May 26, 2000
The Census Bureau discovered a problem with the 1998 annual retail sales and end-of-year inventories series released on April 28, 2000. A number of records were inadvertently excluded from the summary tabulations. While these excluded records affected the monthly level of retail sales, there is little or no change in the month-to-month trend.
Data have been re-tabulated and estimates have been revised as follows:
The tables below include the revised data and replace the estimates released on May 11, 2000.
The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys.
Percent Change in Retail Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 2000 2000 SIC Kind of business Apr Mar Feb code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 268,065 268,550 267,164 Total (excl. auto dealers). 201,113 201,129 198,717 Durable goods, total........ 112,225 112,831 113,179 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,813 16,065 15,341 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 12,670 12,086 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,351 1,293 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 66,952 67,421 68,447 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 63,497 63,929 64,959 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,492 3,488 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 14,552 14,516 14,436 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,975 6,929 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,470 6,463 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 155,840 155,719 153,985 53 General merchandise group stores.. 33,339 33,214 32,972 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 25,968 25,857 25,678 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 26,330 26,224 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,324 1,310 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 6,033 5,984 54 Food stores....................... 39,952 39,553 39,236 541 Grocery stores.................. 37,901 37,484 37,176 554 Gasoline service stations......... 17,908 18,337 17,589 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,790 11,884 11,702 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 946 937 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ (*) 3,306 3,169 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,838 1,825 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,255 25,342 25,072 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,678 10,610 10,455 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,462 2,443 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 8,609 8,441 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 68,914 68,396 594 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business code Apr(r) Mar(r) Retail trade, total........... 244,351 242,316 Total (excl. auto dealers). 183,849 182,102 Durable goods, total........ 101,842 101,367 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 14,890 14,680 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 11,369 11,299 525 Hardware stores................. 1,338 1,318 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 60,502 60,214 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 57,135 56,904 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,367 3,310 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,132 13,133 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,284 6,307 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 5,810 5,786 5722 Household appliance stores.... (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 142,509 140,949 53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,030 31,155 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,372 24,506 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 24,857 24,942 533 Variety stores.................. 1,150 1,126 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,508 5,523 54 Food stores....................... 37,600 37,375 541 Grocery stores.................. 35,648 35,450 554 Gasoline service stations......... 14,531 13,923 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,256 11,087 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 938 910 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ 3,110 3,111 565 Family clothing stores.......... (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,814 1,747 58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,512 23,206 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,903 9,771 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,298 2,235 5961 Total mail order................... 7,131 6,913 53,56,57, GAF................................ 64,085 64,082 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 2000 2000 SIC Kind of business Apr Mar Feb code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 261,250 273,022 244,951 Total (excl. auto dealers). 195,037 198,151 178,248 Durable goods, total........ 109,252 118,178 105,562 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 16,793 15,694 12,113 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 12,480 9,790 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,270 1,003 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 66,213 74,871 66,703 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 62,799 71,281 63,595 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) 60,340 54,306 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,590 3,108 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,097 14,267 13,436 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,954 6,382 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,282 6,120 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) 979 892 Nondurable goods, total..... 151,998 154,844 139,389 53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,658 31,199 27,308 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,825 24,125 21,056 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 24,577 21,456 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,270 1,142 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 5,804 5,110 54 Food stores....................... 39,460 39,732 36,506 541 Grocery stores.................. 37,370 37,709 34,574 554 Gasoline service stations......... 17,550 18,319 15,971 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,684 11,311 9,147 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 829 718 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) 3,217 2,513 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) 4,299 3,499 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,842 1,513 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,356 25,900 23,643 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,539 10,854 10,152 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,327 2,101 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 8,996 7,690 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 64,710 57,756 594 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business code Apr Mar Retail trade, total........... 242,761 244,511 Total (excl. auto dealers). 179,385 178,266 Durable goods, total........ 103,816 105,375 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 16,505 14,272 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 12,347 11,096 525 Hardware stores................. 