AIAA Technical Committee on Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO)

White Paper on Current State of the Art

January 15, 1991


© 1991, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc., posted on the Internet by permission

PREAMBLE

AIAA has established a Technical Committee for Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (TC-MDO) with the following charter:

"To provide an AIAA Forum for those active in development, application, and teaching of a formal design methodology based on the integration of disciplinary analyses and sensitivity analyses, optimization, and artificial intelligence, applicable at all stages of the multidisciplinary design of aerospace systems".

One of the functions the TC-MDO established for itself is to provide the aerospace community with a periodic assessment of the state-of-the-art in its field beginning with this White Paper.

The task of developing this initial White Paper was led by Daniel Schrage assisted by Todd Beltracchi, Laszlo Berke, Alan Dodd, Larry Niedling, and Jaroslaw Sobieski.

All members of the TC/MDO reviewed several drafts of the White Paper in its editorial process. A list of the TC-MDO members is included as Appendix II.

FOREWORD

This White Paper's purpose is threefold. First, it explores the need for bringing the diverse disciplinary design technologies involved in development of aerospace vehicles and expounded upon in the other chapters in this volume into a concerted action. This approach is necessary to create advanced aerospace vehicles that must be competitive not only in terms of performance, but also in terms of manufacturability, serviceability and overall life-cycle cost effectiveness. Second, it reviews some of the recently evolved means by which such concerted action may be implemented in a systematic and mathematically-based manner referred to as the Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) technology. Third, it points out major directions for research and development.

The discourse is divided into six sections. The first section presents the need for the MDO technology in the historical context of progress in aerospace. In the second section, the emphasis is on the multidisciplinary nature of the aerospace design process. The human element in that process is discussed in the next section as the key component in any design-oriented technology. The fourth section is devoted to computing as the essential part of the design infrastructure. In the fifth section, the attention shifts to sensitivity analysis and optimization methods that form the core of the MDO technology. Finally, the concluding section identifies the development directions for realization of the MDO benefits.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

I Introduction and Background

A. History of Aerospace Systems Design

B. The Need for MDO

II Multidisciplinary Aspects of Design

A. Engineering Design Disciplines

B. Concurrent Engineering Disciplines

C. Supporting Disciplines

III Human Interface Aspects of Design

A. Design Decision Making

B. Meta Design

IV Computing Aspects of Design

A. Information Architecture

B. High Performance Computing

V Optimization Aspects of Design

A. System Level Optimization

B. Decomposition and Sensitivity Analysis

C. Concluding Remarks on Optimization

VI Transitioning to the MDO Environment

VII Conclusions

VIII The Role of the AIAA MDO TC

References

Appendix I: Survey of the Industry MDO Practices

Appendix II: AIAA TC MDO Membership Roster

I. INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND

A. History of Aerospace Systems Design

During the pioneering years of aviation, the aircraft designer frequently was the central figure and the jack-of-all-trades -- designer as well as main resource person in aerodynamics, structures, materials, propulsion, and manufacturing, often also test pilot, entrepreneur and founder of great enterprises. The Wright Brothers, Glen L. Martin, Breguet, DeHavilland, Fokker, Heinkel and Sikorsky are just a few of the names which come readily to mind. Creative spirit, clear grasp of essentials, and confidence-inspiring, self-assured personality were their characteristic traits. The knowledge necessary to design an airplane was of a practical kind and for many years it was no more than could be stored in the mind of a capable individual.

This first period came to an end in the early 1930s. Evaluation of wind tunnel tests in aerodynamics, thin shell analysis in structures, thermodynamic efficiencies in propulsion, processing and forming techniques in production - each of them developed into a field of specialization. The design engineer could not possibly keep abreast of all developments and had difficulty coordinating the different inputs coming from various specialists. Yet the solid engineering background and the long experience of the typical design engineer provided the know-how and the balanced judgment to translate new theoretical knowledge into flying hardware. Thus the senior design engineer had to evolve into what would today be called the systems engineer. This period lasted from the years of exciting technical progress in the 1930s, through the years of mass production during World War II, to the expansion of air transportation in the 1950s. A few prominent names during this period are Johnson, Northrop, McDonnell, Douglas, and Hughes. This period of time also produced rocket pioneers, such as Goddard, Oberth, Korolev and Von Braun.

In the late 1950s a slow change in attitude occurred throughout aircraft design. Partly due to the impetus given by missiles, rockets, and spacecraft which are one of a kind single use systems that used a new set of design guidelines, and partly due to the demands of the military who were striving for maximum performance, the importance and prestige of analytical specialists soared. Specialists were needed to expand the limits of scientific knowledge and to reach for ever higher performance. The best minds were attracted by the challenges of research and development which usually meant estrangement from design. As a result, the design engineer's prestige declined. The analytical specialist was often the originator of novel ideas and the design engineer became the implementor as he translated these ideas into practice.

Then, around 1970, began the big slump in the aircraft industry coupled with a decline in the civilian and military space programs which led to a reduction of the engineering force by about 25%. Simultaneously, two developments of great potential impact and far-reaching effect on aircraft design began to take place. First. computer-aided design came of age and has now relieved the design engineer of much of the earlier drudgery regarding the menial aspects of design. Second, the procurement policy of the military underwent a thorough change. The earlier drive of maximum performance had been superseded by a new quest for balance among performance, life-cycle cost, reliability, maintainability, vulnerability, and other "-ilities". This trend is reflected in the design requirements growth for advanced aeronautical vehicles in Figure 1. A major reason for this emphasis was the control of life cycle costs which are determined by the design concept and thus are very difficult to change significantly past this stage as illustrated in Figure 2. The experience of the 1960s had shown that for military aircraft the cost of the final increment of performance usually is excessive in terms of other characteristics and that the overall system must be optimized, not just performance. The same lesson had been learned earlier by the airlines when meticulous cost accounting had pointed toward possible savings due to improved reliability and maintainability [1]. Cost- effectiveness for an airliner is mostly economic. The aircraft must generate sufficient revenue in excess of operating costs that the purchase investment is more profitable than investing the same amount of money elsewhere. A similar shift of concern toward cost, supportability, launch availability, and reliability in orbit began to occur for similar reasons more than a decade earlier in the space launch vehicles and spacecraft.

The 1980's brought about a number of thrusts both in government and industry to improve U.S. productivity and the quality of products. There has been an on-going quiet revolution in industry for the past ten years to make the necessary corporate, organizational and technical changes to compete successfully in an increasingly competitive global marketplace. These changes occurred first in the automotive and electronics industries, which were receiving intense competition for their products from Japan, but in the late 1980's had spread to the Aerospace industry. Many of the initiatives in government, particularly the Department of Defense (DoD), can be traced to recommendations from President Reagan's Blue Ribbon Commission on Defense Management (Packard Commission) for improving the weapon system acquisition process. Policy formulation from these recommendations has come in the form of general acquisition streamlining and the Total Quality Management (TQM) Program. Other initiatives can be traced to the DoD's desire to take advantage of emerging information and computing technologies and the environment they provide. The DoD - initiated Computer-Aided Acquisition and Logistics Support (CALS) Program is one example.

As these initiatives have been implemented, there has been increased realization that in engineering, especially design, lies the greatest opportunity to improve product quality and provide concurrency of product and process phases to reduce development time. This realization has resulted in the recent emphasis on concurrent engineering (CE). CE has been defined as a systematic approach to the integrated, concurrent design of products and related processes, including manufacturing and supportability [2]. This definition is intended to emphasize from the outset consideration of all elements of the product life cycle from concept through disposal, including quality, cost, and schedule with traceability to user requirements. In most cases CE is envisioned as a modem application of systems engineering in an integrated computing environment. To date the CE emphasis has been on concurrent consideration of the life cycle phases, as illustrated in the top half of Figure 3, for the two-fold goal of improving quality by allowing the natural coupling among these phases influence the design decisions, and compressing the overall design process timetable.

Close examination of the Design Phase of the CE process reveals potential benefits from rearranging the traditional disciplinary tasks from the conventional sequential order into concurrent activities shown in the bottom half of Figure 3. The designer can exploit the synergism of the interdisciplinary couplings provided that effective mathematical tools and methodologies are available. Thus, the Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) methodology that combines analyses and optimizations in the individual disciplines with those of the entire system is a technology that enables extension of the CE concept to the Design Phase.

B. The Need for Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO)

Design consists of a hierarchical sequence of steps. It begins with ideas, missions and concepts, takes successively firmer shape until the configuration can be frozen, continues with the practical considerations about hardware, and leads to a set of manufacturing instructions and airworthiness documentation. This evolutionary process usually is depicted as phases from conceptual to preliminary to detail design and then manufacturing and production, as illustrated in Figure 4. As this process evolves design freedom decays rapidly while knowledge about the object of design is increasing as illustrated in Figure 5. As the design process goes forward designers gain knowledge but lose freedom to act on that knowledge. It was demonstrated mathematically in [4] that this natural evolution may lead to suboptimal designs.

