since the opening of the Oelducto de Crudos Pesados (OCP) in September 2003, which removed a chokepoint on crude oil transportation in the country (see below). However, production has fallen in recent years, the result of natural decline, the lack of new project development, and some operating difficulties at existing oil fields.

Top South American Oil Producers, 2006

In 2008, Ecuador consumed 178,000 bbl/d of oil, leaving 2008 net exports of 327,000 bbl/d. Ecuador sends over 50 percent of its oil exports to the U.S., the remainder split between Latin America and Asia. In 2008, Ecuador exported 221,000 bbl/d of crude oil and refined products to the United States, about two percent of total U.S. oil imports. Ecuador is the third-largest source of U.S. crude oil imports from South America. Ecuador has begun to look more towards the Asian market as a way to diversify its customer base: in April 2009, China reportedly agreed to loan Ecuador $1 billion, to be re-paid with future oil shipments.

Sector Organization
Petroecuador, owned by the Ecuadorian government, controls about half of the crude oil production in the country. The largest foreign-owned oil company is Repsol-YPF, which represents about 13 percent of the country’s total crude oil production. Other important foreign oil producers include Andes Petroleum, a consortium led by the Chinese National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) that acquired assets in September 2005 formerly owned by EnCana; Perenco; and Agip. While Ecuador’s crude oil production increased 31 percent from 2001 to 2005, Petroecuador's share of national crude oil output declined from 56 percent to 37 percent during that same period. However, Petroecuador’s share of national production jumped to 46 percent in 2006, following the company’s takeover of the former production assets of Occidental Petroleum.

In late 2007, the Ecuadorian government began attempts to transition the contracts for foreign oil companies into service agreements. Under these arrangements, oil companies typically act as an agent that produces oil on behalf of the state, receiving a fee as compensation. In early 2009, the government reportedly reached an agreement with Repsol-YPF under which the company would receive an extension of its operating contract in the country in return for accepting the new contract structure.

Exploration and Production
Ecuador's most productive oil fields are located in the northeast corner of the country. The largest oil field is Shushufindi. Other major oil fields include Sacha, Dorine, and Eden Yuturi. Production has fallen in recent years due to lower investment levels, leading to higher decline rates from existing fields. Ecuador produces two varieties of crude oil: Oriente and Napo. Napo is a heavy, sour crude, with a 19° API and 2 percent sulfur content, while Oriente is a medium-heavy, medium-sour crude, with a 29° API and 1 percent sulfur content.

Ecuador's Oil production and Consumption, 1998-2008

Future increases in Ecuador’s crude oil production will likely come from development of the Ishpingo-Tapococha-Tiputini (ITT) block. The government plans to open ITT to foreign producers through a licensing round in the near future. The ITT block, located in Ecuador's Amazon region, contains an estimated 900 million barrels of proven reserves, with potential recoverable reserves as high as 1.3 billion barrels. Analysts predict that, if fully developed, the block could produce at least 190,000 bbl/d. However, the ITT block reportedly contains a variety of crude oil even heavier than Napo, so any oil producer would need to blend the crude with lighter hydrocarbons before shipping it via Ecuador's pipeline network. As an alternative to the development of the ITT block, President Correa floated the idea that the international community could pay Ecuador to not produce the oil reserves there. The country sought $350 million per year over a ten year period, representing its estimate of one-half of the revenues that it could earn from oil production from the ITT block.

Pipelines
Ecuador has two major oil pipeline systems. The first is the Sistema Oleducto Trans-Ecuatoriano (SOTE), built in the early 1970s. The 310-mile, 400,000-bbl/d SOTE runs from Lago Agrio to the Balao oil terminal on the Pacific coast. SOTE has suffered from natural disasters that severely disrupted Ecuador's oil production. In March 2008, landslides damaged SOTE, shutting operations for several days. In 1987, an earthquake destroyed a large section of SOTE, reducing Ecuador's oil production for that year by over 50 percent.

The second oil pipeline is the Oleducto de Crudos Pesados (OCP). The 300-mile, 450,000-bbl/d OCP mostly parallels the route of the SOTE. The OCP began operations in September 2003, and its completion immediately doubled Ecuador's oil pipeline capacity. The completion of the OCP pipeline led to a sharp increase in Ecuador’s crude oil production, as private companies were no longer constrained by the capacity limits of the SOTE. Use of the OCP system is mostly confined to private oil producers, with Petroecuador relying upon SOTE.

Ecuador utilizes one international pipeline, the TransAndino. The 50,000-bbl/d pipeline connects Ecuador's oil fields with the Colombian port of Tumaco. The TransAndino pipeline has occasionally been the target of rebel forces in Colombia, and an attack in March 2008 shut the system down for several days.

Downstream Activities
According to OGJ, Ecuador has three oil refineries, with a combined capacity of 176,000 bbl/d. The largest refinery in Ecuador is Esmeraldas (110,000 bbl/d), located on the Pacific coast. Despite its status as a crude oil exporter, Ecuador is a net importer of refined oil products. In general, Ecuador exports heavy refined products, like fuel oil, and imports lighter products, such as gasoline, diesel, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). Since the heavy product exports command a much lower price on the world market than Ecuador must pay for the light product imports, the value of the net trade balance is more skewed than would be suggested by simply comparing import and export volumes. This can lead to situations where the country is unable to fully take advantage of higher world oil prices, because these higher prices might increase their product import bill by a greater amount than their crude oil export revenues.

The Ecuadorian government is actively seeking ways to increase domestic production of lighter petroleum products. These plans include building new refining facilities or upgrading the Esmeraldas plant to better handle Ecuador’s heavy domestic crude production. In late 2008, Ecuador signed a contract with South Korea’s SK Engineering to upgrade the Esmeraldas refinery. The $200 million project would seek to conduct repairs to increase utilization rates at the facility. There have also been discussions between Ecuador and Venezuela about the construction of a new refinery in the country. The two countries established a joint company in mid-2008 to build the facility on the Pacific Coast in Manabi province. The planned crude distillation capacity of the refinery is 300,000 bbl/d, with an expected cost of $7 billion. Completion of the project is slated for 2013.

Country Analysis Briefs

April 2009
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