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Weather Forecast Office Tulsa, OK Arkansas Red-Basin River Forecast Center

Hydrograph River at a Glance Download Weekly Chance of
Exceeding Levels
Chance of Exceeding Levels
During Entire Period
Neosho River near Commerce Observed crest: 7.07 ft at 2:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 3.2 ft at 8:00am Mar 6 Observed: 3.2 ft at 9:00am Mar 6 Observed: 3.19 ft at 10:00am Mar 6 Observed: 3.17 ft at 11:00am Mar 6 Observed: 3.18 ft at 12:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.18 ft at 1:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.16 ft at 2:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.17 ft at 3:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.13 ft at 4:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.16 ft at 5:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.14 ft at 6:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.14 ft at 7:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.14 ft at 8:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.13 ft at 9:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.13 ft at 10:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.12 ft at 11:00pm Mar 6 Observed: 3.12 ft at 12:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.11 ft at 1:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.1 ft at 2:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.1 ft at 3:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.09 ft at 4:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.08 ft at 5:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.08 ft at 6:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.06 ft at 7:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.06 ft at 8:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.06 ft at 9:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.02 ft at 10:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.04 ft at 11:00am Mar 7 Observed: 3.04 ft at 12:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 3.01 ft at 1:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 3.01 ft at 2:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 3 ft at 3:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.99 ft at 4:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.98 ft at 5:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.98 ft at 6:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.99 ft at 7:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.98 ft at 8:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.98 ft at 9:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.96 ft at 10:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.97 ft at 11:00pm Mar 7 Observed: 2.95 ft at 12:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.96 ft at 1:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.96 ft at 2:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.96 ft at 3:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.94 ft at 4:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.92 ft at 5:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.95 ft at 6:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.96 ft at 7:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.94 ft at 8:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.93 ft at 9:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.93 ft at 10:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.94 ft at 11:00am Mar 8 Observed: 2.93 ft at 12:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.93 ft at 1:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.94 ft at 2:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.94 ft at 3:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.93 ft at 4:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.93 ft at 5:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.92 ft at 6:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.92 ft at 7:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.91 ft at 8:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.91 ft at 9:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.9 ft at 10:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.9 ft at 11:00pm Mar 8 Observed: 2.9 ft at 12:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.9 ft at 1:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.9 ft at 2:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.89 ft at 3:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.89 ft at 4:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.89 ft at 5:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.89 ft at 6:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.89 ft at 7:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.89 ft at 8:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.89 ft at 9:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 10:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 11:00am Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 12:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 1:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 2:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 3:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 4:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 5:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 6:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 7:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.87 ft at 8:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.87 ft at 9:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.87 ft at 10:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.86 ft at 11:00pm Mar 9 Observed: 2.88 ft at 12:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.86 ft at 1:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.86 ft at 2:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.88 ft at 3:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.89 ft at 4:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.88 ft at 5:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.87 ft at 6:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.88 ft at 7:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.89 ft at 8:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.89 ft at 9:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.88 ft at 10:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.88 ft at 11:00am Mar 10 Observed: 2.91 ft at 12:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.9 ft at 1:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.91 ft at 2:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.91 ft at 3:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.92 ft at 4:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.91 ft at 5:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.92 ft at 6:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.93 ft at 7:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.92 ft at 8:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.91 ft at 9:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.92 ft at 10:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.93 ft at 11:00pm Mar 10 Observed: 2.93 ft at 12:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.94 ft at 1:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.94 ft at 2:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.95 ft at 3:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.96 ft at 4:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.97 ft at 5:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.97 ft at 6:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.98 ft at 7:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.99 ft at 8:00am Mar 11 Observed: 2.99 ft at 9:00am Mar 11 Observed: 3 ft at 10:00am Mar 11 Observed: 3 ft at 11:00am Mar 11 Observed: 3.01 ft at 12:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.01 ft at 1:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.02 ft at 2:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.02 ft at 3:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.03 ft at 4:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.05 ft at 5:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.08 ft at 6:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.11 ft at 7:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.17 ft at 8:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.33 ft at 9:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 3.65 ft at 10:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 4.08 ft at 11:00pm Mar 11 Observed: 4.53 ft at 12:00am Mar 12 Observed: 4.93 ft at 1:00am Mar 12 Observed: 5.29 ft at 2:00am Mar 12 Observed: 5.57 ft at 3:00am Mar 12 Observed: 5.84 ft at 4:00am Mar 12 Observed: 6.06 ft at 5:00am Mar 12 Observed: 6.31 ft at 6:00am Mar 12 Observed: 6.48 ft at 7:00am Mar 12 Observed: 6.65 ft at 8:00am Mar 12 Observed: 6.76 ft at 9:00am Mar 12 Observed: 6.9 ft at 10:00am Mar 12 Observed: 6.96 ft at 11:00am Mar 12 Observed: 7.01 ft at 12:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 7.06 ft at 1:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 7.07 ft at 2:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.98 ft at 3:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 7 ft at 4:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.97 ft at 5:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.97 ft at 6:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.88 ft at 7:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.83 ft at 8:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.76 ft at 9:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.72 ft at 10:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.64 ft at 11:00pm Mar 12 Observed: 6.57 ft at 12:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.49 ft at 1:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.43 ft at 2:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.35 ft at 3:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.26 ft at 4:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.21 ft at 5:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.15 ft at 6:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.08 ft at 7:00am Mar 13 Observed: 6.04 ft at 8:00am Mar 13 Observed: 5.97 ft at 9:00am Mar 13 Observed: 5.92 ft at 10:00am Mar 13 Observed: 5.89 ft at 11:00am Mar 13 Observed: 5.86 ft at 12:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.79 ft at 1:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.77 ft at 2:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.71 ft at 3:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.66 ft at 4:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.65 ft at 5:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.59 ft at 6:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.59 ft at 7:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.53 ft at 8:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.52 ft at 9:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.49 ft at 10:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.48 ft at 11:00pm Mar 13 Observed: 5.42 ft at 12:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.41 ft at 1:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.4 ft at 2:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.39 ft at 3:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.35 ft at 4:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.32 ft at 5:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.32 ft at 6:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.28 ft at 7:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.29 ft at 8:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.26 ft at 9:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.25 ft at 10:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.23 ft at 11:00am Mar 14 Observed: 5.23 ft at 12:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.21 ft at 1:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.18 ft at 2:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.16 ft at 3:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.15 ft at 4:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.15 ft at 5:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.13 ft at 6:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.11 ft at 7:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.11 ft at 8:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.09 ft at 9:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.09 ft at 10:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.09 ft at 11:00pm Mar 14 Observed: 5.07 ft at 12:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.06 ft at 1:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.04 ft at 2:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.05 ft at 3:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.04 ft at 4:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.04 ft at 5:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.01 ft at 6:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.01 ft at 7:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5.01 ft at 8:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5 ft at 9:00am Mar 15 Observed: 5 ft at 10:00am Mar 15 Observed: 4.98 ft at 11:00am Mar 15 Observed: 4.96 ft at 12:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.96 ft at 1:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.95 ft at 2:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.94 ft at 3:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.95 ft at 4:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.94 ft at 5:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.93 ft at 6:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.93 ft at 7:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.91 ft at 8:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.92 ft at 9:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.91 ft at 10:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.91 ft at 11:00pm Mar 15 Observed: 4.9 ft at 12:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.89 ft at 1:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.88 ft at 2:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.88 ft at 3:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.9 ft at 4:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.87 ft at 5:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.87 ft at 6:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.89 ft at 7:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.87 ft at 8:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.88 ft at 9:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.87 ft at 10:00am Mar 16 Observed: 4.86 ft at 11:00am Mar 16 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 1:00pm Mar 16 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 7:00pm Mar 16 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 1:00am Mar 17 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 7:00am Mar 17 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 1:00pm Mar 17 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 7:00pm Mar 17 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 1:00am Mar 18 Forecast: 4.8 ft at 7:00am Mar 18 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 1:00pm Mar 18 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 7:00pm Mar 18 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 1:00am Mar 19 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 7:00am Mar 19 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 1:00pm Mar 19 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 7:00pm Mar 19 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 1:00am Mar 20 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 7:00am Mar 20 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 1:00pm Mar 20 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 7:00pm Mar 20 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 1:00am Mar 21 Forecast: 4.7 ft at 7:00am Mar 21 Graph Created (10:00am Mar 16, 2009) Observed Forecast (issued 8:58am Mar 16)  USGS--Water Resources of the United States COMO2 (plotting HGIRG)   Gage 0  Datum: 748.97 Latest observed value: 4.86 ft at 11:00 AM CDT 16-Mar-2009. Flood Stage is 15.0 ft.   Stage (ft) Flow (kcfs)
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NOTE: Forecasts for the Neosho River near Commerce are issued routinely year-round.