Traditionally, for aircraft and most other aerospace systems, design synthesis and optimization of the overall conceptual system has been based on achieving a fuel balance and a minimum weight configuration through parametric variation of a few critical design parameters i.e. wing loading, aspect ratio, etc. This aerospace approach to design synthesis is illustrated in Figure 6. Since aerodynamics and propulsion are the critical disciplines to achieving a fuel balance and vehicle performance, they are emphasized and the greatest level of effort is expended in these areas as illustrated in Figure 5. As the system design moves into the preliminary design phase and the initial configuration is frozen, hardware design considerations begin to dominate and the structures discipline begins to play a more dominant role. In the detailed design phase the controls discipline plays an increasing role as flight dynamics and handling quality improvements usually are necessary to achieve an acceptable flightworthy system. Also, the transition to production places a much bigger emphasis on manufacturing, cost, and to some extent supportability. The obvious problem with this traditional approach is the short conceptual design phase with an unequal distribution of disciplines which does not allow use of design freedom to improve quality and integrate disciplines for optimization. Also, the balanced design sought by the requirements growth in Figure 1 cannot be achieved. This was also a major conclusion from a recent industry survey conducted by the MDO technical committee. The results of this survey have been included as Appendix I.

In recent years there has been an increased emphasis on integrating the structures and controls disciplines into the design at an earlier time. For the structures discipline the increased use of advanced materials with their flexibility and reliability based structural design philosophies has been one force for this emphasis. Another force is the use of composite materials for aeroelastic tailoring, as it couples a structural detail (using skin fiber orientation angle) with the flexible wing aerodynamics and, ultimately, the aircraft performance. The controls discipline has really become an upfront partner. Control configured vehicles offer significant opportunities for expanded flight envelopes and enhanced performance through relaxation of inherent stability margins. Flight control state of the art is perhaps best epitomized by the space shuttle digital fly-by-wire control system which provides control of the vehicle from on-orbit maneuvering, through atmospheric entry, from Mach 25 to a horizontal landing using blended reaction and aerodynamic controls. Full authority digital fly-by-wire flight control has been incorporated in operational military aircraft such as the F/A-18. Application to civil aircraft, prompted by potential performance advantages in aerodynamics, structures, and operations has been initiated. However, concerns over reliability, maintainability, cost, and integrity of such systems has delayed its application in the U.S. although the A-320 AirBus has a digital fly by wire system for use throughout normal flight. Control configured vehicles offer significant opportunities for expanded flight envelopes and enhanced performance though relation of inherent stability margins. In addition, ultra-light-weight actively controlled space structures offer a weight reduction over conventional space structures. The ultimate goal of control integration is to maximize total aircraft performance. This goal can only be achieved by a balanced multidisciplinary design as portrayed in Figure 7 [5].

Aerospace vehicles are engineering systems whose performance depends on interaction of many disciplines and parts and whose behavior is governed by a very large set of coupled equations. In practice, engineers deal with these equations by partitioning them into subsets corresponding to the major disciplines, such as aerodynamics, structures, flight controls, etc. In this process of pragmatic partitioning, the couplings among the subsets tend to be reduced in number because it is burdensome to account strictly for them all. Couplings are retained or neglected judgmentally on the basis of what is known or assumed about their strength in a particular vehicle category. Generally speaking, the more advanced the vehicle, the more such couplings should be accounted for.

Rotary wing aircraft or rotorcrafts are an excellent example of a highly coupled aerospace system. The multidisciplinary complexity of a rotorcraft, such as a helicopter is illustrated in Figure 8. Unsteady aerodynamics and vortex interaction cause excitation of complex structural dynamics to form a unique aeroelastic phenomenon which is further complicated by a direct coupling with the flight control system to trim the aircraft. The interaction that takes place among the disciplines of aerodynamics, aeroelasticity, structures and materials, and flight mechanics and controls in a typical flight condition is a series of feedback loops as illustrated schematically in Figure 9. The coupling of these disciplines is illustrated in matrix form in Figure 10 by referring back to the feedback loops of Figure 9. Principal and supporting disciplines are identified for each loop. If this off-diagonal coupling was not present, a linear superposition of research conducted by individual researchers at different locations could be combined. However, the coupling is strong, requires an interdisciplinary approach, and is one reason why progress in advancing rotary wing aircraft technology has been difficult. A similar coupling problem is evident on other advanced aerospace systems, although the interaction of disciplines would be different, such as the aerodynamics - propulsion - structures - controls coupling in hypersonic vehicles. The design synthesis flow chart using fuel balance for the Aerospace Plane is illustrated in Figure 11 [6].

While multidisciplinary integration can be associated with the traditional aerospace disciplines aerodynamics, propulsion, structures, and controls there are also the life cycle areas of manufacturability, supportability, and cost which require integration. After all, it is the balanced design with equal or weighted treatment of performance, cost, manufacturability and supportability which has to be the ultimate goal of multidisciplinary integration. Therefore, the multidisciplinary integration aspects of aerospace system design include the traditional disciplines of aerodynamics, propulsion, structures, and controls, as well as the life cycle disciplines of manufacturability, supportability and cost. The goal of this total multidisciplinary integration is illustrated in Figure 12. The changes in Figure 12 from Figure 5 are that the conceptual designer's time has been doubled to capture more knowledge and use more design freedom; the detail design time has been reduced by one third based on the use of more upfront design, and a more evenly distributed effort of disciplines is provided in the conceptual and preliminary design phase. The dashed line projection from the "Knowledge about Design" curve reflects the requirement that more knowledge will have to be brought forward to the conceptual and preliminary design phases. The dashed line projection from the "Design Freedom" curve reflects the need to retain more design freedom later into the process in order to act on the new knowledge gained by analysis, experimentation, and human reasoning. The change in the shapes of the two curves would alleviate the paradox that was discussed in conjunction with Figure 5. That change might be achieved through better integration of multi -and interdisciplinary design, analysis, and optimization. Obviously, another goal is to reduce the design time in order either to shorten the process duration or to develop a broader selection of optimized alternative designs in the constant elapsed time.

A clearly defined objective and sufficient budget to accomplish it is also required for multidisciplinary integration to work. The space station is an example of a system where much upfront design has been performed, but no flight hardware has been built as the funding has been in a continuous state of flux leading to one costly redesign after another.

Of course, an aerospace vehicle constitutes an integrated system by virtue of its physics, thus integration is a physical fact and hardly needs any advocacy for its existence. Therefore, when we postulate integration, we advocate research and development of means to help engineers master the interdisciplinary couplings and to enable them to exploit the associated synergism, toward improved efficiency and effectiveness of the design process and better quality of the final product.

Consistent with the above, an integrated design process may be defined as one in which:

(1) Any new information originated anywhere (in any discipline) in the design organization is communicated promptly to all recipients to whom it matters:

(2) When a change of any design variable is proposed, the effects of that change on the system as a whole, on its parts, and on all the disciplines are evaluated expeditiously and used to guide the system synthesis.

It is evident that (1) relies on the technologies for data management and graphic visualization, while (2) is based on synthesis, analysis and sensitivity analysis. Together, the above attributes form a capability for design optimization to be executed in a symbiosis of the human mind and the computer.

Since the technologies of (1) are well cared for by other AIAA TC's and thrive on the marketplace, it is logical for AIAA TC-MDO to focus its efforts on the technologies underlying (2) which are much less known and, therefore, underutilized: design synthesis, sensitivity analysis, optimization methods, melding the human mind and computer capabilities, and effective organization of engineering to exploit these technologies.

II. MULTIDISCIPLINARY ASPECTS OF DESIGN

A. Engineering Design Disciplines

The traditional engineering disciplines for aerospace vehicles include aerodynamics, propulsion, structures and controls. While these individual disciplines are considered fairly mature for many aircraft applications, there are advances in each discipline, due to theoretical, computational and methodology breakthroughs, that foster substantial payoffs and additional research. Emphasis in recent years, however, has been on the advances that can be achieved with research of the interaction between two or more of the disciplines. Also, new disciplines, such as electromagnetics, for low observability, without a statistical database need to be addressed. For advanced and particularly complex aerospace vehicles this interdisciplinary approach is often essential owing to the strong couplings among the disciplines and subsystems and, again, the lack of statistical data and human experience.

B. Concurrent Engineering Disciplines

While the engineering design disciplines, their interdisciplinary interaction, and optimization of the product are the primary focus for this technical committee it would be remiss if it didn't address their incorporation in the broader set of Concurrent Engineering (CE) disciplines. As depicted in Figure 5 the addition of manufacturing, supportability and cost to the traditional engineering disciplines constitute the set of CE disciplines, with quality being the CE objective function for optimization. The prerequisite task for that addition is development of realistic, reliable, and easy to use mathematical models for manufacturing, supportability, and cost. In contrast to the traditional engineering disciplines, such models are currently inadequate and this inhibits their incorporation in a formal MDO methodology. Obviously, for military systems cost and operational effectiveness and the tradeoff between them receives high priority [7].

C. Supporting Disciplines

Multidisciplinary design optimization of aerospace vehicles cannot take place without substantial contributions from supporting disciplines. The identified supporting disciplines and methodologies are the Human Interface Aspects of Design, Intelligent and Knowledge-Based Systems, Computing Aspects of Design and Information Integration and Management.

