44 Bus. Law. 721 (1989) Business Lawyer May, 1989 *721 THE IMPACT OF LAW AND REGULATION ON TECHNOLOGY: THE CASE HISTORY OF CELLULAR RADIO John W. Berresford [FNa] Reproduced by permission. Copyright 1989 American Bar Association. All rights reserved. This information or any portion thereof may not be copied or disseminated in any form or by any means or downloaded or stored in an electronic database or retrieval system without the express written consent of the American Bar Association. Special arrangements can be made for non-profit organizations for use by blind or physically handicapped persons, provided no fees are charged. INTRODUCTION Cellular radio technology is a new way of providing mobile telephone service. It was invented in the late 1960s, then went into legal and regulatory limbo for over a decade, and was first offered to the general public in late 1983. Today, over five years later, two million customers use it regularly in their cars and via portable units. [FN1] As for the future, cellular technology may someday make car and portable telephones as widespread as the wire-bound phones in our homes and offices. Seldom has a business grown so quickly. Seldom, also, has a business been so influenced by law and regulation. For although cellular first came to most people's attention in the mid-1980s, its legal and regulatory history dates back to the late 1960s. Law and regulation shaped, both broadly and in detail, the business that the public first saw in 1984. In fact, from its invention to its first public offering fifteen years, later, virtually every important decision about cellular was made not by businessmen and customers, but by lawyers--judges and regulators (most of whom are lawyers) deciding cases pleaded by counsel under the Communications Act of 1934, the antitrust laws, and state public utility laws. [FN2] Lawyers who reflect on the legal system's usefulness may ask whether, in this case, the system produced good results--'good' meaning better than would have otherwise been the case in terms of cellular's time of arrival, technical capabilities, number of cities served, price levels, service features, and pace of innovation. *722 This article is one lawyer's answer to those questions. This article will describe the legal forces that shaped cellular service, four important decisions that were made about cellular service, and the form that the business took on as a result. Then it will describe other decisions that might well have been made instead--either by the same lawyers, or by businessmen and customers if it had been left up to them. Next, this article will speculate about how the cellular industry would have grown along each of these 'paths not taken.' Finally, it will judge whether those other outcomes would have created better cellular service for the public than exists toady. The result will be a case history of how the legal and regulatory system influenced the deployment of a new technology in this country and an opinion on whether that influence was for the better or the worse. THE LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR CELLULAR Three bodies of law influenced the early years of the cellular business: the Communiciations Act of 1934, the federal antitrust laws, and state public utility laws. The Communications Act comes into play because mobile telephone service requires radio frequencies, and the Communications Act entrusts them to the Federal Communications Commission ('FCC') on the theory that they are a scarce resource. [FN3] The FCC, often deciding among competing applicants for the same frequencies, allocates groups of frequencies to different uses and then assigns frequencies within those groups to individual parties. [FN4] Under these licensing powers, the FCC decides who may use each frequency for what type of communications, where, and when. The FCC may also impose technical regulations on the use of frequencies and on the equipment that transmits and receives communications on them. [FN5] The statutory standard for FCC radio action is whatever would serve 'the public interest, convenience, or necessity.' [FN6] The federal antitrust laws--primarily the Sherman Act and the Clayton Act--generally prohibit anticompetitive behavior in commerce. [FN7] They were particularly important in the early history of cellular because of the central role played by the Bell System at the same time that system was undergoing intense antitrust scrutiny. Finally, state public utility laws are now in effect in all fifty states and the District of Columbia. They create state regulatory commissions which control local 'telephone service'--who may provide it, where, on what terms and conditions, and at what prices and profits. [FN8] Because cellular service was a form *723 of local telephone service offered to the public for pay, it was assumed at the beginning that the state regulatory commissions could, and would, subject cellular to their full powers. HISTORY OF MOBILE TELEPHONE SERVICE MOBILE TELEPHONE SERVICE BEFORE CELLULAR While ordinary telephone service was becoming universal in the United States, mobile telephone service did not enjoy similar growth. Although it was proved technically feasible in the 1920s, the critical mass of capital, technical talent, entrepreneurship, government interest, and customer demand simply was not ther to create a going business. The FCC did not consider making a nationwide frequency allocation for mobile telephone service for the general public until after World War II. In 1947, AT&T (on behalf of its subsidiaries, the Bell telephone companies) proposed that the FCC allocate a large number of frequencies so that mobile telephone service could become a mass phenomenon. [FN9] The FCC decided not to and, in 1949, made only a small allocation for mobile telephone service. The FCC reasoned that other uses of the frequencies--for police and fire departments' two-way radios, for example--would better serve the 'public interest.' [FN10] Of the small allocation it made, the FCC awarded about half the frequencies to the telephone companies. Significantly, it gave the other half to entities other than telephone companies which wanted