000 FLUS44 KTSA 071014 HWOTSA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 514 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2005 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081000- ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK- CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK- LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK- OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK- PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR- 456 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2005 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. ONSET...2 TO 4 PM. DISCUSSION... MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. CAPE VALUES IN THAT AREA WILL RANGE UP TO 1500. WARM AIR AT MID LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE AREA NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 CAPPED. WEAK UPPER WIND FIELDS WILL ONLY SUPPORT PULSE STORMS. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL COME FROM DAMAGING DOWN BURST WINDS AS THUNDERSTORMS COLLAPSE. THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND TODAY IS HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY DUE TO SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AT MID LEVELS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LOSE ENERGY EARLY THIS EVENING. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL. THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL. FRIDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL. SATURDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... WEAK UPPER WINDS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT. SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND SEASONAL DEW POINTS WILL PUSH THE HEAT INDEX ABOVE 100 WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL INFORMATION. $$