III. HUMAN INTERFACE ASPECTS OF DESIGN

The engineering design process is recognized as a two-sided activity as illustrated in Figure 13. It has a qualitative side dominated by the human inventiveness, creativity, and intuition. The other side is quantitative, concerned with generating numerical answers to the questions that arise on the qualitative side. The process goes forward by a continual question-answer iteration between the two sides. The MDO methodology discards the "push button design" idea in favor of a realistic approach that recognizes the role of human mind as the leading force in the design process and the role of mathematics and computers as indispensable tools. It is clearly recognized that while conceiving different design concepts is a function of human mind, the evaluation and choice among competing, discretely different concepts, e.g., classical configuration vs. a forward swept wing and a canard configuration, requires that each concept be optimized to reveal its full potential. This approach is consistent with the creative characteristics of the human brain and the efficiency, discipline, and infallible memory of the computer.

The middle ground between the two sides of design is occupied by the quasi-intelligent and knowledge-based systems. The area of intelligent and knowledge - based systems deals with a broad variety of ways in which the science and technology of Artificial Intelligence (AI) could contribute to the theory and practice of engineering design. The potential contributions cover much more than what are commonly inferred to as expert systems. Expert systems as generally implemented with current techniques. have very limited means of knowledge representation and deduction. The problems of design synthesis using multidisciplinary design optimization will usually require more powerful abstractions than provided by the current paradigm of expert systems [8].

A. Design Decision Making

The engineering process can be viewed as a series of decisions which gradually define a new product in more and more detail. As the product evolves from conceptual to preliminary design, to detail design, and then production, the details of the decision making process change radically but its general nature remains the same. Therefore, it can be seen that decision making is at the heart of design. Many different types of decisions must be made in even the simplest case. One must decide where first to look for similar solved problems, how much time should be spent looking at modifications to past or current designs versus new development, which aspects of the design are most important, and how other disciplines are affected. A schematic of how decision makers, using human expertise and expert systems drive the design process is illustrated in Figure 14. These decisions are made in the design process in an environment of uncertainty and risk. Uncertainties come in various forms and the design team faces both upstream and downstream uncertainties. Upstream uncertainties include, for example: uncertainty in the specification of design requirements. This uncertainty relates to the possibility of modification of the original specification that is being designed to. Such changes occur frequently in weapon systems procurements and cause havoc in the design process in terms of schedule slippage and cost increase. Design of space launch vehicles is fraught with uncertainties as to the future mission parameters that may vary in a broad range or vehicle modifications that result in a stretched design. Oftentimes, downstream uncertainties may reflect a lack of knowledge as to the environment in which the product will be used or uncertainties in future availability of spare parts. Uncertainties in manufacturing processes, such as process variability, are also examples of downstream uncertainties from a design standpoint [9].

B. Meta Design

Design viewed as decision-making implies the need to plan the decision-making process. Meta-Design "The design of the design process" addresses the planning activity. As illustrated in Figure 6the aerospace industry has developed a general synthesis and analysis which has proved successful for developing aerospace vehicles from helicopters to spacecraft. However, the existing design process has been geared principally to producing designs optimized for performance considerations without equal regard to cost, schedule, producibility, supportability or quality. As illustrated in Figure 12 design decisions and tradeoffs may have to be reordered among multidisciplines and different decisions may be required. A more flexible design process than illustrated in Figure 6 is required. Plans for integrating CAD/CAE/CAM tools, analysis tools, and design data bases should be directed toward executing a specific concurrent engineering design methodology. The type of design methodology used will depend on the type of design problem being addressed. Implementing a different computer integration scheme for each design methodology would pose a considerable burden in terms of software development. An alternative approach entails developing a flexible design system capable of supporting the activities of methodology development (meta-design) and methodology execution (design) for multiple design problems. Such a system would be compatible with the evolving idea of a flexible acquisition process and would be analogous to a flexible manufacturing system in that it could be rapidly reconfigured to support products of many different designs. An analytical approach to meta-design that involves providing a framework that allows the design methodologies to be developed and evaluated is addressed in [10].

IV. COMPUTING ASPECTS OF DESIGN

Computer technologies have been changing the environment of engineering design. Therefore, these technologies are a major supporting discipline for MDO. Powerful analysis and simulation programs and CAD workstations are contributing to better solutions. These developments, in turn, are creating new difficulties. In an environment where most of the computer activities still involve stand-alone programs, design engineers often spend 50-80% of their time organizing data and moving it between applications. Integrated processing with database system support should eliminate many of these error-prone manual activities. Data must be shared between disciplines and within disciplines with all the applicable quality, consistency and integrity checks.

It should be emphasized that the MDO methodology calls for extending the type of data available to the designer by the new category of the derivative, or trend data that directly answer the "What If?" questions about the entire vehicle system. Examples of such trend data are the derivative of the aircraft range with respect to the wing aspect ratio, incorporating the aerodynamics-structure interaction, or the derivative of the seat-mile operational cost with respect to the take-off gross weight, accounting for the coupling of the structures, aerodynamics, and propulsion. Since the continual concern about the "what if" questions is what a creative design is all about, having a capability to answer such questions expeditiously and comprehensively will constitute a quantum jump in the design process effectiveness and efficiency.

A. Information Architecture

Several parallel efforts have been and are being undertaken to identify an information framework for integrated design. As a result of a NSF workshop [11], a strong recommendation was made for the establishment of a national research program on engineering information management and suggested that the components include:

Engineering Product and Process Description

Engineering Information Dynamics and Data Models

Very High Level Languages and User Interface Engineering

Decision Support Systems

Conclusions from this NSF workshop were that this research will require the concerned joint efforts of industry, government and academia and that it will require multidisciplinary teams from such areas as engineering, computer science, social science and mathematics.

Another ongoing effort is the work by the Computer-Aided Acquisition and Logistics Support (CALS)/Concurrent Engineering (CE) Mechanical Systems Framework Subtask Group. They have concluded that the information architecture must allow a large multi-disciplinary group to behave as a tightly knit inter disciplinary team, in a concurrent manner in creating product definition information. This architecture includes: concurrent product and process definition, product development team, product life cycle data, and knowledge of customer needs. The architecture may be seen as consisting of an Enterprise Integration framework and an Integrated Information Management System backbone. The Enterprise Integration includes: Product Definition, Process Definition, Configuration Management. Information Exchange, Team Organization, Validation, Metrics, and Enterprise Policy. These elements are peculiar to the enterprise itself. Yet there is an Information Management System that integrates the elements of the enterprise by means of a shared database environment. This includes: Information Modeling, Tool Integration, Information Integrity, Information View, Information Management, Communication, and Resource Definition. The Subtask Group has been assessing the existing environment for Concurrent Engineering from the above stated perspectives. Key topics include:

1) Information architecture,

2) Data exchange standards, such as the Product Data Exchange Specification (PDES),

3) Design - by - Feature,

4) Object - Oriented data management technologies,

5) Storage of (and access to) properties and constraints, material characteristics, and manufacturing methods; and the ability to create (user-specified) multiple views, intelligent libraries, and part, feature, and process information. A first draft of requirements for concurrent engineering information architecture has been completed by the CALS/CE Frameworks Subtask Group [l2].

B. High Performance Computing

The term "supercomputer" is commonly used to denote computing power, but the definition of power in a computer is highly inexact and depends on many factors including processor speed, memory size, and so on. Secondly, there is not a clear lower boundary of supercomputer power. IBM 3090 computers come in a wide range of configurations, some of the largest of which are the basis of supercomputer centers at university, government and industry locations. Finally, technology is changing rapidly and with it our conceptions of power and capability of various types of machines. Therefore, the general term, "high performance computers (HPC)", is a term that includes a variety of architectures. One class of HPC consists of very large, powerful machines, principally designed for very large numerical applications, such as those encountered in science and engineering. Parallel processing assumes that a problem can be broken into large independent pieces that can be computed in separate processors. Currently, large mainframe HPC's such as those offered by Cray, IBM are only modestly parallel, having as few as two up to as many as eight processors. The trend is toward more parallel processors on these large systems. Some experts anticipate as many as 512 processor machines appearing in the near future. The key problem to date has been to understand how problems can be set up to take advantage of the potential speed advantage of larger scale parallel processing [l3].

A NASA Grand Challenge for high performance computing in aerosciences has been put forth as the integrated multidisciplinary design of aerospace vehicles and their numerical simulation throughout a mission profile [l4]. The goal is to demonstrate the utility of advanced parallel computer systems, including hardware, software and algorithms, capable of delivering teraflop performance for the design of a new generation of aerospace vehicles. Such a demonstration requires separate developments within a number of disciplines as well as the tight integration of those disciplines. Figure 15 and 16 provide some indication of the computational complexity and the present state of the art for two disciplines: aerodynamics and structural analysis. The underlying assumption is that a single simulation must be completed in 15 minutes.

