Wilmington's Spotter Guide

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The Role of a Storm Spotter

The National Weather Service (NWS) office in Wilmington uses Doppler radar and satellite pictures as its primary tools to detect severe weather.  However, the most important tool for observing thunderstorms is the trained eye of the storm spotter.  Doppler radar gives indications of air motions inside a storm, but will not show the wind at ground level.  It is impossible for any radar to detect every severe weather event in its coverage area, and radar occasionally suggests severe weather when, in fact, none is present. As a trained spotter, you perform an invaluable service for the NWS.  Your real-time observations of tornadoes, hail, wind, and significant cloud formations provide a truly reliable information base for severe weather detection and verification.  By providing observations, you are assisting the meteorologists at Wilmington in their warning decisions, and enabling the NWS to fulfill its mission of protecting life and property.  You are helping to provide the citizens of your community with potentially life-saving information.

Background and Safety tips

The NWS in Wilmington does not recommend chasing storms. Our goal has been to have enough storm spotters in each county to relay frequent reliable information from the safety of their homes directly to our office. We issue severe weather warnings for 52 counties across the Southwest half of Ohio, Northern Kentucky, and Southeast and East Central Indiana.  We have over 3000 spotters, which is an average of about 60 per county.  Of course, there are more spotters in the metropolitan areas of Cincinnati, Dayton, and Columbus.  If you happen to be caught outside during a thunderstorm, lightning is your number one threat because it occurs so frequently.  Keep in mind that although lightning is very dangerous, it is not part of the definition of a severe thunderstorm.  Remember that every thunderstorm contains lightning, but typically the stronger storms will contain more frequent lightning.  If outside during a thunderstorm, find a low spot away from trees, fences, and poles.  If you are in the woods, take shelter under the shorter trees.  If you feel your skin tingle or your hair stand on end, squat low to the ground on the balls of your feet similar to a baseball catcher.  Place your hands on your knees with your head between them.  Make yourself the smallest target, and minimize contact with the ground.

Weather Information to Report

Please report any of the following events to the Wilmington National Weather Service Office . (Please use the (unlisted) severe weather reporting number)

Significant or severe weather:

  1. Tornadoes
  2. Funnel Clouds
  3. Wall Clouds
  4. Persistent rotation in clouds
  5. Hail 1/2 inch in diameter or larger
  6. More than one tree uprooted or downed
  7. More than 1 large limb downed
  8. One inch or more of rain in 1 hour (measured)

Flash flooding:

  1. Flooding that results in evacuations
  2. High water rescues from roofs/trees
  3. Cars and trailers carried away by flood waters
  4. More than 1 foot of water across roads
  5. Water entering homes(not just basements)

Any urban and/or small stream flooding:

  1. Roads closed due to high water
  2. Roads impassible due to high water
  3. Small streams overflowing their banks

Report the following winter weather:

  1. Freezing rain or freezing drizzle
  2. Thundersnow
  3. Every 2 inches of new snowfall
  4. One inch or more of snow in 1 hour

When making a report, include the following information:

  1. Your name and spotter ID (don't use if reporting via Ham Radio)
  2. Location and time of event
  3. What you saw\damage witnessed

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Thunderstorm Types

The single cell

The single cell thunderstorm has a lifetime of only 20-30 minutes.  They usually do not produce severe weather, and can be thought of as a "garden variety" type storm.  They typically occur on a day with little wind shear.  Some single cell storms with stronger updrafts may produce brief severe weather events.  These storms are capable of producing marginally severe hail and/or brief downbursts. 

