1 Table A1. Total Energy Supply and Disposition Summary (Quadrillion Btu per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Supply, Disposition, and Prices |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Production Crude Oil and Lease Condensate ................. 15.74 15.90 15.59 15.08 14.80 14.26 13.69 13.25 12.94 12.72 12.54 12.40 12.33 12.38 12.46 12.46 12.47 12.59 12.73 12.77 12.95 Natural Gas Plant Liquids..... 2.17 2.30 2.27 2.13 2.15 2.18 2.24 2.25 2.28 2.31 2.35 2.37 2.40 2.43 2.46 2.44 2.43 2.41 2.40 2.37 2.37 Dry Natural Gas .............. 18.47 18.61 19.15 18.72 18.83 19.13 19.59 19.76 20.00 20.31 20.58 20.79 21.09 21.31 21.49 21.41 21.32 21.17 21.01 20.89 20.83 Coal.......................... 22.23 21.74 22.09 22.32 22.53 22.76 22.98 23.18 23.36 23.56 23.89 24.09 24.35 24.62 24.97 25.51 26.04 26.72 27.45 28.02 28.78 Nuclear Power................. 6.19 6.57 6.54 6.69 6.79 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.88 6.90 6.90 6.95 6.98 6.99 7.02 7.06 7.09 7.08 7.09 7.02 6.94 Renewable Energy ............. 6.53 6.62 6.64 7.05 7.21 7.36 7.59 7.82 8.04 8.26 8.51 8.65 8.77 8.90 9.03 9.19 9.35 9.53 9.71 9.89 10.09 Total..................... 71.34 71.74 72.29 72.00 72.31 72.54 72.94 73.14 73.50 74.07 74.78 75.26 75.92 76.63 77.43 78.06 78.70 79.51 80.38 80.97 81.95 Imports Crude Oil .................... 12.78 12.45 13.17 12.88 13.62 14.56 15.32 16.40 17.18 17.74 18.21 18.27 18.36 18.35 18.37 18.34 18.35 18.26 18.25 18.17 18.02 Petroleum Products............ 4.36 3.65 4.14 5.67 5.95 6.25 6.24 6.27 6.30 6.28 6.38 6.94 7.31 7.72 8.04 8.48 8.79 9.03 9.16 9.48 9.61 Natural Gas .................. 1.46 1.67 1.85 2.15 2.42 2.57 2.70 2.82 2.98 3.04 3.10 3.15 3.20 3.26 3.39 3.52 3.69 3.87 3.97 4.19 4.28 Other Imports ................ 0.11 0.33 0.37 0.40 0.45 0.51 0.54 0.57 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.69 0.73 0.78 0.83 0.91 0.96 1.01 1.06 1.11 1.16 Total..................... 18.70 18.10 19.53 21.10 22.45 23.89 24.80 26.06 27.06 27.67 28.33 29.04 29.60 30.11 30.64 31.25 31.78 32.17 32.44 32.95 33.06 Exports Coal.......................... 2.64 2.85 2.93 3.01 3.08 3.15 3.19 3.26 3.38 3.53 3.72 3.78 3.94 4.14 4.38 4.64 4.89 5.16 5.44 5.75 6.09 Petroleum..................... 1.82 2.11 1.88 1.63 1.64 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.70 1.71 1.72 1.73 1.75 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.81 1.82 1.83 1.83 1.84 Total..................... 4.46 4.96 4.81 4.63 4.72 4.81 4.86 4.95 5.08 5.24 5.44 5.51 5.68 5.90 6.15 6.44 6.70 6.98 7.28 7.58 7.93 Net Stock Withdrawals............ -1.36 0.06 -0.19 -0.16 -0.20 -0.20 -0.12 -0.21 -0.17 -0.13 -0.13 -0.15 -0.13 -0.12 -0.12 -0.16 -0.15 -0.17 -0.17 -0.15 -0.15 Discrepancy ..................... 0.41 0.17 0.23 0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.07 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.10 -0.10 -0.14 -0.18 -0.22 -0.23 -0.26 Consumption Petroleum Products ........... 33.53 32.85 33.58 34.22 34.88 35.57 35.87 36.45 37.01 37.39 37.85 38.32 38.76 39.22 39.67 40.00 40.29 40.53 40.77 40.99 41.15 Natural Gas................... 19.31 19.99 20.90 20.80 21.18 21.62 22.20 22.50 22.89 23.27 23.54 23.85 24.17 24.48 24.75 24.84 24.92 24.93 24.86 24.98 24.99 Coal.......................... 19.11 18.92 19.20 19.35 19.52 19.68 19.88 20.02 20.11 20.17 20.30 20.45 20.58 20.66 20.79 21.03 21.32 21.72 22.15 22.47 22.88 Nuclear Power................. 6.19 6.57 6.54 6.69 6.79 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.88 6.90 6.90 6.95 6.98 6.99 7.02 7.06 7.09 7.08 7.09 7.02 6.94 Renewable Energy/Other ....... 6.50 6.78 6.82 7.25 7.46 7.66 7.91 8.15 8.38 8.61 8.88 9.02 9.17 9.32 9.47 9.68 9.88 10.08 10.29 10.50 10.72 Total....................... 84.63 85.11 87.04 88.30 89.82 91.38 92.70 94.00 95.27 96.34 97.47 98.61 99.7 100.7 101.7 102.6 103.5 104.3 105.2 106.0 106.7 Net Imports - Petroleum.......... 15.31 13.99 15.43 16.92 17.93 19.15 19.89 20.99 21.78 22.30 22.87 23.48 23.92 24.31 24.64 25.02 25.32 25.46 25.57 25.82 25.78 Prices (1991 Dollars per unit) World Oil Price ($ per bbl) .... 22.54 18.70 18.39 19.05 19.40 19.90 20.30 20.70 21.30 22.00 22.90 23.70 24.60 25.30 25.70 26.10 26.60 27.20 27.90 28.60 29.30 Gas Wellhead Price ($ per Mcf).. 1.77 1.59 1.80 1.82 1.91 2.04 2.09 2.15 2.27 2.40 2.56 2.72 2.92 3.13 3.29 3.40 3.47 3.55 3.65 3.64 3.68 Coal Minemouth Price ($ per ton) 22.52 21.49 22.51 22.81 23.03 23.62 24.15 24.74 25.01 25.85 26.79 26.47 26.84 27.17 27.44 27.90 28.36 28.79 29.38 30.14 30.97 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A2. Energy Consumption by End-Use Sector and Source (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Residential Distillate Fuel............... 0.84 0.81 1.03 1.02 0.96 0.91 0.86 0.82 0.77 0.73 0.70 0.67 0.64 0.61 0.59 0.57 0.55 0.53 0.51 0.49 0.47 Kerosene...................... 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 Liquefied Petroleum Gas....... 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.48 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.32 Natural Gas................... 4.52 4.71 4.95 4.99 5.04 5.08 5.05 5.01 4.95 4.90 4.83 4.82 4.79 4.77 4.75 4.74 4.71 4.68 4.66 4.65 4.64 Coal.......................... 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 Renewable Energy ............. 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.87 0.90 0.93 1.05 1.17 1.29 1.42 1.55 1.59 1.63 1.67 1.71 1.75 1.80 1.86 1.92 1.97 2.03 Electricity................... 3.15 3.27 3.33 3.40 3.45 3.48 3.50 3.52 3.54 3.56 3.57 3.62 3.66 3.71 3.75 3.79 3.84 3.88 3.92 3.97 4.01 Total....................... 9.83 10.14 10.69 10.90 10.95 10.98 11.02 11.05 11.07 11.11 11.14 11.16 11.18 11.21 11.23 11.28 11.32 11.36 11.41 11.48 11.55 Commercial Distillate Fuel............... 0.49 0.47 0.60 0.59 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.44 Kerosene...................... 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Motor Gasoline ............... 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 Residual Fuel................. 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 Natural Gas................... 2.76 2.81 2.98 3.01 3.06 3.08 3.10 3.12 3.13 3.15 3.17 3.18 3.20 3.21 3.22 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.24 3.25 3.25 Other ........................ 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 Renewable Energy ............. 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.37 Electricity................... 2.86 2.93 2.95 3.00 3.06 3.12 3.18 3.24 3.29 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 3.55 3.59 3.64 3.68 3.72 3.76 3.79 3.83 Total....................... 6.72 6.82 7.16 7.25 7.35 7.42 7.50 7.58 7.65 7.73 7.80 7.86 7.91 7.97 8.01 8.06 8.10 8.14 8.18 8.23 8.27 Industrial Distillate Fuel............... 1.18 1.14 0.96 1.22 1.24 1.27 1.30 1.32 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 Liquefied Petroleum Gas....... 1.61 1.74 1.82 1.86 1.93 2.00 2.05 2.10 2.14 2.18 2.22 2.26 2.30 2.34 2.39 2.43 2.46 2.49 2.51 2.52 2.53 Motor Gasoline ............... 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 Petrochemical Feedstocks...... 1.10 1.13 1.12 1.10 1.13 1.16 1.19 1.23 1.26 1.30 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.46 1.49 1.52 1.55 1.58 1.60 1.62 Residual Fuel................. 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.51 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.50 Other Petroleum .............. 3.83 3.50 3.58 3.57 3.60 3.63 3.66 3.69 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.72 3.72 3.72 3.73 3.73 3.73 Natural Gas .................. 8.47 8.89 9.28 9.20 9.34 9.57 9.69 9.82 9.97 10.13 10.21 10.26 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.32 10.35 10.37 10.44 10.50 Metallurgical Coal............ 1.04 0.90 0.94 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.02 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.83 Steam Coal ................... 1.71 1.69 1.69 1.81 1.83 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.86 1.87 1.94 2.00 1.99 1.98 Net Coal Coke Imports......... 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 Renewable Energy ............. 2.07 2.14 2.18 2.23 2.26 2.30 2.32 2.33 2.34 2.36 2.36 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.41 2.42 2.44 2.46 2.47 2.50 2.52 Electricity................... 3.23 3.21 3.28 3.27 3.34 3.43 3.53 3.63 3.74 3.85 3.97 4.07 4.16 4.25 4.34 4.43 4.51 4.60 4.67 4.74 4.81 Total....................... 24.84 24.92 25.45 26.02 26.45 27.01 27.39 27.77 28.16 28.52 28.80 29.04 29.25 29.44 29.64 29.86 30.07 30.34 30.57 30.76 30.92 Transportation Distillate Fuel............... 3.83 3.71 3.81 3.90 4.03 4.17 4.26 4.35 4.45 4.53 4.60 4.72 4.81 4.89 4.98 5.04 5.11 5.19 5.27 5.35 5.42 Jet Fuel...................... 3.13 3.02 3.10 3.20 3.33 3.45 3.51 3.61 3.72 3.77 3.85 3.95 4.03 4.12 4.22 4.30 4.38 4.40 4.47 4.52 4.57 Motor Gasoline ............... 13.58 13.49 13.62 13.74 14.03 14.25 14.43 14.57 14.73 14.88 14.99 15.11 15.21 15.32 15.46 15.56 15.65 15.73 15.80 15.86 15.91 Residual Fuel................. 1.02 1.00 0.99 1.03 1.06 1.09 1.12 1.15 1.18 1.21 1.24 1.27 1.30 1.34 1.37 1.39 1.42 1.44 1.47 1.49 1.51 Other Petroleum .............. 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 Pipeline Fuel Natural Gas..... 0.68 0.71 0.74 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.81 Compressed Natural Gas........ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 Alcohol Fuels................. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 Electricity................... 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 Total....................... 22.50 22.16 22.49 22.76 23.36 23.90 24.28 24.66 25.09 25.41 25.74 26.13 26.47 26.82 27.21 27.56 27.88 28.12 28.40 28.68 28.93 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A2. Energy Consumption by End-Use Sector and Source (Continued) (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Electric Utilities .. Distillate Fuel............... 0.09 0.08 0.10 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 Residual Fuel................. 1.14 1.08 1.16 1.01 1.01 1.07 0.91 1.04 1.14 1.19 1.30 1.37 1.47 1.56 1.59 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.57 1.57 1.53 Natural Gas................... 2.88 2.88 2.95 2.97 3.09 3.23 3.68 3.87 4.13 4.36 4.60 4.85 5.13 5.43 5.69 5.75 5.79 5.79 5.70 5.71 5.63 Steam Coal ................... 16.20 16.18 16.41 16.35 16.49 16.63 16.85 17.01 17.12 17.20 17.35 17.52 17.66 17.77 17.91 18.15 18.44 18.79 19.18 19.52 19.96 Nuclear Power................. 6.19 6.57 6.54 6.69 6.79 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.88 6.90 6.90 6.95 6.98 6.99 7.02 7.06 7.09 7.08 7.09 7.02 6.94 Renewable Energy/Other ....... 3.49 3.68 3.65 4.00 4.14 4.28 4.35 4.41 4.48 4.54 4.63 4.70 4.78 4.84 4.91 5.01 5.10 5.19 5.28 5.38 5.48 Total....................... 29.99 30.47 30.81 31.06 31.58 32.13 32.74 33.36 33.90 34.35 34.95 35.58 36.20 36.78 37.32 37.77 38.21 38.63 39.01 39.40 39.72 Primary Energy Consumption Distillate Fuel............... 6.42 6.21 6.49 6.77 6.88 7.00 7.10 7.20 7.26 7.31 7.37 7.47 7.54 7.60 7.68 7.72 7.76 7.82 7.87 7.93 7.99 Kerosene...................... 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Jet Fuel...................... 3.13 3.02 3.10 3.20 3.33 3.45 3.51 3.61 3.72 3.77 3.85 3.95 4.03 4.12 4.22 4.30 4.38 4.40 4.47 4.52 4.57 Liquefied Petroleum Gas....... 2.06 2.23 2.33 2.43 2.48 2.54 2.57 2.60 2.63 2.66 2.69 2.72 2.74 2.78 2.82 2.85 2.88 2.90 2.92 2.92 2.93 Motor Gasoline................ 13.87 13.78 13.91 14.07 14.36 14.59 14.77 14.92 15.09 15.25 15.36 15.49 15.59 15.71 15.85 15.96 16.05 16.14 16.21 16.27 16.33 Petrochemical Feedstocks...... 1.10 1.13 1.12 1.10 1.13 1.16 1.19 1.23 1.26 1.30 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.46 1.49 1.52 1.55 1.58 1.60 1.62 Residual Fuel................. 2.82 2.71 2.78 2.77 2.80 2.88 2.75 2.90 3.03 3.10 3.24 3.33 3.45 3.57 3.63 3.65 3.67 3.69 3.69 3.70 3.68 Other Petroleum .............. 4.05 3.70 3.79 3.78 3.81 3.85 3.89 3.92 3.94 3.95 3.95 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.97 3.98 3.99 3.99 4.00 4.01 4.01 Natural Gas................... 19.31 19.99 20.90 20.80 21.18 21.62 22.20 22.50 22.89 23.27 23.54 23.85 24.17 24.48 24.75 24.84 24.92 24.93 24.86 24.98 24.99 Metallurgical Coal............ 1.04 0.90 0.94 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.02 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.83 Steam Coal.................... 18.07 18.02 18.26 18.31 18.47 18.63 18.84 19.00 19.11 19.18 19.33 19.49 19.63 19.73 19.87 20.13 20.43 20.84 21.29 21.62 22.05 Net Coal Coke Imports......... 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 Nuclear Power................. 6.19 6.57 6.54 6.69 6.79 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.88 6.90 6.90 6.95 6.98 6.99 7.02 7.06 7.09 7.08 7.09 7.02 6.94 Renewable Energy/Other ....... 6.49 6.77 6.80 7.24 7.46 7.65 7.89 8.11 8.33 8.55 8.80 8.93 9.06 9.18 9.31 9.48 9.65 9.83 10.01 10.21 10.41 Alcohols...................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 Total....................... 84.63 85.11 87.04 88.30 89.82 91.38 92.70 94.00 95.27 96.34 97.47 98.61 99.7 100.7 101.7 102.6 103.5 104.3 105.2 106.0 106.7 Electricity Consumption (all sectors) ..................... 9.26 9.41 9.56 9.69 9.87 10.05 10.23 10.41 10.59 10.77 10.97 11.16 11.35 11.54 11.73 11.91 12.09 12.25 12.42 12.57 12.73 Industrial Electricity Gross Consumption........... 3.58 3.62 3.72 3.76 3.86 3.96 4.07 4.18 4.29 4.42 4.55 4.65 4.75 4.85 4.94 5.03 5.12 5.20 5.29 5.36 5.43 Self-generation - Own Use..... 0.39 0.41 0.44 0.49 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.62 Purchased Electricity......... 3.23 3.21 3.28 3.27 3.34 3.43 3.53 3.63 3.74 3.85 3.97 4.07 4.16 4.25 4.34 4.43 4.51 4.60 4.67 4.74 4.81 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A3. Energy Prices by End-Use Sector and Source (1991 Dollars per Million Btu) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Residential..................... 