1,432 1,222 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 63,376 66,245 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 59,935 62,879 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... 50,557 53,736 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,441 3,366 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 12,029 12,812 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 5,945 6,238 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 5,171 5,595 5722 Household appliance stores.... 875 893 Nondurable goods, total..... 138,945 139,136 53 General merchandise group stores.. 28,861 28,984 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 22,666 22,693 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 23,105 23,115 533 Variety stores.................. 1,073 1,088 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,122 5,203 54 Food stores....................... 36,905 37,420 541 Grocery stores.................. 34,971 35,485 554 Gasoline service stations......... 14,633 13,700 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,871 10,609 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 915 793 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ 3,154 3,011 565 Family clothing stores.......... 4,055 4,010 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,823 1,810 58 Eating and drinking places........ 23,747 23,322 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,824 10,113 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,208 2,081 5961 Total mail order................... 6,789 7,183 53,56,57, GAF................................ 59,102 59,867 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1C. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 4 month total Change SIC Kind of business 2000 from code 1999 Retail trade, total........... 1,009,094 11.0 Total (excl. auto dealers). 743,015 10.4 Durable goods, total........ 427,777 11.5 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 55,964 5.7 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) (*) 525 Hardware stores................. (*) (*) 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 266,079 12.5 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 252,984 12.9 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (*) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) (*) 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 54,038 11.6 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) (*) 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) (*) 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (*) Nondurable goods, total..... 581,317 10.6 53 General merchandise group stores.. 115,659 8.4 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 89,761 7.7 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) (*) 533 Variety stores.................. (*) (*) 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) (*) 54 Food stores....................... 152,855 5.9 541 Grocery stores.................. 144,996 5.8 554 Gasoline service stations......... 67,112 26.9 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 40,305 6.2 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) (*) 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) (*) 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (*) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) (*) 58 Eating and drinking places........ 97,793 9.4 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 41,621 8.1 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) (*) 5961 Total mail order................... (*) (*) 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) (*) 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--April 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Apr Mar 2000 2000 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Mar Apr Feb Mar CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... -0.2 +9.7 +0.5 +10.8 Total (excl. auto dealers). 0.0 +9.4 +1.2 +10.4 Durable goods, total........ -0.5 +10.2 -0.3 +11.3 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. -1.6 +6.2 +4.7 +9.4 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -0.7 +10.7 -1.5 +12.0 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -0.7 +11.1 -1.6 +12.3 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. +0.2 +10.8 +0.6 +10.5 Nondurable goods, total..... +0.1 +9.4 +1.1 +10.5 53 General merchandise group stores.. +0.4 +7.4 +0.7 +6.6 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +0.4 +6.5 +0.7 +5.5 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +0.4 +5.6 54 Food stores....................... +1.0 +6.3 +0.8 +5.8 541 Grocery stores.................. +1.1 +6.3 +0.8 +5.7 554 Gasoline service stations......... -2.3 +23.2 +4.3 +31.7 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... -0.8 +4.7 +1.6 +7.2 58 Eating and drinking places........ -0.3 +7.4 +1.1 +9.2 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... +0.6 +7.8 +1.5 +8.6 Not Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Apr Mar 2000 2000 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Mar Apr Feb Mar CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... -4.3 +7.6 +11.5 +11.7 Total (excl. auto group).. -1.6 +8.7 +11.2 +11.2 Durable goods, total........ -7.6 +5.2 +12.0 +12.1 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. +7.0 +1.7 +29.6 +10.0 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -11.6 +4.5 +12.2 +13.0 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -11.9 +4.8 +12.1 +13.4 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. -8.2 +8.9 +6.2 +11.4 Nondurable goods, total..... -1.8 +9.4 +11.1 +11.3 53 General merchandise group stores.. +1.5 +9.7 +14.2 +7.6 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +2.9 +9.5 +14.6 +6.3 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +14.5 +6.3 54 Food stores....................... -0.7 +6.9 +8.8 +6.2 541 Grocery stores.................. -0.9 +6.9 +9.1 +6.3 554 Gasoline service stations......... -4.2 +19.9 +14.7 +33.7 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +3.3 +7.5 +23.7 +6.6 58 Eating and drinking places........ -2.1 +6.8 +9.5 +11.1 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... -2.9 +7.3 +6.9 +7.3 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE:Advance Monthly Retail Sales--April 2000 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713/2666.
Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. They are based on two components. The first component is a measure of the average difference between the Advance and the Preliminary estimates. The second reflects the variability of the Preliminary estimate. Additionally, both the Advance and the full survey are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors, among others. Precautionary steps are taken to minimize these errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured.
Preliminary estimates for the current month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample are published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions and the techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B, Reliability of Data).
(2) ---- These columns measure the difference between the Advance/Preliminary ratio and the Preliminary/Final ratio estimates -- i.e., the difference between estimates of trend for the same pair of data months. The revisions for Retail trade total are based on the latest 12 months of data.
1st Quarter 2000 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
