ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/28/08 1532Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 1500Z GOES-12: 1515Z		DS
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LOCATION...SW/W TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...EWX...MAF...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MORNING CNVTN STARTING TO FORM S OF BREWSTER COUNTY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS MID/UPPER LVL VORT MOVING
ACROSS NRN CHIHUAHUA/MX TWDS W TX THIS MORNING WHICH MAY HAVE FORMED OUT
OF THE REMAINS OF JULIO. CERTAINLY THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE FROM JULIO IS
STILL PRESENT IN THE NRN GULF OF CA..OVER THE US/MX BORDER REGION FROM
SW AZ TO W TX. DRT 12Z SOUNDING INDICATED OVER 2" PW'S..A HIGH EL..AND
PLENTY OF CAPE..OVER 2000 J/KG ALLOWING FOR THE EARLY MORNING COLD TOP
STORMS TO FORM OVER AND DUE S OF BREWSTER COUNTY. ALSO OF NOTE WAS THE MOD
SRLY FLOW THROUGH THE LWR LVLS AND THAT THE SOUNDING WAS SATURATED ALMOST
UP TO 700MB. IR SHOWED CLOUD TOPS TO -67C..RIGHT UP TO THE EL PER 12Z DRT
SOUNDING WITH VIS INDICATING CELLS STARTING TO FORM OVER CENTRAL PRESIDIO
COUNTY AND INTO TERRELL/SE PECOS COUNTIES AS WELL. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
LOCATED BEST SFC MOISTURE CNVG INTO S/CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY BUT EXPECT
WITH CONTINUED SFC HEATING OVER W TX AHEAD OF THE EWD MOVING VORT..SHOULD
SEE AN INCREASE IN CNVTN..ESPECIALLY OVER THE W/NWRN PART OF W TX INTO
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTRN. CURRENT CELL MOVEMENT OVER/INTO BREWSTER COUNTY WILL
LIKELY BE SLOW AND TWDS THE N ALLOWING FOR ESTIMATED 0.75-1"/HR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3141 10438 2923 10043 2798 10330 3127 10730
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