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Preface

Introduction

Selected Vietnam NIEs, 1948-1975

Compact Disk

Vietnam NIEs Available on Compact Disk

"*" Denotes declassified NIEs also available on the NIC Web site at Selected Vietnam NIEs, 1948-1975  
ORE 25-48* The Breakup of the Colonial Empires and Its Implications for US Security, 3 September 1948
ORE 50-50 Prospects for the Defense of Indochina Against a Chinese Communist Invasion, 7 September 1950
ORE 58-50

Critical Situations in the Far East, 12 October 1950

ORE 29-50* Consequences to the US of Communist Domination of Mainland Southeast Asia, 13 October 1950
NIE 5

Indochina: Current Situation and Probable Developments,
29 December 1950

NIE 5
(map supplement)
Indochina: Current Situation and Probable Developments,
5 January 1951
Memo The Possibility of an Early Major Viet Minh Attack in
Indochina, 14 March 1951
NIE 20 Resistance of Thailand, Burma and Malaya to Communist Pressures in the Event of a Commnist Victory in Indochina in 1951, 20 March 1951
NIE 35 Probable Developments in Indochina During the Remainder of 1951, 7 August 1951
Staff Memo 124 French Problems in Indochina, 4 September 1951
Memo* Critical Developments in French Policy toward Indochina,
10 January 1952
NIE 35/1 Probable Developments in Indochina Through Mid-1952,
3 March 1952
NIE 35/2 Probable Developments in Indochina Through Mid-1953,
29 August 1952
NIE 91 Probable Development in Indochina Through Mid-1954,
4 June 1953
SE-52 Probable Consequences in Non-Communist Asia of Certain Possible Developments in Indochina Before Mid-1954,
16 November 1953
SE-53 Probable Communist Reactions to Certain Possible US Courses of Action in Indochina Through 1954,
18 December 1953
Memo Current Outlook in Indochina, 9 February 1954
Memo Reactions to ROK Participation in the Indochina War,
23 February 1954
NIE 10-2-54 Communist Courses of Action in Asia Through Mid-1955,
15 March 1954
Memo The Probable Outcome at Dien Bien Phu and its Implications,
24 March 1954
Memo* Probable Communist Strategy and Tactics at Geneva,
19 April 1954
NIE 63-54* Consequences Within Indochina of the Fall of Dien Bien Phu,
30 April 1954
NIE 63-3-54* Probable Military and Political Developments in Indochina Over the Next 30 Days, 21 May 1954
NIE 10-3-54 Communist Capabilities in Indochina, 1 June 1954
SNIE 63-2-54 The Effects of Certain Possible Developments on the Military Security and Political Stability of Laos and Cambodia Through 1954,
9 June 1954
SNIE 10-4-54 Communist Reactions to Certain US Courses of Action With Respect to Indochina, 15 June 1954
NIE 63-4-54 Probable Military and Political Developments in Indochina Over the Next 30 Days (15 June-15 July), 15 June 1954
NIE 63-5-54* Post-Geneva Outlook in Indochina, 3 August 1954
SNIE 63-6-54 Current Trends in South Vietnam, 15 September 1954
NIE 63-7-54 Probable Developments in South Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia Through July 1956, 23 November 1954
NIE 10-7-54 Communist Courses of Action in Asia Through 1957,
23 November 1954
Memo The Crisis in Saigon, 4 April 1955
NIE 10-55 Anti-Communist Resistance Potential in the Sino-Soviet Bloc,
12 April 1955
Memo (Situation in South Vietnam) untitled,
23 April 1955
NIE 63.1-2-55 Possible Developments in South Vietnam,
26 April 1955
SNIE 63.1-2/1-55 The Current Saigon Crisis, 2 May 1955
Memo Political Trends in Saigon, 6 May 1955
NIE 63.1-55* Probable Developments in North Vietnam to July 1956,
19 July 1955
NIE 63.3-55 Probable Developments in Laos to July 1956,
26 July 1955
SNIE 63.1-4-55 Consequences of Possible US Courses of Action With Respect to Vietnam, 13 September 1955
NIE 63.1-3-55 Probable Developments in Vietnam to July 1956,
11 October 1955
NIE 63.3/1-55 Probable Developments in Laos to July 1956,
20 December 1955
Memo O/NE Comments on Present Nature of Threat to South Vietnam, 6 June 1956
NIE 63-56* Probable Developments in North and South Vietnam Through Mid-1957, 17 July 1956
Memo Agrarian Reform and Internal Security in South Vietnam,
30 April 1957
NIE 63.2-57* The Prospects for North Vietnam, 14 May 1957
NIE 68-57 Probable Developments in Laos Over the Next Few Months,
20 August 1957
NIE 68-59 The Outlook for Laos, 19 May 1959
NIE 67-59 Cambodia's International Orientation, 26 May 1959
NIE 63-59 Prospects for North and South Vietnam, 26 May 1959
SNIE 68-2-59 The Situation in Laos, 18 September 1959
SNIE 63.1-60*