12.39 12.40 12.34 12.36 12.40 12.55 12.63 12.79 12.89 13.11 13.43 13.62 13.83 14.07 14.30 14.42 14.54 14.68 14.84 14.90 15.02 Primary Energy................ 6.48 6.17 6.30 6.44 6.48 6.55 6.59 6.65 6.76 6.88 7.04 7.19 7.37 7.56 7.71 7.80 7.87 7.96 8.06 8.06 8.11 Petroleum Products.......... 9.04 8.33 7.91 8.06 8.04 8.01 8.09 8.19 8.33 8.49 8.69 8.87 9.07 9.23 9.33 9.43 9.55 9.69 9.84 10.00 10.16 Distillate Fuel........... 8.08 7.34 7.07 7.18 7.20 7.19 7.25 7.34 7.46 7.59 7.76 7.92 8.09 8.23 8.31 8.38 8.48 8.59 8.72 8.86 8.98 Kerosene.................. 9.14 8.31 8.27 8.34 8.46 8.57 8.61 8.67 8.75 8.85 8.98 9.09 9.22 9.32 9.37 9.42 9.49 9.56 9.66 9.75 9.85 Liquefied Petroleum Gas... 11.20 10.38 9.96 9.87 9.75 9.61 9.68 9.79 9.94 10.13 10.34 10.54 10.77 10.95 11.05 11.16 11.29 11.44 11.61 11.78 11.95 Natural Gas................. 5.82 5.64 5.87 5.98 6.06 6.19 6.24 6.30 6.42 6.55 6.71 6.88 7.07 7.28 7.44 7.55 7.62 7.70 7.80 7.78 7.83 Steam Coal.................. 1.99 1.99 1.98 1.99 2.01 2.05 2.07 2.12 2.15 2.20 2.27 2.28 2.31 2.33 2.34 2.37 2.41 2.45 2.49 2.54 2.60 Electricity................... 23.34 23.91 24.17 23.91 23.74 23.86 23.79 23.88 23.71 23.86 24.18 24.21 24.23 24.32 24.46 24.43 24.42 24.43 24.48 24.46 24.50 Commercial...................... 12.40 12.50 12.35 12.29 12.35 12.43 12.45 12.54 12.65 12.78 12.99 13.12 13.23 13.41 13.54 13.61 13.67 13.75 13.84 13.83 13.88 Primary Energy................ 5.06 4.84 5.00 5.05 5.13 5.24 5.30 5.37 5.50 5.63 5.80 5.97 6.16 6.36 6.51 6.62 6.70 6.80 6.91 6.93 6.99 Petroleum Products.......... 6.04 5.23 5.25 5.38 5.43 5.47 5.55 5.66 5.81 5.97 6.17 6.35 6.55 6.71 6.82 6.93 7.05 7.20 7.36 7.52 7.68 Distillate Fuel........... 5.94 5.12 4.90 5.00 5.01 5.01 5.08 5.16 5.28 5.42 5.59 5.75 5.93 6.07 6.14 6.22 6.32 6.44 6.57 6.70 6.83 Residual Fuel............. 3.57 2.61 3.02 3.17 3.27 3.36 3.41 3.49 3.60 3.72 3.87 4.02 4.18 4.30 4.37 4.44 4.53 4.63 4.75 4.87 5.00 Kerosene.................. 6.96 5.83 5.81 5.98 6.10 6.22 6.26 6.32 6.41 6.51 6.64 6.76 6.89 6.99 7.05 7.11 7.19 7.27 7.38 7.48 7.58 Other Petroleum .......... 9.69 8.94 9.20 9.30 9.25 9.27 9.37 9.49 9.67 9.86 10.09 10.31 10.53 10.71 10.83 11.00 11.13 11.29 11.48 11.65 11.82 Natural Gas................. 4.84 4.80 5.01 5.04 5.12 5.26 5.30 5.37 5.49 5.61 5.78 5.94 6.14 6.35 6.51 6.62 6.69 6.78 6.88 6.86 6.91 Steam Coal.................. 1.96 1.96 1.95 1.96 1.98 2.01 2.04 2.08 2.11 2.16 2.23 2.25 2.27 2.29 2.30 2.33 2.38 2.42 2.46 2.50 2.56 Electricity................... 22.04 22.43 22.58 22.19 22.10 21.98 21.78 21.71 21.64 21.63 21.76 21.70 21.59 21.62 21.61 21.52 21.45 21.40 21.37 21.25 21.21 Industrial...................... 5.73 5.35 5.54 5.53 5.58 5.66 5.72 5.82 5.95 6.09 6.29 6.45 6.63 6.81 6.95 7.06 7.15 7.24 7.35 7.41 7.51 Primary Energy................ 4.14 3.68 3.89 3.97 4.02 4.09 4.15 4.22 4.33 4.45 4.61 4.75 4.92 5.08 5.19 5.28 5.36 5.45 5.55 5.61 5.70 Petroleum Products.......... 6.01 5.13 5.47 5.59 5.62 5.64 5.69 5.77 5.88 6.01 6.17 6.32 6.49 6.62 6.70 6.77 6.87 6.98 7.11 7.24 7.37 Distillate Fuel........... 5.94 5.01 4.85 4.95 4.96 4.96 5.02 5.10 5.22 5.36 5.53 5.68 5.86 5.99 6.07 6.15 6.24 6.36 6.49 6.62 6.75 Liquefied Petroleum Gas... 5.95 5.58 5.50 5.80 5.66 5.50 5.57 5.66 5.81 5.99 6.20 6.40 6.62 6.79 6.89 6.99 7.12 7.27 7.43 7.60 7.77 Motor Gasoline ........... 9.87 9.11 9.37 9.47 9.46 9.55 9.66 9.78 9.96 10.14 10.37 10.59 10.79 10.97 11.08 11.27 11.39 11.53 11.72 11.88 12.05 Residual Fuel............. 3.13 2.37 2.75 2.87 2.97 3.06 3.11 3.19 3.30 3.42 3.57 3.72 3.88 4.00 4.07 4.14 4.23 4.33 4.45 4.57 4.70 Other Petroleum .......... 6.14 5.08 5.66 5.80 5.89 5.96 6.01 6.07 6.16 6.26 6.40 6.52 6.66 6.76 6.82 6.88 6.95 7.04 7.15 7.26 7.37 Natural Gas ................ 2.95 2.86 3.06 3.08 3.17 3.31 3.36 3.42 3.54 3.67 3.84 4.00 4.19 4.40 4.57 4.68 4.75 4.83 4.92 4.91 4.95 Metallurgical Coal.......... 1.82 1.81 1.81 1.82 1.83 1.87 1.92 1.97 2.00 2.06 2.11 2.14 2.17 2.19 2.21 2.24 2.28 2.32 2.37 2.42 2.49 Steam Coal.................. 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.49 1.51 1.54 1.57 1.59 1.60 1.63 1.67 1.69 1.71 1.73 1.75 1.77 1.82 1.84 1.87 1.91 1.94 Electricity................... 14.74 14.81 14.93 14.75 14.75 14.83 14.79 14.83 14.90 15.02 15.21 15.29 15.37 15.51 15.63 15.68 15.71 15.76 15.80 15.74 15.80 Transportation.................. 8.92 8.13 8.29 8.43 8.43 8.48 8.56 8.65 8.79 8.95 9.14 9.32 9.50 9.65 9.73 9.86 9.96 10.09 10.24 10.38 10.52 Primary Energy................ 8.91 8.11 8.28 8.42 8.42 8.47 8.55 8.64 8.78 8.94 9.13 9.31 9.48 9.63 9.72 9.84 9.94 10.07 10.22 10.36 10.50 Petroleum Products.......... 8.91 8.11 8.28 8.42 8.42 8.47 8.55 8.64 8.78 8.94 9.13 9.31 9.49 9.63 9.72 9.85 9.94 10.07 10.22 10.36 10.50 Distillate Fuel .......... 8.98 8.15 8.31 8.74 8.76 8.75 8.82 8.90 9.02 9.16 9.32 9.48 9.65 9.79 9.87 9.94 10.04 10.15 10.28 10.41 10.54 Jet Fuel ................. 6.00 4.84 4.62 4.71 4.73 4.72 4.79 4.87 4.99 5.14 5.31 5.47 5.65 5.79 5.87 5.95 6.05 6.17 6.30 6.44 6.56 Motor Gasoline ........... 9.86 9.11 9.41 9.51 9.50 9.59 9.70 9.82 10.00 10.18 10.41 10.63 10.83 11.01 11.12 11.30 11.43 11.57 11.76 11.92 12.08 Residual Fuel............. 3.22 2.88 2.52 2.71 2.87 3.00 3.04 3.11 3.20 3.30 3.43 3.55 3.68 3.79 3.85 3.91 3.98 4.06 4.16 4.26 4.34 Other Petroleum .......... 16.49 14.87 14.85 15.00 15.09 15.16 15.20 15.26 15.35 15.45 15.59 15.70 15.84 15.95 16.00 16.06 16.14 16.23 16.33 16.44 16.54 Natural Gas ................ 4.50 6.13 6.66 7.05 7.05 7.14 7.25 7.37 7.54 7.73 7.96 8.17 8.37 8.55 8.66 8.84 8.96 9.10 9.29 9.45 9.61 Electricity................... 23.74 24.82 25.38 25.21 25.10 24.30 23.81 23.50 22.74 22.22 22.02 21.45 20.91 20.36 19.89 19.55 19.36 19.22 19.13 19.01 18.95 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A3. Energy Prices by End-Use Sector and Source (Continued) (1991 Dollars per Million Btu) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Total End-Use Energy............ 8.68 8.28 8.42 8.45 8.47 8.53 8.59 8.67 8.78 8.92 9.12 9.28 9.45 9.63 9.75 9.86 9.95 10.05 10.17 10.25 10.36 Primary Energy................ 6.58 5.99 6.16 6.25 6.29 6.36 6.43 6.51 6.64 6.79 6.97 7.14 7.32 7.49 7.61 7.72 7.82 7.92 8.05 8.15 8.26 Electricity................... 19.94 20.35 20.52 20.29 20.19 20.19 20.06 20.05 19.95 20.01 20.18 20.18 20.16 20.23 20.30 20.26 20.24 20.23 20.24 20.17 20.19 Electric Utilities Fossil Fuel Average........... 1.71 1.62 1.69 1.68 1.72 1.79 1.81 1.87 1.93 1.99 2.10 2.17 2.25 2.34 2.42 2.47 2.52 2.55 2.58 2.60 2.64 Petroleum Products.......... 3.61 2.69 3.16 3.29 3.44 3.58 3.62 3.72 3.81 3.91 4.05 4.19 4.34 4.46 4.53 4.61 4.69 4.80 4.91 5.03 5.36 Distillate Fuel........... 5.57 4.83 4.61 4.55 4.56 4.54 4.66 4.76 4.88 4.99 5.16 5.32 5.50 5.63 5.72 5.79 5.89 6.01 6.14 6.28 6.40 Residual Fuel............. 3.46 2.53 3.04 3.24 3.38 3.51 3.50 3.57 3.66 3.76 3.91 4.05 4.19 4.31 4.38 4.45 4.54 4.64 4.76 4.88 5.24 Natural Gas................. 2.38 2.11 2.41 2.35 2.46 2.60 2.63 2.70 2.85 2.98 3.18 3.35 3.57 3.79 3.99 4.13 4.22 4.32 4.42 4.42 4.47 Steam Coal.................. 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.47 1.51 1.52 1.55 1.56 1.59 1.64 1.66 1.67 1.69 1.71 1.73 1.77 1.79 1.82 1.85 1.89 Average Price to All Users .. Petroleum Products............ 7.93 7.12 7.30 7.46 7.47 7.51 7.60 7.67 7.80 7.95 8.12 8.29 8.45 8.59 8.67 8.78 8.89 9.01 9.16 9.31 9.46 Distillate Fuel ............ 8.03 7.20 7.24 7.47 7.50 7.51 7.57 7.65 7.78 7.93 8.11 8.28 8.46 8.61 8.70 8.78 8.90 9.02 9.17 9.31 9.45 Jet Fuel.................... 6.00 4.84 4.62 4.71 4.73 4.72 4.79 4.87 4.99 5.14 5.31 5.47 5.65 5.79 5.87 5.95 6.05 6.17 6.30 6.44 6.56 Kerosene.................... 8.80 7.92 7.89 8.07 8.18 8.28 8.31 8.35 8.42 8.50 8.61 8.71 8.82 8.90 8.93 8.97 9.01 9.07 9.14 9.21 9.30 Liquefied Petroleum Gas..... 7.02 6.56 6.43 6.72 6.54 6.33 6.37 6.43 6.55 6.70 6.89 7.07 7.27 7.42 7.50 7.58 7.69 7.83 7.99 8.15 8.31 Motor Gasoline ............. 9.86 9.11 9.41 9.51 9.50 9.59 9.70 9.82 10.00 10.18 10.41 10.63 10.83 11.01 11.12 11.30 11.43 11.57 11.76 11.92 12.08 Residual Fuel............... 3.33 2.65 2.81 2.97 3.10 3.23 3.23 3.31 3.42 3.52 3.67 3.81 3.95 4.07 4.13 4.20 4.28 4.37 4.48 4.59 4.79 Other Petroleum Products ... 6.62 5.52 6.08 6.23 6.33 6.41 6.45 6.51 6.61 6.71 6.85 6.98 7.12 7.23 7.30 7.36 7.44 7.53 7.64 7.76 7.87 Natural Gas................... 3.90 3.77 4.00 4.04 4.12 4.24 4.24 4.28 4.38 4.48 4.63 4.78 4.96 5.15 5.31 5.43 5.50 5.58 5.69 5.68 5.73 Coal.......................... 1.48 1.48 1.47 1.48 1.50 1.53 1.55 1.58 1.59 1.62 1.67 1.69 1.70 1.72 1.74 1.76 1.80 1.82 1.85 1.88 1.92 Electricity................... 19.94 20.35 20.52 20.29 20.19 20.19 20.06 20.05 19.95 20.01 20.18 20.18 20.16 20.23 20.30 20.26 20.24 20.23 20.24 20.17 20.19 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A4. Electricity Supply, Disposition, and Prices (Billion Kilowatthours, Unless Otherwise Noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Supply, Disposition, and Prices |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Electric Utilities Generation by Fuel Type Coal.......................... 1560 1549 1583 1576 1590 1603 1624 1640 1651 1659 1673 1690 1703 1713 1727 1738 1760 1786 1815 1841 1868 Petroleum..................... 117 111 119 97 98 104 95 111 120 126 137 145 155 165 169 169 167 167 165 165 161 Natural Gas................... 264 264 275 275 288 301 336 352 376 397 418 440 465 488 508 521 526 527 520 523 517 Nuclear Power................. 577 612 609 614 623 628 628 631 631 633 633 638 640 642 644 647 650 649 650 644 636 Pumped Storage Hydroelectric.. -2 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 293 295 285 314 318 322 325 328 330 332 335 337 339 341 342 344 345 347 348 350 351 Total....................... 2808 2823 2862 2867 2906 2948 2998 3050 3097 3135 3186 3239 3292 3337 3378 3407 3437 3466 3488 3511 3522 Net Imports..................... 2 22 25 28 33 38 38 38 39 38 39 40 41 42 43 46 47 49 51 52 54 Nonutilities .. Generation by Fuel Type Coal.......................... 33 33 37 42 46 50 51 51 51 52 52 52 53 53 53 70 84 101 121 138 164 Petroleum..................... 5 7 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Natural Gas................... 100 110 124 141 148 151 152 153 159 178 181 184 188 198 212 215 216 217 217 217 218 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 80 86 90 106 113 119 123 127 130 135 141 145 149 154 158 164 169 176 182 189 196 Total....................... 218 237 259 299 318 332 337 342 352 376 386 393 402 416 435 460 481 505 532 556 590 Sales to Utilities ............. 106 117 130 154 167 175 179 182 190 206 215 222 229 243 260 285 305 327 353 375 408 Generation for Own Use ......... 111 120 129 144 151 156 158 160 162 169 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 181 182 Electricity Sales by Sector Residential..................... 924 957 975 997 1011 1021 1027 1032 1036 1042 1047 1060 1074 1086 1099 1112 1124 1136 1149 1162 1176 Commercial/Other ............... 843 862 868 885 902 920 938 954 971 987 1003 1019 1035 1051 1066 1081 1095 1108 1120 1133 1144 Industrial...................... 946 941 960 959 980 1005 1034 1065 1096 1127 1163 1191 1219 1247 1273 1298 1323 1347 1370 1390 1410 Total......................... 2713 2759 2803 2840 2893 2946 2998 3052 3104 3157 3214 3271 3327 3383 3438 3491 3542 3592 3639 3686 3730 End-Use Prices .. (1991 cents per kilowatthour) Residential..................... 7.96 8.16 8.25 8.16 8.10 8.14 8.12 8.15 8.09 8.14 8.25 8.26 8.27 8.30 8.35 8.34 8.33 8.33 8.35 8.35 8.36 Commercial/Other ............... 7.52 7.66 7.71 7.58 7.55 7.50 7.44 7.41 7.39 7.38 7.43 7.40 7.37 7.37 7.37 7.33 7.31 7.29 7.28 7.24 7.22 Industrial ..................... 5.03 5.05 5.09 5.03 5.03 5.06 5.05 5.06 5.08 5.12 5.19 5.22 5.24 5.29 5.33 5.35 5.36 5.38 5.39 5.37 5.39 All Sectors Average........... 6.80 6.94 7.00 6.92 6.89 6.89 6.85 6.84 6.81 6.83 6.89 6.88 6.88 6.90 6.93 6.91 6.91 6.90 6.91 6.88 6.89 Price Components .. (1991 cents per kilowatthour) Capital Component............... 2.88 3.08 3.09 3.02 2.96 2.90 2.82 2.76 2.66 2.61 2.58 2.52 2.43 2.37 2.32 2.25 2.20 2.15 2.12 2.10 2.05 Fuel Component.................. 1.70 1.65 1.71 1.72 1.76 1.82 1.86 1.91 1.97 2.04 2.13 2.19 2.27 2.35 2.42 2.48 2.53 2.57 2.62 2.65 2.72 O&M Component................... 2.23 2.22 2.20 2.18 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.18 2.18 2.17 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.17 2.17 2.13 2.12 Total......................... 6.80 6.94 7.00 6.92 6.89 6.89 6.85 6.84 6.81 6.83 6.89 6.88 6.88 6.90 6.93 6.91 6.91 6.90 6.91 6.88 6.89 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A5. Electricity Generating Capability (Thousand Megawatts) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Summer Capability 1/ |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Electric Utilities Capability Coal Steam.................... 298.1 296.6 297.0 296.7 296.5 296.0 297.1 296.1 296.7 296.8 297.6 298.4 299.8 300.9 302.0 301.8 305.2 309.3 314.1 318.4 322.2 Other Fossil Steam ........... 143.8 141.4 141.3 140.8 139.3 137.6 136.5 135.3 134.7 133.0 130.9 129.5 128.1 127.3 126.0 123.8 122.8 122.3 121.3 120.6 120.2 Combined Cycle................ 5.7 5.8 6.3 8.2 9.0 9.7 9.8 10.4 11.8 13.5 14.1 16.1 18.0 20.4 24.3 30.2 31.7 32.9 33.4 34.5 35.4 Combustion Turbine/Diesel..... 46.4 47.8 48.6 49.4 51.2 54.9 57.0 60.0 62.4 65.3 68.6 70.6 71.7 73.3 74.5 76.0 76.9 77.8 78.5 79.3 80.1 Nuclear Power................. 99.6 99.6 99.0 99.0 101.3 101.3 101.4 101.4 101.4 101.4 101.4 102.6 102.5 103.1 103.1 104.4 104.4 104.4 104.4 102.4 102.4 Pumped Storage Hydroelectric.. 17.4 18.4 18.7 18.7 18.8 19.8 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 77.7 77.9 78.6 79.3 80.2 80.6 81.1 81.6 82.2 82.9 83.3 83.9 84.2 84.5 84.7 84.9 85.1 85.3 85.6 85.8 86.1 Total....................... 688.6 687.6 689.4 692.2 696.3 699.9 702.8 704.8 709.1 712.8 715.8 721.1 724.2 729.5 734.6 741.0 746.1 751.9 757.3 761.0 766.3 Cumulative Planned Additions .. Coal Steam.................... 