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USGS Continues to Analyze Flooding Effects from Hurricanes Frances and Ivan in Western North Carolina, 2004


The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) operates more than 200 streamgages across the State of North Carolina to monitor river stage and streamflow. During flooding from Hurricanes Frances and Ivan in September 2004, period-of-record peak river stages were recorded at more than 20 sites in western North Carolina.

Many of the USGS streamgages in the Catawba, French Broad, and Pigeon River basins recorded period-of-record high stages after the passage of Frances. Several of these peaks were then exceeded following Hurricane Ivan at locations in the Pigeon River basin in North Carolina. Some of these streamgages were active during the floods of 1916 and 1940, yet flooding in September 2004 eclipsed many of the earlier events, which were considered the benchmarks for all floods measured since then in the mountains of North Carolina.

USGS streamgaging stations continually monitor river stage, but USGS staff must visit the sites during flood events and directly measure the streamflow with specialized measuring equipment. Sometimes peak streamflow cannot be measured directly because of the nature of the storm. Flashy peaks, which are more typical in mountain streams, can rise and fall before staff can safely travel to the site. In addition, extremely high stream velocities or large volumes of debris in the flow can create unsafe measuring conditions at the site. When these situations occur, peak streamflow is indirectly measured from high-water mark data collected after the event and subsequent surveys of stream channels and estimation of hydraulic conditions during the event. Since the passage of Hurricanes Frances and Ivan, USGS staff have been working on the computations of these indirect measurements of streamflow. Preliminary results of these analyses for selected sites in western North Carolina are listed below (table 1). The peak river stages recorded by the gage and peak streamflows determined from analysis of direct or indirect measurements are provided.

Peak river stage information is helpful in putting storms in historical context and determining the extent of flooding across the landscape, but peak streamflow (the volume of water passing a given location at the peak of an event) is critical in determining the recurrence interval or relative frequency of such an event. This information also is provided in table 1. Flood-frequency statistics, which report the streamflow values associated with the 100-year flood and the 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 200-, and 500-year events, generally are updated for USGS streamgaging stations about every 10 years. The most recent compilation of these statistics is available online at http://nc.water.usgs.gov/floodstats/ and includes information on the annual peaks for the period of record at each streamgage through 1996. (More information on flood-frequency analysis and flood forecasting is available online at http://water.usgs.gov/pubs/fs/FS-229-96/ and http://water.usgs.gov/wid/FS_209-95/mason-weiger.html )

Table 1.
Station number Station name Period of record
(begin year)
Peak river stage prior to September 2004
(year occurred)
HURRICANE FRANCES    
September 7-9, 2004
HURRICANE IVAN    
September 17-18, 2004
Peak river stage for event
(feet)
Peak streamflow
(ft3/s)
Approximate recurrence interval
(years)
Peak river stage for event
(feet)
Peak streamflow
(ft3/s)
Approximate recurrence interval
(years)

These data are provisional and subject to revision pending publication in Water Resources Data - North Carolina Water Year 2004

All peak stages for Hurricane Frances on September 8th unless otherwise noted.

All peak stages for Hurricane Ivan on September 17th unless otherwise noted.

N/D = Recurrence interval not determined because period of record is less than 10 years.
N/A = Discharge is not yet available at this new gaging station.

Peak river stage cells shaded in red indicate new period of record peak stages.
Peak river stage data in italics indicate new period of record peak stages.

