CB-99-134FOR WIRE TRANSMISION 8:30 A.M. ET., Wednesday, July 14, 1999
************************************************************************************************************************* INTENTION TO REVISE ESTIMATES. Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 1997 Annual Retail Trade Survey, which reflects the preliminary 1997 Census of Retail Trade data. Unadjusted estimates will be revised for the months of January 1993 through June 1999, while the corresponding adjusted data will be revised for January 1990 through June 1999. Revised data are scheduled for release the week of July 26. *************************************************************************************************************************
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail sales for June adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $243.3 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent (±0.7%) from the previous month and up 8.0 percent (±0.9%) from June 1998. Total sales for the second quarter were up 8.0 percent (±0.7%) from the same quarter a year ago. The April to May 1999 percent change was revised from +1.0 percent (±0.7%) to +1.2 percent (±0.4%).
Durable goods decreased 0.4 percent (±1.4%) from May but were up 8.5 percent above last year. Building materials were up 13.4 percent from June a year ago.
Nondurable goods increased 0.4 percent (±0.6%) from last month and were up 7.5 percent from June 1998. Drug store sales were up 13.0 percent from June a year ago.
The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys.
Percent Change in Retail Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A: ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--JUNE 1999
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Millions of Dollars)
1999
SIC Kind of business
code June May Apr.
adv. prel. final
Retail trade, total........... 243,316 243,165 240,170
Total (excl. auto dealers). 182,626 181,881 180,977
Durable goods, total........ 103,346 103,794 101,442
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,453 15,390 15,394
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 11,714 11,804
525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,391 1,389
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 60,690 61,284 59,193
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 57,332 57,901 55,780
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (NA) (NA)
553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,383 3,413
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 14,220 14,189 14,090
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,620 6,643
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ (*) 6,589 6,468
5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (NA) (NA)
Nondurable goods, total..... 139,970 139,371 138,728
53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,732 31,564 31,459
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,823 24,685 24,622
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 25,038 24,950
533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,179 1,161
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 5,700 5,676
54 Food stores....................... 38,786 38,732 38,271
541 Grocery stores.................. 36,203 36,234 35,818
554 Gasoline service stations......... 13,258 13,308 13,448
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,225 11,203 11,125
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... (*) 1,022 1,054
562,3 Women's clothing, specialty
stores........................ (*) 2,873 2,890
565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (NA) (NA)
566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,768 1,764
58 Eating and drinking places........ 21,946 21,906 21,845
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,874 9,726 9,694
592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,267 2,263
5961 Total mail order................... (*) 5,184 5,164
53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 65,695 65,336
594
1998
SIC Kind of business
code June(r) May (r)
Retail trade, total........... 225,381 224,576
Total (excl. auto dealers). 169,061 168,853
Durable goods, total........ 95,217 94,604
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 13,629 13,791
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 10,421 10,400
525 Hardware stores................. 1,265 1,264
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 56,320 55,723
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 53,065 52,473
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (NA) (NA)
553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,255 3,250
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 13,170 13,039
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,289 6,276
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ 5,904 5,793
5722 Household appliance stores.... (NA) (NA)
Nondurable goods, total..... 130,164 129,972
53 General merchandise group stores.. 29,379 29,354
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 23,158 23,216
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 23,515 23,622
533 Variety stores.................. 979 966
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,242 5,172
54 Food stores....................... 36,889 36,758
541 Grocery stores.................. 34,515 34,397
554 Gasoline service stations......... 12,533 12,532
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,314 10,355
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... 979 954
562,3 Women's clothing, specialty
stores........................ 2,581 2,649
565 Family clothing stores.......... (NA) (NA)
566 Shoe stores..................... 1,724 1,740
58 Eating and drinking places........ 20,534 20,433
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 8,736 8,730
592 Liquor stores..................... 2,014 2,054
5961 Total mail order................... 4,495 4,640
53,56,57, GAF................................ 61,270 61,168
594
* Advance estimates are not available from the
subsample panel for these kinds of business.
NA Not available. r Revised.
TABLE 1B: ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--JUNE 1999
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Millions of Dollars)
1999
SIC Kind of business
code June May Apr.
