FXUS61 KBGM 211639
AFDBGM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1240 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2003

QUICK UPDATE FOR PARTLY VS MOSTLY SUNNY ARCS UPSTATE. THOUGHT CU 
WOULD MIX OUR FAIRLY RAPIDLY BUT IT'S HOLDING TUFF. MAXES PRBLY 
A FEW DEG COOLER THAN ORIGINALLY ANTICIPATED.
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A VERY NICE DAY IN STORE WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE, LGT WINDS AND 
SEASONABLE TEMPS. 12Z BUF/ALY SNDGS SUGGEST MAXES A70 FOR MOST OF 
THE FCST AREA. WILL JUST FRESHEN UP THE WORDING FOR THE MRNG UPDATE.

WILL TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT MON NGT'S FNT IN THE AFTN PCKG. WE MAY 
HAVE TO PLAY UP THE WINDS TMRW NGT, AND PSBLY THROW IN THE CHC FOR 
SOME TSTMS. NOT SURE WHETHER THE -SHRA GET INTO THE RGN LATE TMRW 
AFTN AS PER CRNT FCST, SO WE'LL ALSO TAKE A LOOK AT TIMING IN THE 
AFTN PCKG.  

BEST ENJOY THE PLEASANT WEATHER, BECAUSE THE XTNDD GUIDANCE SHOWS 
THE PNA PTRN RE-DEVELOPING BY WEEK'S END. BRADY
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HIPRES OVER ONTARIO CANADA WILL CONT TO CNTRL THE WX TODAY. LGT WIND 
AND BRIGHT SUN WILL ALLOW AFTN TEMPS TO BE ABV NRML. MAINLY CLR TNGT 
BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM APRCHS FROM THE WEST FOR MON. WRM FNT WILL 
BRING A CHANCE OF SHWRS MON AFTN...BUT BULK OF THE PCPN WILL WAIT 
FOR THE COLD FNT AND STRONG DIGGING SHRT WV MON NGT. SHRT WV TAKES A 
NEG TILT BUT REMAINS PROGRESSIVE AND SHD CLR THE AREA BY DAYBRK TUE. 
VIGOROUS SYSTEM SHD BE A GOOD RAIN PRODUCER BUT FAST MVMT WILL KEEP 
AMTS RSNBL...GNRLY LESS THAN A HALF INCH.

STRONG CAA AND UA TROF SHD MAKE FOR AN UNSTABLE DAY TUE WITH ANY 
HTG. 

XTNDD PD UNCHGD FROM PRVS FCST. LONG RANGE GFS NOW FLATTER WITH NEXT 
WEEKEND/S TROF MAKING TEMPS MORE SEASONABLE.

AVIATION...
MRNG RADIATIONAL FOG WILL GIVE WAY TO MAINLY CLR SKIES AND LGT WINDS 
TODAY AND TNGT.

.BGM...NONE.

MORFORD