FXUS64 KSJT 261603 AAA AFDSJT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 1103 AM CDT TUE OCT 26 2004 .UPDATE... THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE HEARTLAND AND HILL COUNTRY SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT OCCURRING...A FEW CELLS ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE LINE WILL HAVE LOCALIZED HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOING FOR THE AFTERNOON AS THE GROUND IS QUITE SATURATED...ESPECIALLY IN THR BIG COUNTRY. HAVE MADE A FEW UPDATES TO THE GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR INCREASED RAIN CHANCE ACROSS EASTERN COUNTIES. && .PREV DISCUSSION... ACROSS THE NORTHWEST 2/3RDS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THIS IS JUST A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE LAST NIGHTS GUIDENCE DEPICTION. OTHER THAN A FEW LOCATIONS THE QPF HAS NOT BEEN THAT GREAT AS OF YET. AT THIS TIME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER CROCKETT COUNTY AND A LARGER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ABOUT TO CROSS THE RIO GRANDE AS SHORTWAVE SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL DROP THE FLOOD WATCH EAST OF A SONORA...SAN ANGELO TO CROSS PLAINS LINE AS HEAVIEST QPF IS LIKELY TO BE TO THE WEST OF THIS LINE AND THIS IS ALSO THE AREA THAT HAS RECEIVED THE HEAVIEST RAINS IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE THE RIDGE ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STREGTHEN A LITTLE TO THE NORTHWEST AS TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST CONTINUES TO DEEPEN. THIS SHOULD CAUSE RAIN CHANCES TO GO DOWN...HOWEVER NOT TOTALLY GO AWAY AS MOST ACTIVITY IS SHIFTED TO THE NORTHWEST WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH POPS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EAST AND RAIN CHANCES GO UP ONCE AGAIN THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER DRIER AIR PUNCHES INTO THE NORTHERN COUNTIES FOR THE WEEKEND... HOWEVER WILL RETAIN SOME POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MOISTURE LOOKS TO HANG AROUND WITH THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT WAVE MOVING THROUHG LATE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. DID MAKE SOME MINOR POP TWEAKS IN THE EXTENDED TOWARDS THE LATEST TIMING. ALSO BUMPED TEMPS UP A LITTLE...MAINLY ON THE HIGHS UNTIL MONDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AND THEN ONLY WENT NEAR CLIMO. && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM WEST OF A SONORA TO SAN ANGELO TO CROSS PLAINS LINE. && $$ 08/23