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Upstream Gauge - at Oswego Upstream Gauge

Flood Categories (in feet)
Major Flood Stage:24
Moderate Flood Stage:18
Flood Stage:15
Action Stage:15

Historical Crests
(1) 34.03 ft on 07/16/1951
(2) 29.25 ft on 07/05/2007
(3) 26.23 ft on 10/06/1986
(4) 25.66 ft on 04/13/1994
(5) 25.12 ft on 05/20/1943
Show More Historical Crests

Neosho River near Commerce location map

Flood Impacts & Photos Collapse
32.0 NEAR CATASTROPHIC FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE NEOSHO RIVER. LARGE PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF MIAMI WILL SUFFER DAMAGES FROM HIGH WATER. SUBURBAN HOMES AND BUSINESS SOUTH OF MIAMI WILL BE SEVERELY FLOODED. THER RECORD HIGH STAGE IS 34.03 FEET ON JULY 16 1951.
30.0 DEVASTATING FLOODING WILL OCCUR. LARGE PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF MIAMI WILL SUFFER MAJOR DAMAGES. SUBURBAN HOMES AND BUSINESSES SOUTH OF MIAMI WILL EXPERIENCE SEVERE FLOODING. THE RECORD HIGH CREST FOR THE NEOSHO RIVER IS 34.03 FEET ON JULY 16 1951.
28.0 VERY WIDESPREAD AND DAMAGING FLOODING WILL OCCUR. SUBURBAN HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN MIAMI COULD SEE WATER RISE UP TO SEVERAL FEET ABOVE FLOOR LEVELS. THIS WILL BE THE SECOND HIGHEST CREST EXCEEDING THE STAGE REACHED ON OCTOBER 6 1986 WHEN THE NEOSHO RIVER CRESTED AT 26.23 FEET. THE RECORD HIGH IS 34.03 FEET ON JULY 16 1951.
26.0 WIDESPREAD AND DAMAGING FLOODING WILL OCCUR. SOME RESIDENTIAL EVACUATION MAY BE NECESSARY. SUBURBAN HOMES AND BUSINESSES SOUTH OF MIAMI COULD SEE WATER RISE ABOVE FLOOR LEVELS. THIS WILL COMPARE WITH THE STAGE ON OCTOBER 6 1986 WHEN THE NEOSHO RIVER CRESTED AT 26.23 FEET.
24.0 WIDESPREAD AND SEVERE FLOODING WILL OCCUR. HIGHWAY 125 SOUTH OF MIAMI WILL BE CLOSED. SUBURBAN HOMES AND BUSINESSES SOUTH OF MIAMI MAY BE FLOODED.
23.0 WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR. RIVERVIEW PARK AND THE OTTAWA COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE INUNDATED. STATE HIGHWAY 125 SOUTH OF MIAMI WILL BE CLOSED.
22.0 WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE NEOSHO RIVER. RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE INUNDATED AND ACCESS ROADS TO THE OTTAW COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.
21.0 MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR. SOME ROADS WITHIN RIVERVIEW PARK WILL BE FLOODED INCLUDING STATE HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS.
20.0 MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR. RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING. STATE HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE CLOSED.
19.0 LOW LYING AREAS AROUND MIAMI WILL BE CUT OFF FROM EASY ACCESS. RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE FLOODING. STATE HIGHWAY 125 NEAR THE FAIRGROUNDS WILL BE THREATENED.
18.0 MODERATE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR WITH RIVERVIEW PARK EXPERIENCING MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING. LOW LYING PLACES AROUND MIAMI MAY BE CUT OFF FROM EASY ACCESS.
17.0 MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR. RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING.
16.0 MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR. RIVERVIEW PARK WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING.
15.0 MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR.
Photos
(1) upstream
(2) downstream

About This Location Expand

Other Data Sources:
Corps of Engineers (COE) Info for Commerce
U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Data and Site Info for Commerce

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Hydrologic Resources
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The National Weather Service prepares its forecasts and other services in collaboration with agencies like the US Geological Survey, US Bureau of Reclamation, US Army Corps of Engineers, Natural Resource Conservation Service, National Park Service, ALERT Users Group, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and many state and local emergency managers across the country. For details, please click here.

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Tulsa, OK 74128
(918) 838-7838
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Page last modified: 3-Jul-2008 2:17 PM
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