to provide mobile telephone service. [FN11] These firms, which became known as 'radio common carriers' or 'RCCs,' were the first FCC-created competition for the Bell System. The mobile telephone systems which emerged from the FCC's 1949 decision and a few later ones were technically primitive and small in capacity. [FN12] Typically, one tall radio tower operating at high power covered an entire metropolitan area; a frequency used in a conversation in one area could not be 're-used' in another conversation for seventy-five miles. Because of the small allocation that the FCC had made, only twenty-three conversations could occur simultaneously *724 in the same area, [FN13] and a system could offer acceptable service to only about 250 customers. This capacity was exhausted in major cities by the mid-1950s. The existing technology had no ability to reuse frequencies at shorter distances or otherwise to increase the systems' capacity. Car telephones became viewed as toys for a few 'fatcats.' [FN4] The telephone companies and the RCCs evolved differently in the early mobile telephone business. The telephone companies were primarily interested in providing ordinary, 'basic' telephone service to the masses and, therefore, gave scant attention to mobile services throughout the 1950s and 1960s. The RCCs were generally small enterpreneurs that were involved in several related businesses--telephone answering services, private radio systems for taxicab and delivery companies, maritime and air-to-ground services, and 'beeper' paging services. As a class, the RCCs were more sales-oriented than the telephone companies and won many more customers; a few became rich in the paging business. The RCCs were also highly independent of each other; aside from sales, their specialty was litigation, often tying tlephone companies (and each other) up in regulatory proceedings for years. [FN15] THE EVOLUTION OF CELLUAR TECHNOLOGY In 1968, the FCC, noting the 'serious congestion' on the frequencies that were then available, [FN16] showed interest for the first time in a 'truly efficient high capacity' mobile telephone service. The FCC floated the idea of allocating a large number of frequencies to such a service if it proved technically feasible. [FN17] *725 AT&T, again on behalf of its Bell telephone companies, suggested that a 'cellular' concept would be feasible. In a cellular system, there would be many towers, each low in ehight and operating at low power, each covering a 'cell' a few miles in radius, and all of them collectively covering an entire metropolitan area. Each tower would use only a few of the total frequencies allocated to the system, and as cars moved across the area their calls would be 'handed off' from tower to tower and among the available frequencies. The same frequency could be 're-used' in several simultaneous conversations at far smaller distances than was possible on conventional systems. Cellular towers would be linked to each other and to the 'wireline' telephone network by a central switch. In the future, when cells' capacity was exhausted, they could be 'split' into several smaller cells, each with almost the same capacity as the original, larger cells. The advantages of cells would be low power operation, handoff, reuse, and cell-splitting. The beauty of the cellular concept was that a finite number of frequencies could accommodate a large, and theoretically infinite, number of customers. [FN18] Cellularity created, as the FCC realized, 'the possibility of the service developing into a consumer item.' [FN19] In 1970, the FCC allocated 75 MegaHertz ('MHz,' a quantitative measure of frequencies, like quarts of milk) to 'common carrier mobile service' and expressed interest in AT&T's cellular concept. [FN20] The FCC authorized AT&T's Bell Telephone Laboratories ('Bell Labs') to test the cellular concept in real urban traffic conditions in Newark and Philadelphia. In 1971, Bell Labs reported to the FCC that the concept worked, with cell-splitting being feasible with cells whose radii were as small as 1.4 miles. [FN21] THE FCC'S CELLULAR DECISIONS When it next addressed cellular, in 1974, the FCC approved the cellular concept and allocated 40 MHz for the development of cellular systems. [FN22] It *726 specifically stated that it wanted cellular systems to be compatible with each other so that customers could 'roam' from one city to another and use their car phones. [FN23] Also in 1974, the FCC faced, for the first time head-on, the basic policy issue of who would be in the business. In its 1970 decision, the FCC had said, almost off-handedly, that only telephone companies would be allowed to operate cellular systems. [FN24] It had implied that cellular service was just another form of telephone service, to be provided, naturally, by the telephone companies. This prospect drew three responses. First, the telephone companies applauded, noting that they had invented cellular technology, had already incurred vast expense, and deserved to recoup the investment. [FN25] Besides, the FCC had found that cellular service was urgently needed and only the telephone companies showed interest in and the technical ability for the enormously complicated job of making it a reality in every city in the country. [FN26] The RCCs waved the banner of small business and entrepreneurship. They warned that their little systems would be crushed by the telephone companies' price- gouging and predatory competition if the FCC let the 'wireline monopolies expand into the mobile communications market which has been traditionally served by competitive entities.' [FN27] Finally, the Department of Justice argued against letting the telephone companies into the cellular business, but from a perspective opposite from the RCCs. The department theorized that the telephone companies, wanting to protect their position in the basic local telephone business, would stunt the growth of cellular service and thus prevent it from ever reaching the high capacity and low price where it would compete with their established service. [FN28] In 1974, [FN29] 1975, [FN30] 1981, [FN31] and 1982, [FN32] the FCC made a series of Solomonic compromises under its 