Thank you, Boris, for the kind invitation to be
with you this afternoon. I’m honored to help commemorate the 70th
anniversary of the founding of the Instituto per gli Studi di
Politica Internazionale. Congratulations, and happy anniversary to
I.S.P.I. One of the reasons for your longevity is no doubt your
willingness to take on the most important topics of the day, and
it’s particularly significant that we gather here to discuss
“Transatlantic Relations One Year After the Iraq War.”
Since I arrived at NATO in August 2001, the Alliance has
weathered two significant historical events that are having -- and
will continue to have -- a profound and lasting impact on
trans-Atlantic relations. The first was, of course, the September
11 attack on the U.S. – which brought the Alliance together under
Article 5 for the first time in our history. NATO Allies reacted
by launching the most revolutionary reforms in our history,
creating quite literally, a new NATO ready to stand on the front
lines of the war on terrorism. The second events was the Iraq War,
which plunged the Alliance into a crisis of confidence and
disunity in 2003. As we meet in Milan, that crisis has subsided
and NATO has emerged strengthened in 2004 for new peacekeeping
roles in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Italy, the United States and all of our allies can be proud of
our 55-year alliance in NATO. Italy is fully engaged in NATO’s new
operations in Afghanistan and in Iraq, and in fact, Italy
sustained its first combat losses since World War II in Iraq, when
the Carabinieri Headquarters in Nassiriyah was attacked and 19
soldiers died. Our hearts went out to Italy and to the families of
those soldiers. At NATO, we well understand the sacrifices our
nations are making for democracy and security in those distant
places. While times have changed, NATO’s mission is the same today
as it was in 1949 – to defend the peace and the territories and
citizens of all allied countries. The task for NATO in 2004 is
two-fold: to advance the political and military reforms that
September 11 triggered within the Alliance, and to restore the
trans-Atlantic unity so badly strained by the Iraq War but so
essential to NATO’s success as we seek to build a peaceful world
and confront the new security challenges of our era.
NATO faces a new challenge far different than any we have
confronted before. It is not a confrontation between states as
much as a threat from failed states and small, but fanatical
terrorist groups. We see terrorism as an existential threat to all
who prize freedom and security. We must confront it, not just by
military means, but by a broad international effort to cooperate
in intelligence and law enforcement, and through diplomatic and
economic means to protect our peoples and to promote a more
peaceful future.
The surest path to success in this new campaign is to make full
use of the major institutions upon which international stability
is based -- the United Nations, the G-8, the European Union, and
NATO.
We in NATO have been hard at work, and I am pleased to report
to you that the Alliance is active, strong and fully modernized
for the challenges ahead. During the past two and half years, NATO
has accomplished the most fundamental re-tooling of the Alliance
since its creation in 1949. We have succeeded in creating a new
NATO-- different in mission, membership and capabilities than the
old Cold War NATO or even the NATO of the 1990s. NATO Allies
answered the 9/11 wake-up call, agreeing on the blueprint for the
new NATO at the Prague Summit in 2002. The full results of our
transformation efforts should be evident at NATO’s Istanbul Summit
in June 2004.
NATO’s most profound change is in our mission -- our
transformation from a defensive and static military alliance which
massed a huge, heavy army to deter a Soviet threat to Western
Europe to a more flexible, modern, and agile force focused on
responding to threats from well beyond the European continent.
Put simply, NATO’s past was focused inward, on Cold War threats
directed at the heart of Europe. NATO’s future is to look outward
to the Greater Middle East to expand security in that arc of
countries from South and Central Asia to the Middle East and North
Africa—where the new challenges to global peace are rooted.
This transition is happening as we speak. While the majority of
NATO forces are deployed today in Bosnia and Kosovo, the majority
could well be in Afghanistan and Iraq one year from now. History
has given NATO a new challenge and we are responding to it with a
new strategic vision. As Secretary of State Colin Powell said
recently: “We fight terror because we must, but we seek a better
world because we can—because it is our desire and destiny to do
so.”