02137727 Catawba River near Pleasant Gardens 1981 -  15.22  (1994) 17.55 23,000 200-500 13.64 11,700 10
02138500 Linville River near Nebo 1922 -  11.40   (1940) 13.7 42,600 200-500 11.26 23,500 50
0213903612 Catawba River near Calvin 1991 -  16.40  (1994) 26.3 52,600 200-500 14.86 (Sept. 18) 14,300 50
02140991 John's River near Arney's Store 1985 -  25.23  (1994) 28.6 39,000 50 16.53 10,600 2-5
02143000 Henry Fork near Henry River 1941- 18.71   (1990) 18.04 11,500 10 2.12 (Sept. 18) 260 <2
02143040 Jacob Fork at Ramsey 1961 -  19.74   (1975) 18.93 6,550 50 2.54 113 <2
02149000 Cove Creek near Lake Lure 1950 -  18.53   (1957) 18.41 6,550 10 - 25 10.75 2,930 <2
02150495 Second Broad River near Logan 1998 -  14.89   (2003) 15.91 4,450 N/D 9.48 1,690 N/D
02151500 Broad River near Boiling Springs 1925 -  24.30   (1928) 17.48 (Sept. 9) 36,900 10 - 25 8.62 (Sept. 18) 12,600 <2
02152100 First Broad River near Casar 1959 -  16.70   (1975) 19.89 12,500 10 2.37 296 <2
03161000 South Fork New River near Jefferson 1924 22.50   (1940) 11.73 14,700 10-25 8.58 7,550 2-5
03439000 French Broad River at Rosman 1935 -  14.95   (1964) 12.60 8,660 10-25 12.76 8,910 10-25
03440000 Cathey's Creek near Brevard 1944-1958                   1986 - 2004 7.28   (1994) 6.12 1,770 10 5.29 1,260 5
03441000 Davidson River near Brevard 1920 - 1990,  1993 -  12.08   (1994) 11.86 7,450 25-50 10.16 6,090 10-25
03443000 French Broad River at Blantyre 1920 -  25.50   (1964) 25.81 (Sept. 9) 20,600 25-50 22.06 (Sept. 18) 11,900 5-10
03446000 Mills River near Mills River 1924 - 1926, 1933 - 13.62   (1940) 12.31 7,270 25-50 11.84 6,090 10-25
03447687 French Broad River near Fletcher 2001 -  12.5   (2003) 20.07 25,300 N/D 17.60 20,200 N/D
03447894 Bent Creek near Glen Bald 2001 -  4.23   (2003) 5.29 626 N/D 9.81 3,000 N/D
0344894205 North Fork Swannanoa River near Walkertown 1989 -  8.19   (1995) 10.3 7,000 50-100 8.27 3,510 10
03450000 Beetree Creek near Swannanoa 1926 - 6.20   (1940) 4.44 277 2-5 4.40 874 25-50
03451000 Swannanoa River at Biltmore 1920 - 26, 1934 -  19.00   (1940) 19.22 12,900 50-100 16.74 10,300 25-50
03451500 French Broad River at Asheville 1895 -  23.10   (1916) 14.55 47,300 100  11.57 30,100 10-25
03451690 Newfound Creek near Alexander 2000 -  8.13   (2003) 7.82 1,300 N/D 20.60 17,000 N/D
03453000 Ivy River near Marshall 1933 -73,  1994 -  17.21   (1995) 9.56 3,070 <2 14.21 5,450 2 -5
03453500 French Broad River at Marshall 1942 -  13.64   (1977) 11.33 39,100 10-25 12.72 48,000 25
03455500 West Fork Pigeon River above Lake Logan near Hazelwood 1954 -  9.50   (1966) 9.23 7,600 10 - 25 10.83 12,700 200 - 500
0345577330 West Fork Pigeon River near Retreat 1988 -  8.97   (1994) 12.13 10,400 50 14.15 15,600 500
03456100 West Fork Pigeon River at Bethel 1981 -  12.63   (1994) 14.9 12,900  >50 16.27 19,000 500
03456500 East Fork Pigeon River near Canton 1954 -  11.19   (1973) 12.03 11,700 25-50 13.09 13,000 50
03456991 Pigeon River near Canton 1907 - 09,  1928 -  20.75    (1940) (different gage datum) 20.7 41,000 >500 22.80 48,000 >500
03459500 Pigeon River at Hepco 1927 -  15.82   (1940) 16.77 34,300 50 - 100 17.68 38,000 100 - 200
03460000 Cataloochee Creek near Cataloochee 1933-1952,  1962 - 8.08   (1963) 6.36 2,680 2-5 6.29 2,600 2-5
03460795 Pigeon River below Power Plant near Waterville 1997 -  16.39   (2003) 17.22 30,500 N/D 18.88 39,000 N/D
03463300 South Toe River near Celo 1957 -  17.41   (1977) 15.5 28,000 200 13 22,000 50 -100
03479000 Watauga River near Sugar Grove 1939 -  29.60   (1940) 19.07 17,000 10-25 21.90 23,000 50
03500000 Little Tennessee River near Prentiss 1943 -  17.30   (1964) 8.05 3,290 <2 15.92 11,200 50-100
03500240 Cartoogechaye Creek near Franklin 1961 -  12.96   (1964) 10.76 2,420 2-5 14.12 6,600 100
0350056050 Cullasaja River near Highlands 2001 -  10.18   (2002) 12.07 (Sept. 7) 2,780 N/D 16.15 5,300 N/D
03503000 Little Tennessee River at Needmore 1943 -  12.87   (1964) 8.31 11,200 2-5 12.33 20,900 25
03504000 Nantahala River near Rainbow Springs 1940 -  9.70   (1949) 5.93 (Sept. 7) 2,940 2-5 8.29 4,950 10-25
03508050 Tuckasegee River nr Cullowhee 2004 New Gage 17.37 N/A N/D 16.37 N/D N/D
03510577 Tuckasegee River at Barker's Creek 2004 New Gage 12.52 N/A N/D 13.26 N/D N/D
03512000 Oconaluftee River near Birdtown 1945- 12.46   (1969) 4.50 (Sept. 9) 3,200 <2 7.79 8,000 2
03513000 Tuckasegee River at Bryson City 1897- 15.96   (1940) 9.96 18,000 2-5 13.58 30,700 5-10
0351706800 Cheoah River near Bearpen Gap near Tapoco 1999- 13.3   (2003) 2.75 134 N/D 7.40 3,500 N/D
0351751500 Cheoah River near Tapoco 1999 -  12.09   (2003) 2.50 River Stage only site N/D 8.08 River Stage only site N/D
03548330 Brasstown Creek at Brasstown 2000- 14.94   (2003) 8.96 1,580 N/D 14.17 4,140 N/D
03548500 Hiwassee River above Murphy 1897- 2004 13.88   (1973) 6.50 4,090 <2 9.29 8,490 <2
03550000 Valley River at Tomotla 1904- 20.5   (1906) 2.68 290 <2 6.82 2,090 <2

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