'public interest' standard. A constant assumption in all *727 is decisions was that it, the FCC, would decide the issues: whether one or more cellular systems would be allowed in each area; whether telephone companies would be allowed to operate them; who would make cellular telephones and who would sell them; and so on down to technical matters such as whether spacing between voice channels would be 25, 30, 40, or 50 KiloHertz ('KHz'--like MHz, a quantitative measure of frequencies). The FCC's final decision was to allow two cellular systems in each area, each using 20 MHz. [FN33] One would be operated by an arm's length affiliate of the telephone company in the area, and the other by another entity chosen from among competing applicants for the so-called 'nonwireline' franchise. [FN34] If the telephone company's affiliate was ready to begin service before the nonwireline licensee was chosen, the FCC would consider delaying the wireline 'headstart' until the nonwireline was also ready. [FN35] The Bell System could manufacture cellular telephones but could not 'burdle' them with service by requiring that customers of Bell service also use Bell telephones. [FN36] And, channel spacing would be 30 KHz. [FN37] Based on these decisions, the FCC began awarding construction permits to cellular applicants in late 1982 and 1983. [FN38] Zoning boards were hostile to the many radio towers that cellular service required, but enough approvals were won for systems to be constructed in about a year. In later 1983 and 1984, cellular service began in most large cities. [FN39] In each city, a telephone company's separate subsidiary offered service on one system, and a nonwireline offered service on the other. Most nonwirelines in the large cities were consortia of at least one local RCC and newcomers to the local telecommunications business--typically a high-tech electronics company had a venture capitalist that had no long-term interest in telecommunications. [FN40] In most cities, both systems began service within a year of each other. (In no case did the FCC order 'headstart delay.') A highly competitive business in cellular telephones developed, with retail prices falling from $3,000 to as low as $1,000 in two years. Finally, not only did channel spacing not exceed 30 KHz, but technical compatibility ('roaming') was achieved: Drivers between Philadelphia and Baltimore, for *728 example, could use their cellular phone owners could make a cellular phone owners could make a cellular call while boarding a plane in Houston and make another hours later while checking into a Washington hotel. THE BELL SYSTEM BREAKUP On January 1, 1984, in the midst of cellular's arrival in the marketplace, the Bell System broke itself up to settle an antitrust suit between AT & T and the Department of Justice. [FN41] The breakup divided the system roughly into a local part and an 'all other' part that included long distance. [FN42] The local part, which consisted of all the Bell telephone companies, was further broken up into seven regional pieces, which were barred from the long distance business. [FN43] Cellular service fell on the 'local' side of the breakup and Bell's interests in it were accordingly split into seven regional cellular service companies. [FN44] The Bell System breakup had two unforeseen effects on the Bell System's provision of cellular service. First, the loca-vs.-long distance division imposed geographical boundaries on the Bell cellular systems that had been drawn according to the conventional telephone network and sometimes made no sense in the cellular business. [FN45] Therefore, to expand their systems' coverage--for example, to expand the New York City system to cover northern New Jersey--Bell cellular companies had to obtain the approval of the court supervising the Bell breakup. The court granted these these approvals, but only after proceedings requiring from eight months to over three years. [FN46] Second, within weeks of the breakup, the Bell regional companies realized that, now that each of them was independent of the others and limited to one region, one regional company would have neither the market power nor the incentive to stunt cellular growth [FN47] in the other regions' territories. The Bell *729 regional companies, therefore, began acquiring 'nonwireline' cellular properties outside their regions. The Justice Department, the FCC, and the courts agreed that such acquisitions were allowed by the terms of the Bell System breakup and under antitrust principles in general. Five Bell regional companies acquired approximately one-third of the nonwireline side of the cellular business outside of their respective regions. [FN48] THE FCC'S LOTTERY DECISION In its cellular decisions, the FCC had decided to award licenses as it always had in the mobile telephone business--to carriers chosen in comparative hearings or to joint ventures formed as a settlement among competing applicants. [FN49] This decision had two results: Only a few companies applied for each permit (because potential applicants that locked the wherewithal to merit comparison to a Bell or MCI application knew they would lose in hearings and didn't bother to file), and, in the few markets where applicants did not settle, FCC proceedings consumed up to two years and delayed cellular service. [FN50] In mid-1984, the FCC decided that this delay was intolerable. It jettisoned comparative hearings and decided to choose cellular carriers in subsequent markets by lottery (while keeping the settlement option open). [FN51] The results were dramatic: With each applicant (or lottery ticket holder) having an equal chance regardless of merit, the number of nonwireline applicants exploded (from 3 in some large markets to 1,000 in some small ones). [FN52] With so many applicants, settlement was impossible in many markets and lotteries were held. *730 Lottery winners, many of whom were simply speculators with no interest in providing service, sold their licenses to experienced carriers at enormous profits. Service in some smaller markets began in 1987, with rates in many including the carriers' cost of 'buying out' the lottery winners. THE PRESENT MOBILE TELEPHONE