Figure 15 shows a range of configuration complexities from an airfoil through a wing to a full aircraft. Figure 16 also shows a range of computational requirements relative to past and present high performance computers. Again, the configuration complexity moves from a simple laminated material through a component to a full aircraft. The computational requirements implied by these figures are severe in their own right. When one thinks of coupling these and other disciplines that are equally computationally demanding through optimization formulation that requires repeated evaluation of these models the "challenge" is truly "grand" [l4]. To meet that challenge, the MDO technologist recognizes that the usable computing speed is a product of the hardware speed and the algorithm speed. In other words, one cannot get very far by using a multiprocessor computer for executing a method that originated [in a] serial computer environment. It follows that to extract full computational potential from a new type of a computer, one needs to invest a development effort in new solution algorithms comparable to the effort that went into the hardware development itself.

V. OPTIMIZATION ASPECTS OF DESIGN

Optimization methods have been combined with design synthesis and parametric analysis and used in the aerospace industry for the past forty years. The graphically displayed "carpet plot" is a characteristic of this legacy. In the first two decades the most commonly used techniques were graphical methods. Graphical methods were straight forward and easily understood, and had the obvious advantage of showing at a glance the entire interval of interest, calling attention to the function peaks, valleys, and other instructive features. The important limitation of these methods is that they can paint such a clear picture for only up to three or four variables in one figure, and require large computer resources for generating data points for constructing the plots. For greater number of variables, the combinatorial explosion sets in that would multiply the figures into volumes, and volumes into libraries with the attendant loss of the easy comprehension and interpretation.

During the past two decades much progress has been made in numerical optimization that offers an alternative to the above. Any design can be defined by a vector in multidimensional space where each design variable represents a different dimension. Since we cannot see in more than three dimensions, the general case is beyond our power of visualization. Yet the principle is the same as when we assume only two variables in a base plane and plot above this plane a curved surface representing the objective function which depends on the two variables and which is to be optimized. The objective function may express cost, weight, range, aerodynamic or propulsive efficiency, return on investment, or any combination of parameters. It is subject to functional constraints in accordance with given relationships between variables and parameters and to upper or lower bounds of variables. The side constraints define the permissible part of the curved surface where the optimum value has to be found, e.g. limits due to minimum sheet thickness, maximum stress, stalling speed, etc.

Thus, in a formal notation, the quantitative side of the design problem may be formulated as a problem of Nonlinear Mathematical Programming (NLP):

(1). " find X such that f(X,P) is at minimum constrained by g(X,P)< 0 and h(X,P)= 0"

where X is a vector of the design variables and Xmin and Xmax represent variable bounds, P is a vector of constant parameters, f is an objective function, g is a vector of inequality constraints, and h is a vector of equality constraints.

Thus, in contrast to the graphical methods, the MDO technology mathematically traces a path in the design space from the initial toward improved designs (with respect to some figure of merit) and does it operating on a large number of variables and functions simultaneously - a feat beyond the power of human mind. However, the visibility of the reasons for the design decisions corresponding to the twists and turns of the search path remain obscured inside a "black box". Making these reasons visible to the designer and presenting graphically the salient features of the design space is a challenge that the MDO technology must recognize and meet, in order to inspire confidence in the optimization results. Post optimality and parameter sensitivity analysis can provide much information that can raise the confidence of the designer.

The idea of formulating a design problem in rigorous, mathematical terms, introduced in [15], had spawned a vast body of literature, including comprehensive survey papers, e.g., [l6], [17], [18], and [38], and has become a key component in the MDO methodology. Consistent with its origin, the MDO methodology has thrived to the largest extent in design of light-weight, aerospace structures, but is spreading to other engineering disciplines and non-aerospace applications. The MDO-type methods were particularly successful in space flight for trajectory optimization. Optimization has been applied to trajectory design problems for the past 25 years. Analytic optimization has been applied to solving two and three burn orbit transfer problems for mission planning (estimating payload transfer capabilities). Boosters (Space Shuttle, Titan, Delta, Atlas) and upper stages (IUS, Centaur, PAM) use some form of trajectory optimization to design flight profiles to maximize payload (or reserve fuel) to some orbital conditions. Reentry problems have also been optimized to obtain maximum cross range or down range trajectories. Additionally the NASP trajectory will have to be optimized to obtain maximum payload to orbit i.e. improvements in the structure or engine efficiency will lead to new trajectories. These individual improvements must be weighed against total system performance to orbit (or some other objective, cost, reliability, or maintainability) to determine if the new system is worth the development cost. It should be noted that optimization does not remove the designer from the loop, but it helps conduct trade studies. The users should be [warned] not to accept solutions without careful examination, because if constraints are omitted from the problem they can often be violated by the optimization which can reduce safety factors and lead to system failure.

Formulation of the design problem for a system life cycle or concurrent engineering concept can be accomplished as a multi-objective optimization problem [l9]:

(2). " find X such that F(fi,(X,P)) is at minimum constrained by g(X,P) < 0 and h(X,P) = 0; where Xmin < X < Xmax;"

which differs from the single objective formulation in Equation 1 by recognizing a set of individual objective functions fi, i = 1--->NF, which often may be contradictory. The functional relation f( ) may be as general as admitting all fi's on equal footing and rendering F a vector, or as specific as a weighted sum of the fi's which reduces F to a scalar. By specifying f( ), the designer defines the desired balance of the various objectives fi. The multiobjective formulation represents a translation of the customer's ranked requirements and goals, via the engineering theories and models underlying the design concept, into a mathematical statement of the design problem [9], [l 8].

Numerical optimization capabilities lag in comparative fidelity as characterized by the number of variables describing a design for optimization and for analysis (simulation). Equations are solvable routinely in analysis for tens of thousand, cautiously for hundreds of thousands, and as tour de force for over a million variables. Optimization variables for Nonlinear Mathematical Programming algorithms can not go beyond a few hundred to describe a design, unless there is some special problem structure that can be exploited then the number can be extended to ten thousand. Optimality Criteria (OC) methods do not have any limitation on the number of variables and problems with a million variables have been demonstrated, but they apply only if certain conditions are satisfied, considerably limiting classes of problems for which OC methods may be used. For example they are not applicable in problems whose analysis combines governing equations of very different physical phenomena as is typical for multidisciplinary applications such as the aerodynamics-structures-vehicle performance problem. In contrast, in some applications involving a single physical phenomenon, the OC techniques may be very effective even though they yield only a close approximation to a constrained minimum. The classic example of this is the Fully Stressed Design (FSD) technique that works well for homogeneous material structures but becomes questionable for structures with material mixtures of varying strength to weight ratios.

Post-optimization analysis of optimal design for sensitivity of the optimal solution to parameters P is often useful for quick assessment of the impact of changes to the original problem formulation [20], [21], [40] .

For instance, if the P values needed to specify the F, g, and h functions in Equation 1 or Equation 2 may vary in an uncertainty range, it may be practical to optimize the design for the most probable P first. Subsequently, a range of new optimum designs may be approximated by extrapolation in the neighborhood of the nominal design using the derivatives of the optimal F and X. For example, consider a launch vehicle trajectory that has been designed to maximize reserve fuel a given mission. If the mission parameters (payload weight, target orbit, or launch vehicle specifications) change significantly then the trajectory for the vehicle must be reoptimized to find the trajectory that maximizes the reserve fuel for the new mission parameters. The optimum sensitivity analysis may also be very useful in multi objective optimization (Equation 2) for evaluation of the effect of the weighting factors subjectively introduced for converting a set fi's to a scalar F. Parameter sensitivity analysis is influenced by numerical conditioning of the underlying problem and solution accuracy, therefore careful implementation is required to obtain good results [41].

A. System Level Optimization

Why System-Level, Multidisciplinary Optimization?

That question needs to be posed and answered first because a typical disciplinary specialist often tends to strive toward improvement of the objectives and satisfaction of constraints defined in terms of the variables of his discipline. In doing so he generates side effects that other disciplines have to absorb, usually to the detriment of the overall system performance. A classic example is aerodynamic design of a transport aircraft wing for a high lift-to-drag ratio by increasing the wing aspect ratio that may result in a structural weight penalty needed to alleviate flutter. That weight penalty subtracts from the performance benefit of the high lift-to-drag ratio and may actually result in a lower performance comparing to a reduced aspect ratio wing.

To examine the issue in more detail, consider first an approach to airframe structural sizing that is often used for a long-range, subsonic transport aircraft. It may be summarized as follows:

1. Develop aerodynamic shape optimal for the cruise aerodynamic performance (basically, maximizing the L/D).

2. Minimize structural weight under the stress and aeroelastic constraints, including flutter, taking into account that the structural deflections affect the aerodynamic loads and vice versa.

3. From the cruise aerodynamic optimal shape subtract the structural deflections obtained for the optimized structure under that condition to establish a jig shape. This will assure that the ideal aerodynamic shape will be attained at least at one point during the cruise leg of the mission.

Let us now see what would happen, if we used this approach to a supersonic transport (SST) flying a mission depicted in Figure 17 whose Mach number diagram may look as illustrated in Figure 18. It is a subsonic/supersonic mission and let us suppose that we used the supersonic stage in the above sizing approach. Since there is only one jig shape, if we use it up for the supersonic stage, we will end up having to accept whatever shape the airframe deforms to under the subsonic stage cruise condition. That shape may be aerodynamically suboptimal and cause a drag penalty of deltaD1 relative to the shape aerodynamically optimal for that condition.