2.85 3.49 3.99 3.99 4.53 5.68 7.90 8.40 9.92 11.14 12.41 13.21 14.39 15.80 17.23 17.62 18.23 18.48 18.73 19.07 19.07 Other Fossil Steam............ 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 Combined Cycle................ 0.13 0.24 0.70 2.69 3.50 4.16 4.29 4.90 5.97 7.64 8.30 9.44 9.44 9.63 9.63 9.63 9.81 9.81 9.81 9.81 9.81 Combustion Turbine/Diesel..... 0.68 2.22 3.00 3.85 5.61 7.83 9.30 11.97 13.76 15.57 18.26 18.81 19.27 19.52 19.66 19.72 19.80 19.80 19.80 19.80 19.80 Nuclear Power................. 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 4.62 4.62 5.79 5.79 5.79 5.79 5.79 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 Pumped Storage Hydroelectric.. 0.00 1.07 1.37 1.37 1.42 2.40 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 0.33 0.60 1.23 1.66 2.37 2.61 2.94 3.27 3.58 4.14 4.34 4.76 4.76 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.86 4.86 Total....................... 6.29 9.92 12.61 15.91 22.10 27.36 32.83 36.92 42.25 47.50 52.33 56.62 58.26 60.19 61.76 63.47 64.33 64.58 64.83 65.17 65.17 Cumulative Unplanned Additions .. Coal Steam.................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 1.11 1.67 2.22 2.78 2.78 6.11 10.56 15.56 20.00 24.45 Other Fossil Steam............ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Combined Cycle................ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.28 0.28 1.11 3.06 5.28 9.17 15.00 16.39 17.50 18.06 19.17 20.00 Combustion Turbine/Diesel..... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.56 2.17 2.56 3.22 4.28 5.06 6.72 7.72 9.33 10.89 12.33 13.22 14.11 14.78 15.61 16.44 Nuclear Power................. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 Pumped Storage Hydroelectric.. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.48 0.68 0.88 1.08 1.28 1.49 1.70 1.90 2.10 2.31 2.52 2.73 2.97 3.20 3.44 3.69 3.94 Total....................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.48 2.24 3.05 3.64 4.78 6.04 7.58 10.84 14.55 19.75 25.95 33.45 39.29 45.97 52.43 59.07 65.43 Cumulative Total Additions....... 6.29 9.92 12.61 16.18 22.58 29.60 35.87 40.56 47.03 53.54 59.91 67.46 72.80 79.93 87.72 96.91 103.6 110.5 117.3 124.2 130.6 Cumulative Retirements........... 1.44 6.05 6.94 7.68 10.02 13.39 16.77 19.51 21.71 24.53 27.87 30.12 32.33 34.16 36.90 39.64 41.24 42.37 43.74 46.97 48.04 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A5. Electricity Generating Capability (Continued) (Thousand Megawatts) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Summer Capability 1/ |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Nonutilities .. Capability Coal.......................... 7.15 7.34 7.97 9.05 9.97 10.84 10.96 11.02 11.08 11.14 11.20 11.27 11.35 11.42 11.49 14.34 16.63 19.46 22.84 25.67 30.15 Petroleum..................... 0.82 1.69 2.34 3.00 3.14 3.18 3.34 3.39 3.43 3.49 3.52 3.56 3.59 3.62 3.65 3.68 3.71 3.74 3.77 3.79 3.81 Natural Gas................... 19.29 21.35 23.90 27.08 28.49 29.16 29.28 29.39 30.53 33.76 34.42 35.10 36.00 38.01 40.84 41.44 41.78 41.84 41.91 41.98 42.03 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 15.75 17.05 18.03 21.08 22.77 23.93 24.88 25.64 26.39 27.37 28.18 28.95 29.73 30.52 31.34 32.17 33.18 34.25 35.37 36.55 37.77 Total....................... 43.01 47.44 52.24 60.21 64.38 67.11 68.46 69.44 71.43 75.75 77.33 78.87 80.67 83.57 87.32 91.64 95.31 99.3 103.9 108.0 113.8 Cumulative Planned Additions Coal.......................... 0.00 0.16 0.78 1.82 2.69 3.52 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 3.59 Petroleum..................... 0.00 0.81 1.43 2.05 2.16 2.16 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 Natural Gas................... 0.00 1.84 4.23 7.27 8.61 9.17 9.17 9.17 9.17 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.87 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 0.00 1.30 2.27 3.24 4.32 4.58 4.86 4.90 4.90 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 Total....................... 0.00 4.12 8.72 14.38 17.78 19.43 19.89 19.93 19.93 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 20.75 Cumulative Unplanned Additions Coal.......................... 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.09 0.13 0.17 0.22 0.28 0.34 0.40 0.47 0.53 0.61 0.68 0.75 3.60 5.89 8.73 12.11 14.93 19.42 Petroleum..................... 0.00 0.06 0.09 0.13 0.16 0.20 0.24 0.28 0.33 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.47 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.60 0.62 0.65 0.67 0.69 Natural Gas................... 0.00 0.22 0.37 0.52 0.59 0.71 0.82 0.93 2.07 4.60 5.26 5.94 6.84 8.85 11.68 12.29 12.62 12.68 12.76 12.82 12.88 Renewable Sources/Other ...... 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.09 2.70 3.60 4.28 5.00 5.74 6.63 7.44 8.21 8.99 9.78 10.60 11.43 12.44 13.51 14.63 15.81 17.03 Total....................... 0.00 0.31 0.51 2.82 3.59 4.67 5.56 6.49 8.48 12.00 13.57 15.12 16.91 19.82 23.57 27.89 31.55 35.55 40.15 44.23 50.02 Cumulative Additions............. 0.00 4.43 9.23 17.20 21.37 24.10 25.45 26.43 28.42 32.74 34.32 35.86 37.66 40.57 44.31 48.63 52.30 56.29 60.89 64.98 70.76 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A6. Renewable Energy (Quadrillion Btu per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Electricity and Nonelectric |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Electricity Capability (gigawatts) Conventional Hydropower....... 75.07 75.25 75.77 76.13 76.36 76.57 76.61 76.73 76.79 76.86 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 76.87 Geothermal.................... 2.58 2.51 2.55 2.92 3.29 3.67 4.00 4.34 4.67 4.85 5.18 5.51 5.85 6.18 6.51 6.85 7.18 7.51 7.85 8.18 8.51 Municipal Solid Waste......... 2.01 2.72 2.84 4.24 4.89 5.17 5.63 5.85 6.09 6.38 6.69 6.95 7.23 7.53 7.85 8.18 8.71 9.30 9.94 10.64 11.40 Biomass/Other Waste........... 6.01 6.14 6.34 6.91 7.16 7.43 7.47 7.54 7.58 7.62 7.65 7.69 7.72 7.75 7.79 7.83 7.87 7.91 7.96 8.01 8.06 Solar Thermal................. 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.39 0.44 0.50 0.56 0.62 0.69 1.26 1.32 1.38 1.44 1.50 1.57 1.63 1.69 1.75 1.81 1.87 1.93 Solar Photovoltaic............ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Wind.......................... 1.41 1.50 1.49 1.77 2.10 2.37 2.65 2.93 3.20 3.28 3.56 3.83 4.11 4.39 4.67 4.95 5.22 5.50 5.78 6.06 6.33 Total....................... 87.43 88.46 89.32 92.38 94.25 95.71 96.93 98.01 99.0 100.2 101.3 102.2 103.2 104.2 105.3 106.3 107.5 108.8 110.2 111.6 113.1 Generation (billion kilowatthrs) Conventional Hydropower....... 287.9 289.6 306.5 307.6 308.6 309.4 308.6 308.6 308.6 308.6 308.2 307.9 307.7 307.5 307.3 307.1 307.0 306.8 306.7 306.6 306.5 Geothermal.................... 15.46 13.65 13.60 16.02 18.45 20.82 24.51 26.84 29.18 31.57 34.63 37.09 39.54 42.00 44.46 49.02 51.62 54.23 56.83 59.44 62.05 Municipal Solid Waste......... 10.45 9.67 9.22 16.76 17.16 18.28 18.85 19.85 21.00 22.63 24.33 25.81 27.41 29.15 31.03 33.03 36.34 40.11 44.25 48.76 53.67 Biomass/Other Waste........... 31.48 33.34 35.07 40.04 44.06 46.79 48.93 50.12 51.13 52.54 52.84 53.55 54.23 54.86 55.48 55.93 56.51 57.06 57.61 58.19 58.70 Solar Thermal................. 0.66 0.53 0.52 0.65 0.77 0.90 1.02 1.15 1.28 1.64 2.19 2.35 2.51 2.67 2.84 2.98 3.14 3.30 3.46 3.63 3.79 Solar Photovoltaic............ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wind.......................... 2.25 3.02 3.00 3.48 3.95 4.44 4.91 5.38 5.85 6.27 9.08 9.74 10.41 11.07 11.74 12.75 13.44 14.13 14.82 15.51 16.20 Total....................... 348.2 349.8 367.9 384.6 393.0 400.6 406.8 412.0 417.0 423.3 431.3 436.5 441.8 447.3 452.9 460.8 468.0 475.7 483.7 492.1 500.9 Consumption/Displacement Conventional Hydropower....... 2.99 3.01 3.19 3.20 3.21 3.22 3.21 3.21 3.21 3.21 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 3.19 Geothermal.................... 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.19 0.22 0.25 0.28 0.30 0.33 0.36 0.39 0.41 0.44 0.46 0.51 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.62 0.64 Municipal Solid Waste......... 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.38 0.42 0.46 0.51 0.56 Biomass/Other Waste........... 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.41 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.61 Solar Thermal................. 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 Solar Photovoltaic............ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wind.......................... 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 Total....................... 3.62 3.63 3.82 3.99 4.08 4.16 4.22 4.28 4.33 4.39 4.48 4.53 4.59 4.64 4.70 4.79 4.86 4.94 5.02 5.11 5.20 Nonelectric Renewable Energy Residential, Commercial, and Industrial Geothermal.................... 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.09 0.15 0.21 0.27 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.41 Biofuels...................... 2.58 2.63 2.67 2.70 2.74 2.79 2.83 2.88 2.92 2.96 3.01 3.05 3.09 3.14 3.19 3.24 3.29 3.35 3.41 3.47 3.54 Solar Thermal................. 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.13 0.18 0.23 0.28 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.41 0.43 Transportation Ethanol....................... 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 Total....................... 2.70 2.79 2.84 2.89 2.94 2.99 3.15 3.32 3.47 3.62 3.78 3.85 3.91 3.98 4.05 4.13 4.22 4.32 4.41 4.51 4.62 Total Renewable Energy............ 6.32 6.42 6.66 6.88 7.02 7.15 7.37 7.60 7.80 8.01 8.26 8.38 8.50 8.63 8.76 8.92 9.08 9.26 9.44 9.63 9.82 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A7. Macroeconomic Indicators (Billion 1987 Dollars, Unless Otherwise Noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ GDP Implicit Price Deflator (index 1987=1.000)................ 1.129 1.170 1.200 1.244 1.281 1.320 1.365 1.414 1.467 1.523 1.585 1.653 1.725 1.799 1.876 1.956 2.041 2.130 2.224 2.325 2.432 Real Gross Domestic Product....... 4885 4849 4951 5096 5241 5392 5525 5654 5800 5927 6051 6185 6308 6433 6565 6692 6815 6939 7057 7172 7287 Real Disposable Personal Income... 3538 3535 3604 3677 3798 3895 3974 4044 4124 4208 4281 4352 4420 4495 4583 4669 4747 4821 4895 4968 5041 Index of Manufacturing Gross Output (index 1987=1.000)........ 1.030 1.025 1.028 1.067 1.103 1.139 1.177 1.218 1.266 1.308 1.353 1.394 1.433 1.474 1.512 1.545 1.580 1.613 1.642 1.669 1.694 AA Utility Bond Rate (percent).... 9.66 9.10 8.70 9.17 9.27 9.22 9.22 8.91 8.84 8.86 8.89 8.89 8.90 8.92 8.91 8.88 8.86 8.83 8.81 8.80 8.79 90-Day U.S. Government Treasury Bill Rate (percent)...... 7.49 5.37 3.76 5.61 6.14 6.30 6.36 5.89 5.85 5.80 5.79 5.78 5.77 5.75 5.71 5.68 5.67 5.66 5.65 5.63 5.63 Energy Intensity (thousand Btu per 1987 dollar of GDP)........... 17.33 17.55 17.58 17.33 17.14 16.95 16.78 16.63 16.42 16.25 16.11 15.94 15.80 15.65 15.49 15.33 15.19 15.04 14.90 14.77 14.64 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A8. Petroleum Supply and Disposition Balance (Million Barrels per Day, Unless Otherwise Noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Supply and Disposition |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ World Oil Price (1991 $/bbl) ... 22.54 18.70 18.39 19.05 19.40 19.90 20.30 20.70 21.30 22.00 22.90 23.70 24.60 25.30 25.70 26.10 26.60 27.20 27.90 28.60 29.30 Production Crude Oil .................... 7.35 7.42 7.20 6.94 6.79 6.52 6.22 6.00 5.84 5.72 5.60 5.54 5.50 5.50 5.51 5.50 5.50 5.54 5.57 5.59 5.66 Alaska...................... 1.77 1.80 1.71 1.57 1.46 1.33 1.22 1.14 1.08 1.02 0.93 0.85 0.79 0.74 0.70 0.67 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.69 0.74 Lower 48.................... 5.58 5.62 5.49 5.38 5.33 5.18 5.00 4.86 4.76 4.70 4.67 4.69 4.71 4.76 4.81 4.84 4.85 4.87 4.88 4.90 4.92 Natural Gas Plant Liquids..... 1.56 1.66 1.63 1.54 1.55 1.57 1.61 1.62 1.64 1.67 1.69 1.71 1.73 1.75 1.76 1.76 1.75 1.74 1.72 1.71 1.71 Other Domestic ............... 0.08 0.09 0.15 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.45 Processing Gain .............. 0.68 0.71 0.68 0.64 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 Total....................... 9.68 9.88 9.66 9.30 9.19 8.97 8.73 8.58 8.48 8.41 8.34 8.31 8.30 8.34 8.38 8.39 8.38 8.43 8.46 8.48 8.57 Imports (including SPR) .. Crude Oil..................... 5.89 5.78 6.10 5.98 6.32 6.76 7.09 7.61 7.98 8.24 8.43 8.48 8.52 8.52 8.51 8.52 8.52 8.48 8.45 8.44 8.37 Refined Products.............. 2.13 1.80 2.04 2.80 2.94 3.09 3.08 3.10 3.12 3.10 3.15 3.43 3.62 3.82 3.97 4.20 4.35 4.46 4.52 4.69 4.75 Total....................... 8.02 7.58 8.14 8.78 9.27 9.85 10.17 10.71 11.09 11.34 11.58 11.91 12.14 12.34 12.47 12.71 12.86 12.94 12.97 13.13 13.12 Exports Crude Oil..................... 0.11 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 Refined Products.............. 0.75 0.88 0.79 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 Total....................... 0.85 1.00 0.89 0.77 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.87 Net Imports (including SPR)..... 7.17 6.58 7.25 8.01 8.49 9.06 9.38 9.92 10.29 10.53 10.77 11.09 11.31 11.50 11.63 11.86 12.01 12.08 12.10 12.26 12.24 Primary Stock Changes Net Withdrawals .............. -0.11 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 SPR Fill Rate Additions(-) ... -0.02 0.05 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 Total Primary Supply ........... 16.72 16.48 16.85 17.27 17.61 17.96 18.07 18.41 18.69 18.88 19.06 19.35 19.56 19.79 19.97 20.19 20.35 20.47 20.53 20.70 20.78 Unaccounted for Crude........... 0.26 0.19 0.24 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Refined Petroleum Products Supplied Motor Gasoline ............... 7.23 7.19 7.24 7.34 7.49 7.61 7.68 7.78 7.87 7.95 7.99 8.08 8.13 8.19 8.24 8.32 8.37 8.42 8.43 8.49 8.52 Jet Fuel ..................... 