FXUS61 KBTV 071428
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1027 AM EDT TUE OCT 7 2003

WILL OPT TO UPDATE ZFP FOR SOME MINOR FIRST PERIOD CHANGES.

HI PRESS TO BUILD ACRS THE FA TODAY AND TO THE EAST OF THE FA
TONITE.

09-11Z 20KM "DEVELOPMENT" RUC SHOWS TEMPS TO GET UP INTO THE L-M50S
TODAY WITH S-SW SFC WINDS AT 5-15 KTS. T1MAX TEMPS ARE IN THE L60S
TODAY AND MIGHT NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION IN A FEW ISOLATED VLY
LOCATIONS. FEW TWEAKS TO FIRST PERIOD TEMPS/WINDS BASED ON THIS DATA.
SOME LOW-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT THE FA (MOSTLY ACRS THE NRN TIER) TODAY
AND TONITE. RUC SHOWS MOSUNNY SKIES ACRS THE FA TODAY WITH NO PCPN.
VIS SAT PIX SHOW SOME FOG HANGIN' TUFF ACRS MOSTLY THE
CT/WHITE/PASSUMPSIC RIVER VLYS ATTM...WITH SOME MORE CLDS ROTATING
DOWN ACRS SRN CANADA.

H85 WAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TODAY AND TONITE. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR
ADVECTION TO AFFECT THE FA TONITE. SOME MID-LVL MSTR TO AFFECT THE FA
LATER TODAY AND TONITE.

OTHER THAN A FEW CLDS BRUSHING ACRS THE NRN TIER ZONES BY LATER TODAY
AND INTO TONITE...IT LOOKS PRETTY QUIET ACRS THE FA IN THE
SHORT-TERM.

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP/GRIDS BY 11 AM.

MURRAY

.PREV DISCUSSION...FROM 410 AM EDT

MODELS CONT TO MOV H/5 TROF OFF TO THE EAST TODAY WITH COLD CORE OF
AIR. SATL IMAGERY INDCS BULK OF CLDS ACRS SRN QUE AND WRN ME ATTM...
WITH PTCHY CLDS ELSW IN OUR FA. SFC HI CNTRL NY-CNTRL PA ATTM MOVS E
AND OFSHR THIS AFTN/EVE WITH GNRLY FAIR WX. MAY BE SOME ERLY MRNG
PTCHY CLDS...BUT OTRW CURRENT MSTLY SUNNY LKS GD.

WINDS BCM S OR SW ON BACKSIDE OF HI THIS AFTN AND INCRS. EXPECT HIGH
TEMPS 55-60 VLYS AND LO-MID 50S MTN ZONES WITH GD DEAL OF SUN.
YESTERDAYS HI GNRLY LO-MID 50S.

WK H/5 TROF APRCHS RGN WED NGT/THURS MRNG GRAZING NRN ZONES WITH CLDS
PER 70 PCT RH FIELD. SFC HI FOLLOWS WK CDFNT AND BLDS E ACRS SRN
QUEBEC WITH SHALLOW COOL AIR. ATTM LKS LIKE MAJOR IMPACT WL BE SOME
CLOUDINESS.

WL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON OCEAN SYSTEM FOR THE LATER FCST PERIODS...
ESPCLY THE WEEKEND...BUT IT LKS LIKE IT WL TRACK AWAY FM AREA BUT H/5
TROF SUPPORTS IDEA OF CHC SHWRS SUNDAY/MONDAY.

SFH

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$