The changes to NATO are most evident, most comprehensive and
most impressive in our military capability. The result is that
NATO remains today the strongest military alliance of our time.
I am proud that the majority of these reforms were proposed by
the United States. In just two years, we’ve changed NATO more than
at any time in our history. Consider the following:
-- In a major new initiative launched at the 2002 Prague
Summit, NATO Allies agreed to acquire, over time, a range of new
military capabilities necessary for the expeditionary missions far
from Europe that are our future—modern airlift and refueling,
precision-guided munitions, air-to-ground surveillance, combat
service support—redefining the way allies plan and think about our
national and collective defense.
-- In Summer 2003, NATO adopted a leaner and more flexible 21st
century military command structure, negotiated in record time. We
created a new Alliance Transformation Command in Norfolk to plug
European Allies into the revolutionary new concepts in training,
doctrine, and military technology being pioneered by the U.S.
Joint Forces Command co-located with NATO in Norfolk, Virginia.
-- In December, NATO created a new Chemical, Biological and
Nuclear Defense Battalion, spearheaded by the Czech Republic and
with the participation of 11 other Allies, to protect our civilian
populations in the event of an attack using weapons of mass
destruction.
--And in the most important and decisive shift to a 21st
century alliance, we are building a NATO Response Force, conceived
by Secretary of Defense Don Rumsfeld and already partly
operational. It will give us a powerful and quick capability to
deploy our troops within days to perform any mission -- whether
hostage rescue, humanitarian relief, or response to a terrorist
attack -- in another part of the globe. This new force will give
NATO the ability to act more quickly and decisively inside and
outside of the transatlantic sphere than ever before in its
history.
Those revolutionary changes on the military side of NATO are
complemented by equally creative political changes within the
Alliance:
-- Seven Central European countries will join NATO in late
March. This is NATO’s greatest enlargement since our founding in
1949. The old Cold War wisdom was to worry that adding new
countries would weaken the Alliance — one more country to defend.
The new wisdom is that enlargement strengthens us — one more
country to promote peace and freedom with us in the Balkans,
Afghanistan and Iraq. NATO enlargement extends our sphere of
security eastward virtually across two continents and helps to
consolidate the democratic revolution in the former Warsaw Pact
countries.
--Once the seven new members join the Alliance, forty percent
of NATO will be formerly communist countries. These new members
will refresh the spirit of the Alliance and add real value
militarily and politically to our collective strength.
-- NATO has changed in one other important respect. We know
that our greatest strategic aim is to help create, in President
Bush’s words, “a Europe whole, free, united and at
peace,”—everything Europe was not during the tumultuous twentieth
century. The emerging democratic peace in Europe is a major,
historic achievement for which NATO deserves much credit. But, a
united Europe will only be sustained if we build partnerships with
those countries outside of NATO and the EU but which are
nonetheless critical for Europe’s future, especially Russia and
Ukraine.
-- Perhaps our most important new partnership is with Russia.
We established the NATO-Russia Council in May 2002, and it is
redefining, for the better, our relations with Moscow. While the
Council is off to a good start, we can do better -- both to work
out remaining differences with Moscow over its troop presence in
Georgia and Moldova, and at the same time, to promote closer
relations between our militaries and more shared work in theatre
missile defense, counter-terrorism, and counter-proliferation.
-- The same is true of NATO’s special relationship with Ukraine
in the NATO-Ukraine Commission. Ukraine is a country of strategic
importance and the U.S. welcomes its aspiration to grow closer to
NATO over time. But for this to occur, we will need to see much
stronger and sustained initiatives for domestic and military
reform by its government.
-- The U.S. has also called for a new strategic outreach and
engagement to the countries of Central Asia and the Caucasus in
2004. We want NATO to establish offices in these countries and to
expand our political and military activities with them. This
critical region should be the new focus for Partnership for Peace
in the years ahead.