If we refer to the subsonic stage in the sizing procedure, we just move the drag penalty to the supersonic stage but do not remove it. To remove or, at least, drastically reduce that drag penalty we have to recognize that there is a three-way mutual dependence of the aerodynamic loads-structural sizing-deflected shape that we, as structures engineers can manipulate to our advantage by changing the structural stiffness, its magnitude and distribution, over the airframe. Without invoking the notion of formal optimization as yet, suppose that by judgment we increase the wing stiffness in the outboard area to reduce the elastic wing twist that contributes to the drag penalty under the subsonic stage cruise condition (the optimal supersonic shape has remained optimal because we compensated by the jig shape). That may cost a structural weight penalty of deltaWI which is, in general, bad for the performance. However, if drag is reduced from deltaDI to deltaD2 < deltaD1, generally a good influence, the performance analysis can be referred to evaluate the deltaWI against (deltaDl<deltaD2) as a trade-off.

The trade-off may come out positive or negative depending on the objective and usually there is a wide choice. A few examples are: the minimum take-off gross weight (TOGW) for given range, payload, and mission profile; the maximum payload for a given range, TOGW, and mission profile.

The above trade-off example is also only one of many. Suppose that the wing is strength-critical in 2.5g pull-up. Then, we may wish to allow the outboard wing more twist flexibility so that it can wash out thus alleviating the wing root bending moment and reducing the structural weight at the price of increased drag of the wing elastically deformed during the subsonic cruise.

Many such trade-offs have to be considered simultaneously, and a complicating factor is that they have to be resolved not only to end up with a positive net impact on the performance objective(s) but they also have to be solved without violating the constraints imposed by each of the participating disciplines, e.g., flutter, allowable stress, vehicle stability, controllability, etc. It is clear that the human judgment needs help from the computer for resolution of such a multitude of trade-offs.

Leaving the above example and returning to the generic discussion, it may be asserted that the user demand that drives the development of multidisciplinary analysis and optimization has been intensifying because:

1. major new aircraft design projects become fewer and farther apart in time, hence the past experience becomes less available as a guide in making the design decisions;

2. advanced aircraft tend to be an enormously complex system of interacting parts and disciplines and its ultimate performance hinges on the myriads of numerical interplay, some of them very subtly and beyond the power of human judgment to evaluate precisely. The ubiquitous challenge of design may be phrased as "How to decide what to change, and to what extent to change it, when everything influences everything else".

The integrated design process that was defined at the end of Section IB is intended to meet the above challenge by creating an environment on the quantitative side of design (Figure 13) in which the designer's decision making will be supported with a comprehensive, and quickly generated, numerical information presented in an easy-to-interpret format. It is not the purpose of this paper to systematically survey the state-of-the-art in the methodology for creation of the above environment or to endorse a particular approach or technique. Rather, its purpose at this point is to illustrate emergence of a new methodology for multidisciplinary design optimization by a few examples of methods whose initial application experience has been encouraging.

It is generally agreed that the challenge posed by the quantitative side of an advanced aircraft design as a complex system needs decomposition that breaks the large, intractable problem into smaller subproblems while maintaining the couplings among the subproblems. In the design office, this approach maps well onto the natural organization of engineers into groups by disciplinary and task specialization. It preserves and nurtures the advantages of the division of labor, including the concurrency of operations - the time-honored principle of industrial management first articulated by Adam Smith in the classic work "The Wealth of Nations" nearly 250 years ago [23].

B. Decomposition and Sensitivity Analysis

The decomposition approach stems from the realization that the analysis and sensitivity analysis that generate data optimization algorithms need may easily account for more than 90% of the total computational optimization cost. Hence the recent emphasis on the efficient sensitivity analysis that exploits modularity in application to complex systems. Numerous decomposition schemes have been proposed in literature and, undoubtedly, more will be developed in the future. For the purposes of this discussion it will suffice to name as two basic examples the methods for a hierarchic decomposition and a non-hierarchic decomposition.

Hierarchic decomposition. The concept of a hierarchic decomposition for engineering design was introduced in [24] using the algorithm from [25] as means for efficient calculation of the optimum sensitivity derivatives. Examples of this type of decomposition applied to structures may be found in [26], and a demonstration of its usefulness in multidisciplinary optimization to aircraft configuration was given in [27]. The hierarchic decomposition method exploits a special way in which the computational and decision making operations may be arranged in the design process of an engineering system. The arrangement is illustrated in Figure 19. Each box represents analysis and optimization of a subset of the entire system problem. The analysis information flow is topdown from the "Parent" black-box to the "Daughter" black-box. For example, a finite element analysis of the entire airframe may be a Parent that transmits the boundary forces to a Daughter wing substructure and the natural vibration frequencies and modes to another Daughter representing aeroelastic behavior. The topdown flow ends when it reaches the bottom level of the black-box pyramid. Then, each black box solution is available and the optimizations begin progressing from the bottom level up.

Inputs received by a Daughter from a Parent are frozen as constant parameters for the duration of optimization performed inside of the Daughter black-box. Moving up to the Parent, one transmits the results of the Daughter optimization augmented with the derivatives of these results with respect to the parameters that the Parent has sent to the Daughter. These derivatives enable the Parent optimization to account by linear extrapolation on the effect of the Parent design variables on each Daughter constraints.

The procedure continues to the top of the pyramid. The top Parent represents the system level objectives and constraints and is controlled by the system level design variables. The effects of these variables on all the black-boxes in the pyramid below are accounted for by the optimum sensitivity derivatives transmitted from below. Since the procedure is based on first derivatives, it takes a few iterations to converge. Each iteration consists of the analysis sweep top-down and the optimization sweep bottom-up. With careful implementation the optimization on successive iterations becomes more efficient if warm/hot start capabilities are used. Since the Daughters do not communicate at the same level (no information transmission among sisters), the individual black box analyses and optimizations at each level may be performed in parallel.

Non-hierarchic decomposition
. The non-hierarchic decomposition method allows for information multidirectional transmission among the black-boxes forming a system as depicted in Figure 20 for an example of a flexible, actively controlled wing. A system like this cannot be arranged into a Parent-Daughter pyramid shown in Figure 19. Its optimization may be executed as a single operation for the entire system and is guided by the system sensitivity measured by the derivatives of the system behavior (response) variables with respect to the system design variables.

The derivatives may be computed without finite differencing on the entire system analysis by a technique that:

1. solves the system at a baseline design point,

2. computes the partial sensitivity derivatives of the output from each black-box with respect to its input from other black-boxes and with respect to the design variables,

3. uses the above partial derivatives as coefficients to form a set of simultaneous, linear, algebraic equations whose solution yields the system sensitivity derivatives.

A review of various types of decomposition, including the hierarchic and non-hierarchic approaches, was provided in [28]. The mathematical concept underlying the non-hierarchic approach was introduced in [29] and [30]. Its applications in aerospace design were compared to that of the hierarchic decomposition in [31], and an example of its industrial use was described in [32]. Common to optimization by both hierarchic and non-hierarchic decomposition is its reliance on the sensitivity analysis as a generic numerical method in engineering analysis [33] as well as a disciplinary method of the type described for structures in [34] and for aerodynamics in [35].

How to decompose a system. When the system at hand is new and there is no past experience in guiding its decomposition, one may benefit from the use of a formal technique that converts a set of randomly sequenced black-boxes into a set ordered into a hierarchic, nonhierarchic, or a mixed, hierarchic/non-hierarchic arrangement. The technique formalism requires that each black-box be defined as a source and a recipient of information. As a source, the blackbox sends information through its vertical sides, horizontally, to the left and to the right. This definition is illustrated in Figure 21.

Initial random sequencing is presented by a diagonal chain of modules shown in Figure 22. The execution sequence is initially assumed to proceed from the upper left corner to the lower right corner and the modules are positioned randomly along the diagonal. Each off-diagonal dot marks a data interface indicating that the output moving along the horizontal line is directed along the intersecting vertical to the recipient module. The dots in the upper right triangle mean feeding the data forward (downstream), by the same token the lower triangle dots mean feedback (upstream). Each instance of a feedback calls for an iteration because module A upstream depends on the output from a successor module B downstream.

By a systematic row and column permutation executed by a computer program, the random picture of Figure 22 may be transformed into an ordered sequencing shown in Figure 23. The transformation goal was to eliminate as many feedback instances as possible. It was not possible to eliminate them all in this particular case. However, their number was reduced and the remaining feedback instances have been clustered. That clustering suggests decomposition shown in Figure 24. It is a hybrid decomposition, hierarchic with respect to the clusters, each represented by a box in the pyramid, and non-hierarchic inside each cluster. Software tools became recently available for generating this type of decomposition from the initial, unorganized set of computational modules as described in [36].

C. Concluding Remarks on Optimization

The above examples of methods now under development and testing should not be regarded as the last word but only the beginning in evolution of a new methodology for quantitative support of the design process. One common thread of the examples discussed in the foregoing is the concern about creating an environment in which the engineer's mind and computer interact drawing on the best resources of each. This concern is expected to alleviate misgiving some practicing engineers may have about the formal design methodology that was offered, on occasion in the past as an "automated design". That was a misrepresentation that might have been an underlying cause of the lag of applications behind the theoretical developments noted in the survey in [16].

