Summary Error Report for Estimating Values in
aeo2002.ran
Projected Years = 2001 to 2020
Average Absolute Percent Error = 1.677755
Series ActMean EstMean Av.Ab.%Error
%RMSE
1) OilSp 11.561 11.731 4.135775 .51385
2) PetDm 45.416 45.519 .528106 .31184
3) PetEx 1.931 1.926 2.238729 .31404
4) PetM 8.292 8.315 3.550497 .31609
5) OilM 23.322 23.213 3.385931 .89709
6) DelTotal 87.45 87.424 .6355269 .22233
7) ResDm 12.482 12.479 .4024865 .16339
8) ComDm 9.987 9.988 .156699 .02328
9) IndDm 31.281 31.295 .9189765 .36428
10) TrnDm 33.7 33.662 .871092 .30621
11) ResPrice 13.65 13.662 .4631579 .17651
12) ComPrice 13.172 13.18 .6217475 .2913
13) IndPrice 6.027 6.022 1.514125 .56151
14) TrnPrice 9.925 9.931 1.23838 .53635
15) ElecPrice 6.433 6.443 .453543 .14596
16) NGLSp 3.398 3.385 1.653152 .01602
17) GasSp 24.47 24.384 1.322332 .12392
18) CoalSp 26.118 26.414 1.599544 .19904
19) RenewSp 7.889 7.884 1.515136 .30908
20) OtherSp .871 .788 16.13607 2.40764
21) GasDm 29.314 29.211 .7881365 .02243
22) CoalDm 25.214 25.241 1.131414 .14066
23) RenewDm 7.898 7.894 1.603983 .39262
24) GasM 5.484 5.495 3.838909 1.87649
25) OtherM .999 1.009 4.014183 .14089
26) Nuclear
7.815 7.815 0 0
27) TotalSp 82.122 82.401 .6776249 .04247
28) TotalM 38.097 38.032 2.10134 .75418
29) GasX .538 .538 0 0
30) CoalX 1.39 1.39 0 0
31) TotalX 3.86 3.855 1.135975 .1571
32) Nuclear
7.815 7.815 0 0
33) OtherDm .43 .43 .0004075 .0001
34) TotalDm 116.086 116.11 .536222 .18492
35) RPetPrice 9.905 9.895 2.221054 .59874
36) RGasPrice 6.895 6.896 2.990663 .80487
37) RElecPrice
22.559 22.607 .408777 .01852
38) RPetSub 1.3 1.294 1.531208 .29802
39) RGas 5.722 5.766 1.28726 .26071
40) RRenew .436 .436 .135191 .09148
41) RElec 4.976 4.935 1.422541 .1924
42) CPetPrice 6.45 6.432 2.759058 .81987
43) CGasPrice 5.689 5.687 3.062675 .6697
44) CElecPrice
20.285 20.314 .6682634 .06838
45) CPetSub .687 .695 1.511613 .97885
46) CGas 4.069 4.063 .409604 .27202
47) CRenew .079 .079 0 0
48) CElec 5.082 5.081 .156632 .03702
49) IPetPrice 6.686 6.667 2.764223 .74589
50) IGasPrice 3.542 3.54 .3187005 .08356
51) ICoalPrice
1.303 1.306
.350536 .22588
52) IElecPrice
12.743 12.784 .9804873 .49378
53) IPetSub 10.521 10.556 1.266309 .62944
54) IGas 11.124 11.166 1.193751 .69755
55) IRenew 2.938 2.939 .426522 .04878
56) ICoal 2.5 2.5 .3714085 .02814
57) IElec 4.198 4.215 .76453 .60296
58) TDistPrice
9.906 9.93 2.315963 .26462
59) TJetPrice 5.944 5.932 3.244213 .83659
60) TMogasPric
11.254 11.259 1.183079 .42226
61) TDist 7.278 7.255 3.082932 1.02719
62) TJet 4.571 4.564 .2267745 .04354
63) TMogas 19.376 19.38 .0915885 .02842
64) SO2
9.689 9.515 2.516865 .45225
65) CO2
1840.65 1841.773 .5495415 .17627
66) NOX
4.114 3.971 4.062481 .14688
67) AvgPrice 9.591 9.59 .4846721 .04097
68) GDP
12647.7 12644.43 .255182 .04879
69) ValOutput 6688.19 6728.479 .5891964 .45069
70) LoSulph 696.719 667.846 4.281426 .74738