-- NATO also has a new strategic partnership with the European
Union. The U.S. supports a strong EU and a capable European
defense that is grounded in cooperation rather than in competition
with NATO. As Europe takes on more responsibility for its own
security, it is crucial that we build a useful and constructive
relationship between NATO and the EU. For the U.S., however, NATO
must remain the pre-eminent security institution binding North
America to Europe and the core of our collective efforts to keep
the peace in Europe and beyond.
These substantial changes in our military mission, membership
and partnerships have positioned NATO for an ambitious future.
But, we would be well advised to learn from the lessons of the
Iraq crisis that engulfed NATO just one year ago as we promote a
future of broader trans-Atlantic defense cooperation. It would be
tempting to sweep last year’s differences on Iraq under the rug,
close the door and look ahead, but the tensions, divisions and
damage were real and we need to account for them.
The divisions that split the Alliance in 2003 were deep and
profound. We debated the legitimate use of military power, the
tactic of pre-emption, the role of the UN in adjudicating global
conflicts, and the nature of the threat from weapons of mass
destruction. The debate at NATO was also about the role and power
of the U.S. in the world and what some Europeans perceived as the
unilateral use of that power. On our side of the Atlantic, some
Americans wondered if a divided Europe had the will and capacity
to face the most serious threats to world peace.
In the aftermath of the Iraq crisis, some pundits on both sides
of the Atlantic have argued that NATO and the future of
trans-Atlantic relations are at a turning point. They claim the
ties that have held us together for two generations since the end
of the Second World War are beginning to weaken. A few say the
transatlantic relationship will never be the same.
While Europe’s relations with America are indeed changing in
many ways, I do not believe that we are headed for a separation in
our Alliance, much less a divorce as the most strident critics
predict. I am confident that NATO will continue to recreate itself
and remain strong and purposeful for the future. We would be wise
not to overreact to the Iraq crisis for several important reasons.
First, this is not the only disagreement we’ve had with some
European countries in NATO in the last half-century and it won’t
be the last. Remember the Suez Crisis, arguments over Vietnam, the
Pershing Missile crisis of the eighties and differences over
Bosnia strategy in the early nineties. NATO survived each of these
crises by the Allies’ learning, adapting and compromising with
each other. And we emerged strengthened and changed each time.
Ours is a strong but flexible Alliance, durable enough to sustain
different points of view. NATO is, after all, a democratic
Alliance that does not require the ideological uniformity of the
Warsaw Pact to remain successful and united.
Second, there is no monolithic European movement that wants to
separate Europe from the U.S. and there is no significant group in
my country that would support such a rupture either. The great
majority of Europeans and American understand a central fact—our
security is indivisible. We need each other’s support in one
alliance to meet the challenges of the modern world.
Most of all, NATO will stay strong because our mutual interests
demand it. Europeans continue to rely on the U.S. for the nuclear
and conventional defense of the continent. Of the many issues
Europeans are debating for their new constitution, for example,
what is missing is the call for an overarching European security
umbrella to maintain peace on the continent. No such initiative is
needed because NATO and the U.S. provide that now as we will in
the future.
The United States also needs Europe. We Americans cannot
confront the global transnational threats that go under, over and
through our borders and that are the greatest challenges of our
time, without Europe. Weapons of Mass Destruction and terrorism,
the huge increase in international crime, narcotics flows,
trafficking in human beings, Global Climate Change, AIDS—there are
no unilateral solutions to these challenges. Instead, we can hope
to succeed only through multilateral cooperation with Europe.
When all is said and done, the U.S., Canada and Europe are
natural allies. We are the most like-minded peoples on the planet,
sharing a common history, common democratic values, and an
interconnected economy. NATO will stay together – in a not always
harmonious or easy marriage – because we need each other. There is
nothing more important to all of us in NATO for 2004 than healing
the rift from the Iraq crisis, re-energizing the Alliance and
moving forward together, as we have begun to do successfully since
the end of the Iraq War.