The multicell storm

This is the most common type of thunderstorm.  It is simply a collection of single cell storms.  Sometimes these multicells are in clusters,  while other times they are organized in lines (commonly referred to as squall lines). Figure 1 is a horizontal cross section (like a combined radar and satellite picture) of a squall line.  Each cell in the multicell may last only 20 minutes but the multicell storm may persist for many hours.  These storms are more intense than single cell storms but are much weaker than supercells.  Multicell storms can produce very heavy rainfall, downbursts with winds up to about 80 MPH, moderate sized hail up to about golf ball size, and occasionally weak tornadoes.  Figure 2 is a view of a squall line as seen from above.  Squall  lines commonly have gust fronts.  The gust front marks the leading edge of  gusty winds from the thunderstorm downdraft.  Near  and  just behind the gust front is the location for severe straight-line winds. The heaviest rain and largest hail  occur  shortly behind the gust front.  The severe weather most associated with a squall line is damaging straight-line winds (downburst). 

The supercell storm

Supercells are quite rare across Northern Kentucky, the Southwest half of Ohio, and Southeast and East Central Indiana.  However, when they do occur they pose an extremely high threat to life and  property.  What sets the supercell storm apart from the others is its strong rotation.  The intense updraft of the storm rotates and is called a mesocyclone.  This is the most likely location for tornado formation.  The supercell storm can produce all types of severe weather with giant hail more than 2 inches in diameter, powerful downbursts of 100 MPH or more, and strong to violent tornadoes.  Figure 3 is a representation of a tornadic thunderstorm as a spotter might see it when  located east of the storm, looking west.


Figure 1.


Figure 2.


Figure 3.

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Important Clouds

The wall cloud

The wall cloud is defined as an  isolated cloud  lowering attached to the rain-free base.  The wall cloud is generally to the rear (mainly south or southwest) of the visible precipitation area.  Wall clouds are usually about 2 miles in diameter (can range from a  fraction of a mile up to 5 miles), and mark the strongest updraft in the storm.  When seen from within several miles, many wall clouds exhibit rapid upward motion and counterclockwise rotation.  However, not all wall clouds rotate.  Rotating wall clouds usually precede  strong or violent tornadoes, by anywhere from a few minutes up to nearly an hour.  Wall clouds should be watched for signs of persistent, sustained rotation and/or rapid vertical motion. 

Shelf clouds and roll clouds

Shelf clouds and roll clouds are examples of "accessory clouds" that you may see beneath the cloud base of a storm.  Shelf clouds are long wedge-shaped clouds attached to the parent cloud above (i.e. thunderstorm).  The shelf cloud  is associated with the gust front.  Rising cloud motion often can be seen in the outer part of the shelf cloud, while the underside often appears turbulent, boiling, and wind torn.  A roll cloud is a low horizontal tube-shaped cloud associated with a gust front.  Roll clouds are relatively rare.  They are completely detached from the thunderstorm base or other cloud features.  Roll clouds usually appear to be "rolling" about a horizontal axis, but should not be confused with funnel clouds.  The possibility of a tornado forming beneath a shelf or roll cloud is quite small.  The main threat is damaging straight-line winds.

Wall cloud vs. shelf cloud

A  big challenge as a spotter will be to discern  between a shelf cloud and a bonafide wall cloud.  A shelf cloud signifies an area of downdraft and outflow while a wall cloud indicates an area of updraft and inflow.  A shelf cloud will tend to move away from the precipitation area while a wall cloud maintains its position to the precipitation area.  Shelf clouds tend to slope downward away from precipitation while wall clouds tend to slope upward away from the precipitation area.  Many spotters in this part of the country may not see a legitimate wall cloud for a few years or longer, and only a few of these wall clouds will actually produce tornadoes.  Your main clue as to the tornado potential of the wall cloud will be its rotation, especially if it is persistent.  Another clue of tornadic potential will be if the

Tornado/Funnel Cloud Look-alikes

Experienced spotters are probably aware that a number of features (both natural and man-made) can bear a resemblance to a tornado or a funnel cloud.  Some of these features include virga, rain shafts, scud clouds, mammatus clouds, and smoke.  By far, the most commonly mistaken funnel clouds are scud clouds.  Shelf clouds and roll clouds can also be mistaken for funnel clouds and/or tornadoes.

