FXUS63 KDMX 162028 RRA
AFDDMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
327 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SCNDRY S/W VSB IN WV IMAGERY IS ANTICIPATED TO COME INTO PLAY FM THE 
4-7PM TIME FRAME ALG THE FNT MOVING INTO THE NWRN CRNR ATTM. 
PROFILERS ARE NOT SHOWING MUCH WIND HOWEVER FOR ANY SGFNT FNTL 
CONVERGENCE...BUT THE WAVE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO RELEASE THE 
INSTABILITY OF 1-2K J/KG. NW WNDS ALF ARND THE DEEP UPR CYC OVR 
CANADA SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH SHEAR FOR A FEW STORMS TO ROTATE. THE 
13KM RUC REMAINS EMPHATIC ABT PCPN MOVS EWD ACRS THE CWA 
OVRNGT...AND NOT MUCH TMR. KEPT CONTINUITY GOING WITH SML CHCS IN 
THE SE. BNDRY GOING STNRY IN NRN MO TMR EVENING AHD ANOTHER S/W IN 
THE WNW FLOW. THE GFS IS MORE INDUSTRIOUS WITH THIS WAVE WHEREAS THE 
ETA/S ARE NOT AS MUCH. CUR FCSTS HAVE CHC POPS ACRS THE S AND WE 
WILL CONTINUE THAT THINKING...FIGURING THE FNT WL NOT MOVE NWD MUCH 
IN SUCH A FLOW PTRN. NXT SGFNT FNT ARRIVES LTR THIS WEEK WITH A 
FRESH AMS...WITH ANY PCPN THREAT SMALL THROUGH THE WKEND ATTM. TMPS 
WL APPROACH NORMAL OVER THE NXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A FALLBACK AGN 
LATE IN THE WEEK. LOOKING LIKE AUGUST WILL INDEED BE BELOW IF NOT 
WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR TMPS.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. 

&&

$$
MYERS