As we look ahead to 2004, with last year’s events firmly in
mind, here are the top five goals for all of us in NATO in the
months ahead.
Our first goal is to reinforce NATO’s long-term peacekeeping
role in Afghanistan. NATO has command of the UN-mandated
International Security Assistance Force in Kabul. Our Defense
Ministers decided on February 6 to move out of our Kabul command
post to build a nation-wide presence, starting with the Provincial
Reconstruction Team (PRT) led by Germany in the northern city of
Konduz. NATO is moving to create five Provincial Reconstruction
Teams (PRTs) in the next six months to bring stability to
important provincial cities. Italy has, in fact, agreed -- and
Minister Martino has made the announcement -- that it will lead
one of the new PRTs in Afghanistan. As Secretary of Defense
Rumsfeld said in Munich on February 6, the U.S. hopes NATO will
decide to take command of existing coalition PRTs in the country.
Ultimately, we hope NATO will be in a position to take over
responsibility for all military operations, including the U.S.-led
coalition – as soon as security circumstances permit.
There is no international goal more important than helping the
Afghan people to rebuild their shattered country. To be
successful, NATO will need to commit even more troops and military
resources in perhaps the most difficult mission we have ever
undertaken. Building on the success of the recent Loya Jirga, we
must help the Afghan government to extend its authority outside
Kabul and to prepare for nationwide elections. To do that, the
U.S. calls on European nations to contribute more troops and
resources to join the 13,000 American troops already there, in
order to construct a more vigorous NATO presence in the country.
Our second aim for this year is to examine how NATO might take
on a collective military role in Iraq, as Secretary Powell and
Secretary Rumsfeld have suggested in recent months. While the UN
and other international aid agencies will provide the lion’s share
of economic and humanitarian assistance, NATO can offer something
of inestimable value—security to give Iraqis the time and
confidence to make this great transition from dictatorship to a
better future. No matter our position on the war itself, Europeans
and Americans share a common interest in seeing democracy take
root in Iraq.
Italy has understood this from the outset, making generous
financial contributions to Iraq’s future at the Madrid Donors’
Conference last year. Italy is one of the three troop largest
contributors to Operation Iraqi Freedom, and regrettably, the
blood of Italian soldiers has been spilled in Iraq. But the
Italian Senate vowed that Italy would stand firm, and courageously
passed an extension on February 18 – just two days ago -- to allow
troops to remain there.
NATO can do its part by taking on a collective military mission
in 2004. The U.S. and other allies have suggested that NATO
consider taking command of the multinational division that Poland
is currently leading so successfully, once sovereignty has been
returned to a new Iraqi government after June 30. There is an
emerging consensus at NATO that our Alliance must have a
collective presence in Iraq to help confront the challenge of
peace and democracy in that country. Defining such a mission will
be a leading issue for NATO at our Istanbul Summit in June.
Third, NATO must expand its engagement with Israel and the
Moslem world to help those countries find their way toward a more
peaceful future in the Greater Middle East. The U.S. wants NATO to
be one of the building blocks for our long-term engagement in this
vast region. Italy has strongly supported NATO’s decade-old
Mediterranean Dialogue. Secretary Powell suggested to NATO Foreign
Ministers that we should transform the Mediterranean Dialogue into
a true Partnership offering military training and exercises and a
closer political relationship. We want NATO allies to combine
efforts with Moslem countries and Israel to help interdict
narcotics, stem terrorism and promote peace in that critical part
of the world. Long-term change in the Middle East will help to
attack the foundations of the terrorism crisis and give the growth
of democracy and justice a chance to take root. It is a challenge
that none of us, Europeans and Americans alike, can avoid, and
that all of us must embrace as one of the critical foreign policy
tests of our time.