1.52 1.47 1.50 1.56 1.62 1.68 1.70 1.75 1.81 1.83 1.87 1.92 1.96 2.01 2.05 2.09 2.13 2.14 2.17 2.20 2.23 Distillate Fuel............... 3.02 2.92 3.04 3.19 3.24 3.29 3.33 3.39 3.42 3.44 3.45 3.51 3.55 3.58 3.60 3.63 3.65 3.68 3.69 3.73 3.76 Residual Fuel................. 1.23 1.18 1.21 1.21 1.22 1.26 1.20 1.26 1.32 1.35 1.41 1.45 1.50 1.56 1.58 1.59 1.60 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 Other ........................ 3.98 3.98 4.08 4.17 4.23 4.31 4.35 4.41 4.46 4.50 4.52 4.57 4.61 4.65 4.69 4.74 4.78 4.81 4.83 4.86 4.87 Total....................... 16.99 16.74 17.07 17.45 17.79 18.15 18.26 18.60 18.88 19.07 19.25 19.54 19.75 19.98 20.15 20.38 20.53 20.65 20.72 20.89 20.96 Refined Petroleum Products Supplied Residential and Commercial.... 1.15 1.15 1.32 1.37 1.32 1.28 1.23 1.19 1.15 1.11 1.08 1.05 1.02 0.99 0.97 0.95 0.92 0.90 0.88 0.86 0.84 Industrial ................... 4.34 4.28 4.28 4.49 4.59 4.70 4.77 4.86 4.93 4.98 5.02 5.09 5.13 5.19 5.24 5.31 5.36 5.40 5.42 5.46 5.48 Transportation................ 10.97 10.79 10.91 11.13 11.41 11.67 11.82 12.03 12.23 12.38 12.50 12.72 12.87 13.02 13.16 13.33 13.47 13.57 13.65 13.79 13.89 Electric Utilities ........... 0.54 0.51 0.55 0.46 0.47 0.50 0.45 0.53 0.57 0.59 0.65 0.68 0.73 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.75 Total....................... 16.99 16.74 17.07 17.45 17.79 18.15 18.26 18.60 18.88 19.07 19.25 19.54 19.75 19.98 20.15 20.38 20.53 20.65 20.72 20.89 20.96 Discrepancy .................... -0.01 -0.06 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Net Disposition................. 16.98 16.68 17.08 17.45 17.79 18.15 18.26 18.60 18.88 19.07 19.25 19.54 19.75 19.98 20.15 20.38 20.53 20.65 20.72 20.89 20.96 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A9. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices (Trillion Cubic Feet per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Supply, Disposition, and Prices |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Production Dry Gas Production ........... 17.81 17.93 18.47 18.05 18.16 18.45 18.90 19.07 19.30 19.60 19.86 20.07 20.35 20.56 20.74 20.65 20.55 20.40 20.25 20.13 20.07 Synthetic Natural Gas ........ 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 Net Imports..................... 1.45 1.62 1.79 2.08 2.35 2.49 2.61 2.74 2.89 2.95 3.00 3.05 3.10 3.17 3.29 3.42 3.58 3.75 3.85 4.06 4.15 Net Storage Withdrawals ........ -0.51 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Supply.................... 18.85 19.75 20.37 20.24 20.62 21.04 21.62 21.91 22.28 22.64 22.97 23.22 23.56 23.83 24.14 24.18 24.26 24.29 24.23 24.33 24.36 Consumption by Sector Residential................... 4.38 4.57 4.80 4.84 4.89 4.93 4.90 4.86 4.80 4.75 4.69 4.67 4.65 4.63 4.61 4.59 4.57 4.54 4.52 4.51 4.50 Commercial.................... 2.67 2.72 2.89 2.92 2.96 2.99 3.01 3.02 3.04 3.06 3.07 3.09 3.10 3.11 3.12 3.13 3.13 3.14 3.14 3.15 3.16 Industrial ................... 6.98 7.38 7.74 7.77 7.90 8.10 8.20 8.30 8.44 8.58 8.63 8.67 8.68 8.67 8.66 8.66 8.70 8.73 8.76 8.82 8.87 Electric Utilities ........... 2.79 2.80 2.86 2.88 3.00 3.13 3.57 3.75 4.00 4.23 4.46 4.70 4.97 5.26 5.52 5.58 5.62 5.61 5.53 5.54 5.46 Lease and Plant Fuel ......... 1.24 1.24 1.26 1.15 1.16 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.28 1.30 1.31 1.32 1.32 1.31 1.31 1.30 1.30 1.31 Pipeline Fuel................. 0.66 0.68 0.71 0.61 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.72 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.77 0.78 Transportation ............... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.15 Total....................... 18.73 19.39 20.27 20.17 20.54 20.97 21.54 21.83 22.20 22.57 22.83 23.14 23.44 23.75 24.01 24.09 24.17 24.18 24.11 24.23 24.24 Discrepancy .................... 0.12 0.36 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.14 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.13 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.09 0.12 Average Wellhead Price (1991 $ per thousand cubic feet)....... 1.77 1.59 1.80 1.82 1.91 2.04 2.09 2.15 2.27 2.40 2.56 2.72 2.92 3.13 3.29 3.40 3.47 3.55 3.65 3.64 3.68 Delivered Prices (1991 Dollars per thousand cubic feet) Residential.................. 6.00 5.82 6.05 6.16 6.25 6.39 6.43 6.50 6.62 6.75 6.92 7.09 7.29 7.50 7.68 7.79 7.86 7.94 8.04 8.02 8.07 Commercial................... 4.99 4.95 5.16 5.19 5.28 5.42 5.47 5.53 5.66 5.79 5.96 6.13 6.33 6.54 6.72 6.83 6.90 6.99 7.09 7.08 7.12 Industrial................... 3.04 2.94 3.16 3.18 3.27 3.41 3.46 3.53 3.65 3.79 3.96 4.12 4.32 4.54 4.71 4.82 4.89 4.98 5.08 5.06 5.11 Electric Utilities........... 2.46 2.18 2.48 2.42 2.53 2.68 2.72 2.78 2.94 3.07 3.27 3.45 3.68 3.91 4.11 4.26 4.35 4.45 4.56 4.56 4.61 Transportation............... 4.64 6.32 6.86 7.27 7.26 7.36 7.47 7.59 7.78 7.97 8.20 8.43 8.63 8.81 8.93 9.11 9.24 9.38 9.57 9.74 9.91 Average .................. 4.03 3.89 4.13 4.16 4.25 4.37 4.37 4.42 4.52 4.62 4.78 4.93 5.11 5.31 5.48 5.60 5.67 5.76 5.87 5.85 5.91 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A10. Coal Supply, Disposition, and Prices (Million Short Tons per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Supply, Disposition, and Prices |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Production .. East of the Mississippi....... 630 591 626 639 643 645 645 647 642 645 655 656 662 665 669 679 695 717 735 751 770 West of the Mississippi....... 399 405 412 404 412 420 431 439 452 457 470 480 486 496 510 525 542 552 567 577 591 Total....................... 1029 996 1039 1043 1054 1065 1076 1086 1094 1102 1125 1136 1148 1161 1178 1204 1237 1269 1302 1327 1362 Net Imports Imports........................ 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 11 Exports........................ 106 109 112 115 118 121 123 126 130 136 144 146 152 160 169 180 189 199 210 222 235 Total......................... -103 -106 -108 -111 -113 -117 -118 -120 -124 -130 -137 -139 -145 -152 -160 -170 -179 -189 -200 -211 -224 Net Storage Withdrawals ........ -27 1 -3 -3 -2 -2 -2 -1 -1 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -3 -3 -4 -5 -3 -4 Total Supply ................... 899 891 928 930 939 947 957 965 969 971 986 996 1003 1008 1017 1031 1055 1075 1098 1113 1134 Consumption by Sector Residential and Commercial.... 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Industrial ................... 76 75 79 85 86 87 87 87 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 87 88 91 94 94 93 Coking Plants................. 39 34 35 39 39 40 39 38 38 37 37 36 36 35 35 34 33 33 32 32 31 Electric Utilities ........... 774 772 807 801 808 815 826 835 840 844 859 869 877 883 892 906 929 947 967 984 1006 Total....................... 895 888 929 931 940 947 958 965 970 972 987 997 1004 1010 1018 1032 1056 1077 1099 1115 1135 Discrepancy .................... 4 4 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 Average Minemouth Price .. (1991 Dollars per short ton)... 22.52 21.49 22.51 22.81 23.03 23.62 24.15 24.74 25.01 25.85 26.79 26.47 26.84 27.17 27.44 27.90 28.36 28.79 29.38 30.14 30.97 Delivered Prices (1991 Dollars per short ton) Residential and Commercial.... 51.63 48.84 46.27 46.47 47.06 48.06 48.89 49.67 50.45 51.50 52.62 52.28 53.57 53.56 54.25 54.77 55.43 56.37 57.18 57.95 59.06 Industrial.................... 34.77 33.26 31.59 32.01 32.36 32.84 33.39 33.90 34.49 35.15 35.94 36.36 36.78 37.16 37.49 38.02 38.65 39.05 39.65 40.48 41.22 Coking Plants................. 49.40 48.88 48.17 48.39 48.76 49.86 51.11 52.31 53.23 54.71 55.94 56.81 57.52 58.12 58.79 59.58 60.52 61.54 62.87 64.24 66.08 Electric Utilities............ 31.52 30.08 29.39 29.71 30.06 30.77 31.07 31.60 31.80 32.47 33.20 33.44 33.72 34.05 34.25 34.68 35.16 35.58 36.13 36.76 37.49 Average .................... 32.72 31.20 30.41 30.82 31.17 31.87 32.21 32.74 32.98 33.67 34.40 34.65 34.93 35.26 35.46 35.88 36.35 36.76 37.32 37.95 38.68 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A11. Yearly Supply and Disposition of Total Energy, Supply Detail (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Total Supply |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ World Oil Price.................. 22.54 18.70 18.39 19.05 19.40 19.90 20.30 20.70 21.30 22.00 22.90 23.70 24.60 25.30 25.70 26.10 26.60 27.20 27.90 28.60 29.30 Domestic Production Oil............................ 17.91 18.20 17.86 17.22 16.95 16.44 15.93 15.50 15.22 15.04 14.90 14.77 14.73 14.81 14.91 14.90 14.90 15.00 15.13 15.14 15.32 Natural Gas.................... 18.47 18.61 19.15 18.72 18.83 19.13 19.59 19.76 20.00 20.31 20.58 20.79 21.09 21.31 21.49 21.41 21.32 21.17 21.01 20.89 20.83 Coal........................... 22.23 21.74 22.09 22.32 22.53 22.76 22.98 23.18 23.36 23.56 23.89 24.09 24.35 24.62 24.97 25.51 26.04 26.72 27.45 28.02 28.78 Nuclear Power.................. 6.19 6.57 6.54 6.69 6.79 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.88 6.90 6.90 6.95 6.98 6.99 7.02 7.06 7.09 7.08 7.09 7.02 6.94 Renewable Energy............... 6.53 6.62 6.64 7.05 7.21 7.36 7.59 7.82 8.04 8.26 8.51 8.65 8.77 8.90 9.03 9.19 9.35 9.53 9.71 9.89 10.09 Total Domestic Production.... 71.34 71.74 72.29 72.00 72.31 72.54 72.94 73.14 73.50 74.07 74.78 75.26 75.92 76.63 77.43 78.06 78.70 79.51 80.38 80.97 81.95 Imports Oil............................ 17.13 16.10 17.31 18.55 19.58 20.81 21.56 22.67 23.48 24.01 24.59 25.21 25.67 26.07 26.42 26.83 27.14 27.29 27.41 27.65 27.62 Natural Gas.................... 1.46 1.67 1.85 2.15 2.42 2.57 2.70 2.82 2.98 3.04 3.10 3.15 3.20 3.26 3.39 3.52 3.69 3.87 3.97 4.19 4.28 Coal........................... 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 Net Coal Coke Imports.......... 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 Electricity.................... 0.02 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.34 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.56 Alcohol Fuels.................. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 Total Imports................ 18.70 18.10 19.53 21.10 22.45 23.89 24.80 26.06 27.06 27.67 28.33 29.04 29.60 30.11 30.64 31.25 31.78 32.17 32.44 32.95 33.06 Net Storage Withdrawals Oil............................ -0.23 -0.07 -0.09 -0.04 -0.11 -0.11 -0.03 -0.13 -0.10 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.02 Natural Gas.................... -0.53 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coal........................... -0.57 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.05 -0.06 -0.09 -0.10 -0.06 -0.08 SPR Fill Rate Additions (-).... -0.03 0.10 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 Net Stock Withdrawals........ -1.36 0.06 -0.19 -0.16 -0.20 -0.20 -0.12 -0.21 -0.17 -0.13 -0.13 -0.15 -0.13 -0.12 -0.12 -0.16 -0.15 -0.17 -0.17 -0.15 -0.15 Available Supply Oil............................ 34.82 34.23 35.08 35.72 36.42 37.13 37.46 38.04 38.60 38.98 39.43 39.92 40.35 40.82 41.29 41.67 42.00 42.26 42.52 42.75 42.92 Natural Gas.................... 19.40 20.36 21.00 20.87 21.26 21.70 22.29 22.59 22.97 23.35 23.68 23.94 24.29 24.57 24.89 24.93 25.01 25.04 24.98 25.08 25.11 Coal........................... 21.75 21.78 22.14 22.37 22.60 22.84 23.09 23.31 23.54 23.76 24.09 24.31 24.60 24.91 25.28 25.81 26.36 27.03 27.76 28.39 29.14 Nuclear Power.................. 6.19 6.57 6.54 6.69 6.79 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.88 6.90 6.90 6.95 6.98 6.99 7.02 7.06 7.09 7.08 7.09 7.02 6.94 Other Supply................... 6.56 6.85 6.89 7.33 7.55 7.75 7.99 8.23 8.45 8.67 8.93 9.08 9.23 9.38 9.53 9.74 9.94 10.15 10.35 10.58 10.80 SPR Fill Rate Additions (-).... -0.03 0.10 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 Total Supply (before adjustments)................... 88.67 89.90 91.62 92.93 94.56 96.22 97.61 98.99 100.4 101.6 103.0 104.2 105.4 106.6 107.9 109.2 110.3 111.5 112.7 113.8 114.9 Adjustments.................... 0.41 0.17 0.23 0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.07 -0.03 -0.05 -0.05 -0.10 -0.10 -0.14 -0.18 -0.22 -0.23 -0.26 Total Supply..................... 89.09 90.07 91.85 92.94 94.54 96.19 97.56 98.95 100.3 101.6 102.9 104.1 105.3 106.6 107.8 109.1 110.2 111.3 112.4 113.5 114.6 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A12. Yearly Supply and Disposition of Total Energy, Disposition Detail (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Total Disposition |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Exports Oil............................ 1.82 2.11 1.88 1.63 1.64 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.70 1.71 1.72 1.73 1.75 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.81 1.82 1.83 1.83 1.84 Coal........................... 2.64 2.85 2.93 3.01 3.08 3.15 3.19 3.26 3.38 3.53 3.72 3.78 3.94 4.14 4.38 4.64 4.89 5.16 5.44 5.75 6.09 Total Exports................ 4.46 4.96 4.81 4.63 4.72 4.81 4.86 4.95 5.08 5.24 5.44 5.51 5.68 5.90 6.15 6.44 6.70 6.98 7.28 7.58 7.93 Consumption Residential and Commercial Oil.......................... 2.18 2.17 2.53 2.59 2.50 2.41 2.32 2.24 2.16 2.09 2.03 1.97 1.91 1.86 1.81 1.77 1.73 1.68 1.65 1.61 1.57 Natural Gas.................. 7.28 7.52 7.93 8.00 8.10 8.16 8.15 8.12 8.08 8.05 8.00 8.00 7.99 7.98 7.97 7.96 7.94 7.92 7.90 7.90 7.89 Coal......................... 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 Renewable Energy............. 0.93 0.94 0.97 1.01 1.05 1.08 1.22 1.37 1.51 1.65 1.80 1.85 1.90 1.94 1.99 2.05 2.12 2.19 2.26 2.33 2.41 Electricity.................. 6.02 6.19 6.27 6.41 6.51 6.61 6.69 6.76 6.83 6.90 6.97 7.07 7.16 7.25 7.34 7.43 7.52 7.60 7.68 7.76 7.84 Total...................... 16.56 16.96 17.85 18.15 18.30 18.39 18.52 18.63 18.72 18.83 18.94 19.02 19.09 19.17 19.24 19.33 19.42 19.50 19.59 19.71 19.83 Industrial Oil.......................... 8.32 8.08 8.06 8.46 8.62 8.80 8.95 9.09 9.21 9.30 9.38 9.47 9.55 9.64 9.74 9.83 9.91 9.99 10.05 10.09 10.12 Natural Gas.................. 8.47 8.89 9.28 9.20 9.34 9.57 9.69 9.82 9.97 10.13 10.21 10.26 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.32 10.35 10.37 10.44 10.50 Coal......................... 2.75 2.60 2.64 2.85 2.88 2.91 2.89 2.87 2.85 2.84 2.82 2.80 2.78 2.77 2.75 2.76 2.76 2.81 2.85 2.83 2.81 Net Coal Coke Imports........ 