BUSINESS Cellular service is now available on two competing systems in approximately 250 cities. Cellular operators compete by expanding their coverage areas, adding features such as telephone answering machines and voice-activated dialers, devising new service plans, and cutting telephone prices. Acquisitions of nonwirelines by Bell companies and expensive buyouts of lottery winners continue to occur. [FN53] The RCCs, except for the few that joined successful consortia in nonwireline systems, no longer play a significant role in the mobile telephone business. The large majority of state legislatures and regulatory commissions have found that cellular service today is so different from ordinary telephone service that they have deregulated it. [FN54] In the marketplace, cellular service has achieved more acceptance than similar items (television, microwave ovens, and video cassette recorders) had achieved five years after their introduction. Customers have recorded no dissatisfaction with price, coverage, service quality, roaming compatibility, options, or pace of innovation. The current business has its critics, however. Some mourn the extinction of the small, entrepreneurial RCCs and say that the business would be better if 'small business' had been protected. Others argue that the original 'just another form of telephone service' structure, with one cellular system using 40 MHz, could have served more customers at lower cost than two systems using *731 20 MHz each. [FN55] Almost all observers, even those who applaud the industry structure that finally emerged, fault the legal and regulatory process for taking so long. [FN56] Was it really necessary for a technology proven feasible in 1971 to wait until 1983 to be offered to the public? Would not deregulation or at least faster regulation have been better? These were all real possibilities, and it is worth considering whether the public would have fared better under them. FOUR OTHER POSSIBLE OUTCOMES THE FCC'S DECISION TO REGULATE By the mid-1970s, the FCC had decided the there would be something called cellular service and that it would occupy 40 MHz of frequencies. [FN57] The FCC had also defined generally what cellular service was. What if the FCC had decided to stop at the frequency-allocation and initial technology-definition stage and had forgone the next eight years of regulating the business's structure? Unregulated radio businesses have existed before and since. The broadcasting industry grew up when frequencies were unregulated, before the Radio Control Act of 1927. [FN56] Recently the FCC has decided not to set technical standards for certain kinds of radio equipment. [FN59] In cellular, suppose the FCC had declared in 1975 that the 40 MHz was simply 'up for grabs' to the first person who provides something recognizable as cellular service on it? How would the business have developed, 'land-rush' style? Most likely, the 40 MHz would have been occupied quickly by the companies that were in the mobile telephone business at that time--the telephone companies and the RCCs. Within two years, the spectrum in the largest cities would have been occupied, on an exclusive basis in each area, by either the local telephone company or a local RCC. If this had happened, cellular service would have begun by the late 1970s. However, it would have included none of the competition--in coverage areas, service plans, prices, and telephones--that has been prominent in the business *732 and has benefited customers. Also, if the RCCs had won the 'land rush' in a large number of cities, the result would have been a national coverage map spotted with technically incompatible systems. Even the largest RCCs in the mid-1970s were local entrepreneurs rather than planners, more interested in sales than in negotiating standards for nationwide technical compatibility. Roaming would have been impossible and differing technical standards for systems and telephones would have discouraged manufacturers from producing in volumes that would allow low prices. The nationwide compatibility that exist today would have taken a decade to emerge from industry negotiation and agreement. Even longer would have been needed for the courts to fashion a common law of 'radio rights' to decide the inevitable disputes over frequencies, territory, and interference. [FN60] The cellular business would have moved, if at all, in painfully slow fits and starts. In sum, if the FCC had decided not to regulate the cellular business's structure, cellular service would have arrived sooner but it would have been of lower quality and higher priced than it is today. It would have remained so for many years. THE FCC'S FIRST INDUSTRY STRUCTURE The FCC originally planned that cellular service would be just another form of telephone service. Each area would have one cellular system, operated as part of the local telephone company's telephone service and regulated as such by state regulatory commission. [FN61] What if the FCC had stayed with this idea (and it had survived review under the Communications Act and the antitrust laws)? [FN62] How would cellular service be today if it had been treated as ordinary telephone service? Strictly speaking, there would be no cellular business today any more than there is a Touch-Tone business or a Message Unit business. Like those services, cellular service would be one item in the array of telephone company offerings. Service would have begun sooner because telephone companies, as public utilities with the power of eminent domain, would have been spared the building delays that plagued cellular carriers in the early years. *733 With the telephone companies as the only providers of cellular service, however, there would have been no competition (and none of the benefits of it described in the first hypothetical above). Also, because of the telephone companies' lack of sales orientation in the late 1970s, [FN63] there would not be nearly as many cellular customers as there are today. Finally, as a local service offered by the telephone companies in the 1970s, cellular service would undoubtedly have been regulated by the state regulatory commissions as a telephone company