The other common thread is the concern about modularity of implementation necessary to ensure flexibility, open-endedness, and ability to accommodate a variety of the information sources, including judgmental estimates, statistics, references, and experiments, in addition to computer programs. Modularity is also seen as a prerequisite for exploiting the computer technology progress in multiprocessor machines and distributed computing. Finally, there is a pervading concern for making the information exchanged among disciplinary specialists quantified and precise to provide a basis for the qualitative discourse these specialists are engaged in.

With these concerns in mind, one may foresee further developments as encompassing new algorithms for decomposition, disciplinary and system sensitivity analysis, effective search and optimization of the design space, and AI-based tools making all this user-friendly.

The central role of the disciplinary and system sensitivity analyses was apparent in the above method examples. Disciplinary sensitivity analysis by quasi-analytical approach is now routine only in structures and immediate emphasis is needed on developing a similar capability in CFD - the other major consumer of computer resources in aircraft design. The system optimization will become well-rounded when all contributing disciplines are liberated as much as possible and practical from the tedium of finite differencing by augmenting their analyses with sensitivity algorithms. Progress in the techniques for search and optimization in the design space is also important for the overall effectiveness and efficiency of the methodology as are procedures for tying together that search with analysis, sensitivity analysis, and approximate analysis, including the approach of statistically-fitted response surface methods. Improvements in the search techniques are needed for effective identification of multiple local minima - a vexing problem that thus far lacks a rigorous mathematical solution for cases with more than a few variables. One should also keep in the field of view the optimality criteria as an alternative to the search of the design space. Finally, the development should be kept open to accommodate innovations such as the self-learning neural nets, and genetic algorithms, to mention but a few examples of the cutting-edge approaches.

As always in methodology development, the ultimate test of usefulness is in applications. Therefore, a systematic cooperation of the theoreticians, implementers, and users who apply the tools and influence the theory and implementation with their observations and wishes must be an intrinsic part of that development. The benefits from introduction of the new methodology will be amplified if that methodology is applied early in the design process where most of the leverage is available.

VI. TRANSITIONING TO THE MDO ENVIRONMENT

The previous sections of this white paper have reviewed different aspects of MDO. This section will provide some thoughts on how to evolve to a concurrent engineering (CE) environment and the role MDO for aerospace systems will play in this transition. The goal is to achieve the compression of the tasks in the Design Phase illustrated in Figure 3 and redistribution of the effort among the engineering disciplines as indicated by the horizontal bars in Figure 12. The expected end result is more design freedom retained longer into the design process and more information about the object of design gained earlier in the process as portrayed by the curves in Figure 12.

To accomplish the above one needs to develop an environment for the integrated design process as defined at the end of Section IB The following specific tasks should constitute that development:

1. Identify information exchange requirements - each discipline describes its input and output information.

2. Establish unified numerical modeling parameterized in terms of the design variables - a consistent vehicle geometry must be the basis for all mathematical models, and changes to the geometry must be centrally coordinated.

3. Establish a data management system for a quick and easy location and transfer of the information needed by the engineers and by the computational tasks, and for generation of good initialization data for the optimization tasks.

4. Develop mathematical models for manufacturing, reliability, supportability, and life cycle cost, to augment the classical discipline models for a complete implementation of the CE idea.

5. Assemble an efficient design-oriented analysis capability. A design-oriented analysis is tailored to support applications in design characterized by: repetitive use with only a subset of the input changed in each repetition, need for sensitivity data, use of the mathematical models of varied degree of refinement to trade accuracy for computational cost.

6. Efficiently generate discipline design sensitivities.

7. Assemble a system sensitivity analysis for vehicle optimization - system design variables will be identified and used to quantify the effects of design changes on the system behavior.

8. Improve optimization algorithms for effective handling of very large number of design variables, disjoint and nonconvex design spaces, multiple minima, and multiobjectives.

9. Improve post-optimum sensitivity analysis for greater computational efficiency, and for effectiveness in the extrapolations across the points where the set of active constraints changes its membership (see [20] for the description of a problem caused by changes in the active constraint set).

10. Develop a method for systematic developments and evaluation of design changes toward meeting the objectives and constraints in form of an iterative, multidisciplinary optimization process.

The above development will result in a new, higher level of the state-of-the-art in engineering design. It is anticipated that industries, government laboratories, and universities will all contribute building blocks. There will be an accumulation of generic and proprietary, product-tailored tools, and of partial implementations of the entire process. Pilot projects will accumulate experience, demonstrate benefits, and build confidence. Gradually, a complete, new, integrated design process will evolve and be used for creating aerospace vehicles.

That process will be a logical expansion to the Design Phase of the CE concept defined in [37]. The most important ten CE characteristics from the above reference (slightly rephrased for the context of this discussion) and their relationship to MDO are listed in Table 1 to emphasize once again the view of MDO as a key new component in CE. In that development, the AIAA TC-MDO has a role described in Section VIII.

TABLE I

TEN CHARACTERISTICS REQUIRED FOR THE

CURRENT ENGINEERING PROCESS

CHARACTERISTICS
WHAT IS REQUIRED
MDO RELATIONSHIP
1Compreh. Sys. Eng. Proc. Using Top-Down Design Approach Authoritative, but Particip. Top Mgt ; System Eng. Mgt. Plan (SEMP) ; Automated Config. Mgt/Control Decomposition
2Strong Interface with Customer Methods for Translation of Voice of Customer Into Prod/Process Characts. Optim. Methods
3Multi-Function Sys. Eng. and Design Teams Management and Peer Acceptance; Equal or Near Equal Analysis - Cap. Decomposition and Sensitivity Analysis
4Continuity of the Teams Training org. accept and Incentive Program
5Practical Eng. Optim. of Product & Process Characts. Methods for Incorp. Qual. & Quant. Optim. Methods Compat. of Num. Optim. Methods with Other Methods
6Design Benchmarking Through Creation of a Dig. Prod. Model Design by Feature Methods Plus Data Exchange Stands Sensitivity Analysis and Optim. Methods
7Simul. of Product Perf. and Manuf. Process Destrib. Simul. Cap. with Varying Levels of Fidelity Sensitivity Analysis and Optim. Methods
8Experiments to Confirm/Change High Risk Predictions Design of Experiments Methods for Variability Reduction of High Risk Characs.
9Early Involvement of Subcontractors/Vendors Accept. by Top Mgt. and Peers Plus Organ. Decomposition Decomposition
10Corporate Focus on Contin. Improve. & Lessons Learned Design Tracking and Library Access through an Autom. Config. Mgt./Control System Decomposition, Sensitivity Analysis and Optim. Methods.

VII. CONCLUSIONS

Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) has been rapidly gaining recognition as a new, engineering discipline that assumes a key role in development of advanced aerospace vehicles whose common characteristic is that they are complex engineering systems. In its role of a catalyst and conciliator of the disciplinary requirements and interactions, MDO becomes as important for success of design as any traditional engineering disciplines. MDO has been reviewed in the historical context of the aerospace design process evolution and in the context of the present day and future challenges posed by advanced aircraft and spacecraft. If this White Paper were written a decade ago, in all likelihood it would have emphasized design optimization for improved performance. The recently evolved understanding that performance is only a subset of the overall product quality that must include the cost of development, manufacturing, and maintenance has replaced that emphasis in this paper with one that includes the entire life cycle of the aircraft or spacecraft, with the cost of that life cycle as one of the key objectives. This meshes very well with idea of Concurrent Engineering whose main goal is to move the manufacturing and supportability considerations upstream into the design process in order to compress the entire development and to assure that these considerations get in the design process an attention equal to that traditionally afforded the vehicle performance. This basic idea of Concurrent Engineering - the compression of the major life cycle phases of Design, Manufacturing, and Maintenance that were sequentially arrayed heretofore - applies also to the phase of design. That phase also may be "compressed" in the sense of staggering the conventional sequence of operations and decisions.

MDO is seen as a means by which to achieve the above compression by bringing more information about the entire life cycle and the vehicle performance and cost aspects earlier into the design process. This will enable engineers to make design decisions on a rational basis that gives equal consideration to all the influences disciplines exert on the system, directly, or indirectly through their complex interactions. Doing this early in the process exploits the leverage of the uncommitted design variables. On the other hand, it is equally important to extend the MDO-based approach to the later phases of the design process in order to take advantage of the new information that becomes available during that process through creative thinking, analysis, experimentation, and exploration of alternatives. In order to do that, the design variables that in the conventional design process are decided and set early, need to be retained as free variables much longer into the process. Using the MDO technology one may achieve this because the overall methodology of system analysis, and optimization based on sensitivity data remains the same throughout the process. The variable element is analysis that deepens as the process moves on.