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 Renewable Energy............. 2.07 2.14 2.18 2.23 2.26 2.30 2.32 2.33 2.34 2.36 2.36 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.41 2.42 2.44 2.46 2.47 2.50 2.52 Electricity.................. 3.23 3.21 3.28 3.27 3.34 3.43 3.53 3.63 3.74 3.85 3.97 4.07 4.16 4.25 4.34 4.43 4.51 4.60 4.67 4.74 4.81 Total...................... 24.84 24.92 25.45 26.02 26.45 27.01 27.39 27.77 28.16 28.52 28.80 29.04 29.25 29.44 29.64 29.86 30.07 30.34 30.57 30.76 30.92 Transportation Oil.......................... 21.80 21.44 21.74 22.11 22.69 23.21 23.57 23.93 24.34 24.65 24.97 25.33 25.64 25.96 26.31 26.59 26.87 27.08 27.31 27.53 27.74 Natural Gas.................. 0.68 0.71 0.74 0.63 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.74 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.81 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.93 0.96 Coal......................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alcohols..................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 Electricity.................. 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 Total...................... 22.50 22.16 22.49 22.76 23.36 23.90 24.28 24.66 25.09 25.41 25.74 26.13 26.47 26.82 27.21 27.56 27.88 28.12 28.40 28.68 28.93 Total Non-Utility Consumption.. 63.90 64.05 65.79 66.94 68.11 69.30 70.19 71.05 71.96 72.77 73.48 74.19 74.81 75.43 76.10 76.75 77.37 77.96 78.56 79.14 79.68 Less Total Electricity Consumption.................... 9.26 9.41 9.56 9.69 9.87 10.05 10.23 10.41 10.59 10.77 10.97 11.16 11.35 11.54 11.73 11.91 12.09 12.25 12.42 12.57 12.73 Total Non-Utility Consumption (excluding electricity).... 54.64 54.63 56.23 57.25 58.24 59.25 59.96 60.64 61.37 62.00 62.52 63.03 63.46 63.89 64.37 64.84 65.29 65.71 66.14 66.57 66.95 Electric Utilities Oil............................ 1.23 1.16 1.26 1.05 1.07 1.14 1.02 1.20 1.29 1.34 1.47 1.55 1.66 1.76 1.80 1.80 1.78 1.78 1.76 1.76 1.72 Natural Gas.................... 2.88 2.88 2.95 2.97 3.09 3.23 3.68 3.87 4.13 4.36 4.60 4.85 5.13 5.43 5.69 5.75 5.79 5.79 5.70 5.71 5.63 Coal........................... 16.20 16.18 16.41 16.35 16.49 16.63 16.85 17.01 17.12 17.20 17.35 17.52 17.66 17.77 17.91 18.15 18.44 18.79 19.18 19.52 19.96 Nuclear Power.................. 6.19 6.57 6.54 6.69 6.79 6.85 6.84 6.87 6.88 6.90 6.90 6.95 6.98 6.99 7.02 7.06 7.09 7.08 7.09 7.02 6.94 Renewable Energy/Other......... 3.49 3.68 3.65 4.00 4.14 4.28 4.35 4.41 4.48 4.54 4.63 4.70 4.78 4.84 4.91 5.01 5.10 5.19 5.28 5.38 5.48 Total Utility Consumption.... 29.99 30.47 30.81 31.06 31.58 32.13 32.74 33.36 33.90 34.35 34.95 35.58 36.20 36.78 37.32 37.77 38.21 38.63 39.01 39.40 39.72 Total Disposition................ 89.09 90.07 91.85 92.94 94.54 96.19 97.56 98.95 100.3 101.6 102.9 104.1 105.3 106.6 107.8 109.1 110.2 111.3 112.4 113.5 114.6 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A13. Petroleum Product Prices (1991 Dollars per Barrel) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Fuel |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ World Oil Price................. 22.54 18.70 18.39 19.05 19.40 19.90 20.30 20.70 21.30 22.00 22.90 23.70 24.60 25.30 25.70 26.10 26.60 27.20 27.90 28.60 29.30 Delivered Sector Product Prices Residential and Commercial Distillate Fuel............... 42.51 38.01 36.54 37.16 37.13 36.98 37.23 37.60 38.18 38.87 39.74 40.58 41.52 42.24 42.63 43.02 43.52 44.13 44.85 45.58 46.26 Kerosene...................... 49.91 44.93 44.73 45.77 46.37 46.93 47.10 47.33 47.73 48.20 48.83 49.38 50.01 50.46 50.65 50.83 51.10 51.43 51.84 52.24 52.73 Motor Gasoline................ 51.89 47.94 49.43 49.94 49.87 50.37 50.92 51.55 52.50 53.47 54.68 55.82 56.86 57.81 58.41 59.38 60.01 60.76 61.75 62.60 63.46 Residual Fuel................. 22.42 16.39 18.98 19.96 20.59 21.15 21.43 21.92 22.61 23.39 24.35 25.25 26.26 27.06 27.50 27.93 28.48 29.13 29.86 30.61 31.45 Liquefied Petroleum Gas....... 39.48 36.57 35.39 35.26 34.80 34.29 34.56 34.94 35.49 36.15 36.93 37.66 38.47 39.13 39.51 39.89 40.36 40.92 41.54 42.15 42.78 Average..................... 39.80 35.44 34.85 35.49 35.42 35.26 35.48 35.83 36.39 37.04 37.87 38.67 39.56 40.25 40.63 41.00 41.49 42.08 42.75 43.45 44.12 Industrial Distillate Fuel............... 34.61 29.19 28.23 28.83 28.91 28.88 29.25 29.73 30.42 31.22 32.20 33.11 34.13 34.92 35.37 35.82 36.37 37.04 37.80 38.58 39.30 Motor Gasoline................ 51.86 47.87 49.22 49.75 49.68 50.18 50.73 51.36 52.30 53.29 54.49 55.64 56.67 57.62 58.23 59.20 59.84 60.59 61.57 62.43 63.29 Residual Fuel................. 19.68 14.91 17.27 18.07 18.70 19.25 19.54 20.03 20.72 21.50 22.46 23.36 24.37 25.17 25.61 26.05 26.59 27.24 27.98 28.73 29.57 Liquefied Petroleum Gas....... 21.49 20.15 19.86 20.96 20.44 19.88 20.12 20.47 21.01 21.65 22.41 23.12 23.92 24.55 24.91 25.27 25.72 26.26 26.87 27.47 28.09 Petrochemical Feedstocks...... 32.99 26.47 26.54 26.91 26.87 26.71 27.08 27.56 28.25 29.05 30.02 30.92 31.92 32.70 33.15 33.59 34.15 34.80 35.55 36.31 37.01 Other Petroleum Products...... 36.93 30.85 35.31 36.29 37.01 37.68 37.95 38.29 38.81 39.42 40.20 40.89 41.67 42.28 42.63 42.98 43.41 43.93 44.54 45.15 45.76 Average..................... 32.56 27.29 29.19 29.87 30.05 30.16 30.42 30.79 31.34 31.98 32.79 33.53 34.36 34.99 35.33 35.69 36.14 36.70 37.35 38.02 38.68 Transportation Distillate Fuel............... 52.30 47.46 48.42 50.91 51.03 51.00 51.37 51.84 52.54 53.34 54.31 55.22 56.24 57.02 57.47 57.91 58.47 59.13 59.89 60.66 61.38 Motor Gasoline................ 51.80 47.87 49.42 49.96 49.90 50.40 50.95 51.58 52.52 53.50 54.70 55.84 56.88 57.82 58.42 59.38 60.02 60.77 61.75 62.60 63.46 Jet Fuel...................... 33.78 27.27 26.04 26.55 26.62 26.58 26.95 27.43 28.13 28.92 29.91 30.82 31.83 32.61 33.06 33.51 34.07 34.72 35.48 36.25 36.97 Residual Fuel................. 20.22 18.14 15.83 17.05 18.01 18.87 19.14 19.54 20.12 20.77 21.58 22.33 23.17 23.82 24.19 24.56 25.01 25.56 26.18 26.81 27.26 Liquefied Petroleum Gas....... 33.93 31.54 31.72 32.05 31.56 31.03 31.28 31.63 32.16 32.80 33.55 34.26 35.06 35.69 36.06 36.42 36.87 37.40 38.00 38.59 39.19 Other Petroleum Products...... 101.8 92.35 92.23 93.21 93.91 94.58 94.83 95.17 95.68 96.28 97.05 97.74 98.51 99.1 99.4 99.8 100.2 100.7 101.3 101.9 102.5 Average..................... 48.31 43.91 44.78 45.60 45.59 45.88 46.34 46.85 47.61 48.49 49.54 50.52 51.48 52.30 52.78 53.47 54.01 54.72 55.56 56.33 57.08 Electric Utilities Distillate Fuel............... 32.43 28.13 26.83 26.52 26.57 26.46 27.14 27.71 28.44 29.08 30.06 30.97 32.03 32.81 33.30 33.72 34.31 34.99 35.78 36.57 37.30 Residual Fuel................. 21.78 15.94 19.12 20.37 21.23 22.08 21.98 22.44 23.04 23.66 24.55 25.45 26.36 27.07 27.51 27.97 28.54 29.19 29.92 30.67 32.92 Average..................... 22.53 16.78 19.71 20.63 21.52 22.37 22.52 23.12 23.67 24.30 25.19 26.08 27.02 27.72 28.19 28.66 29.19 29.84 30.54 31.31 33.40 Refined Petroleum Product Prices Distillate Fuel............... 46.76 41.91 42.15 43.51 43.70 43.73 44.11 44.55 45.33 46.19 47.23 48.23 49.30 50.16 50.66 51.16 51.82 52.56 53.41 54.24 55.04 Kerosene...................... 49.91 44.93 44.73 45.77 46.37 46.93 47.10 47.33 47.73 48.20 48.83 49.38 50.01 50.46 50.65 50.83 51.10 51.43 51.84 52.24 52.73 Motor Gasoline................ 51.80 47.87 49.42 49.95 49.90 50.39 50.94 51.57 52.51 53.49 54.70 55.84 56.87 57.82 58.42 59.38 60.02 60.77 61.75 62.60 63.46 Jet Fuel...................... 33.78 27.27 26.04 26.55 26.62 26.58 26.95 27.43 28.13 28.92 29.91 30.82 31.83 32.61 33.06 33.51 34.07 34.72 35.48 36.25 36.97 Residual Fuel................. 20.96 16.63 17.68 18.68 19.50 20.30 20.33 20.83 21.48 22.16 23.07 23.93 24.85 25.58 25.99 26.40 26.90 27.49 28.16 28.85 30.09 Liquefied Petroleum Gas....... 25.38 23.70 23.23 24.30 23.62 22.89 23.00 23.25 23.68 24.23 24.90 25.54 26.26 26.82 27.10 27.41 27.80 28.30 28.86 29.44 30.03 Petrochemical Feedstocks...... 32.99 26.47 26.54 26.91 26.87 26.71 27.08 27.56 28.25 29.05 30.02 30.92 31.92 32.70 33.15 33.59 34.15 34.80 35.55 36.31 37.01 Other Petroleum Products...... 40.47 34.20 38.42 39.46 40.23 40.95 41.25 41.62 42.19 42.85 43.68 44.43 45.27 45.93 46.34 46.74 47.23 47.80 48.46 49.11 49.77 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A14. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Region (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; (Sector and Region) |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Residential New England................... 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 NY/NJ......................... 0.53 0.54 0.57 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 Mid-Atlantic.................. 0.43 0.46 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 South Atlantic................ 0.34 0.35 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 Midwest....................... 1.48 1.55 1.62 1.69 1.71 1.72 1.71 1.70 1.69 1.67 1.65 1.65 1.64 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.62 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Southwest..................... 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.39 Central....................... 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 North Central................. 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 West.......................... 0.58 0.60 0.63 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 Northwest..................... 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 TOTAL....................... 4.52 4.71 4.95 4.99 5.04 5.08 5.05 5.01 4.95 4.90 4.83 4.82 4.79 4.77 4.75 4.74 4.71 4.68 4.66 4.65 4.64 Commercial New England................... 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 NY/NJ......................... 0.31 0.31 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 Mid-Atlantic.................. 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 South Atlantic................ 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 Midwest....................... 0.78 0.80 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.82 Southwest..................... 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 Central....................... 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 North Central................. 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 West.......................... 0.31 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 Northwest..................... 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 TOTAL....................... 2.76 2.81 2.98 3.01 3.06 3.08 3.10 3.12 3.13 3.15 3.17 3.18 3.20 3.21 3.22 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.24 3.25 3.25 Industrial .. New England................... 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 NY/NJ......................... 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 Mid-Atlantic.................. 0.46 0.49 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.54 South Atlantic................ 0.73 0.78 0.81 0.81 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.88 Midwest....................... 1.22 1.29 1.35 1.28 1.29 1.31 1.33 1.35 1.38 1.44 1.46 1.47 1.48 1.48 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.52 1.53 1.54 Southwest..................... 3.28 3.46 3.63 3.64 3.70 3.74 3.78 3.82 3.86 3.89 3.90 3.91 3.91 3.89 3.88 3.87 3.88 3.90 3.91 3.94 3.96 Central....................... 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.43 North Central................. 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 West.......................... 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.63 0.63 0.70 0.71 0.73 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 Northwest..................... 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.33 0.33 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 TOTAL....................... 8.47 8.89 9.28 9.20 9.34 9.57 9.69 9.82 9.97 10.13 10.21 10.26 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.32 10.35 10.37 10.44 10.50 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A14. Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Region (Continued) (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; (Sector and Region) |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Electric Utilities .. New England................... 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 NY/NJ......................... 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.47 0.48 Mid-Atlantic.................. 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 South Atlantic................ 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.21 0.23 0.28 0.31 0.33 0.41 0.49 0.58 0.61 0.68 0.75 0.83 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.84 0.83 0.80 Midwest....................... 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.31 0.37 0.42 0.45 0.54 0.64 0.71 0.78 0.85 0.89 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.88 0.88 Southwest..................... 1.55 1.56 1.60 1.66 1.70 1.74 1.77 1.77 1.83 1.90 1.93 1.98 2.05 2.12 2.14 2.06 2.01 1.97 1.90 1.90 1.85 Central....................... 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.22 North Central................. 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.18 West.......................... 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.49 0.53 0.56 0.60 0.64 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.74 0.79 0.81 0.82 0.81 0.84 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.81 Northwest..................... 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 TOTAL....................... 2.88 2.88 2.95 2.97 3.09 3.23 3.68 3.87 4.13 4.36 4.60 4.85 5.13 5.43 5.69 5.75 5.79 5.79 5.70 5.71 5.63 All Sectors New England................... 