Short-Term Trends in South Vietnam, 23 August 1960

SNIE 68-60 The Situation and Short-Term Outlook in Laos,
6 December 1960
SNIE 68-2-60 Probable Communist Intentions in Laos,
29 December 1960
SNIE 58-61 Probable Communist Reactions to Certain US Courses of Action with Respect to Laos, 21 February 1961
NIE 50-61 Outlook in Mainland Southeast Asia, 28 March 1961
SNIE 10-2-61 Likelihood of Major Communist Military Intervention in Mainland Southeast Asia, 27 June 1961
SNIE 58-2-61 Probable Reactions to Certain Courses of Action Concerning Laos, 5 July 1961
NIE 14.3/53-61 Prospects for North and South Vietnam,
15 August 1961
SNIE 58-3-61 The Situation and Short-Run Outlook in Laos,
28 September 1961
SNIE 53-2-61 Bloc Support of the Communist Effort Against the Government of Vietnam, 5 October 1961
SNIE 10-3-61 Probable Communist Reactions to Certain SEATO Undertakings in South Vietnam, 10 October 1961
SNIE 10-4-61* Probable Communist Reactions to Certain US Actions in South Vietnam, 7 November 1961
SNIE 58-62 Relative Military Capabilities of Opposing Forces in Laos,
11 January 1962
SNIE 58/1-62 Relative Military Capabilites of Opposing Forces in Laos,
31 January 1962
SNIE 10-62* Communist Objectives, Capabilities, and Intentions in Southeast Asia, 21 February 1962
SNIE 10-62 Annex to Communist Objectives, Capabilities, and Intentions in Southeast Asia, 21 February 1962
SNIE 58-2-62 Consequences of Certain US Courses in Laos,
11 April 1962
SNIE 58-3-62 Implications of the Fall of Nam Tha,
09 May 1962
SNIE 58-4-62 The Current Military Situation and Outlook in Laos,
14 May 1962
SNIE 58-5-62 Probable Communist Reactions to Certain Possible US Actions With Respect to Laos, 31 May 1962
SNIE 58-5/1-62 Communist Reactions to Additional US Courses of Action in Laos and North Vietnam, 12 June 1962
SNIE 58-6-62 Short-Run Outlook for the Laotian Coalition Government,
26 September 1962
NIE 53-63* Prospects in South Vietnam, 17 April 1963
SNIE 58-63 Communist Reactions to US Actions Taken With Regard to Laos, 18 June 1963
SNIE 14.3-63 The Impact of the Sino-Soviet Dispute on North Vietnam and its Policies, 26 June 1963
SNIE 53-2-63 The Situation in South Vietnam, 10 July 1963
Memo South Vietnam's Leaders, 4 September 1963
Memo Probable North Vietnamese Reaction to Certain Clandestine Operations, 20 December 1963
SNIE 50-64 Short-Term Prospects in Southeast Asia,
12 February 1964
SNIE 14.3-64 The Outlook for North Vietnam, 4 March 1964
SNIE 50-2-64* Probable Consequences of Certain US Actions with Respect to Vietnam and Laos, 25 May 1964
Memo* Would the Loss of South Vietnam and Laos Precipitate a "Domino Effect" in the Far East?, 9 June 1964
Memo Probable Comunist Reactions to Certain US or US-Sponsored Courses of Action in Vietnam and Laos,
28 July 1964
SNIE 53-64 Chances for a Stable Government in South Vietnam,
8 September 1964
SNIE 53-2-64 The Situation in South Vietnam, 1 October 1964
SNIE 10-3-64 Probable Communist Reactions to Certain Possible US/GVN Courses of Actions, 9 October 1964
SNIE 10-65 Communust Military Capabilities and Near-Term Intentions in Laos and South Vietnam, 4 February 1965
SNIE 53-65 Short-Term Prospects in South Vietnam,
4 February 1965
SM 7-65 The Dimensions of Kosygin's Trip, 5 February 1965
SNIE 10-3-65 Communist Reactions to Possible US Actions,
11 February 1965