The MDO methodology is well-suited to blend in the above analysis the traditional, performance-oriented design considerations with those posed by the remainder of the life cycle because it is generic and capable of including anything represented by a mathematical model, whether that model is derived rationally or established heuristically. However, it is necessary to develop such models first and this is one of the several specific developments identified in the White Paper. Another development direction of a high pay-off potential pointed out is toward the probabilistic methods, multiobjective capability, and facilities to accommodate the "soft" (negotiable) constraints as distinct from the hard constraints in optimization - as required by the applications of MDO extended to manufacturing, maintenance, and economics.

The key premise expounded for the MDO approach in the White Paper is that it is not a "push button" design. Instead, MDO is an environment in which the human ingenuity combines with the power of mathematics and computers in making design decisions. The boundary between the formal mathematical methods and the human judgment is, of course, fluid. Nothing should prevent an engineer either from delegating a repetitive tedious routine to a formal method or from substituting judgment for a formal method or from overriding the method results.

Based on that premise, the MDO-enhanced design process has the clear potential for radically improved product quality achieved by systematic exploration of the alternatives created by human ingenuity and bringing each of these alternatives to the optimal state among which a fair choice can be made by engineer's judgment.

VIII. THE ROLE OF THE AIAA MDO TC

The TC-MDO should be a focus for MDO activity, providing a forum through which the efforts of researchers can be disseminated to users and potential users in industry and government establishments. At the same time, feedback from users will establish future requirements and goals.

In order to maintain such a forum, the TC should seek membership among all engineers and computer specialists, involved in design, and design support, of aerospace vehicles of all major categories such as aircraft, launch vehicles, spacecraft, missiles, transatmospheric vehicles, etc.

To achieve the goals called for by its charter, the TC should undertake the following tasks:

(1) DEFINE the technological sphere of interest in multidisciplinary design optimization regarded as a new engineering discipline and one of the key elements in concurrent engineering and total quality management.

(2) GATHER information on MDO

- university research

- industry practices and applications

- government research and requirements

(3) EDUCATE

- upper and middle management in industry and government

- R&D engineers in industry and government

- university graduate and post graduate students

(4) GUIDE research efforts by suggesting areas for study, and future goals.

To accomplish these tasks the following TC-MDO subcommittees have been formed:

(1) White Paper - Act as a focal point for a periodic generation of a white paper expressing the collected views of the TC and describing state-of-the-art in integrated MDO.

(2) Computer Technology and Optimization - Act as a focal point for information concerning optimization algorithms and their application and advances in computer technology.

(3) Education - Act as a focal point on all issues relating to education in MDO.

(4) Liaison - Act as a focal point to coordinate activities and provide a channel of communication with other active AIAA TC's.

(5) Conference Support - Act as a control focus of activity and resources of the TC-MDO in support of AIAA sponsored and co-sponsored conferences, symposiums, and shows.

(6) Publications - Act as a focal point for generation and distribution of all publications of the TC- MDO.

(7) Benchmark - Act as a focal point for devising effective and practical test cases for MDO methods.

(8) Emerging Methods - Act as a focal point for identifying emerging methods applicable to MDO.

(9) Material Optimization - Act as a focal point for coordinating research efforts in the area of optimum design of materials, and their inclusion into the design of complex systems together with the other relevant disciplines.

(10) Awards - Act as a focal point for identifying and recognizing significant contributors to MDO.

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29. Sobieszczanski-Sobieski, J.: "On the Sensitivity of Complex, Internally Coupled Systems," AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS 29th Structures, Structural Dynamics and Materials Conference, Williamsburg, VA.,April 1988; AIAA Paper No CP-88-2378. and AIAA J.. Vol 28, No 1, Jan. 1990, also published as NASA TM 100537, January 1988.

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31. Sobieszczanski-Sobieski , J.: "Sensitivity Analysis and Multidisciplinary Optimization for Aircraft Design: Recent Advances and Results," Int'l Council for Aeronautical Sc., Proceedings of 16th Congress, Jerusalem. Aug.- Sept. 1988; Vol 2, pp. 953-964.

32. Abi, F.F.; Ide. H.; Shankar, V. J.; and Sobieszczanski-Sobieski, J.: "Optimization for Nonlinear Aeroelastic Tailoring Criteria," Int'l Council for Aeronautical Sc., Proceedings of 16th Congress. Jerusalem, Aug.-Sept.. 1988; Vol 2. pp 1083-1091.

33. Proceedings of the Symposium on Sensitivity Analysis in Engineering, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, Sept. 1986; Adelman, H. M.; and Haftka, R.T. - editors. NASA CP-2457, 1987.

34. Adelman. H. A; and Haftka, R. T.: "Sensitivity Analysis of Discrete Structural Systems," AIAA J., Vol 24, No 5, May 1986, pp. 823-832.

35. Yates, E. C.: "Aerodynamic Sensitivities from Subsonic, Sonic, and Supersonic Unsteady, Nonplanar Lifting-Surface Theory," NASA TM 100502, September 1987.

36. Rogers, J. L.: "A Knowledge-Based Tool for Multilevel Decomposition of a Complex Design Problem," NASA TP 2903, 1989.

37. CALS Technical Rep 002: "Application of Concurrent Engineering to Mechanical Systems Design," Final Report of RM Mechanical Design Study, June 16, 1989.

38. Schmit, L. A.: "Structural Synthesis - Its Genesis and Development," AIAA J., Vol. 19, No 10, 1981, pp. 1249-1263.

39. Betts, J. T.; and Huffman, W. P.: "The Application of Sparse Nonlinear Programming to Trajectory Optimization," AIAA Paper 90-3448, Aug. 1990, Proceedings AIAA Guidance Navigation and Control Conference.

40. Fiacco, A.: "An Introduction to Sensitivity and Stability Analysis in Nonlinear Programming," 1983, Academic Press.

41. Hallman, W. P.: "Sensitivity Analysis for Trajectory Optimization Problems," AIAA Paper 90-0471, Jan. 1990.

APPENDIX I

SURVEY OF THE INDUSTRY MDO PRACTICES

In the summer of 1990, the AIAA Technical Committee for Multidisciplinary Design Optimization conducted an industry survey on the use of the MDO technology. The survey was taken to their companies in the U.S.A. and in Europe by the TC members who used their company contacts to answer the survey questions. Thus the answers received were representative of the company rather than individual opinions.

The first part of this appendix defines the survey purpose and background. A Summary of the results is given in the second part.

Survey Definition

Purpose The survey purpose is to determine the ways and means the aerospace industry uses to resolve trade-offs that arise in design process of aerospace vehicles, with emphasis on the trade-offs that involve two or more engineering disciplines.

Background The following examples illustrate the notion of a trade-off. By increasing the aspect ratio of a transport wing, the drag-due-to-lift is reduced thus improving range for a given payload. However, a higher aspect ratio wing, in general, will weight more tending to decrease range. The net effect of change in aspect ratio on range may then be positive or negative, depending on the strength of the drag and weight influences.

The kill probability of an air-to-air missile may be increased by making the missile more agile, or making the fighter that launches the missile more agile, or both. There is a cost associated with adding agility to the missile and another cost of adding agility to the fighter. In what proportions should one allocate a fixed total budget to the missile development and to the fighter development to get a missile/fighter system of the maximal kill probability?

The pointing accuracy of a large antenna dish attached to a spacecraft constructed as a large, actively-controlled structure, may be improved by making the structure more rigid, or by adding more capability to the control system. There are weight penalties, and cost penalties for both alternatives. What is the "best" mix of added structural rigidity and added capability of active-control system to achieve the required pointing accuracy?

As the examples illustrate, the trade-off arise at high-level (system level) as well as more detailed level, in all classes of vehicles. For proper resolution they involve numerical information and judgment.

Regarding numerical information, there is a body of mathematical methods such as: disciplinary and system analyses, sensitivity analysis (to compute derivatives of the dependent variables with respect to independent variables by analytical, quasi-analytical, or finite difference techniques), parametric studies, and formal optimization. On the judgment side, the approaches range from unstructured decision making to highly organized and disciplined procedures for generation, evaluation, and recording of the judgmental decisions.

It is not clear, however, where the center of gravity lies between the extremes of the all mathematical and all judgmental ways of resolving the trade-offs, and what are the most often used techniques in both categories. It is also not clear whether things are as they should be with regard to the above, or whether they should be changed. It is important to know the industry opinion on this issue for effective planning and development of the pertinent methodology and engineering education. This survey should shed some light on the issue.

Format The survey subject is really too complex to boil down to a simple, check-a-box, questionnaire. Therefore, a free format essay is preferred (please, include identification of your company, your position, and give an example of a product to which the issues raised in this survey would, typically, apply). The minimum length for a meaningful answer is probably less than one single-spaced page. To facilitate the evaluation, the maximum length should not exceed 3 pages. However, a questionnaire format is also available, if time for a free-format answer cannot be found.

Summary of the Survey Results: Questions and Answers.

Most of the survey returns came in the Questionnaire Format but several were in an all free-format narrative. The survey Questionnaire Format questions are reproduced in full. Most questions called for a numerical answer. The numerals following each question represent averages of the survey return. The answers were also illustrated by placing the averages on the numerical axis. Since there is no uniform definition of design stages, the answers were classified as pertaining to early and late phases of design and marked by E and L, respectively. The averages include also the information extracted judgmentally from the free narrative results. Questions 4 and 6 in the Questionnaire called for free-format answers and are followed by paraphrased extracts from these answers and from those returns that came in an all-free-format narrative.

