FXUS66 KPQR 122152
AFDPQR

NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
300 PM PDT THU JUN 12 2003

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT JUST OFF THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. RESIDUAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ON
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MAINLY NEAR THE COAST. A DRYING AND WARMING
TREND WITH MORNING CLOUDS AND AFTERNOON SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED NEXT
WEEK.

.DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...A PACIFIC FRONT WAS JUST OFF THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH RADAR ECHOES JUST MOVING ONSHORE. THE FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. WILL GO CATEGORICAL POPS
ALL BUT THE SOUTHEAST PART WHICH WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS. 2 TO 4 TENTHS
OF AN INCH ON THE COAST EXPECTED...WITH A TENTH MAYBE 2 TENTHS INLAND
VALLEYS. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING SHOULD DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON
FRIDAY. THE PARENT UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH IN THE SOUTHEAST
GULF OF ALASKA WILL SPIN AROUND A LITTLE ENERGY THAT JUST CLIPS OUR
NORTHWEST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY...THEN IT IS LOOKING
DRY EXCEPT IMMEDIATE COAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BELOW NORMAL TEMPS
CONTINUE FRIDAY THEN BACK TO NEAR NORMAL SATURDAY.

THE NEXT WEAK SYSTEM THAT WAS TO BRUSH THE NORTH COAST SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY BARELY CLIPS THE NORTH COAST IF AT ALL. WILL KEEP THE
CURRENT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR ASTORIA. WILL BUMP UP SUNDAY TEMPS A
COUPLE OF DEGREES INLAND.

WILL CONTINUE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PRE FRONTAL SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. THE SWELL TRAIN FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
PUSH WAVE HEIGHTS TO LOWER TEENS LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...THE MODELS STILL LOOK DRY WITH A NIGHT AND MORNING CLOUD
AFTERNOON SUN REGIME. CLOUDS MAY HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING SOUTH OF
PORTLAND MID WEEK. HAVE BUMPED TEMPS UP...COULD EVEN BE A LITTLE
WARMER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. GFS INDICATES POSSIBLE CONVECTION
LIFTING NORTH ON THE CASCADES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AHEAD OF A
MARINE PUSH. PER COORDINATION WITH OTHER OFFICES WILL JUST INCREASE
CLOUDS AND COOL TEMPS DOWN A TOUCH FOR NOW. TOLLESON

AST 864422 PDX 862211  SLE 862211  EUG 661111

.PQR...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CAPE SHOALWATER TO FLORENCE.

$$