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.48 0.48 NY/NJ......................... 1.31 1.34 1.40 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 1.47 1.47 1.48 1.49 1.49 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.59 1.60 Mid-Atlantic.................. 1.17 1.22 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.47 1.50 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.52 1.52 South Atlantic................ 1.63 1.68 1.76 1.70 1.74 1.80 1.83 1.86 1.94 2.03 2.12 2.15 2.22 2.28 2.35 2.39 2.39 2.38 2.36 2.36 2.33 Midwest....................... 3.53 3.68 3.87 3.85 3.90 3.93 4.21 4.28 4.34 4.42 4.50 4.60 4.68 4.75 4.81 4.85 4.89 4.88 4.86 4.85 4.85 Southwest..................... 5.52 5.74 5.99 6.06 6.18 6.26 6.32 6.37 6.46 6.55 6.59 6.64 6.70 6.76 6.76 6.68 6.63 6.60 6.54 6.57 6.54 Central....................... 0.87 0.90 0.95 1.02 1.04 1.07 1.11 1.13 1.15 1.17 1.18 1.20 1.17 1.17 1.18 1.20 1.19 1.19 1.18 1.18 1.20 North Central................. 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.63 0.63 0.65 0.64 0.66 0.65 0.66 0.69 0.71 0.75 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.81 0.83 0.84 West.......................... 1.91 1.97 2.06 2.04 2.09 2.21 2.27 2.33 2.40 2.43 2.46 2.50 2.55 2.58 2.60 2.62 2.66 2.69 2.70 2.70 2.68 Northwest..................... 0.49 0.51 0.54 0.57 0.59 0.63 0.67 0.69 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.78 0.78 TOTAL....................... 19.31 19.99 20.90 20.80 21.18 21.62 22.20 22.50 22.89 23.27 23.54 23.85 24.17 24.48 24.75 24.84 24.92 24.93 24.86 24.98 24.99 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A15. Natural Gas Delivered Prices by End-Use Sector and Region (1991 Dollars per Million Btu) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; (Sector and Region) |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Residential New England................... 7.92 7.42 7.65 7.79 7.88 8.02 8.06 8.13 8.26 8.38 8.56 8.72 8.93 9.14 9.32 9.43 9.50 9.59 9.69 9.68 9.72 NY/NJ......................... 7.16 6.91 7.14 7.27 7.36 7.50 7.54 7.61 7.73 7.86 8.04 8.20 8.40 8.62 8.79 8.90 8.98 9.06 9.16 9.15 9.20 Mid-Atlantic.................. 6.63 6.21 6.44 6.56 6.65 6.78 6.83 6.90 7.02 7.15 7.32 7.48 7.68 7.90 8.07 8.18 8.25 8.34 8.44 8.43 8.47 South Atlantic................ 6.16 5.89 6.11 6.22 6.31 6.44 6.49 6.55 6.67 6.80 6.96 7.12 7.32 7.52 7.69 7.80 7.87 7.95 8.05 8.04 8.08 Midwest....................... 5.17 5.12 5.34 5.44 5.53 5.66 5.71 5.77 5.89 6.02 6.19 6.35 6.55 6.76 6.93 7.04 7.11 7.19 7.29 7.28 7.32 Southwest..................... 5.62 5.52 5.74 5.85 5.93 6.06 6.11 6.17 6.29 6.41 6.57 6.73 6.92 7.13 7.29 7.40 7.47 7.55 7.65 7.63 7.68 Central....................... 4.92 4.60 4.82 4.91 5.00 5.13 5.18 5.24 5.36 5.49 5.65 5.81 6.01 6.22 6.38 6.49 6.56 6.65 6.75 6.73 6.78 North Central................. 4.82 4.68 4.90 4.99 5.08 5.21 5.26 5.32 5.44 5.56 5.73 5.88 6.08 6.28 6.45 6.55 6.63 6.71 6.80 6.79 6.83 West.......................... 5.87 5.74 5.97 6.08 6.17 6.30 6.35 6.41 6.54 6.67 6.84 7.00 7.20 7.42 7.59 7.70 7.77 7.86 7.96 7.94 7.99 Northwest..................... 5.18 5.34 5.53 5.57 5.63 5.72 5.74 5.78 5.85 5.92 6.03 6.13 6.26 6.39 6.49 6.55 6.57 6.61 6.65 6.62 6.63 TOTAL....................... 5.82 5.64 5.87 5.98 6.06 6.19 6.24 6.30 6.42 6.55 6.71 6.88 7.07 7.28 7.44 7.55 7.62 7.70 7.80 7.78 7.83 Commercial New England................... 6.36 6.18 6.39 6.42 6.51 6.64 6.69 6.76 6.88 7.01 7.18 7.35 7.55 7.77 7.94 8.06 8.13 8.22 8.32 8.30 8.35 NY/NJ......................... 5.47 5.52 5.74 5.76 5.86 5.99 6.04 6.10 6.23 6.36 6.53 6.69 6.90 7.11 7.28 7.40 7.47 7.56 7.66 7.64 7.69 Mid-Atlantic.................. 5.72 5.39 5.61 5.63 5.72 5.86 5.90 5.97 6.09 6.22 6.39 6.55 6.76 6.97 7.14 7.25 7.33 7.41 7.51 7.50 7.54 South Atlantic................ 5.09 5.09 5.30 5.32 5.41 5.54 5.58 5.65 5.77 5.89 6.06 6.22 6.41 6.62 6.79 6.90 6.97 7.05 7.15 7.13 7.18 Midwest....................... 4.61 4.64 4.85 4.88 4.97 5.10 5.14 5.21 5.33 5.45 5.62 5.79 5.98 6.19 6.36 6.47 6.54 6.63 6.73 6.71 6.76 Southwest..................... 4.28 4.33 4.53 4.56 4.64 4.77 4.81 4.88 4.99 5.12 5.28 5.44 5.63 5.84 6.00 6.11 6.18 6.26 6.36 6.34 6.39 Central....................... 3.98 3.80 4.01 4.04 4.13 4.26 4.30 4.37 4.48 4.61 4.78 4.94 5.13 5.34 5.51 5.62 5.69 5.77 5.87 5.86 5.90 North Central................. 4.18 4.14 4.35 4.38 4.46 4.59 4.64 4.70 4.82 4.94 5.11 5.26 5.46 5.66 5.83 5.94 6.01 6.09 6.18 6.17 6.21 West.......................... 5.13 4.92 5.14 5.16 5.25 5.39 5.43 5.50 5.62 5.75 5.92 6.09 6.29 6.50 6.67 6.78 6.86 6.94 7.04 7.03 7.07 Northwest..................... 3.96 4.23 4.41 4.42 4.49 4.59 4.62 4.67 4.75 4.85 4.97 5.09 5.24 5.40 5.52 5.59 5.64 5.70 5.76 5.75 5.78 TOTAL....................... 4.84 4.80 5.01 5.04 5.12 5.26 5.30 5.37 5.49 5.61 5.78 5.94 6.14 6.35 6.51 6.62 6.69 6.78 6.88 6.86 6.91 Industrial .. New England................... 4.45 4.25 4.47 4.49 4.58 4.72 4.77 4.83 4.96 5.09 5.26 5.43 5.63 5.84 6.02 6.13 6.20 6.29 6.39 6.38 6.42 NY/NJ......................... 4.45 4.39 4.61 4.63 4.72 4.86 4.91 4.97 5.10 5.23 5.40 5.56 5.77 5.98 6.15 6.27 6.34 6.43 6.53 6.51 6.56 Mid-Atlantic.................. 3.90 3.79 4.00 4.03 4.12 4.25 4.30 4.37 4.49 4.62 4.79 4.95 5.15 5.37 5.54 5.65 5.72 5.81 5.91 5.89 5.94 South Atlantic................ 3.35 3.24 3.45 3.48 3.57 3.70 3.74 3.81 3.92 4.05 4.22 4.38 4.57 4.78 4.94 5.05 5.12 5.21 5.30 5.29 5.33 Midwest....................... 3.84 3.82 4.03 4.05 4.14 4.28 4.32 4.39 4.51 4.63 4.80 4.96 5.16 5.37 5.54 5.65 5.72 5.81 5.91 5.89 5.94 Southwest..................... 2.14 2.01 2.21 2.24 2.33 2.45 2.50 2.56 2.68 2.80 2.97 3.12 3.32 3.52 3.68 3.79 3.86 3.94 4.04 4.03 4.07 Central....................... 3.15 3.05 3.26 3.28 3.37 3.50 3.55 3.61 3.73 3.86 4.02 4.18 4.38 4.59 4.76 4.86 4.94 5.02 5.12 5.10 5.15 North Central................. 3.21 3.04 3.25 3.27 3.36 3.49 3.53 3.60 3.71 3.84 4.00 4.16 4.35 4.56 4.72 4.83 4.90 4.98 5.08 5.07 5.11 West.......................... 3.93 3.79 4.00 4.03 4.12 4.25 4.30 4.37 4.49 4.62 4.79 4.96 5.16 5.37 5.54 5.65 5.73 5.81 5.91 5.90 5.94 Northwest..................... 2.38 2.60 2.77 2.84 2.91 3.05 3.09 3.14 3.25 3.35 3.48 3.61 3.75 3.91 4.03 4.11 4.16 4.22 4.29 4.27 4.30 TOTAL....................... 2.95 2.86 3.06 3.08 3.17 3.31 3.36 3.42 3.54 3.67 3.84 4.00 4.19 4.40 4.57 4.68 4.75 4.83 4.92 4.91 4.95 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A15. Natural Gas Delivered Prices by End-Use Sector and Region (Continued) (1991 Dollars per Million Btu) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; (Sector and Region) |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Electric Utilities New England................... 2.53 2.30 2.62 2.76 2.85 2.99 3.04 3.11 3.23 3.36 3.53 3.70 3.86 3.99 3.97 4.03 4.11 4.21 4.33 4.50 4.70 NY/NJ......................... 2.43 2.13 2.44 2.68 2.80 2.96 3.01 3.07 3.21 3.35 3.52 3.69 3.89 4.11 4.27 4.38 4.45 4.53 4.63 4.60 4.65 Mid-Atlantic.................. 2.67 2.28 2.59 3.15 3.27 3.43 3.48 3.56 3.69 3.83 3.99 4.13 4.36 4.64 4.82 4.93 5.01 5.11 5.22 5.22 5.29 South Atlantic................ 2.38 2.17 2.47 2.26 2.48 2.78 2.81 2.85 2.90 3.02 3.19 3.35 3.53 3.73 3.94 4.13 4.21 4.31 4.41 4.42 4.48 Midwest....................... 1.55 2.19 2.49 2.68 2.71 2.72 2.55 2.61 2.73 2.86 3.07 3.30 3.58 3.84 4.06 4.22 4.32 4.41 4.52 4.51 4.56 Southwest..................... 2.20 2.10 2.39 2.18 2.27 2.40 2.44 2.51 2.62 2.75 2.98 3.15 3.34 3.56 3.74 3.87 3.95 4.03 4.13 4.12 4.17 Central....................... 1.89 1.91 2.20 2.25 2.34 2.46 2.50 2.57 2.69 2.81 2.98 3.14 3.33 3.58 3.80 3.92 3.99 4.08 4.18 4.17 4.20 North Central................. 2.53 2.23 2.53 2.46 2.70 2.81 2.88 2.90 3.07 3.17 3.32 3.35 3.75 4.02 4.20 4.28 4.39 4.52 4.64 4.66 4.74 West.......................... 3.05 2.14 2.44 2.68 2.82 2.95 2.99 3.05 3.35 3.49 3.66 3.82 4.02 4.23 4.41 4.52 4.59 4.68 4.78 4.77 4.81 Northwest..................... 1.41 1.68 1.75 1.72 1.76 1.99 2.00 2.11 2.32 2.44 2.60 2.76 2.96 3.16 3.33 3.46 3.51 3.60 3.70 3.75 3.80 TOTAL....................... 2.38 2.11 2.41 2.35 2.46 2.60 2.63 2.70 2.85 2.98 3.18 3.35 3.57 3.79 3.99 4.13 4.22 4.32 4.42 4.42 4.47 All Sectors .. New England................... 6.14 5.82 6.08 6.14 6.23 6.39 6.43 6.50 6.61 6.73 6.91 7.09 7.28 7.48 7.69 7.80 7.87 7.95 8.05 8.03 8.10 NY/NJ......................... 5.35 5.21 5.46 5.58 5.70 5.85 5.86 5.90 5.99 6.09 6.24 6.38 6.56 6.75 6.90 6.98 7.03 7.10 7.18 7.10 7.13 Mid-Atlantic.................. 5.24 4.96 5.19 5.29 5.38 5.51 5.55 5.61 5.71 5.82 5.97 6.11 6.27 6.45 6.57 6.65 6.71 6.78 6.87 6.85 6.89 South Atlantic................ 4.06 3.93 4.16 4.26 4.34 4.45 4.46 4.49 4.52 4.57 4.66 4.80 4.94 5.10 5.24 5.35 5.43 5.52 5.62 5.62 5.69 Midwest....................... 4.54 4.52 4.74 4.83 4.92 5.05 4.92 4.95 5.04 5.13 5.26 5.38 5.56 5.74 5.89 6.00 6.06 6.15 6.25 6.24 6.29 Southwest..................... 2.52 2.41 2.64 2.61 2.70 2.82 2.86 2.92 3.02 3.14 3.32 3.47 3.66 3.87 4.04 4.15 4.22 4.31 4.40 4.39 4.43 Central....................... 3.91 3.72 3.94 3.88 3.96 4.06 4.05 4.09 4.19 4.29 4.44 4.58 4.81 5.03 5.19 5.28 5.36 5.45 5.56 5.55 5.57 North Central................. 4.09 3.96 4.17 4.14 4.22 4.31 4.35 4.38 4.52 4.63 4.81 4.94 5.11 5.28 5.41 5.50 5.56 5.64 5.73 5.72 5.76 West.......................... 4.47 4.12 4.38 4.47 4.56 4.65 4.67 4.70 4.84 4.96 5.13 5.28 5.46 5.66 5.84 5.96 6.03 6.11 6.23 6.23 6.31 Northwest..................... 3.08 3.30 3.47 3.46 3.50 3.61 3.56 3.57 3.66 3.76 3.90 4.02 4.18 4.35 4.49 4.60 4.65 4.72 4.80 4.80 4.84 TOTAL....................... 3.90 3.77 4.00 4.04 4.12 4.24 4.24 4.28 4.38 4.48 4.63 4.78 4.96 5.15 5.31 5.43 5.50 5.58 5.69 5.68 5.73 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A16. Residential Sector Key Indicators and End-Use Consumption (Quadrillion BTU per year, Unless otherwise noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Key Indicators and Consumption |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Key Indicators Total Housing (millions)......... 93.4 94.0 94.8 95.6 96.4 97.4 98.3 99.3 100.2 101.1 102.0 102.9 103.7 104.5 105.2 105.9 106.5 107.1 107.8 108.4 109.1 Energy Consumption per Household (MMBtu)............... 105.2 107.8 114.2 114.1 113.6 112.7 112.0 111.3 110.5 109.9 109.2 108.5 107.8 107.2 106.8 106.5 106.3 106.0 105.9 105.9 105.9 End-Use Consumption Distillate Space Heating................... 0.72 0.71 0.91 0.90 0.86 0.82 0.78 0.74 0.71 0.67 0.64 0.62 0.60 0.57 0.55 0.54 0.52 0.50 0.49 0.47 0.46 Other Uses...................... 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total Distillate.............. 0.84 0.81 1.03 1.02 0.96 0.91 0.86 0.82 0.77 0.73 0.70 0.67 0.64 0.61 0.59 0.57 0.55 0.53 0.51 0.49 0.47 Natural Gas Space Heating................... 3.15 3.28 3.44 3.46 3.49 3.50 3.47 3.42 3.37 3.32 3.26 3.25 3.22 3.20 3.18 3.16 3.14 3.12 3.10 3.09 3.07 Water Heating................... 1.06 1.12 1.19 1.21 1.24 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 Other Uses...................... 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 Total Natural Gas............. 4.52 4.71 4.95 4.99 5.04 5.08 5.05 5.01 4.95 4.90 4.83 4.82 4.79 4.77 4.75 4.74 4.71 4.68 4.66 4.65 4.64 Other Fuels....................... 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.62 0.60 0.57 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.50 0.49 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.40 Renewables........................ 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.87 0.90 0.93 1.05 1.17 1.29 1.42 1.55 1.59 1.63 1.67 1.71 1.75 1.80 1.86 1.92 1.97 2.03 Electricity Space Heating.................... 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 Cooling.......................... 0.51 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.52 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.55 Water Heating.................... 0.39 0.42 0.44 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.67 0.68 0.70 0.71 Other Uses....................... 1.93 1.98 2.02 2.06 2.08 2.10 2.12 2.15 2.16 2.19 2.21 2.24 2.26 2.28 2.31 2.33 2.35 2.37 2.39 2.42 2.44 Total Electricity.............. 3.15 3.27 3.33 3.40 3.45 3.48 3.50 3.52 3.54 3.56 3.57 3.62 3.66 3.71 3.75 3.79 3.84 3.88 3.92 3.97 4.01 Total Consumption................. 9.83 10.14 10.83 10.90 10.95 10.98 11.02 11.05 11.07 11.11 11.14 11.16 11.18 11.21 11.23 11.28 11.32 11.36 11.41 11.48 11.55 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A17. Commercial Sector Key Indicators and End-Use Consumption (Quadrillion BTU per year, Unless otherwise noted) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Key Indicators and Consumption |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Key Indicators Total Employment (millions)...... 109.8 108.3 108.7 112.0 114.9 117.5 119.4 120.7 122.2 123.6 124.8 126.0 127.0 128.0 129.1 130.1 131.1 132.1 133.0 133.7 134.5 Total Floorspace (bill. sq. ft.). 62.9 64.0 65.2 66.4 67.7 69.0 70.3 71.6 72.9 74.2 75.6 76.9 78.3 79.7 81.1 82.4 83.8 85.2 86.6 88.1 89.5 Energy Consumption per Square Foot (MBtu).......... 107.0 106.6 109.8 109.2 108.6 107.6 106.8 105.9 105.0 104.1 103.2 102.1 101.0 100.0 98.8 97.7 96.6 95.5 94.4 93.4 92.5 End-Use Consumption Distillate Space Heating................... 0.45 0.43 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42 Other Uses...................... 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Total Distillate............... 0.49 0.47 0.60 0.59 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.44 Natural Gas Space Heating................... 1.80 1.83 1.94 1.96 1.98 1.99 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.00 2.00 1.99 1.98 1.97 1.95 1.94 1.93 Cooling......................... 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 Other Uses...................... 0.75 0.77 0.81 0.83 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.06 Total Natural Gas.............. 2.76 2.81 2.98 3.01 3.06 3.08 3.10 3.12 3.13 3.15 3.17 3.18 3.20 3.21 3.22 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.24 3.25 3.25 Other Fuels...................... 