Scud clouds 

Scud clouds are small, ragged, low cloud fragments that are unattached to a larger cloud base.  These clouds are often seen behind thunderstorm gust fronts.  These clouds are generally associated with cool moist air, such as thunderstorm outflow.

Virga

Virga is streaks or wisps of precipitation falling from a cloud but evaporating before reaching the ground.  In certain cases, shafts of virga may precede a downburst.

Rain Shaft

A rain shaft is streaks of precipitation falling from a cloud and reaching the ground.

Mammatus clouds

Mammatus clouds are rounded, smooth, sack-like protrusions hanging from the underside of a cloud (usually a thunderstorm anvil).  Mammatus clouds often accompany severe thunderstorms, but do not produce severe weather.  They may accompany non-severe storms as well.

Smoke

A smokestack or fire can produce a plume of smoke that sometimes resembles a tornado, especially from a distance.  Unlike a tornado, the bottom of the smoke will not be rotating. 

***To distinguish a tornado look-alike from a legitimate tornado, a spotter must look for organized and sustained rotation about a nearly vertical axis***

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Definitions & Estimates

A thunderstorm is defined as severe if it produces a tornado, hail 3/4 inch in diameter or larger, and/or wind gusts 58 MPH or higher.  It is desirable to report events associated with a thunderstorm before it reaches these severe levels.

Hail Size Estimates
(Size in Inches)

Pea          0.25    Golf Ball    1.75
Dime         0.75    Tennis ball  2.50
Quarter      1.00    Baseball     2.75
Half-dollar  1.25    Grapefruit   4.00

Wind Speed Estimates


Speed(MPH)      Effects

39-54...........Small limbs break off trees

55-72...........Downs shallow-rooted trees

73-112......... Minor structural damage

                Trailers overturned

113+............Major structural damage

                Trailers destroyed

Fujita Scale for Tornado Intensity

F0 (40-72 MPH).............Some damage to chimneys and signs, branches break off, shallow rooted trees pushed over.
F1 (73-112  MPH)..........Surfaces peeled off roofs, mobile homes overturned, automobiles pushed off road.
F2 (113-157 MPH)........Roofs torn from frame houses, mobile homes demolished, large trees uprooted.
F3 (158-206 MPH)........Roofs and some walls torn off well built houses, trains overturned, most trees uprooted, heavy cars lifted off the ground and thrown.
F4 (207-260 MPH)........Well built houses leveled, structures with weak foundation blown some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
F5
(261-318 MPH).......Strong frame houses lifted off foundations and disintegrated, and debris carried considerable distances, automobile-sized debris flies through the air in excess of 300 feet.

Regional severe weather statistics

Over the past 4 years, severe straight-line winds and large hail have proved to be much more common than tornadoes. The area has seen 1185 severe wind and hail events and only 41 tornadoes. So tornadoes account for only about 3 percent of our severe weather. Over the same time frame, the area saw 457 flash flood events. This shows we experience flooding about 10 times as often as tornadoes. On many occasions, straight-line wind damage is mistaken for a tornado.  Whenever possible, after widespread damage or suspected tornadic damage the staff at our office will perform a damage survey in the area hardest hit.  We will do an aerial survey of the damage when an aircraft is available, but  in most cases a  ground survey is done.

Watch versus Warning

Watch:
A NWS product which specifies locations in which  conditions are favorable for severe weather to develop.  A watch is a recommendation for planning, preparation, and increased awareness.  Watches typically cover periods of 6 to 12 hours for many counties.  Watches are issued for tornadoes, severe thunderstorms, floods, or flash floods.

Warning:
A NWS product indicating that a particular weather hazard is either imminent or has been reported.  A warning indicates the need to take action to protect life and property.  The type of hazard may be a tornado, severe thunderstorm, flood, or flash flood.  Warnings typically cover periods of an hour or less for only one county. 

*NOTE: Whenever a watch or warning is issued, the information will be toned and broadcasted over the NOAA Weather Radio.

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