SNIE 10-3/1-65 Communist Reactions to Possible US Courses of Action Against North Vietnam, 18 February 1965
SNIE 10-4-65 Probable Communist Reactions to Deployment of an ROK Combat Division for Base Security Duty in South Vietnam,
19 Mar 1965
USIB Memo Recent Indications of Communist Intentions in South Vietnam,
9 April 1965
Memo Reactions to a US Course of Action in Vietnam,
21 April 1965
SM 11-65 Future Soviet Moves in Vietnam,
27 April 1965
SNIE 10-5-65 Communist Reactions to Certain US Actions,
28 April 1965
Memo Consequences of a Pause in Bombings of the DRV,
3 May 1965
SNIE 10-6-65 Probable Communist Reactions to Certain US Actions,
2 June 1965
SNIE 10-6/1-65 Probable Reactions to Certain US Courses of Action,
04 June 1965
SNIE 10-7-65 Implications of a Certain US Course of Action,
04 June 1965
Memo Reactions to a Further US Buildup in South Vietnam,
10 June 1965
SM 18-65 Soviet Tactics Concerning Vietnam,
15 July 1965
SNIE 10-9-65 Communist and Free World Reactions to a Possible US Course of Action, 23 July 1965
SNIE 58-65 Short-Term Prospects for Laos, 5 August 1965
SNIE 10-10-65 Reactions to a Certain US Course of Action in Southeast Asia,
10 September 1965
SNIE 10-11-65 Probable Communist Reactions to a US Course of Action,
22 September 1965
Memo for DCI Reactions to a US Course of Action in Vietnam,
02 December 1965
SNIE 10-12-65 Probable Communist Reactions to a US Course of Action,
10 December 1965
M/H SNIE 10-12-65 Probable Communist Reactions to a US Course of Action,
16 December 1965
Memo Three Memoranda Attached Re Vietnam,
29 December 1965
Memo Reactions to Continuation or Termination of the Pause in Air Attacks on the DRV, 19 Jan 1966
SNIE 10-1-66 Possible Effects of a Proposed US Course of Action on DRV Capability to Support the Insurgency in South Vietnam,
4 February 1966
Memo Possible Effects of Various Programs of Air Attack Against the DRV,
11 February 1966
SNIE 10-2-66 Reactions to a Possible US Course of Action,
17 Mar 1966
Memo Use of Nuclear Weapons in the Vietnam War,
18 Mar 1966
SNIE 10-3-66 Probable Reactions to a Possible Course of Action in South Vietnam, 19 May 1966
NIE 14.3-66 North Vietnamese Military Potential for Fighting in South Vietnam,
7 July 1966
SNIE 13-66 Current Chinese Communist Intentions in the Vietnam Situation,
4 August 1966
Memo The Vietnamese Communists' Will to Persist,
26 August 1966
Memo* Implications of the Current Cabinet Crisis in South Vietnam,
20 October 1966
NIE 53-66 Problems of Political Development in South Vietnam Over the Next Year or So, 15 December 1966
SNIE 10-67 Reactions to a Possible US Action, 5 Jan 1967
Memo for DCI The War in Vietnam, 9 Jan 1967
SNIE 57-67 Significance of Cambodia to the Vietnamese Communist War Effort,
26 Jan 1967
Memo Communist Reactions to Certain US Courses of Action,
6 February 1967
ONE Memo Communist Policy and the Next Phase in Vietnam,
12 April 1967
SNIE 11-11-67* Soviet Attitudes and Intentions Toward the Vietnam War,
4 May 1967
NIE 58-67 Short-Term Political Prospects for Laos,
18 May 1967
Memo 0646/67 Reaction to Various US Courses of Action,
23 May 1967
Memo Evaluation of Alternative Programs for Bombing North Vietnam,
1 June 1967
SNIE 10-1-67 Reactions to a Certain US Course of Action,
13 July 1967
SNIE 14.3-1-67 Problems of Viet Cong Recruitment and Morale,
3 August 1967
SM 7-67 The September Presidential Election in South Vietnam,
8 August 1967
