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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/24/07 0705Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0645Z	DS
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...GOOD HVY RAIN SETUP FOR NERN KS/N MO/SRN IA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...FIRST IR IMAGES OUT OF GOES-12 KOZ PERIOD
SHOW TWO AREAS OF VERY COLD TOP CELLS NEARLY FORMING A COMPLETE LINE
STRETCHING FROM ABOUT KGBD IN CENTRAL KS TO S OF KIOW IN ERN IA. ONLY
BREAK SEEN IS OVER NE KS WHERE THE TWO CLUSTERS ARE NOT FULLY JOINED JUST
YET. LOOKING AT THE BIG PICTURE..WV IMAGERY SHOWS NEXT S/WV CONTINUING TO
LIFT NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL KS HEADING TWDS THE NW MO/NERN KS/SRN IA/EXTREME
SERN NE AREA. VERY STRONG THETA-E AXIS STRETCHES NWD INTO ERN KS AHEAD
OF THE S/WV AND FRONTAL BNDRY..AND EVEN FURTHER NEWD INTO N/CENTRAL MO
AN S CENTRAL IA. PROFILERS/VWP DATA HAVE BEEN SHOWING THE LLJ TURNING
MORE SWRLY OVER THE PAST FEW HRS AND INCREASING...2 STNS IN PARTICULAR
IN S CENTRAL KS AND N CENTRAL OK BOTH SHOWED 55KTS AT 06Z. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS BEST LOW LVL MOISTURE CNVG EXISTS FROM E CENTRAL KS INTO NW
MO/EXTREME S CENTRAL IA. PW VALUES OF VERY NEAR IF NOT OVER 2" EXIST IN
NERN KS AND NW MO WITH ADDITIONAL MOIST UNSTABLE AIR BEING FED IN BY THE
850 JET. THESE FACTORS ALL POINT TO A VERY FOCUSED AREA OF HVY RAINFALL IN
NE KS/NRN MO/SRN IA AND POSSIBLY INCLUDING THE 4 FARTHEST SE COUNTIES IN
NE ALSO. QUICK LOOK AT 0645Z IMAGE HAS SHOWN SOME COOLING OF CLOUD TOPS
OVER THE BROKEN PART OF THE LINE IN NE KS AND RADAR TRENDS CONFIRM THIS
AREA HAS FILLED IN WITH CELLS OVER THE PAST 30 MIN. CELLS ARE BEGINNING
TO MERGE TOGETHER IN THIS AREA OVER JACKSON/POTTAWATOMIE/MARSHALL/NEMAHA
COUNTIES AND SHOULD CONTINUE. TWO COLD TOP OF NOTE IN S CENTRAL IA OVER
WAYNE/APPANOOSE COUNTIES HAVE REPEATEDLY BEEN LASHING THOSE AREAS WITH
HYV RAINS. CLUSTER IN S CENTRAL IA SHOULD BUILD SWD OVER NEXT 1-2 HRS
TO POSSIBLE MERGE WITH THE LINE IN NW MO. ESTIMATE THAT IT IS POSSIBLE
FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-4" FROM ABOUT KTOP/KS TO KIRK/MO OVER THE NEXT
3-5 HRS. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10 MINUTES FOR GRAPHIC.

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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4095 9417 4081 9157 3970 9184 3836 9590 3959 9732
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