offering. [FN64] The state commissions would have treated it as a luxury or 'vertical' service and set its price high in order to maximize contribution to basic service. [FN65] Certain that their cellular 'profits' would be used to support their basic service obligations, the telephone companies would have had no economic incentive to sell or expand cellular service. This, too, would have stunted cellular growth. In sum, as in the first hypothetical, cellular service would have arrived sooner but would be of lower quality, less used, and higher priced than it is today. THE BELL SYSTEM BREAKUP What if the FCC had made the cellular decisions it made in the early 1980s, but the Bell System breakup had never happened? How would the cellular business look today if the Bell part of it were still a nationwide entity including local and long distance service and manufacturing? One certain effect would be that no nonwirelines would have been acquired by the Bell companies (or company), and the nonwirelines today would still be an independent half of the business. They would have had less technical expertise, access to capital, and long-term interest in the business, but more marketing and sales expertise. These differences have too many cross-currents for their 'net' to be clearly better or worse than what actually happened with the nonwirelines. Another effect of the continued existence of the Bell System, and one whose impact is clear, would be that the Bell cellular service companies would have been able to expand coverage across the local-vs.-long distance boundaries that the breakup created. The Bell cellular companies and their customers would have been spared the wait of up to three years for court approval to expand their systems' coverage beyond 'local' boundaries. The result would have been cellular service in outlying areas years sooner than has in fact been possible. In sum, the effect of the Bell breakup on the cellular business has been acquisitions whose impact is too complex and contradictory to be clear and a *734 delay in cellular system expansion for a large group of carriers. This delay in expansion has certainly hurt the public. [FN66] No simple judgment of public benefit or harm can be ventured. This hypothetical is an example of the unintended effects of the legal and regulatory process. The FCC, in its cellular decisions, generally knew what effects they would have on the business. The authors of the Bell System breakup did not; for example, AT&T and the Justice Department did not specifically intend the Bell System breakup to facilitate the acquisition of nonwirelines by Bell regional companies outside their regions. These unintended effects, therefore, must be attributed to luck, good or bad, rather than to the prescience or wisdom of the decisionmakers. THE FCC'S LOTTERY DECISION What if the FCC had stayed with the comparative hearing and settlement method of choosing cellular carriers and had not adopted its lottery system? There would have been fewer applicants than the lottery system produced. Settlements would probably have been reached in most markets, but the high value of the licenses and the applicants' inexperience at dealing with each other [FN67] would have made settlement impossible in many other markets. Hearings in the latter markets would have delayed service there for up to a decade, [FN68] and a few speculators would not have won lotteries and thereby become rich at the expense of cellular customers. In sum, cellular service would have begun in many small markets at about the same time it actually began; in others, it would have begun years later but at a lower price. Viewing cellular service as a benefit for the public as a whole and higher prices as a burden only on cellular customers, [FN69] the public benefited from the FCC's decision to choose cellular carriers by lottery. CONCLUSION Observers of the cellular business's history, especially during the decade of intense legal and regulatory activity (roughly from 1973 through 1984), are used to criticizing it as a decade of delay. [FN70] This criticism is factual: There is no doubt that cellular service was proved technically feasible in the early 1970s and was not offered to the public until late 1983. *735 seen from the present perspective, however, the decade was not wasted. A decade is not unusually long for our melting pot society to resolve policy issues with a potentially major impact on the public. The federal government took longer to decide the same kind of business structure questions about television. [FN71] More important, the legal and regulatory process has resulted in a business that operates in 250 cities, is technically compatible nationwide, and is adequately capitalized and driven to expand and innovate by competition and the profit motive. Three (and maybe all four) of the four hypotheticals discussed above, each of which was strongly advocated by industry participants at the time and each of which could well have come true, would have produced a business lacking one or more of these good features. Intentionally or not, and aided by foresight or luck, the legal and regulatory process produced a business that is significantly better for the public than would otherwise be the case. In this instance, at least, an unseen had guided the lawyers as well as the marketplace. FNa Mr. Berresford is a member of the District of Columbia, New York, and Pennsylvania bars and practices law with Baskin, Flaherty, Elliott & Mannino in Philadelphia and Washington, D.C. Editor's note: John D. Pellegrin of the District of Columbia bar served as reviewer for this article. FN1. Booz, Allen and Hamilton, Inc., Cellular Service Demand Study, Executive Summary 2-3 (1988). FN2. In most regulatory cases, judges and regulators are faced with an existing business and the counsel for the existing business would make arguments which have been approved by their business-clients. When the cellular cases were decided, however, the cellular business did not exist. Thus, there were no cellular businessmen in the normal sense. Therefore, the judges, regulators, and attorneys had unusually wide room in which to exercise their judgment. FN3. 