ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES TXZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/29/08 0825Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0815Z JS . LOCATION...SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS . ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...MAF... ATTN RFCS...WGRFC... . EVENT...SLOW MOVING CONVECTION AROUND WELL DEFINED MID/UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS INCREASED IN PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR ANIMATION FOR PAST FEW HOURS SHOWS MID/UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER SW TX BECOMING VERY WELL ORGANIZED WITH CIRRUS OUTFLOW ALOFT EXHIBITING SOME ANTICYCLONIC CHARACTERISTICS. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AROUND THE CENTER OF THIS CIRCULATION AND ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. GOOD IR ENHANCEMENT HAS OCCURRED RECENTLY WITH SLOW MOVING CONVECTION OVER PORTIONS OF CROCKETT/SUTTON COUNTIES. THE STRONGEST PART OF ACTIVITY HAS GRADUALLY SUNK SOUTHWARD TOWARD AXIS OF ANALYZED SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WHICH EXTENDS NORTHWARD FROM MEXICO INTO TERRELL/VAL VERDE COUNTIES. AT THIS TIME OVERALL MOVEMENT HAS LIMITED TOTALS SOMEWHAT WITH AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES SHOWING OVER 1" THERE. GIVEN RECENT DRYNESS IT WOULD SEEM THAT MOST OF THIS RAINFALL IS MORE BENEFICIAL THAN ANYTHING. HOWEVER LOWER EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AROUND THE CENTER OF THIS MID/UPPER FEATURE DO ALLOW FOR GREATER RAINFALL EFFICIENCY FROM RELATIVELY WARMER CLOUD TOPS SO ANY CELLS WHICH PERSIST IN A LOCATION FOR AN HOUR COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED TOTALS IN THE VICINITY OF 2". . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3214 10276 3197 10006 2987 10041 3047 10375 . NNNN