adv. prel. final
Retail trade, total........... 249,521 250,193 238,326
Total (excl. auto dealers). 181,969 184,478 175,708
Durable goods, total........ 112,024 109,270 103,675
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 18,142 18,034 16,882
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 13,167 12,689
525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,576 1,474
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 67,552 65,715 62,618
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 63,925 62,244 59,127
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) 52,144 49,587
553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,471 3,491
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 13,594 13,327 12,827
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,461 6,284
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ (*) 5,989 5,685
5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) 889 866
Nondurable goods, total..... 137,497 140,923 134,651
53 General merchandise group stores.. 30,381 31,380 29,201
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 23,458 24,512 22,874
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 24,906 23,239
533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,151 1,082
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 5,717 5,245
54 Food stores....................... 38,641 39,727 37,594
541 Grocery stores.................. 36,058 37,212 35,173
554 Gasoline service stations......... 13,894 13,894 13,408
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 10,473 10,909 10,582
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... (*) 986 990
562,3 Women's clothing, specialty
stores........................ (*) 2,979 2,850
565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) 4,162 3,967
566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,842 1,764
58 Eating and drinking places........ 22,495 23,001 21,998
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 9,647 9,784 9,607
592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,283 2,157
5961 Total mail order................... (*) 4,702 4,854
53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 63,542 59,938
594
1998
SIC Kind of business
code June May
Retail trade, total........... 230,837 232,369
Total (excl. auto dealers). 168,105 172,197
Durable goods, total........ 103,255 100,113
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. 16,103 16,158
521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 12,068 11,700
525 Hardware stores................. 1,445 1,445
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 62,732 60,172
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 59,220 56,828
551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... 50,402 48,222
553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,512 3,344
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. 12,564 12,298
571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,201 6,157
5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV,
and computer stores............ 5,497 5,260
5722 Household appliance stores.... 967 895
Nondurable goods, total..... 127,582 132,256
53 General merchandise group stores.. 27,793 29,373
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 21,653 23,193
531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 22,040 23,617
533 Variety stores.................. 903 956
539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,237 5,224
54 Food stores....................... 36,599 37,981
541 Grocery stores.................. 34,239 35,566
554 Gasoline service stations......... 13,210 13,171
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 9,611 10,152
561 Men's and boys' clothing
and furnishings stores......... 911 927
562,3 Women's clothing, specialty
stores........................ 2,493 2,752
565 Family clothing stores.......... 3,680 3,791
566 Shoe stores..................... 1,715 1,822
58 Eating and drinking places........ 21,088 21,700
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 8,570 8,765
592 Liquor stores..................... 2,020 2,097
5961 Total mail order................... 4,014 4,185
53,56,57, GAF................................ 57,644 59,544
594
* Advance estimates are not available from the
subsample panel for these kinds of business.
NA Not available. r Revised.
TABLE 2: PERCENT CHANGE IN ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--JUNE 1999
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Percent Change)
June May
1999 1999
adv. prel.
from-- from--
SIC Kind of business May June Apr. May
CODE 1999 1998 1999 1998
Prel. Final Final Final
Retail trade, total........... +0.1 +8.0 +1.2 +8.3
Total (excl. auto dealers). +0.4 +8.0 +0.5 +7.7
Durable goods, total........ -0.4 +8.5 +2.3 +9.7
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. +0.4 +13.4 0.0 +11.6
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -1.0 +7.8 +3.5 +10.0
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -1.0 +8.0 +3.8 +10.3
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. +0.2 +8.0 +0.7 +8.8
Nondurable goods, total..... +0.4 +7.5 +0.5 +7.2
53 General merchandise group stores.. +0.5 +8.0 +0.3 +7.5
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +0.6 +7.2 +0.3 +6.3
531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +0.4 +6.0
54 Food stores....................... +0.1 +5.1 +1.2 +5.4
541 Grocery stores.................. -0.1 +4.9 +1.2 +5.3
554 Gasoline service stations......... -0.4 +5.8 -1.0 +6.2
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +0.2 +8.8 +0.7 +8.2
58 Eating and drinking places........ +0.2 +6.9 +0.3 +7.2
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... +1.5 +13.0 +0.3 +11.4
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences
(Percent Change)
June May
1999 1999
adv. prel.
from-- from--
SIC Kind of business May June Apr. May
CODE 1999 1998 1999 1998
Prel. Final Final Final
Retail trade, total........... -0.3 +8.1 +5.0 +7.7
Total (excl. auto dealers). -1.4 +8.2 +5.0 +7.1
Durable goods, total........ +2.5 +8.5 +5.4 +9.1
52 Building mat., hardware, garden
supply, and mobile home dealers.. +0.6 +12.7 +6.8 +11.6
55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ +2.8 +7.7 +4.9 +9.2
551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous
6,7,9 automotive dealers............. +2.7 +7.9 +5.3 +9.5
57 Furniture, home furnishings, and
equipment stores................. +2.0 +8.2 +3.9 +8.4
Nondurable goods, total..... -2.4 +7.8 +4.7 +6.6
53 General merchandise group stores.. -3.2 +9.3 +7.5 +6.8
531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). -4.3 +8.3 +7.2 +5.7
531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +7.2 +5.5
54 Food stores....................... -2.7 +5.6 +5.7 +4.6
541 Grocery stores.................. -3.1 +5.3 +5.8 +4.6
554 Gasoline service stations......... 0.0 +5.2 +3.6 +5.5
56 Apparel and accessory stores...... -4.0 +9.0 +3.1 +7.5
58 Eating and drinking places........ -2.2 +6.7 +4.6 +6.0
591 Drug and proprietary stores....... -1.4 +12.6 +1.8 +11.6
NA Not available.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Retail Sales--JUNE 1999 (Press Release available
without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census,
Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling
variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions
concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Ronald Piencykoski
(301) 457-2713/2666.
Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. They are based on two components. The first component is a measure of the average difference between the Advance and the Preliminary estimates. The second reflects the variability of the Preliminary estimate. Additionally, both the Advance and the full survey are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors, among others. Precautionary steps are taken to minimize these errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured.
Preliminary estimates for the current month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample are published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions and the techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B, Reliability of Data).
(2) ---- These columns measure the difference between the Advance/Preliminary ratio and the Preliminary/Final ratio estimates -- i.e., the difference between estimates of trend for the same pair of data months. The revisions for Retail trade total are based on the latest 12 months of data while all other kinds of business are based on the preceding 12 months.
