National Weather Service Forecast for Virginia
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Current Weather Conditions from NWS:
Norfolk
,
Langley
,
Wallops
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FOUS14 Report:  
Norfolk
,
Langley
,
Wallops
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Reginal Weather Summary:  
BWI/Wash
,
Blacksburg
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State Forecast Product:  
Virginia
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ZONE Forecast
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
928 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2009
PASQUOTANK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETH CITY
928 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2009
.OVERNIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN WITH AREAS OF
DRIZZLE. AREAS OF FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN WITH AREAS OF DRIZZLE IN
THE MORNING...THEN PERIODS OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG IN
THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PERIODS OF RAIN WITH AREAS OF DRIZZLE UNTIL EARLY
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN WITH AREAS OF DRIZZLE LATE. AREAS OF
FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
90 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN WITH AREAS OF DRIZZLE IN THE
MORNING. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LOWS AROUND 40.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
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Area Forecast Discussion
FXUS61 KAKQ 160115 2009075 0115
AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
915 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS WEDGED ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND MID ATLANTIC
COASTAL REGIONS TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY FROM THE GULF COAST STATES TO THE
CAROLINAS. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES MONDAY...THEN MOVE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER WEATHER TO BUILD BACK INTO
THE REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH
PRESSURE FOLLOWS ON FRIDAY...AND WILL REMAIN NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
THE LATEST ROUND OF WIDESPREAD...STEADIER RAIN HAS MOVED OFF TO
THE EAST...LEAVING BEHIND CONTINUED LOW CLOUDINESS WITH AREAS OF
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE BECOMING
MORE LIMITED OVERNIGHT ABOVE 850 MB...AS THIS LATEST MID LVL VORT
AXIS DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND IS FOLLOWED BY SHORTWAVE RIDGING.
HAVE THEREFORE CUT DOWN ON THE CHANCES OF MEASURABLE RAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT (10-30%...HIGHEST OVER SERN VA/NERN NC)...THOUGH WITH THE
MENTION OF DRIZZLE/FOG AREAS IN ALL AREAS.
TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BUDGE VERY LITTLE OVERNIGHT WITH THE
CONTINUED ABUNDANCE MOISTURE AND NEUTRAL ADVECTION WITHIN THE LOW
LEVELS...THOUGH BASED ON TRENDS AND LATEST LAMP GUIDANCE...HAVE
NUDGED OVERNIGHT LOWS UP A DEGREE OR FEW ABOVE THE PREVIOUS FCST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MORE SIGNIFICANT RAIN WILL AGAIN SPREAD INTO AND ACRS THE AREA
MON AFTN INTO MON NGT...AS ANOTHER LO PRES SYSTEM TRACKS FM THE SE
U.S. NE TO JUST OFF THE NC CST. WILL HAVE HI CHC TO LIKELY POPS
OVR THE REGION FM NW TO SE MON AFTN THRU MON EVENG. SML CHC TO
SLGT CHC POPS...ESPLY OVR ESE CNTIES TUE MORNG...UNTIL THE LO MOVES
FARTHER OUT TO SEA. MAX TEMPS ON MON WILL BE IN THE UPR 40S TO LWR
50S.
THE LO WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH FARTHER OUT TO SEA TUE AFTN...WITH HI
PRES BLDNG IN FM THE NNW. HWVR...CLRG CUD BE SLOW FM W TO E AND
MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY...DUE TO BLYR FLO REMAINING FM
THE NE. MAX TEMPS ON TUE WILL RANGE THRU THE 50S.
HI PRES WILL THEN BE OVR THE REGION AND ALNG THE MID ATLC CST TUE
NGT AND WED. NICE DAY WITH MILDER TEMPS EXPECTED ON WED. UNDR A
PRTLY TO MSTLY SNY SKY...MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE THRU THE 60S.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH NXT CDFRNTL PASSAGE...BUT TRENDS
ARE FOR A LATE THU AFTRN/NIGHT FROPA. TMPS SHUD RISE INTO THE 60S
AHEAD OF BNDRY. ENUF MSTR WITH THIS FTR TO KEEP CHC POPS IN THU
AFTRN AND NITE. BOTH GFS & ECMWF SLOW SWRD PROGRESS ENUF TO KEEP
SOME MSTR ACROSS NC CNTYS FRI AM.
CANADIAN HIGH PRS BUILDS ACROSS GT LAKES AND INTO MID ATLNTC RGN FRI
AFTRN THRU AND SAT NITE...THEN SHIFTS RIDGE AXIS S INTO CAROLINAS BY
SUN. XPCT DRY BUT COOL WX THRU THIS PRD WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND
LOWS IN THE 30S. A BIT WRMR BY SUN WITH HIGHS ARND 60.
&&
.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
RA/DZ CONTS ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL PERSIST INTO MON. STNRY
FRONT WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTH OF CWA WITH SERIES OF LOWS MOVG ALONG
BNDRY AND PRODUCING OVERRUNNING CONDS. MODELS INDICATE TEMPO BREAK
IN RA AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN ANOTHER LOW MOVES NE FROM THE GULF
AND BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP FOR MON. CIGS/VSBY WON'T VARY
TOO MUCH OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HRS.
RA/DZ WL FINALLY BEGIN TO PULL OUT OF THE AREA LATE MON...BUT ANY
IMPROVEMENT WL BE LIMITED BY CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW. THIS SHOULD
MAINTAIN MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS INTO TUE... ESPECIALLY FOR COASTAL
TERMINALS (ORF- PHF-ECG-SBY). VFR CONDITIONS MAY NOT RETURN UNTIL
LTR TUE/WED WHEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE OH/TN VLYS.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT PULLS THROUGH BY LATE IN THE WEEK...WITH LOWER
CIGS/LGT PCPN POSSIBLY RETURNING FOR FRIDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
NO FLAGS TONITE AS PERSISTANT NE FLOW (AOB 15 KTS) CONTS ACROSS FA.
LOW PRS MOVES OFFSHORE MON. WNDS BECOME MORE NRLY AND INCRS A BIT
BEHIND THIS SYSTM...BUT XPCT WND SPEEDS TO REMAIN BLO SCA LVLS. THE
CONTD NRTHLY FETCH PROGGED TO BUILD SEAS TO 5 FT MON AFTRN AND UP TO
6 FT MON NITE AND TUE. SO WILL HOIST SCA FLAGS FOR SEAS...FIRST OVR
THE NRN CSTL WTRS (N OF CAPE CHARLES) STARTING MON AFTRN...THEN FROM
CAPE CHARLES ON S STARTING MON EVE AND CONTG THRU TUE AFTRN. WNDS
AND SEAS WILL COME CLOSE TO SCA LVLS BY MON NITE ACROSS THE MOUTH OF
THE CHES BAY AND CURRITUCK SND AREAS...BUT WILL HOLD CNDTNS JUST BLO
SCA LVLS FOR NOW.
HIGH PRS BUILDS ACROSS RGN BY WED. RETURN FLOW SHFTS WNDS INTO THE S
AND SW AHEAD OF NXT FRNTL BNDRY. CDFRNT NOW PROGGED ACROSS MARINE
AREA AFTR 21Z THU AND THU NITE...SHFTG WNDS BACK INTO THE NW THEN N.
STRONGEST CAA AND SURGE NOT XPCTD UNTIL 12Z FRI WHERE SCA CRITERIA
WILL LIKELY BE MET.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
ANZ650-652-654.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
ANZ656-658.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BKH
NEAR TERM...BKH
SHORT TERM...TMG
LONG TERM...MPR
AVIATION...JEF
MARINE...MPR
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