Our fourth goal is to improve relations between the two great
institutions responsible for Europe’s future—NATO and the EU. Both
organizations will admit new members from Central Europe this
spring. This twin enlargement will advance our common goal of a
Europe whole, free, and at peace, and will do more than any other
initiative to integrate Europe East and West for the very first
time in Europe’s long history. In the Balkans, Italy remains the
second- largest contributor of troops to NATO’s operations and has
played a critically important role in the stabilization and
development of that region. NATO is now ready to consider
concluding our peacekeeping mission in Bosnia as a success in
December 2004. We’ve done an outstanding job there, having stopped
the war and kept the peace for nearly eight and a half years. Our
leaders will consider supporting a new EU mission under the
“Berlin Plus” framework for military cooperation agreed by the two
organizations. But the U.S. wants NATO to maintain a military
headquarters in Sarajevo to help Bosnian authorities to bring
Radovan Karadic and Ratko Mladic, two indicted war criminals, to
justice. Together, we must continue to support the transition to
stable, market-oriented democracies in Kosovo, Bosnia and
Macedonia so that the Balkans takes its rightful place in an
integrated Europe.
NATO and the EU sometimes differed in 2003 in theological
disputes over Berlin Plus, the Balkans and EU defense plans. We
can improve relations between NATO and the EU by avoiding rivalry
in the defense sphere and promoting cooperation on the most
important issue of our time—stemming the proliferation of weapons
of mass destruction. NATO, of course, should remain the core of
Europe’s defense; the United States will always defend NATO’s
centrality. The choice is not – as some in Europe would suggest --
between a Europe under the U.S. yoke, or an independent Europe. We
can instead choose a future of cooperation between NATO and the EU
that will benefit Europeans and North Americans alike, and that
will recognize and support a strengthened EU working cooperatively
with a modernized and renewed NATO.
Finally, our fifth aim this year is to elevate NATO’s relations
with Russia. Our constructive engagement with Russia, through the
NATO-Russia Council, has helped make our citizenry safer and more
secure today than at any time in the last 50 years. There is so
much NATO can do with Russia -- from search and rescue at sea to
theater missile defense to greater cooperation in the Black Sea to
joint peacekeeping. Our NATO-Russia Council is a good forum but we
can do even better. We need to set our sights higher on a closer
relationship that will put our past rivalry behind us forever.
These are our top five goals at NATO in the coming year. It is
an ambitious and vital agenda and one we must fulfill in this time
of great challenge for all of us. NATO’s prospects for achieving
such an ambitious 2004 agenda will depend on how successful we are
in removing the current major obstacles to good U.S.-European
relations.
The first of these challenges is the persistent gap in military
capabilities between the U.S. and the rest of its Allies. If NATO
is to field long-term missions in Iraq and Afghanistan and remain
in Kosovo, our European allies will need to spend more – and more
wisely -- on defense and produce more effective militaries. The
capabilities gap between the U.S. and all its allies is huge and
growing. The U.S. will spend $400 billion on defense this year;
the eighteen Allies combined around $140 billion. The problem is
not just the spending gap but the fact that the U.S., by devoting
more on research and development, is yielding far more from its
defense investments than our Allies, who still devote a
considerable portion of their budgets to territorial defenses and
high personnel costs. While not a new problem for NATO, the U.S.
has a right to know if we must continue to shoulder such a
substantial share of NATO’s defense burdens or if our allies here
in Europe will step up to their responsibilities. The U.K.,
Norway, France and others are doing their share, but I cannot say
the same of other allies whose strapped budgets are frozen or in
decline.
In addition to the technology gap between us, there is an even
more critical “usability gap.” Of Europe’s 2.4 million men and
women in uniform, only roughly three percent are now deployed on
our priority missions in the Balkans, Afghanistan, and Iraq. Italy
is currently well-represented in all three missions, and has
proven itself able to deploy its soldiers on the toughest
assignments. But elsewhere across the Alliance, there are
declining budgets, poor training and standards, and a continued
reliance on conscription that is no longer useful in the post-Cold
War world. Forces that are static, that are not ever intended for
deployment, are essentially forces that make no contribution to
NATO, and cannot be considered part of an Ally's sharing of the
NATO burden.
