FXUS61 KGYX 161422
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1022 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT...THEN MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE FROM WEST TO EAST LATE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE AREA
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
ONLY FORECAST ISSUE THIS MORNING IS PATCHES OF STRATUS...ONE OVER
W CENTRAL ME...AND THE OTHER OVER SRN NH. BOTH OF THESE SHOW SIGNS
OF SLOWLY DISSIPATING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AS MIXING STARTS
TO IMPROVE. OTHERWISE...SYNOPTIC E-NE FLOW LKLY TO KEEP THINGS
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
COAST...GIVEN WATER TEMPS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/...
A RETURN SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT WITH SOME MID LEVEL
WAA TONIGHT SO SOME MID/HI CLOUDS MAY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. ALSO
WITH THE POSITION OF THE HIGH OFF THE COAST AND A LIGHT SSELY FLOW
TO DEVELOP SOME SC MAY ALSO DEVELOP FROM OFF THE OCEAN OVER
SOUTHERN AREAS. MAV TEMPS SEEMED OK OVERALL.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
00Z MODEL RUNS SIMILAR. HIGH PRES OVERHEAD KEEPS SFC LOW AT BAY TO
THE SOUTH. HIGH PRES MOVES EAST ERLY WED AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
NAM IS SLOWER WITH THE FRONT THAN EITHER THE GFS/GEM OR 12Z ECMWF.
FRONT MOVE OFF THE COAST ERLY THURS WITH COLDER AIR MOVING IN.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES SUNDAY. USED A BLEND OF MAV AND MET
TEMPS FOR HIGHS TUES AND WED AND LOWS TUE NGT. MODELS INDICATING
ABOUT A QUARTER TO HALF IN OF MOSTLY RAIN WED AFTN INTO THURS
MORN. MAY START AS A MIX OF RAIN/SNOW WED MORN IN THE MTNS BUT
EVEN THERE EXPECT CHANGE TO RAIN FAIRLY QUICKLY. PRECIP SHOULD END
AS SOME SNOW IN THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS THURSDAY MORN BUT EXPECT
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION.
&&
.AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /TODAY AND TONIGHT/...KCON/KPSM CURRENTLY UNDER MVFR ST
CIGS...WHICH WILL PERSIST THRU MIDDAY BEFORE THE ST DECK BREAKS
UP.  OTHERWISE VFR THRU TONIGHT.
IN THE LONG TERM...
VFR TUE AND MOST OF WED BEFORE MVFR CIGS AND VSBY MOVES IN WITH
FRONT. VFR ON THURS AND FRI.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TODAY AND TONIGHT/...A NELY PRES GRADIENT THIS MORNING WILL
ALLOW WINDS TO APPROACH SCA CRITERIA IN GUSTS AND POSSIBLY SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT...FOR NOW THOUGH CURRENT THINKING IS BOTH OF
THESE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW THE CRITERIA THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AS
THE CENTER OF HIGH PRES CRESTS OVER THE AREA.  
LONG TERM...
SCA WINDS PSBL WED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND THURS AFT FRONTAL PASSAGE.
&&
.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...CEMPA
MARINE...