47 U.S.C. s 301 (1982); FCC v. Sanders Bros. Radio Station, 309 U.S. 470, 474 (1940). FN4. 47 U.S.C. ss 303, 307-309 (1982). FN5. 47 U.S.C. ss 303(c), 303(s) (1982). FN6. 47 U.S.C. ss 307-309 (1982). FN7. 15 U.S.C. ss 1, 2, 12 (1982). FN8. See, e.g., 66 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. s 102(1)(vi) (Purdon Supp. 1988) (definition of public utility includes 'transmitting messages . . . by telephone or telegraph or domestic public land mobile radio service . . . for the public compensation'). FN9. Gen. Mobile Radio Serv., 13 F.C.C. 1190, 1212 (1949). FN10. Id. at 1193, 1205-07 ('[r]adio services which are necessary for the safety of life and property deserve more consideration than those services which are more in the nature of convenience or luxury'). FN11. Id. at 1218. [W]e have taken particular care to provide a family of frequencies within which the development of common carrier mobile radio systems by enterprises other than existing telephone companies may take place. These dispositions have been effected advisedly, and with the purpose, among others, of fostering the development of competing systems, techniques, and equipment. Id. FN12. See Land Mobile Serv. Use of 806-960 MHz Band, 14 F.C.C.2d 311, 313- 14 (1968) (notice of inquiry) [hereinafter Land Mobile Serv. Notice]; Cellular Communications Sys., 78 F.C.C.2d 984, 1009 (1980) (notice of inquiry) (AT&T's description of contemporary mobile telephone service systems). FN13. Cellular Communications Sys., 78 F.C.C.2d at 1009. FN14. In 1968, FCC Commissioner Robert E. Lee deried mobile telephone service as 'another status symbol--telephone for each family car' and viewed with alarm '[t]he possibility of frivolous use of spectrum that is presented with a car radio for everybody who can afford to pay his phone bill.' Land Mobile Serv. Notice, supra note 1i, at 320. During the decades when the FCC was denying frequencies to mobile telephone service, it made relatively generous allocations to 'private' mobile radio systems. Private systems are usually operated by groups of businessmen and entrepreneurs in a metropolitan area on a not for profit basis. In general, they provided walkie-talkie-type communications between a business headquarters and its vehicles. From the 1950s to the present, private systems have met some of the nation's need for mobile communications, but not the broad public demand for telephone-quality mobile telephone service. See generally id. at 317; National Ass'n of Regulatory Util. Comm'rs v. FCC, 525 F.2d 630, 634, 639- 47 (D.C. Cir. 1975), cert. denied, 425 U.S. 992 (1976). FN15. See Cellular Communications Sys., 78 F.C.C.2d at 1011 (regulatory licensing litigation for some air-to-ground telephone systems requiring ten years); Land Mobile Serv., 51 F.C.C.2d 945, 967 n.37, 971 (1975), aff'd sub nom. National Ass'n of Regulatory Util. Comm'rs v. FCC, 525 F.2d 630 (D.C. Cir. 1975), cert. denied, 424 U.S. 992 (1976) (memorandum opinion and order) [hereinafter Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion] (in mobile service, 'delays of up to a year are not uncommon and in many cases grants take up to [four] or [five] years'); Land Mobile Serv., 46 F.C.C.2d 752, 765 n.5 (1974) (second report and order) [hereinafter Land Mobile Serv. Second Report] ('interminable delays in the authorization of [mobile] service, in some cases extending up to [four] or [five] years and at times longer'). FN16. Land Mobile Serv. Notice, supra note 12, at 312. FN17. Id. at 314, 317. For subsequent decisions in this docket, see Spectrum Space for Land Mobile Serv., 19 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 1663 (1970) (first report and order) [hereinafter Land Mobile Serv. First Report]; Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15; Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15. FN18. See Land Mobile Serv. First Report, supra note 17, at 1673-74, 1686; Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15, at 753-54, 756; Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15, at 954 & n.17, 955. Later descriptions were more refined. See, e.g., Cellular Communications Sys., 78 F.C.C.2d 984, 985 n.2 (1980); Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d 469, 470 n.1 (1981), modified, 89 F.C.C.2d (1981), further modified, 90 F.C.C.2d 571 (1982), petition for review dismissed sub nom. United States v. FCC, No. 82-1526, slip op. (D.C. Cir. Mar. 3, 1983). See also National Ass'n of Regulatory Util. Comm'rs v. FCC, 525 F.2d 630, 634 (D.C. Cir.), cert. denied, 424 U.S. 992 (1976); Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15; United States v. Western Elec. Co., 578 F. Supp. 643, 646-47 (D.D.C. 1983); MCI Cellular Tel. Co. v. FCC, 738 F.2d 1322, 1324 (D.C. Cir. 1984); Gencom, Inc. v. FCC, 832 F.2d 171, 173 (D.C. Cir. 1987). FN19. Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15, at 757. FN20. Land Mobile Serv. First Report, supra note 17, at 1666, 1674. FN21. See Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15, 752-53, 756. FN22. Id. at 756, 783-84. A year later, the FCC found that 'the public interest requires that the development of cellular systems be carried forward as swiftly as possible.' Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15, at 955. FN23. Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15, at 760, 801. FN24. Land Mobile Serv. First Report, supra note 17, at 1675. FN25. The FCC recognized from the start that a cellular system is expensive. Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15, at 760. The cost of constructing and operating a cellular system for one year in Chicago was estimated in the early 1980s to be between $16 million and $19 million. Advanced Mobile Phone Serv., 91 F.C.C.2d 512, 514, 516 (1982). AT&T estimated that the net operating losses of its start-up cellular subsidiary from mid-1982 through 1986 was $967.9 million. ATT Cellular Co. Capitalization, 53 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 1083, 1085 (1983). FN26. Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15, at 760. See also Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d 469, 483-86, 489 (1981). FN27. Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15, at 760 (noting 'potential anti-competitive action on the part of wireline telephone companies through the use of cross-subsidies'). See also Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15, at 951. FN28. Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d at 550. The Department of Justice filed an appeal against the FCC decisions on this ground but later abandoned it. United States v. FCC, No. 82-1526, slip op. (D.C. Cir. Mar. 3, 1983). FN29. Land Mobile Serv. Second Report, supra note 15. FN30. Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15. FN31. Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d at 469. FN32. Cellular Communications Sys., 89 F.C.C.2d 58, modified, 90 F.C.C.2d 571 (1982). FN33. Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d at 474-82, modified, 89 F.C.C.2d at 60-61. FN34. Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d at 482-95, modified, 89 F.C.C.2d at 66-80. FN35. Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d at 491 n.57, modified, 89 F.C.C.2d at 74-75. FN36. Cellular Communications Sys., 83 F.C.C.2d at 497-98, modified, 89 F.C.C.2d at 83-82. FN37. Celllular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d 505-07. FN38. Advanced Mobile Phone Serv., 91 F.C.C.2d 512 (1982) (Chicago); Advanced Mobile Phone Serv., 52 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 1104 (1982) (Pittsburgh); Cellular Communications Sys., 93 F.C.C.2d 683 (1983) (Los Angeles); Advanced Mobile Phone Serv., 53 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 12 (1983) (Phoenix). The Pittsburgh and Phoenix order were affirmed in MCI Cellular Tel. Co. v. FCC, 738 F.2d 1322 (D.C. Cir 1984). FN39. See, e.g., Chicago Ltd. Partnership, 95 F.C.C.2d 538 (1983) (Chicago); Bell Atlantic Mobile Sys., No. 29,029-CL-L-84 (FCC July 12, 1984) (LEXIS, Fedcom library, FCC Rpts. 2d file) (Philadelphia); New York SMSA Ltd. Partnership, 58 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 525 (1985) (New York). FN40. See, e.g., Cellular Communications Sys., 93 F.C.C.2d 26, 27 (1983); LIN Cellular Communications Corp., 53 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 419 (1983). FN41. United States v. American Tel. & Tel. Co., 552 F. Supp. 131, 226-34 (D.D.C. 1982), aff'd, 460 U.S. 1001 (1983). FN42. Id. at 188-89, 227. FN43. United States v. Western Elec. Co., 569 F. Supp. 990, 994 n.11 (D.D.C. 1983). FN44. United States v. Western Elec. Co., 578 F. Supp. 643, 644 n.4 (D.D.C. 1983) (citing Bell System Plan of Reorganization at 385-89). FN45. Id. at 648 ('The [local-vs.-long distance] boundaries were drawn with reference to such factors as the existing arrangement of the landline telephone systems, landline calling patterns, the location of toll switching centers, and the attractiveness of areas to interexchange carriers. . . . In contrast, the technological and competitive issues implicated by mobile radio services are, in some locations, significantly different'). FN46. United States v. Western Elec. Co., 578 F. Supp. at 643. Later approvals, such as expanding the Bell New York City cellular system to cover parts of central New Jersey, required two years' consideration. A request to expand the Bell Philadelphia cellular system to cover northeastern Maryland and to allow handoff between adjacent system has been pending for over three years. The court was concerned that a wholesale lifting of the long distance prohibition for the Bell cellular companies would allow cellular systems to be linked into 'one, expansive mobile radio system' which would override the basic exclusion of the Bell regional companies from long distance service. Id. at 647. See also United States v. Western Elec. Co., 673 F. Supp. 525, 550-52 (D.D.C. 1987), appeal docketed, No. 87-5388 (D.C. Cir. Nov. 5, 1987). FN47. See supra note 28 and accompanying text. FN48. See, e.g., United States v. Western Elec. Co., 1986-1 Trade Cas. P 66,987 (D.D.C. 1986) (court approved of an acquisition of Communications Industries, Inc. by Pacific Bell); Metromedia Co., 1 F.C.C. Rec. 1227 (1986) (aff'd, 3 F.C.C. Rec. 595 (1988) (FCC approved of an acquisition of Metromedia cellular properties by Southwestern Bell); Communications Indus., No. 24,278-CD-TC-1-85 (FCC Nov. 8, 1985) (LEXIS, Fedcom library, FCC Rpts. 2d file) (FCC approved of an acquisition of Communications Industries, Inc. by Pacific Bell). See also United States v. Western Elec. Co., 604 F. Supp. 256, 263-64 (D.D.C. 1984) (court approved of a Bell regional company operating a cellular system in the Gulf of Mexico); United States v. Western Elec. Co., 797 F.2d 1082, 1089-91 (D.C. Cir. 1986) (court approved of regional companies providing radio services in other regions, thereby reversing United States v. Western Elec. Co., 627 F. Supp. 1090 (1986)). FN49. If there is more than one qualified applicant, a comparative hearing is needed to decide between them. Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15, at 954 (citing Ashbacker Radio Corp. v. FCC, 326 U.S. 327 (1945)); Cellular Communications Sys. 86 F.C.C.2d 469, 490-91 (1981) (settlements encouraged as an alternative). FN50. See, e.g., MCI Cellular Tel. Co., 96 F.C.C.2d 1040, 1041 (1983), aff'd on review, 96 F.C.C.2d 1015, aff'd on reconsideration, 98 F.C.C.2d 1274 (1984) (initial decision regarding Pittsburgh); Rogers Radiocall, Inc., 96 F.C.C.2d 1194 (1983), aff'd on review, 96 F.C.C.2d 1172, aff'd on reconsideration, 98 F.C.C.2d 1293 (1984) (initial decision regarding Chicago). FN51. Cellular Lottery Rulemaking, 98 F.C.C.2d 175, 188-90 (1984), aff'd on reconsideration, 101 F.C.C.2d 577, aff'd on further reconsideration, 59 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 407 (1985), aff'd sub nom. Maxcell Telecom Plus, Inc. v. FCC, 815 F.2d 1551 (D.C. Cir. 1987). FN52. Under the comparative hearing system, 141 non-wireline applications were filed for one group of 30 markets. MCI Cellular Tel. Co. v. FCC, 738 F.2d 1322, 1327 (D.C. Cir. 1984). Under the lottery system, 15,000 non-wireline applications were filed for another group of 30 markets. Mobile Phone News, Mar. 10, 1988, at 4. The FCC's lottery rules provided generally that a person could file