0.52 0.51 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.37 Renewables....................... 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.37 Electricity Space Heating................... 0.52 0.53 0.55 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.77 0.79 0.81 Cooling......................... 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.79 0.81 0.83 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.01 Lighting........................ 1.14 1.16 1.15 1.17 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.23 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.27 Other Uses...................... 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.58 0.59 0.60 0.62 0.63 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.71 0.73 0.74 Total Electricity.............. 2.86 2.93 2.95 3.00 3.06 3.12 3.18 3.24 3.29 3.35 3.40 3.45 3.50 3.55 3.59 3.64 3.68 3.72 3.76 3.79 3.83 Total Consumption................. 6.72 6.82 7.16 7.25 7.35 7.42 7.50 7.58 7.65 7.73 7.80 7.86 7.91 7.97 8.01 8.06 8.10 8.14 8.18 8.23 8.27 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A18. Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Key Indicators and Consumption |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Key Indicators Value of Gross Output (billion 1982 $) Manufacturing................... 2403 2391 2398 2489 2574 2657 2746 2842 2955 3052 3155 3253 3344 3439 3528 3606 3687 3762 3831 3893 3953 Non-manufacturing............... 871 843 844 857 888 925 951 970 992 1007 1022 1040 1057 1071 1086 1102 1115 1132 1149 1166 1183 Total.......................... 3274 3234 3241 3346 3461 3583 3696 3812 3946 4059 4177 4293 4402 4510 4613 4708 4802 4894 4979 5059 5136 Consumption Consumption per Unit Output (MBTU per 1982 dollars) Distillate...................... 0.36 0.35 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.28 Liquefied Petroleum Gas......... 0.49 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.49 Petrochemical Feedstocks........ 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 Residual Fuel................... 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 Other Petroleum................. 1.17 1.08 1.10 1.07 1.04 1.01 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.91 0.89 0.86 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.79 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.74 0.73 Natural Gas..................... 2.59 2.75 2.86 2.75 2.70 2.67 2.62 2.57 2.53 2.50 2.44 2.39 2.34 2.28 2.23 2.19 2.15 2.12 2.08 2.06 2.04 Metallurgical Coal and Coke..... 0.32 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.19 Steam Coal...................... 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.50 0.48 0.47 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 Renewables...................... 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Electricity..................... 0.99 0.99 1.01 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 Total......................... 7.59 7.71 7.85 7.78 7.64 7.54 7.41 7.29 7.14 7.03 6.90 6.76 6.64 6.53 6.43 6.34 6.26 6.20 6.14 6.08 6.02 Consumption (Quadrillion BTU per year) Distillate...................... 1.18 1.14 0.96 1.22 1.24 1.27 1.30 1.32 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 Liquefied Petroleum Gas......... 1.61 1.74 1.82 1.86 1.93 2.00 2.05 2.10 2.14 2.18 2.22 2.26 2.30 2.34 2.39 2.43 2.46 2.49 2.51 2.52 2.53 Motor Gasoline.................. 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 Petrochemical Feedstocks........ 1.10 1.13 1.12 1.10 1.13 1.16 1.19 1.23 1.26 1.30 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.43 1.46 1.49 1.52 1.55 1.58 1.60 1.62 Residual Fuel................... 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.51 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.50 Other Petroleum................. 3.83 3.50 3.58 3.57 3.60 3.63 3.66 3.69 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.71 3.72 3.72 3.72 3.73 3.73 3.73 Natural Gas..................... 8.47 8.89 9.28 9.20 9.34 9.57 9.69 9.82 9.97 10.13 10.21 10.26 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.32 10.35 10.37 10.44 10.50 Metallurgical Coal and Coke..... 1.04 0.91 0.96 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.00 0.99 Steam Coal...................... 1.71 1.69 1.69 1.81 1.83 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.86 1.87 1.94 2.00 1.99 1.98 Renewables...................... 2.07 2.14 2.18 2.23 2.26 2.30 2.32 2.33 2.34 2.36 2.36 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.41 2.42 2.44 2.46 2.47 2.50 2.52 Electricity..................... 3.23 3.21 3.28 3.27 3.34 3.43 3.53 3.63 3.74 3.85 3.97 4.07 4.16 4.25 4.34 4.43 4.51 4.60 4.67 4.74 4.81 Total.......................... 24.84 24.92 25.45 26.02 26.45 27.01 27.39 27.77 28.16 28.52 28.80 29.04 29.25 29.44 29.64 29.86 30.07 30.34 30.57 30.76 30.92 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A19. Transportation Sector Key Indicators and End-Use Consumption _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Key Indicators and Consumption |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Key Indicators Level of Travel Index (1989= 1.0) Light Duty Vehicles............. 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.08 1.10 1.12 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.24 1.26 1.29 1.31 1.33 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.41 Freight Trucks.................. 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.01 1.05 1.08 1.12 1.14 1.17 1.20 1.22 1.25 1.27 1.30 1.32 1.34 1.36 1.39 1.41 1.43 1.45 Air............................. 0.99 1.00 1.05 1.11 1.18 1.25 1.31 1.37 1.45 1.51 1.58 1.65 1.71 1.78 1.85 1.92 1.99 2.06 2.13 2.19 2.26 Rail............................ 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.99 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.07 1.09 1.11 1.13 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.20 1.22 1.24 1.25 1.27 1.28 Marine.......................... 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.06 1.08 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.16 1.17 1.19 1.20 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.27 Energy Efficiency Indicators New Car MPG...................... 28.00 28.30 28.42 28.60 28.72 28.77 29.08 29.36 29.67 29.98 30.32 30.71 31.15 31.63 32.07 32.50 32.88 33.27 33.69 34.13 34.60 New Light Truck MPG.............. 20.70 21.30 21.38 21.53 21.61 21.64 21.85 22.06 22.27 22.49 22.73 23.01 23.26 23.55 23.81 24.07 24.29 24.53 24.80 25.07 25.37 Light Duty Fleet MPG............. 18.58 18.74 18.87 19.02 19.16 19.28 19.41 19.52 19.64 19.76 19.88 20.01 20.14 20.27 20.42 20.56 20.71 20.86 21.00 21.16 21.31 Aircraft Efficiency Index........ 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.07 1.09 1.11 1.12 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.25 1.27 1.29 1.31 1.33 1.35 1.37 Freight Truck Efficiency Index... 1.01 1.04 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.12 1.12 1.12 Rail Efficiency Index............ 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.07 Domestic Shipping Efficiency Index........................... 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 Energy Use by Mode (Quadrillion Btu) Light Duty Vehicles.............. 11.51 11.49 11.66 11.79 12.05 12.25 12.41 12.54 12.69 12.85 12.96 13.08 13.18 13.30 13.45 13.59 13.70 13.81 13.89 13.98 14.05 Freight Trucks................... 5.06 4.88 4.93 5.01 5.15 5.30 5.41 5.50 5.59 5.66 5.73 5.85 5.94 6.02 6.11 6.18 6.25 6.34 6.41 6.49 6.57 Air.............................. 3.20 3.09 3.16 3.27 3.40 3.53 3.58 3.68 3.80 3.85 3.94 4.04 4.12 4.21 4.31 4.40 4.48 4.50 4.57 4.63 4.68 Rail............................. 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.59 Marine........................... 1.39 1.35 1.36 1.40 1.45 1.49 1.53 1.56 1.60 1.64 1.68 1.72 1.76 1.80 1.83 1.87 1.90 1.93 1.96 1.99 2.02 Pipeline Fuel.................... 0.68 0.71 0.74 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.81 Other............................ 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 Total........................... 22.50 22.16 22.49 22.76 23.36 23.90 24.28 24.66 25.09 25.41 25.74 26.13 26.47 26.82 27.21 27.56 27.88 28.12 28.40 28.68 28.93 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A20. Energy Consumption--M.E.R. Accounting Detail and Summaries (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Residential Distillate Fuel................. 0.837 0.814 1.029 1.018 0.964 0.912 0.862 0.815 0.773 0.733 0.696 0.666 0.638 0.612 0.588 0.566 0.545 0.526 0.508 0.491 0.475 Kerosene........................ 0.064 0.058 0.060 0.083 0.077 0.070 0.065 0.060 0.055 0.050 0.046 0.042 0.039 0.036 0.033 0.030 0.028 0.025 0.023 0.021 0.020 Liquefied Petroleum Gas......... 0.365 0.395 0.413 0.478 0.460 0.444 0.429 0.415 0.403 0.391 0.381 0.371 0.363 0.355 0.348 0.341 0.335 0.330 0.325 0.320 0.316 Petroleum Subtotal............ 1.266 1.267 1.501 1.579 1.501 1.426 1.355 1.290 1.230 1.174 1.123 1.080 1.040 1.003 0.969 0.938 0.908 0.881 0.855 0.832 0.810 Natural Gas..................... 4.518 4.711 4.950 4.986 5.042 5.079 5.047 5.006 4.952 4.899 4.833 4.815 4.794 4.770 4.750 4.736 4.711 4.681 4.658 4.652 4.640 Coal............................ 0.062 0.058 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 Primary Energy Subtotal....... 5.847 6.036 6.511 6.626 6.603 6.565 6.462 6.356 6.242 6.134 6.016 5.955 5.894 5.834 5.779 5.734 5.679 5.622 5.574 5.544 5.510 Electricity..................... 3.153 3.265 3.326 3.401 3.449 3.485 3.503 3.523 3.536 3.555 3.574 3.618 3.663 3.706 3.749 3.793 3.835 3.877 3.920 3.966 4.013 Net Consumption--MER Basis.... 8.999 9.30 9.84 10.03 10.05 10.05 9.97 9.88 9.78 9.69 9.59 9.57 9.56 9.54 9.53 9.53 9.51 9.50 9.49 9.51 9.52 Electrical System Losses........ 6.926 7.081 7.150 7.207 7.258 7.294 7.342 7.387 7.398 7.390 7.408 7.495 7.582 7.653 7.713 7.744 7.778 7.809 7.839 7.876 7.902 Total Consumption, excl. Renew 15.93 16.38 16.99 17.23 17.31 17.34 17.31 17.27 17.18 17.08 17.00 17.07 17.14 17.19 17.24 17.27 17.29 17.31 17.33 17.39 17.43 Renewable Energy ............... 0.832 0.837 0.854 0.875 0.901 0.926 1.050 1.173 1.293 1.418 1.548 1.587 1.626 1.666 1.706 1.750 1.805 1.859 1.918 1.972 2.031 Net Consumption, incl. Renew.. 9.83 10.14 10.69 10.90 10.95 10.98 11.02 11.05 11.07 11.11 11.14 11.16 11.18 11.21 11.23 11.28 11.32 11.36 11.41 11.48 11.55 Total Consumption, incl. Renew 16.76 17.22 17.84 18.11 18.21 18.27 18.36 18.44 18.47 18.50 18.55 18.65 18.76 18.86 18.95 19.02 19.10 19.17 19.25 19.36 19.46 Commercial Distillate Fuel................. 0.487 0.474 0.598 0.590 0.581 0.573 0.564 0.555 0.547 0.538 0.529 0.521 0.512 0.503 0.495 0.486 0.477 0.469 0.460 0.452 0.443 Kerosene........................ 0.012 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.010 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.006 Motor Gasoline ................. 0.111 0.110 0.110 0.113 0.116 0.119 0.121 0.122 0.123 0.125 0.126 0.127 0.128 0.129 0.130 0.131 0.132 0.133 0.134 0.135 0.136 Residual Fuel................... 0.242 0.236 0.234 0.227 0.220 0.213 0.207 0.201 0.195 0.189 0.183 0.178 0.172 0.167 0.162 0.157 0.153 0.148 0.144 0.139 0.135 Liquefied Petroleum Gas......... 0.064 0.070 0.073 0.071 0.069 0.067 0.065 0.063 0.061 0.059 0.057 0.055 0.054 0.052 0.051 0.049 0.048 0.046 0.045 0.043 0.042 Petroleum Subtotal............ 0.916 0.899 1.026 1.011 0.996 0.981 0.966 0.950 0.935 0.919 0.904 0.889 0.874 0.860 0.845 0.831 0.817 0.803 0.790 0.776 0.763 Natural Gas..................... 2.758 2.808 2.979 3.015 3.055 3.081 3.100 3.115 3.131 3.153 3.169 3.184 3.198 3.212 3.220 3.227 3.232 3.235 3.238 3.248 3.255 Coal............................ 0.093 0.087 0.092 0.090 0.087 0.084 0.082 0.079 0.077 0.075 0.072 0.070 0.068 0.066 0.064 0.062 0.060 0.059 0.057 0.055 0.053 Primary Energy Subtotal....... 3.767 3.794 4.097 4.115 4.138 4.146 4.148 4.144 4.142 4.147 4.145 4.143 4.140 4.137 4.130 4.120 4.109 4.097 4.085 4.079 4.071 Electricity, Purchased.......... 2.862 2.926 2.948 3.004 3.063 3.123 3.182 3.239 3.295 3.348 3.400 3.451 3.501 3.549 3.595 3.639 3.680 3.719 3.755 3.792 3.826 Net Consumption--MER Basis.... 6.629 6.720 7.044 7.120 7.202 7.269 7.330 7.383 7.437 7.494 7.545 7.595 7.641 7.686 7.724 7.760 7.790 7.816 7.840 7.871 7.897 Electrical System Losses........ 6.288 6.344 6.337 6.366 6.446 6.536 6.670 6.792 6.894 6.958 7.048 7.149 7.246 7.329 7.396 7.429 7.465 7.492 7.509 7.530 7.533 Total Consumption, excl. Renew 12.92 13.06 13.38 13.49 13.65 13.81 14.00 14.17 14.33 14.45 14.59 14.74 14.89 15.02 15.12 15.19 15.25 15.31 15.35 15.40 15.43 Renewables, End-Use............. 0.077 0.081 0.087 0.090 0.100 0.101 0.120 0.145 0.161 0.178 0.196 0.206 0.211 0.217 0.222 0.231 0.243 0.255 0.263 0.276 0.292 Renewables, Electricity Gener... 0.018 0.024 0.027 0.042 0.046 0.048 0.050 0.051 0.053 0.055 0.057 0.058 0.060 0.062 0.064 0.066 0.068 0.072 0.075 0.079 0.083 Renewable Energy Subtotal..... 0.095 0.105 0.114 0.132 0.146 0.149 0.170 0.196 0.214 0.233 0.253 0.264 0.271 0.279 0.286 0.297 0.311 0.327 0.338 0.355 0.375 Net Consumption, incl. Renew.. 6.725 6.824 7.159 7.252 7.347 7.418 7.500 7.580 7.651 7.727 7.798 7.859 7.912 7.965 8.010 8.056 8.101 8.142 8.178 8.226 8.272 Total Consumption, incl. Renew 13.01 13.17 13.50 13.62 13.79 13.95 14.17 14.37 14.55 14.69 14.85 15.01 15.16 15.29 15.41 15.49 15.57 15.63 15.69 15.76 15.80 Residential and Commercial Summary Petroleum....................... 2.182 2.167 2.527 2.590 2.497 2.407 2.321 2.240 2.164 2.093 2.027 1.969 1.914 1.862 1.814 1.769 1.725 1.684 1.645 1.608 1.573 Natural Gas..................... 7.276 7.519 7.929 8.001 8.097 8.160 8.147 8.121 8.083 8.052 8.001 7.999 7.992 7.982 7.970 7.964 7.943 7.916 7.896 7.900 7.894 Coal............................ 0.155 0.144 0.153 0.150 0.147 0.145 0.142 0.140 0.137 0.135 0.133 0.131 0.128 0.126 0.124 0.122 0.121 0.119 0.117 0.115 0.114 Primary Energy Subtotal....... 