FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI

FNUS53 KAPX 142042 FWFAPX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 342 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 ...COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER SET TO CONTINUE... .DISCUSSION...AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION THIS WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION FREE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY MORNING...LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME ALL SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SOME ACCUMULATION EXPECTED IN THE SNOWBELTS. OFF AND ON SNOW SHOWER CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN INTO NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH VERY COLD CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS IS THE FINAL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE SEASON. SPOT FORECASTS WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR...ALONG WITH THE TRADITIONAL GRAPHICAL AND TEXT PRODUCTS. PLEASE CONTACT THE NWS FOR ANY RESUMPTION OF SERVICES. MIZ016-017-019-021>023-150915- EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY COUNTIES- 342 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 39-44 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (360). MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42. 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1060). MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...EXCEPT 35-40 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES COOLER ALONG THE COAST. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (810). MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.16 IN. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1300...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (890). MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-150915- PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF- 342 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37...EXCEPT 39-44 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........FAIR (140). MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0700. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1320). MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1900. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29...EXCEPT 32-37 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (900). MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 24 TO 27 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1190). MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN. $$ MIZ020-025>027-150915- LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL- 342 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT AROUND 40 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (450). MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42. 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1040). MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0100. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1900. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 36-41 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (940). MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 24 TO 27 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.17 IN. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1300...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950). MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN. $$ MIZ031>033-150915- MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF- 342 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OR RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. 24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (430). MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1040). MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 24 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 34-39 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (830). MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 24 TO 27 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.17 IN. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1300...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (850). MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-150915- CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF- 342 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........FAIR (160). MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0700. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1190). MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (780). MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 24 TO 27 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1130). MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN. $$ .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ KAS