Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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000 FXUS64 KFWD 141740 AAC AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1240 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009 .AVIATION... /18Z TAFS/ IFR CIGS GRADUALLY BECOMING IFR...BUT EXPECT DETERIORATION AGAIN THIS EVENING AS SOUTH WINDS RETURN. WET GROUND AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ASSURE SOME REDUCTION IN VSBY THAT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING SUNDAY. 25 && .UPDATE... LIGHT SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH EXITING SHORT WAVE SHOULD ALL MOVE NORTH OF THE RED RIVER OR DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. EXPECT LOW CLOUD COVER TO LINGER THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT AS THE LOWEST 10K FT OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS SATURATED. THICK CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S THIS AFTERNOON. ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO POPS NEEDED FOR THIS UPDATE. 79 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009/ SHORTWAVE MOVING ALONG THE RED RIVER AND WILL EXIT NORTH TEXAS AROUND MIDDAY. LOCAL 88D RADARS SHOW PRECIPITATION DRIFTING NORTH AND DIMINISH WITH EXTENSIVE DRIZZLE ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF I-20. WE WILL PUSH THE PRECIPITATION/DRIZZLE NORTHWARD THIS MORNING AND END IT AT MIDDAY. CLOUDY SKIES WILL LINGER THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE SCATTERING WEST TO EAST LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A LINGERING PIECE OF ENERGY OVER NORTHERN BAJA WILL SLIDE BY ON SUNDAY AND PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN THIRD. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA. LATER ON FRIDAY...WE HAVE ADDED SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OUT WEST AS A WEAK UPPER LOW NEARS FROM THE WEST AND ENCOUNTERS MOISTURE ELEVATED ABOVE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. NONE OF THESE PRECIPITATION EVENTS WILL PRODUCE MUCH RAINFALL...THUS NORTH TEXAS WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS/LOWS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DECIDED NOT TO GO HOG WILD RAISING TEMPERATURES TODAY OR SUNDAY AS THE GROUND IS VERY WET. THIS EFFECT ACTS TO REDUCE THE DIURNAL WARMING SPAN. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK DOWN TO AROUND NORMAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS MODIFIED NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN AIR SPREADS OVER THE REGION. && .FIRE WEATHER... THE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE HEART OF NORTH TEXAS HAS REDUCED THE POTENTIAL FOR WILDFIRES FOR QUITE SOME TIME. ITS HAS ALSO PROVIDED AREA VEGETATION WITH MUCH NEEDED SOIL MOISTURE FOR THE SPRING GREEN UP. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 53 45 64 48 78 / 10 10 10 10 0 WACO, TX 54 44 65 47 75 / 10 10 20 10 0 PARIS, TX 50 43 62 46 73 / 20 10 10 10 0 DENTON, TX 55 43 65 46 77 / 20 10 10 10 0 MCKINNEY, TX 53 44 65 45 74 / 20 10 10 10 0 DALLAS, TX 52 46 67 50 78 / 10 10 10 10 0 TERRELL, TX 53 41 63 45 75 / 10 10 10 10 0 CORSICANA, TX 52 45 60 47 75 / 10 10 20 10 0 TEMPLE, TX 54 41 63 46 76 / 10 10 20 10 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ 25/79