9.61 9.83 10.61 10.74 10.74 10.71 10.61 10.50 10.38 10.28 10.16 10.10 10.03 9.97 9.91 9.85 9.79 9.72 9.66 9.62 9.58 Electricity, Purchased.......... 6.015 6.191 6.273 6.405 6.513 6.608 6.685 6.761 6.831 6.903 6.974 7.069 7.164 7.255 7.344 7.432 7.515 7.596 7.675 7.758 7.839 Net Consumption--MER Basis.... 15.63 16.02 16.88 17.15 17.25 17.32 17.30 17.26 17.21 17.18 17.13 17.17 17.20 17.23 17.25 17.29 17.30 17.31 17.33 17.38 17.42 Electrical System Losses........ 13.21 13.42 13.49 13.57 13.70 13.83 14.01 14.18 14.29 14.35 14.46 14.64 14.83 14.98 15.11 15.17 15.24 15.30 15.35 15.41 15.44 Total Consumption, excl. Renew 28.84 29.45 30.37 30.72 30.96 31.15 31.31 31.44 31.51 31.53 31.59 31.81 32.03 32.21 32.36 32.46 32.55 32.62 32.68 32.79 32.86 Renewable Energy ............... 0.927 0.942 0.968 1.007 1.047 1.075 1.220 1.369 1.507 1.651 1.801 1.851 1.897 1.945 1.992 2.047 2.116 2.186 2.256 2.327 2.406 Net Consumption, incl. Renew.. 16.56 16.96 17.85 18.15 18.30 18.39 18.52 18.63 18.72 18.83 18.94 19.02 19.09 19.17 19.24 19.33 19.42 19.50 19.59 19.71 19.83 Total Consumption, incl. Renew 29.77 30.39 31.34 31.73 32.00 32.22 32.53 32.81 33.01 33.18 33.39 33.66 33.92 34.15 34.35 34.51 34.66 34.80 34.94 35.11 35.26 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A20. Energy Consumption--M.E.R. Accounting Detail and Summaries (Continued) (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Industrial Distillate Fuel................. 1.181 1.136 0.957 1.220 1.243 1.275 1.302 1.325 1.345 1.358 1.369 1.380 1.389 1.396 1.405 1.415 1.424 1.434 1.444 1.454 1.463 Liquefied Petroleum Gas......... 1.608 1.739 1.817 1.860 1.925 2.005 2.053 2.098 2.141 2.181 2.219 2.258 2.295 2.339 2.388 2.429 2.462 2.490 2.513 2.523 2.532 Motor Gasoline ................. 0.184 0.183 0.185 0.208 0.215 0.222 0.229 0.233 0.238 0.241 0.244 0.248 0.252 0.255 0.258 0.261 0.265 0.268 0.272 0.275 0.279 Petrochemical Feedstocks........ 1.102 1.126 1.120 1.100 1.131 1.162 1.194 1.229 1.265 1.299 1.331 1.364 1.394 1.425 1.459 1.492 1.524 1.554 1.581 1.604 1.624 Residual Fuel................... 0.414 0.403 0.400 0.507 0.505 0.508 0.510 0.510 0.512 0.511 0.510 0.510 0.509 0.511 0.516 0.519 0.518 0.517 0.515 0.508 0.502 Other Petroleum ................ 3.826 3.495 3.579 3.569 3.598 3.632 3.665 3.692 3.709 3.710 3.710 3.711 3.711 3.710 3.713 3.718 3.720 3.723 3.725 3.727 3.726 Petroleum Subtotal............ 8.315 8.082 8.057 8.463 8.617 8.804 8.952 9.09 9.21 9.30 9.38 9.47 9.55 9.64 9.74 9.83 9.91 9.99 10.05 10.09 10.12 Natural Gas .................... 8.475 8.888 9.28 9.20 9.34 9.57 9.69 9.82 9.97 10.13 10.21 10.26 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.29 10.32 10.35 10.37 10.44 10.50 Metallurgical Coal.............. 1.037 0.904 0.941 1.042 1.048 1.054 1.038 1.021 1.005 0.989 0.977 0.962 0.946 0.931 0.916 0.902 0.887 0.873 0.859 0.845 0.832 Steam Coal ..................... 1.712 1.691 1.695 1.810 1.833 1.853 1.851 1.847 1.849 1.846 1.841 1.839 1.838 1.839 1.839 1.860 1.874 1.936 1.996 1.987 1.978 Coal Subtotal................. 2.749 2.595 2.636 2.851 2.881 2.907 2.888 2.868 2.854 2.835 2.818 2.800 2.785 2.770 2.755 2.761 2.761 2.809 2.855 2.832 2.810 Hydroelectric Power............. 0.064 0.108 0.110 0.113 0.118 0.115 0.100 0.096 0.092 0.091 0.086 0.084 0.081 0.079 0.077 0.075 0.074 0.072 0.071 0.070 0.068 Net Imports of Coal Coke........ 0.005 0.009 0.016 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.013 0.026 0.041 0.051 0.061 0.073 0.085 0.097 0.109 0.119 0.128 0.138 0.145 0.151 0.156 Primary Energy Subtotal....... 19.61 19.68 20.10 20.63 20.96 21.39 21.65 21.89 22.16 22.41 22.56 22.69 22.79 22.87 22.97 23.08 23.20 23.36 23.49 23.58 23.66 Electricity, Purchased.......... 3.226 3.210 3.275 3.271 3.344 3.429 3.527 3.635 3.741 3.847 3.970 4.065 4.159 4.253 4.344 4.429 4.513 4.596 4.673 4.744 4.811 Net Consumption--MER Basis.... 22.83 22.89 23.38 23.90 24.30 24.82 25.17 25.53 25.90 26.25 26.53 26.75 26.95 27.13 27.31 27.51 27.71 27.95 28.17 28.33 28.47 Electrical System Losses........ 7.087 6.960 7.041 6.931 7.036 7.177 7.392 7.622 7.828 7.996 8.228 8.421 8.609 8.783 8.938 9.04 9.15 9.26 9.35 9.42 9.47 Total Consumption, excluding Non-Hydro Renewables........ 29.92 29.85 30.42 30.84 31.34 32.00 32.56 33.15 33.73 34.25 34.75 35.17 35.56 35.91 36.25 36.55 36.86 37.21 37.51 37.75 37.94 Renewables, End-Use............. 1.731 1.784 1.812 1.830 1.847 1.869 1.882 1.895 1.905 1.913 1.919 1.926 1.936 1.947 1.960 1.971 1.986 2.003 2.017 2.040 2.058 Renewables, Hydroelectric Power. 0.064 0.108 0.110 0.113 0.118 0.115 0.100 0.096 0.092 0.091 0.086 0.084 0.081 0.079 0.077 0.075 0.074 0.072 0.071 0.070 0.068 Renewables, Other Electricity... 0.276 0.249 0.257 0.289 0.300 0.315 0.337 0.343 0.348 0.353 0.358 0.362 0.365 0.368 0.371 0.375 0.378 0.382 0.386 0.391 0.396 Renewable Energy Subtotal..... 2.071 2.141 2.179 2.232 2.265 2.299 2.319 2.334 2.345 2.356 2.363 2.371 2.383 2.395 2.409 2.421 2.438 2.457 2.474 2.501 2.522 Net Consumption, incl. Renew. 24.84 24.92 25.45 26.02 26.45 27.01 27.39 27.77 28.16 28.52 28.80 29.04 29.25 29.44 29.64 29.86 30.07 30.34 30.57 30.76 30.92 Total Consumption, incl. Renew 31.99 31.99 32.60 33.07 33.60 34.30 34.88 35.48 36.08 36.61 37.12 37.54 37.94 38.30 38.66 38.97 39.30 39.67 39.99 40.25 40.46 Transportation Distillate Fuel................. 3.831 3.707 3.810 3.902 4.033 4.168 4.264 4.351 4.446 4.525 4.603 4.721 4.808 4.891 4.978 5.036 5.113 5.194 5.270 5.346 5.419 Jet Fuel........................ 3.130 3.025 3.096 3.203 3.325 3.453 3.508 3.605 3.724 3.767 3.854 3.951 4.035 4.124 4.218 4.304 4.384 4.398 4.465 4.522 4.575 Motor Gasoline ................. 13.58 13.49 13.62 13.74 14.03 14.25 14.43 14.57 14.73 14.88 14.99 15.11 15.21 15.32 15.46 15.56 15.65 15.73 15.80 15.86 15.91 Residual Fuel................... 1.024 0.995 0.987 1.028 1.064 1.093 1.122 1.149 1.181 1.211 1.242 1.272 1.304 1.336 1.365 1.392 1.418 1.442 1.466 1.488 1.510 Other Petroleum ................ 0.243 0.226 0.231 0.236 0.243 0.248 0.253 0.258 0.263 0.268 0.273 0.278 0.283 0.288 0.293 0.298 0.303 0.308 0.313 0.317 0.322 Petroleum Subtotal............ 21.80 21.44 21.74 22.11 22.69 23.21 23.57 23.93 24.34 24.65 24.97 25.33 25.64 25.96 26.31 26.60 26.87 27.08 27.31 27.53 27.74 Natural Gas..................... 0.680 0.705 0.737 0.633 0.647 0.663 0.685 0.697 0.711 0.725 0.735 0.748 0.766 0.784 0.805 0.836 0.857 0.876 0.892 0.929 0.962 Primary Energy Subtotal....... 22.48 22.15 22.48 22.75 23.34 23.88 24.26 24.63 25.05 25.38 25.70 26.08 26.41 26.75 27.12 27.43 27.73 27.95 28.21 28.46 28.70 Electricity..................... 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.015 0.016 0.017 0.017 0.019 0.021 0.022 0.025 0.029 0.035 0.043 0.050 0.056 0.062 0.068 0.073 0.077 Net Consumption--MER Basis.... 22.50 22.16 22.49 22.76 23.36 23.89 24.27 24.64 25.07 25.40 25.72 26.11 26.44 26.78 27.16 27.48 27.79 28.02 28.27 28.53 28.78 Electrical System Losses........ 0.031 0.031 0.030 0.030 0.032 0.033 0.035 0.036 0.040 0.043 0.046 0.053 0.060 0.073 0.087 0.101 0.114 0.126 0.136 0.145 0.152 Total Consumption, excluding Alcohol Fuels............. 22.53 22.19 22.52 22.79 23.39 23.93 24.31 24.68 25.11 25.44 25.77 26.16 26.50 26.85 27.25 27.58 27.90 28.14 28.41 28.68 28.93 Alcohol Fuels................... 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.011 0.014 0.018 0.021 0.025 0.032 0.042 0.054 0.077 0.093 0.109 0.125 0.141 0.156 Net Consumption, including Alcohol Fuels............. 22.50 22.16 22.49 22.76 23.36 23.90 24.28 24.66 25.09 25.41 25.74 26.13 26.47 26.82 27.21 27.56 27.88 28.12 28.40 28.68 28.93 Total Consumption, including Alcohol Fuels............. 22.53 22.19 22.52 22.79 23.39 23.93 24.32 24.69 25.13 25.46 25.79 26.18 26.53 26.90 27.30 27.66 27.99 28.25 28.53 28.82 29.08 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A20. Energy Consumption--M.E.R. Accounting Detail and Summaries (Continued) (Quadrillion Btu per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Energy Consumption by Source (as defined in the MER, Table 1.4) Coal............................ 19.11 18.92 19.20 19.35 19.52 19.68 19.88 20.02 20.11 20.17 20.30 20.45 20.58 20.66 20.79 21.03 21.32 21.72 22.15 22.47 22.88 Natural Gas..................... 19.31 19.99 20.90 20.80 21.18 21.62 22.20 22.50 22.89 23.27 23.54 23.85 24.17 24.48 24.75 24.84 24.92 24.93 24.86 24.98 24.99 Petroleum....................... 33.53 32.85 33.58 34.22 34.88 35.57 35.87 36.45 37.01 37.39 37.85 38.32 38.76 39.22 39.67 40.00 40.29 40.53 40.77 40.99 41.15 Nuclear Electric Power.......... 6.189 6.570 6.540 6.693 6.787 6.848 6.845 6.874 6.880 6.901 6.897 6.955 6.978 6.995 7.017 7.057 7.092 7.082 7.092 7.019 6.936 Hydroelectric Power............. 3.177 3.379 3.328 3.565 3.662 3.747 3.767 3.792 3.821 3.838 3.864 3.894 3.926 3.948 3.971 4.020 4.049 4.080 4.110 4.141 4.173 Other........................... 0.386 0.423 0.451 0.556 0.602 0.645 0.693 0.740 0.788 0.842 0.915 0.965 1.016 1.069 1.122 1.188 1.253 1.321 1.390 1.461 1.534 Total......................... 81.70 82.13 84.00 85.18 86.62 88.11 89.25 90.38 91.50 92.41 93.37 94.44 95.43 96.37 97.32 98.14 98.93 99.7 100.4 101.1 101.7 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Table A21. Carbon Emissions by End-Use Sector and Source (Million Metric Tons per Year) _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | AEO93B.D0918921 IFFS;93MDPRC;MDMACRO;DEMS;MDGEO; Sector and Source |_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |1990 |1991 |1992 |1993 |1994 |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |2002 |2003 |2004 |2005 |2006 |2007 |2008 |2009 |2010 ___________________________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____|_____ +_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Residential Petroleum..................... 24.3 24.2 28.8 30.2 28.7 27.2 25.9 24.6 23.4 22.4 21.4 20.5 19.8 19.0 18.4 17.8 17.2 16.7 16.2 15.7 15.3 Natural Gas................... 65.7 68.5 73.9 72.5 73.3 73.9 73.4 72.8 72.0 71.2 70.3 70.0 69.8 69.4 69.1 68.9 68.5 68.1 67.7 67.6 67.5 Coal.......................... 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Renewable Energy ............. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total....................... 91.5 94.2 104.3 104.2 103.5 102.6 100.8 98.9 97.0 95.1 93.2 92.1 91.1 89.9 89.0 88.2 87.2 86.3 85.5 84.9 84.4 Commercial Petroleum..................... 18.5 18.1 20.6 20.3 20.0 19.7 19.4 19.1 18.8 18.4 18.1 17.8 17.5 17.2 16.9 16.7 16.4 16.1 15.8 15.5 15.3 Natural Gas................... 40.1 40.8 43.3 43.8 44.4 44.8 45.1 45.3 45.5 45.8 46.1 46.3 46.5 46.7 46.8 46.9 47.0 47.0 47.1 47.2 47.4 Coal.......................... 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 Renewable Energy ............. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total....................... 60.9 61.1 66.3 66.4 66.6 66.6 66.6 66.4 66.2 66.2 66.1 65.9 65.8 65.6 65.4 65.2 64.9 64.6 64.3 64.2 64.0 Industrial Petroleum..................... 87.4 81.9 79.6 87.5 88.2 89.3 90.3 91.2 92.0 92.3 92.5 92.8 92.9 93.2 93.6 94.0 94.2 94.5 94.7 94.8 94.8 Natural Gas .................. 115.0 120.5 126.0 124.9 127.0 130.2 131.9 133.7 135.8 138.2 139.3 140.0 140.6 140.5 140.5 140.6 141.0 141.4 141.7 142.6 143.6 Metallurgical Coal............ 26.5 23.1 24.0 26.6 26.8 27.0 26.5 26.1 25.7 25.3 24.9 24.5 24.1 23.7 23.3 22.9 22.6 22.2 21.9 21.5 21.2 Steam Coal ................... 43.6 43.0 43.1 46.1 46.6 47.2 47.1 47.0 47.1 47.0 46.9 46.8 46.8 46.8 46.9 47.4 47.8 49.3 50.9 50.7 50.4 Renewable Energy ............. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total....................... 272.5 268.6 272.8 285.1 288.6 293.6 295.9 298.0 300.5 302.7 303.5 304.0 304.5 304.3 304.3 304.9 305.5 307.4 309.1 309.5 310.0 Transportation Petroleum..................... 425.1 418.1 424.0 431.3 442.7 452.9 459.9 466.9 475.0 481.1 487.3 494.5 500.6 506.9 513.8 519.3 524.8 528.8 533.4 537.8 541.8 Natural Gas................... 9.9 10.3 10.7 9.2 9.4 9.6 10.0 10.1 10.3 10.5 10.7 10.9 11.1 11.4 11.7 12.1 12.5 12.7 13.0 13.5 14.0 Coal.......................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Alcohol Fuels................. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total....................... 435.0 428.4 434.7 440.5 452.1 462.5 469.9 477.1 485.3 491.6 498.0 505.4 511.7 518.3 525.5 531.5 537.2 541.5 546.4 551.3 555.8 Electric Utilities .. Petroleum..................... 26.4 24.9 27.1 22.7 23.1 24.6 21.9 25.6 27.8 28.8 31.6 33.3 35.6 37.8 38.7 38.6 38.3 38.2 37.8 37.8 36.8 Natural Gas................... 41.9 41.9 42.9 43.1 45.0 46.9 53.5 56.3 60.0 63.4 66.9 70.5 74.5 78.9 82.7 83.6 84.2 84.2 82.8 83.0 81.8 Steam Coal ................... 412.3 411.8 417.6 416.1 419.6 423.3 428.7 432.9 435.7 437.8 441.7 446.0 449.5 452.1 455.7 461.9 469.3 478.2 488.2 496.8 507.8 Renewable Energy.............. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total....................... 480.6 478.6 487.6 481.9 487.7 494.8 504.2 514.8 523.5 530.1 540.1 549.8 559.6 568.8 577.1 584.1 591.8 600.5 608.7 617.7 626.4 Primary Energy Consumption Petroleum..................... 581.6 567.2 580.1 591.9 602.6 613.7 617.4 627.5 637.0 643.0 650.9 659.0 666.4 674.2 681.4 686.4 690.9 694.3 697.9 701.6 704.0 Natural Gas................... 272.6 282.0 296.9 293.6 299.1 305.4 313.9 318.1 323.7 329.2 333.1 337.6 342.5 346.9 350.8 352.1 353.2 353.4 352.3 354.0 354.3 Metallurgical Coal............ 26.5 23.1 24.0 26.6 26.8 27.0 26.5 26.1 25.7 25.3 24.9 24.5 24.1 23.7 23.3 22.9 22.6 22.2 21.9 21.5 21.2 Steam Coal.................... 459.8 458.5 464.7 466.0 470.0 474.1 479.5 483.5 486.3 488.2 491.9 496.2 499.6 502.2 505.8 512.4 520.1 530.5 542.0 550.4 561.1 Renewable Energy.............. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Alcohols...................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total....................... 1341 1331 1366 1378 1399 1420 1437 1455 1473 1486 1501 1517 1533 1547 1561 1574 1587 1600 1614 1628 1641 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________