FXUS62 KMFL 100035
AFDMIA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
830 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2004

.UPDATE...THE GPSMET DATA INDICATE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR EAST 
COAST SHOWERS AND THIS IS ALSO BACKED UP BY THE EYW RAOB.  THIS 
ALONG WITH A STEADY EASTERLY FLOW AND SOME CONVERGENCE LINES AND THE 
FACT THAT SOME SHOWERS MOVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING LEAD TO 
THE UPDATE TO ADD LATE NIGHT EAST COAST SHOWERS.  OTHERWISE NO OTHER 
CHANGES PLANNED.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...MOSTLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE 
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER WEEK. SURFACE HIGH 
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN STATIONARY JUST NORTH OF 30N AND RIDGE 
ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE U.S. EAST COAST. WEAK IMPULSES MAY SWING 
NORTHEAST ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE AS IT BUILDS. THIS 
WOULD BRING THEM OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND FLORIDA 
PENINSULA...HOWEVER GIVEN SHALLOW DEPTH OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ANY 
SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LIMITED TO ISOLATED CATEGORY OVER 
FAR INTERIOR/WESTERN ZONES EACH AFTERNOON AND/OR EVENING. A FEW 
SPRINKLES EAST COAST MAY MOVE ONSHORE FROM TIME TO TIME. MOS 
GUIDANCE LOOKS GOOD. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN JUST ABOUT NORMAL 
THROUGH THE COMING WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL REMAIN EAST AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT 
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RIDGE PLANTED ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND 
SOUTHEAST STATES. SEAS WILL BE 4 TO 6 FEET EAST COAST THROUGH THE 
PERIOD...SOMEWHAT LESS WEST COAST AS OFFSHORE FLOW KEEPS HIGHER SEAS 
WELL OFFSHORE. MODELS DO INDICATE A BIT OF AN INCREASE IN FLOW LATER 
THIS WEEK. WILL WATCH LATER RUNS FOR CONSISTENCY.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGHER MOISTURE WILL PRECLUDE NEED FOR ANY WATCHES 
OR WARNINGS THROUGH THE FORECAST.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 74 83 74 84/ 00 00 10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 75 83 75 83/ 00 00 10 10 
MIAMI           74 83 74 84/ 00 00 10 10 
NAPLES          68 88 68 88/ 00 00 00 10 
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$