only one application per market. More than a few persons, however, wanted more than 'one name in the hat' and filed several applications, using relatives, neighbors, and business associates as 'straw men.' In some cases, significant administrative and criminal sanctions were imposed on such schemes. See, e.g., Rural Cellular Serv., 64 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 1382, 1383 n.4 (1988) ( [a]pplications were mass marketed and made available free or at a modest price to people with little or no interest in providing cellular service'); Rural Cellular Serv., 64 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 1391, 1392 (1988) ('there have been abuses by non-wireline applicants'); Theodore M. Jones, 64 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 1582 (1988); Christina Communications, 63 Rad. Reg. 2d (P&F) 277 (1987). FN53. See, e.g., Communications Daily, Mar. 28, 1989, at 2-3. FN54. See, e.g., 66 Pa. Cons. Stat. Ann. s 102(2)(iv) (Purdon Supp. 1988) (definition of public utility does not include '[a]ny person or corporation, not otherwise a public utility, who or which furnishes mobile domestic cellular radio telecommunications service'); Advisory Opinion of General Counsel of District of Columbia Public Service Commission No. 83-6 (Aug. 17, 1983) (interpreting D.C. Public Service Code to allow Public Service Commission to forbear from price regulation of cellular service providers). In its cellular decisions, the FCC had asserted federal primacy over the states in the areas of public need, technical standards, and competitive market structure for cellular service. Cellular Communications Sys., 86 F.C.C.2d 469, 503-05 (1981), modified, 89 F.C.C.2d 58, 94-96 (1982). FN55. The FCC, in deciding to have two systems in each area rather than one (or three, four, etc.), struck a balance between the greater efficiency of one system and the less predictable but potentially greater benefits of competition. Cellular Commmunications Sys., 78 F.C.C.2d 984, 990-93 (1980), modified, 86 F.C.C.2d at 474-82, further modified, 89 F.C.C.2d at 60-64. FN56. See, e.g., MCI Cellular Tel. Co. v. FCC, 738 F.2d 1322, 1328 (D.C. Cir. 1984) ('cellular technology has been available for introduction into the marketplace for over a decade. . . . it is high time to move cellular telephone services from the FFC's regulatory process to the marketplace'); Cellular Mobile Sys. v. FCC, 782 F.2d 182, 183, 197 (D.C. Cir. 1985) (criticizing the 'slow march from the regulatory arena to the market place' and the 'glacial regulatory pace' of cellular radio communications). FN57. See supra notes 18-20 & 22. FN58. Hoover v. Intercity Radio Co., 286 F. 1003 (D.C. Cir. 1923), cert. denied, 266 U.S. 636 (1924). But cf. United States v. Zenith Radio Corp., 12 F.2d 614 (N.D. Ill. 1926). See generally W. Davis, Radio Law 1-3, 30-48 (1929). FN59. AM Stereophonic Broadcasting, 3 F.C.C. Rec. 403 (1988) (FCC decided to forbear from setting a transmission standard for AM stereo). FN60. The failure of the federal courts, state courts, and state and local legislature to develop a workable law of radio rights in the 1920s (when the broadcasting business was born) is well documented. See, e.g., W. DAVIS, supra note 58, at 48-77. FN61. See supra note 24 and accompanying text. FN62. The FCC's decisions in Land Mobile Serv. Memorandum Opinion, supra note 15, barely survived appellate review, even after modifications to allow RCCs to apply for the exclusive cellular franchise in an area. National Ass'n of Regulatory Util. Comm'rs v. FCC, 525 F.2d 630, 635-39 (D.C. Cir.), cert. denied, 425 U.S. 992 (1976). The court said that the FCC made AT&T 'the likely recipient of a virtual monopoly in the operation of cellular systems, [which] will result in significant increases in its market power . . . in two fields aprt from traditional wireline communications.' Id. at 637. The court affirmed the FCC orders because future proceedings could address its antitrust concerns under the statutory 'public convenience, interest and necessity' standard. Id. at 639. FN63. See supra text accompanying note 15. FN64. See supra note 8 and accompanying text. FN65. See, e.g., Pennsylvania Pub. Util. Comm'n v. Bell Tel. Co., 54 Pa. P.U.C. 191, 204 (1980). ('Net contribution from veritical services is used to cover common overhead costs and to subsidize basic exchange rates. By vertical services, we refer generally to those services and equipment that contain premium or optional features and characteristics over and above those of a minimum grade, or basic level, of services. Residual pricing of basic equipment and services makes possible universal service. . . .'); Pennsylvania Pub. Util. Comm'n v. Bell Tel. Co., 55 Pa. P.U.C. 97, 127-28 (1981). FN66. See supra note 46. FN67. Most non-wireline applicants under the FCC's principal comparative hearing system included old RCCs who had a common history and, in some cases, past dealings with each other. Most applicants under the lottery system, however, were complete strangers to the communications business and to each other. FN68. See supra notes 15 & 50 and accompanying text. FN69. Some new telecommunications services benefit not only their subscribers; they also benefit the general public, which, for the first time, can reach the new subscribers. See Pennsylvania Public Util. Comm'n v. Bell Tel. Co., 54 Pa. P.U.C. 191, 204 (1980) ('universal service . . . benefits all users and . . . in turn gives rise to positive externalities'). FN70. See supra note 56 and accompanying text. FN71. Television was first demonstrated in public in 1925 (an event comparable to AT&T Newark and Philadelphia cellular tests in 1970-71). But regular broadcasting did not begin until 1941, 16 years later. Even after subtracting 5 years for the depression, the regulatory gestation period of television was 11 years. Similarly, color television technology was first proposed to the FCC in 1940, but the FCC did not approve standards until 1953, 13 years later. Even deducting 4 years for World War II, color's gestation period was 9 years. See K. Bibly, The General: David Sarnoff and the Rise of the Communications Industry 128-95 passim (1986).