ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/16/08 1827Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1815Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...EXT SW MISSOURI...OKLAHOMA...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...INSTABILITY AND HIGHER MOISTURE TRANSPORT KS CONVECTION DROPPING
S/SE ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN C OK...SLIGHT CONCERN FOR OVERRUNING
PRECIP FOR SE OK INTO NE OK/NW AR THAT MAY GRAZE EXT
SW MO....MUCH MORE STABLE THERE...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NUMBER ONE CONCERN FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
FLASH FLOOD NEXT 3-4HRS IS WITH CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CENTERED NEAR KS OK
BORDER AND FOLLOWING S/SE ALONG OUTFLOW LEFT BY MORNING CONVECTION THAT
DISSIPATED OVER NE OK.  OUTFLOW ALONG HIGHEST PW MOISTURE THAT MAY BE AS
HIGH AS 1.8" ALONG AND JUST EAST OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PITTSBURG/HASKELL
TO GRANT COUNTY.  INSTABILITY GREATEST HERE FOR STRONG CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE AS STORMS MOVE SE...MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALSO
ADEQUATE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT JUST WEST OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.
ON THE OTHER HAND...STABILITY GREATEST THE FURTHER EAST AND NE FROM
BOUNDARY...OVERRUNNING POSSIBILITIES ALSO GREATEST ALONG AND ESPECIALLY
JUST EAST OF BOUNDARY AND CLOSE TO BOUNDARY THE GREATER THE CHANCES OF
HVY RAIN...NOT SURE WHETHER ENOUGH FOR FF HERE...
MUCH GREATER CHANCE ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BOUNDARY AS MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY MUCH HIGHER AND AS A RESULT MAY BE ABLE TO EXPECT RAIN
RATES TREACHING 1.5" IN 30-60 MINUTES AND 2.5" IN 60-120 MINUTES WITH ANY
TRAINING CELLS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS SECOND CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
TRIES TO FOLLOW SE ALONG OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING CONVECTION.
SEE SATELLITE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS SHORTLY ON HOME PAGE AT THE ADDRESS
BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3795 9789 3712 9448 3505 9503 3528 9759 3722 9860
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