Memo* Implications of an Unfavorable Outcome in Vietnam,
11 September 1967
SNIE 14.3-67* Capabilities of the Vietnamese Communists for Fighting in South Vietnam, 13 November 1967
SNIE 57/1-67 Significance of Cambodia to the Vietnamese Communist War Effort, 14 December 1967
Memo Communist Reactions to Certain US Military Operations in Vietnam, 5 January 1968
ONE Memo Alternative Interpretations of Hanoi's Intentions,
18 Jan 1968
Memo for DCI The Outlook in Vietnam, 26 February 1968
Memo Questions Concerning the Situation in Vietnam,
1 Mar 1968
ONE Memo for DCI Communist Reactions to Certain US Courses of Action,
13 Mar 1968
SNIE 58-68 Communist Intentions in Laos, 21 Mar 1968
Memo Hanoi's Motives, 3 April 1968
ONE Memo for DCI Speculation on Hanoi's Motives, 8 April 1968
IM-0587/68* Hanoi's Negotiating Position and Concept of Negotiations,
6 May 1968
SNIE 53-68 The Vietnam Situation, 6 June 1968
ONE Memo for DCI The Coming Political Struggle for South Vietnam,
16 September 1968
SNIE 58-1-68 Communist Capabilities and Intentions in Laos Over the Next Year, 31 October 1968
NIE 50-68 Southeast Asia After Vietnam,
14 Nov 1968
SNIE 14-69 The Pacification Effort in Vietnam,
16 Jan 1969
Memo Reactions to a US Course of Action,
20 February 1969
SNIE 14.3-69* Capabilties of the Vietnamese Communists for Fighting in South Vietnam, 17 July 1969
SNIE 14.3-70 The Outlook from Hanoi: Factors Affecting North Vietnam's Policy on the War in Vietnam, 5 February 1970
SNIE 58-70* The Communist View of the Situation in Laos,
5 February 1970
SNIE 13-9-70 Chinese Reactions to Possible Developments in Indochina,
28 May 1970
SNIE 13-10-70 Chinese Reactions to Certain Courses of Action in Indochina,
11 June 1970
SNIE 57-70* The Outlook for Cambodia, 6 August 1970
SNIE 13-10-71 Communist China's Reactions to Developments in Laos,
18 February 1971
NIE 53-71* South Vietnam: Problems and Prospects,
29 April 1971
SNIE 57-73 The Short-Term Prospect for Cambodia,
24 May 1973
NIE 53/14.3-73* Short-Term Prospects for Vietnam,
12 October 1973
M/H NIE 53/14.3-73 Short-Term Prospects for Vietnam,
8 Nov 1973
SNIE 57-1-73 The Short-Term Prospect for Cambodia Through the Current Dry Season - May 1974, 5 December 1973
M/H SNIE 57-1-73 The Short-Term Prospect for Cambodia Through the Current Dry Season - May 1974, 31 Jan 1974
IIM 74-003 South Vietnam: A Net Military Assessment,
2 April 1974
SNIE 57-1-74 The Short-Term Prospect for Cambodia Through August 1974,
11 April 1974
NIE 53/14.3-1-74* The Likelihood of a Major North Vietnamese Offensive Against South Vietnam Before June 30, 1975,
23 May 1974
IIM 74-013 Assessment of the Curent Military Situation in Vietnam,
9 August 1974
NIE 53/14.3-2-74* Short-Term Prospects for Vietnam,
23 December 1974
IIM 75-016 Communist Military and Economic Aid to North Vietnam,
1970-74, 3 January 1975
IIM 75-002 Imports of Military Equipment and Material by North Vietnam in 1974, 10 January 1975
NIE 57-1-75 Prospects for Cambodia Through August 1975,
13 February 1975
SNIE 53/14.3-75* Assessment of the Situation in South Vietnam,
27 March 1975
Purchase a Hardcopy of "Estimative Products on Vietnam, 1948-1975" (including the companion CD). GPO stock number 041-015-00242-2
Visit the Freedom Of Information Act (FOIA) Web site - Vietnam Collection for the full text of the 174 declassified Vietnam NIEs.

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