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fire weather planning forecast for eastern kentucky
national weather service jackson ky
332 pm est mon feb 16 2009
... near critical fire weather condition with min rh as low as
25 percent on tuesday...
. discussion...
high pressure and with drier air is in place across east kentucky.
this will bring critical rh values and near critical wind speeds to
the area. the fire threat will be enhanced due to the large amount
of storm debris which is being burned across the area. debris burning
will be especially hazardous during the afternoon hours tomorrow.
a large weather system heads for the ohio valley by mid week. this
system will likely bring rain and even a chance of thunderstorms to
the area on wednesday. as this potent storm system moves past
eastern kentucky wednesday night ... colder air will pour into the
state on the back of gusty west winds. as a result ... there will be a
chance for snow showers from late wednesday night through the day on
thursday.
kyz044 - 050>052 - 058>060 - 068 - 069 - 079 - 080 - 083>088 - 104 - 106>120 - 171345-
fleming - montgomery - bath - rowan - estill - powell - menifee - rockcastle-
jackson - pulaski - laurel - wayne - mccreary - whitley - knox - bell - harlan-
elliott - morgan - johnson - wolfe - magoffin - floyd - lee - breathitt - knott-
owsley - perry - clay - leslie - letcher - martin - pike-
including the cities of ... flemingsburg ... mount sterling...
owingsville ... morehead ... irvine ... stanton ... frenchburg...
mount vernon ... mckee ... somerset ... london ... monticello...
whitley city ... corbin ... williamsburg ... barbourville ... middlesboro...
pineville ... harlan ... sandy hook ... west liberty ... paintsville...
campton ... salyersville ... prestonsburg ... beattyville ... jackson...
hindman ... booneville ... hazard ... manchester ... hyden ... whitesburg...
inez ... pikeville
332 pm est mon feb 16 2009
. tonight...
sky/weather......... mostly clear.
min temperature..... 18 - 24.
24 hr trend...... 3 degrees cooler.
max humidity........ 62 - 72 percent ridges and 88 - 98 percent valleys.
24 hr trend...... 17 percent wetter.
wind (20 ft)........ southeast winds around 5 mph.
lal................. 1.
haines index........ 4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
prob of precip...... 0 percent.
qpf (inches)........ none.
. tuesday...
sky/weather......... mostly sunny with clouds increasing after 2 pm.
max temperature..... around 51.
24 hr trend...... 11 degrees warmer.
min humidity........ 25 - 33 percent.
24 hr trend...... 10 percent drier.
wind (20 ft)........ south winds around 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
lal................. 1.
haines index........ 4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
mixing height....... 3800 ft agl.
transport wind...... south at 5 to 10 mph.
dispersion index.... 48.
vent rate........... fair (48400 knot - ft).
prob of precip...... 10 percent.
qpf (inches)........ none.
. tuesday night...
sky/weather......... mostly cloudy. chance of rain showers
early ... then rain showers towards dawn.
min temperature..... around 36.
24 hr trend...... 19 degrees warmer.
max humidity........ 77 - 87 percent ridges 88 - 98 percent valleys.
24 hr trend...... 14 percent wetter ridges and no change valleys.
wind (20 ft)........ south winds 5 to 10 mph.
lal................. 1.
haines index........ 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
prob of precip...... 80 percent.
qpf (inches)........ 0. 20 - 0. 41 inches.
. wednesday...
sky/weather......... cloudy. rain showers in the morning. slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms. rain
showers likely in the late afternoon.
max temperature..... 52 - 58.
24 hr trend...... 4 degrees warmer.
min humidity........ 54 - 64 percent.
24 hr trend...... 29 percent wetter.
wind (20 ft)........ south winds 10 to 15 mph.
lal................. 3.
haines index........ 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
mixing height....... 2200 ft agl.
transport wind...... southwest around 25 mph.
dispersion index.... 56.
vent rate........... good (56000 knot - ft).
prob of precip...... 80 percent.
qpf (inches)........ 0. 31 - 0. 41 inches.
$$
. forecast days 3 through 7...
. thursday ... cloudy with a chance of snow showers. lows around 30.
highs in the upper 30s. west winds 10 to 15 mph.
. friday ... mostly cloudy. lows around 18. highs in the upper 30s.
west winds 5 to 10 mph.
. saturday ... mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. lows in the
mid 20s. highs in the upper 30s. southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
. sunday ... mostly cloudy. a slight chance of snow showers early. lows
in the lower 20s. highs around 40.
. monday ... partly cloudy. lows in the mid 20s. highs in the lower
40s.
$$
jj