The European allies and Canada must do more to ensure the
usability and deployability of their forces if NATO is to succeed
in the 21st century. NATO’s most basic military challenge is not
that our forces are overstretched, but underutilized. All of us,
including the U.S., must reform our defense forces so that more of
our personnel are trained for the difficult foreign missions that
will likely be our responsibility for some years to come.
Finally, let me cite two other barriers to a healthy
transatlantic relationship that all of us must overcome in 2004
and beyond.
In my view, Europeans would do well to remember the importance
of the trans-Atlantic link as a vital feature of your future
security. I say this because there are a few leaders on the
Continent calling for Europe and the European Union to become a
counterweight to the U.S. This suggests that our future should be
one of strategic rivalry and competition—the very antithesis of
the transatlantic community we have built together since the end
of the Second World War. Such a reversal would amount to a
colossal strategic error. It would repudiate the primary factor
that has produced two generations of peace and unparalleled
security and unity in Europe—the presence of the United States
military on this continent and the existence of NATO. I do not
believe that the vast majority of Europeans would support such a
future or that it will occur. But, Europe’s responsibility to
preserve healthy transatlantic ties, it seems to me, is to reject
this competitive view of our common future and to avoid the
gratuitous anti-Americanism that was all too evident in European
public discourse during the past year.
Americans have an equal obligation to reject unilateralism and
work instead to preserve the great multilateral institutions such
as NATO that are so important for our common future. For the U.S.,
President Bush and Secretary Powell have emphasized repeatedly our
commitment to “effective multilateralism,” and have demonstrated
that convincingly by acting in concert with friends and allies to
confront crises in North Korea, Sudan, India/Pakistan and Libya in
recent months. The U.S. commitment to working within NATO has
never been more clear than in the past year.
Nonetheless, many European critics have accused the United
States of losing interest in NATO since September 11, 2001 and
using it as a toolbox. Ironically, it is the United States that
has proposed nearly all of the initiatives that have reformed
NATO’s structure and mission in the last two years. And it is the
United States that now calls for ambitious NATO deployments in
Afghanistan and Iraq. The United States has demonstrated its
genuine desire to see the new NATO act collectively. We hope now
that our European Allies will agree to use NATO as aggressively as
we wish to do in 2004 and for years to come.
It is true that acting in alliances isn’t as efficient as
acting alone. Alliances don’t move as fast, and they may
complicate our decision-making and even our tactics in the field.
But Alliances are very effective in producing sustained, long-term
commitment in the most difficult crises, as we have seen NATO do
so successfully in the Balkans.
When the new Secretary General of NATO, Jaap de Hoop Scheffer,
made his first official visit to Washington in late January,
President Bush assured him of NATO’s centrality in the U.S.
National Security Strategy. The United States will continue to
voice America’s abiding commitment to multilateralism and to NATO.
NATO’s numbers tell the story: we are a forum with 46 countries in
the Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council; a partnership with 41
countries in the Partnership for Peace; a dialogue with seven
Mediterranean states, and an alliance with 26 members. Where else
but NATO could any of us replicate this vital web of multilateral
relationships?
NATO remains today the world’s most powerful and important
alliance, dedicated to preserving peace and freedom for all of our
peoples. It took 55 years for Europeans and North Americans to
build this Alliance, which serves as our bridge across the
Atlantic, our principal forum to work together and our mutual
protection in a dangerous world. It is well worth preserving and
advancing for all the challenges ahead of us.
In President Kennedy’s words, we NATO Allies will continue to
be the “watchmen on the walls of world freedom.” We have many
challenges before us, and the U.S. remains dedicated to working
with all our Allies to keeping NATO at the center of the great
effort to build a democratic, peaceful and secure world in the
years ahead.