FXUS62 KEYW 140137
AFDEYW

FLORIDA KEYS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
945 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2004

.DISCUSSION...
AT THE SURFACE...THE WEAK RIDGE AXIS APPEARS TO LIE NEAR THE EXTREME 
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AT THIS HOUR. AFTERNOON SEA 
BREEZE CIRCULATIONS ARE STILL DISRUPTING WIND FLOW AROUND THE 
KEYS... BUT MID AND UPPER KEYS SITES ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW THE 
EXPECTED SE TO S WIND DIRECTION. SPEEDS ARE QUITE LOW ALL AREAS NEAR 
THE KEYS...5 KT OR LESS...BUT COULD BE A FEW KNOTS MORE OUT IN THE 
STRAITS. A FEW SMALL SHOWERS HAVE JUST FORMED IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA 
STRAITS AREA...BUT OTHERWISE WE ARE NOW PRECIP-FREE IN THE AREA. 
LATE DAY CU/TCU DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE LOWER KEYS ONLY PRODUCED A FEW 
SMALL SHORT-LIVED SHOWERS. 

.FORECASTS...
OVERNIGHT...NO UPDATE TO PUBLIC ZONES IS NEEDED. A SLIGHT THREAT OF 
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT IN THE LATE NIGHT HOURS.
OTHERWISE...A CALM, QUIET, AND STEAMY MID-SUMMER NIGHT IS UNDERWAY 
AS FORECASTED.
&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME A MORE DEFINITE...BUT LIGHT...WIND FLOW 
FROM THE SE TO S OVER ATLANTIC WATERS. BAY AND GULF SIDE MAY BE 
CLOSER TO 5 KT (OR NEAR CALM AT TIMES) OVERNIGHT.
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KEYW AND KMTH THROUGH TOMORROW. 
ISOLATED MVFR SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...BUT THESE 
CONDITIONS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND NOT INCLUDED IN THE KEYW AND KMTH 
TAFS. RESIDUAL SMOKE FROM FIRES IN SOUTH FLORIDA WILL LIKELY PRODUCE 
REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO 2 MILES OR LESS IN WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY 
TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. VISIBILITY WILL IMPROVE WITH 
SUNRISE.
&&


.EYW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE/DIGITAL...CB
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.......SD