1. Assuming a scale from -5 (all mathematical) to +5 (all judgmental), place on the scale the center of gravity of the ways by which the design trade-offs are being resolved, for each design stage. Notes: 1) results are reported for early/late design stages, 2) "system" means a complete vehicle.

-1.1/ -2.2 (early/late)

Mathematical.......|.........Judgmental

-5...-4...-2...-1...0...1...2...3...4...5

...........L....E....|........................

2. In the judgmental decision making, where is the center of gravity between the extremes of very formal organizational procedures (-5) and unstructured process (+5). Use a format as in answer 1.

-1.1/ -2.2

Mathematical.......|.........Judgmental

-5...-4...-2...-1...0...1...2...3...4...5

...........L....E....|........................

3. For the numerically generated information, please, evaluate how much does your organization rely on the following mathematical tools, using a scale from 0 (not used) to +5 (used very often, regarded as essential).

Analysis

Disciplinary analysis 4.2/4.4

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

...........................EL

System sensitivity by parametric study: 3.0/3.5

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

...................E..L.........

System sensitivity by finite differences: 2.8/1.5

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

..........L......E..............

System sensitivity by analytical/semi-analytical method: 3.0/2.3

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

...............L...E............

Optimization

Parametric study/disciplines: 4.0/3.5

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

.......................L.E......

Parametric study/system: 4.2/4.2

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

..........................L/E...

Formal numerical optimization/disciplines: 3.0/2.8

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

..................LE............

Formal numerical optimization/system: 3.0/2.0

0.....1.....2.....3.....4.....5

.............L.....E............

4. If formal, numerical optimization is used, name a few techniques, e.g., nonlinear programming (NLP), linear programming (LP), optimality criteria, and names of a few optimization programs (Early/H for in-house developed, A for acquired from outside).

NLP, LP, Fully Stressed Design, Optimality Criteria (FASTOP), Design of experiments (DOE), Mix of in-house and acquired, Most of NLP at early stages, little in Aerodynamics, OC and FSD at later states in Structures. Formal optimization of the configuration in early stages, after that structural optimization with the configuration frozen.

5. For each design stage indicate whether the present system adequately identifies the best design options and configurations, accounting for complex interactions among the system parts and governing disciplines. Use scale from 0 (very inadequate) +5 (completely adequate).

2.9/3.2

0.....1.....2.....3.....4....5

...................E.L.........

6. Finally, indicate whether you are satisfied with status quo or would like to see a change.

Formal optimization applied to configuration (system) very early, then configuration frozen, optimization limited to structures and control.

The above confirms the paradox: In the design process, "the knowledge increases with time, the freedom to act on that knowledge decreases with time".

Present ways adequate to design good vehicles, not adequate "to prevent problems from occurring late in the design cycle which require costly and sometimes futile efforts to correct".

After the configuration is frozen, problems arising in a particular discipline are expected to be solved by a fix limited to that discipline (e.g., flutter fixed by stiffening of the wing structure or by balance masses).

Organizational structure and culture must change to bring about an effective MDO into the design process.

The best place for MDO is in the middle of the design process when enough hard information is available but before too many variables get frozen and before the problem size mushrooms.

Better infrastructure is essential: faster, bigger computers, visualization, data bases.

Lack of the system sensitivity information hampers the design process.

"Higher order" disciplines (e.g., aeroelasticity) are particularly limited by the above.

High priority should go to a complete automation of the routine engineering tasks, including AI methods.

MDO should be used at ALL stages of design

Mathematical models of different degree of refinement should be used in a coordinated manner throughout the design process.

Doing work faster = the MDO advantage.

Need a better handle on the multiple minima problems and more visibility into the optimization process to gain confidence in the results.

MDO has a potential as a crucial component in the Concurrent Engineering.

The best way to introduce MDO is by incremental changes.

Trajectory optimization is a good example of an application where optimization is used because no other means would do.

APPENDIX II

AIAA Technical Committee

Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO)

Membership Roster

NAMEORGANIZATION
Dr. Jaroslaw Sobieski, ChairmanNASA Langley Research Center, MS 246

Hampton, VA 23681-0001

Mr. Jan AaseEngineering Computing Systems Technology

MD 24043

General Electric

1000 Western Ave.

Lynn, MA 01910

Dr. Frank AbdiRockwell International

P.O. Box 92098

201 N. Douglas St. #GB15

El Segundo, CA 90009

Dr. Ramesh K. AgarwalMcDonnell Douglas Research Laboratories

Dept. 222/B.110

P.O. Box 516; MC 1111041

St. Louis, MO 63017

Dr. Todd J. BeltracchiThe Aerospace Corporation

P.O. Box 92957

Los Angeles, CA 90009-2957

Dr. Laszlo BerkeNASA Lewis Research Center

21000 Brookpark Rd.

Cleveland, OH 44135

Mr. Christopher BorlandBoeing Commercial Airplane Group

P.O. Box 3707; MS 7H-94

Seattle, WA 98124

Dr. Kyung K. ChoiCollege of Engineering

The University of Iowa

Iowa City, IA 52242

Mr. Robert D. ConsoliGeneral Dynamics Fort Worth Div.

Dept. 0635

P.O. Box 748 MZ 2872

Ft. Worth, TX 76101

Dr. Evin CramerBoeing Comp. Services

P.O. Box 24346, M/S 7L-21

Seattle, WA 98124-0346

Mr. Alan J. DoddDouglas Aircraft Co.

McDonnell Douglas Co.

3855 Lakewood B., M/S 18-86

Long Beach, CA 90846

Prof. George S. DulikravichAerospace Engineering Dept.

233 Hammond Bldg.

The Pennsylvania State University

University Park, PA 16802

Mr. George C. GreeneFluid Mechanics Div., MS 163

NASA Langley Research Center

Hampton, VA 23665

Dr. Zafer GurdalEngineering Sc. and Mechanics Dept.

Virginia Polytechnic Institute

Blacksburg, VA 24061

Dr. Prabhat HajelaDept. of Mechanical Engineering

Aeronautical Eng. and Mechanics

5020 Jonsson Eng. Ctr.

Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

Troy, NY 12180

Dr. Wayne HallmanThe Aerospace Corporation

P.O. Box 92457

Los Angeles, CA 90009

Dr. K. Scott HunzikerBoeing Aerospace

P. O. Box 3999, M/S 82-97

Seattle, WA 98124-2499

Dr. Erwin H. JohnsonMacNeal Schwendler Co.

815 Colorado Blvd.

Los Angeles, CA 90041

Dr. Ilan KrooDept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics

Stanford University

Stanford, CA 94305

Mr. Michael LoveGeneral Dynamics Fort Worth Div.

P. O. Box 748, MZ 2824

Ft. Worth, TX 76101

Dr. John K. LytleNASA Lewis Research Center, MS AAC-1

21000 Brookpark Rd.

Cleveland, OH 44135

Mr. Philip MasonGrumman Aircraft Systems Div.

MS B43/35

Bethpage, NY 11714

Dr. Hirokazu MiuraSystem Analysis Br.

NASA Ames Research Center, MS 237-11

Moffett Field, CA 94035

Mr. Douglas NeillNorthrop Aircraft Div.

Dept. 3854/82, 1 Northrop Ave.

Hawthorne, CA 90250

Mr. Larry G. NiedlingMcDonnell Aircraft Co.

P. O. Box 516, M/C 03412 80

St. Louis, MO 63166

Ms. Beth PaulGeneral Dynamics Ft. Worth Div.

P. O. Box 748, MZ 2208

Ft. Worth, TX 76101

Dr. Nick RadovcichLockheed Aeronautical Systems Co.

Dept. 76-12, Bldg. 63GE, Plant A-1

P. O. Box 551

Burbank, CA 91520

Mr. Bruce A. RommelDouglas Aircraft Co.

McDonnell-Douglas Corp.

M/S 18-86

Long Beach, CA 90846

Dr. Vijaya ShankarRockwell Int'l. Science Center\

P. O. Box 1085

Camino del Rios

Thousand Oaks, CA 91360

Dr. Daniel P. SchrageSchool of Aerospace Engineering

Georgia Institute of Technology

Atlanta, TA 30332

Mr. Otto SensburgMBB Ottobrunn

P. O. Box 80 11 60

8000 Munich 80 Germany

Mr. J. TuliniusRockwell International Corp.

North American Aerospace Oper. 011 GC02

P. O. Bhox 92098

201 N. Douglas St.

El Segundo, CA 90009

Dr. Gary VanderplaatsVMA Engineering

5960 Mandarin Ave., Suite F

Goleta, CA 93117

Dr. Vipperla VenkayyaAir Force Wright Research & Dev. Center

FIBR

Wright-Patterson AFB, OH 45433-6553

Dr. B. P. WangUniversity of Texas at Arlington

P. O. Box 19023

Arlington, TX 76019

Mr. John W. HaynMcDonnell-Douglas Missile Co.

P. O. Box 516, M/C 270 0120

St. Louis, MO 63166