Elasticity Estimates

Endogenous Variable: Crude Oil & Lease Condensate Production

AEO Version WOP Lag

AEO2004 .011154 1.029688

AEO2003 .065218 .665035

AEO2002 .069431 .884723

AEO2001 .134481 .718614

AEO2000 .030033 .976266

AEO1999 -.013115 1.071508

AEO1998 -.00001 1.03358

Average 0.0425 0.9113

Std. Dev. 0.0512 0.1619

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.2047 0.1777

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Natural Gas Plant Liquids Production

AEO Version GasSp

AEO2004 .894265

AEO2003 .892418

AEO2002 .920669

AEO2001 .925108

AEO2000 .913461

AEO1999 .951577

AEO1998 1.059364

Average 0.9367

Std. Dev. 0.0577

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.0616

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Dry Natural Gas Production

AEO Version TotalDelEnergy

AEO2004 .964817

AEO2003 .815099

AEO2002 1.056611

AEO2001 1.370569

AEO2000 1.046202

AEO1999 1.260784

AEO1998 .923278

Average 1.0625

Std. Dev. 0.1935

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.1821

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Coal Production

AEO Version CoalPrice Lag

AEO2004 -.01794 1.104531

AEO2003 .104708 1.04978

AEO2002 .014236 1.137211

AEO2001 -.023398 1.125308

AEO2000 -.018036 1.114946

AEO1999 .014969 1.07931

AEO1998 .02663 1.052455

Average 0.0145 1.0948

Std. Dev. 0.0444 0.0349

abs(StdDev/Mean) 3.0621 0.0319

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Renewable Energy Production

AEO Version TotalDelEnergy

AEO2004 .999511

AEO2003 .808657

AEO2002 .890822

AEO2001 .607758

AEO2000 .635167

AEO1999 .842643

AEO1998 .769162

Average 0.7934

Std. Dev. 0.1383

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.1743

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Other Energy Production

AEO Version TotalDelEnergy Lag

AEO2004 .199746 .630616

AEO2003 .209672 .532251

AEO2002 -.499094 .91641

AEO2001 .335242 .762869

AEO2000 .207232 .925764

AEO1999 .552031 .875266

AEO1998 .196478 .735515

Average 0.1716 0.7684

Std. Dev. 0.3229 0.1494

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.8817 0.1944

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Crude Oil Imports

AEO Version PetDm OilSp

AEO2004 .8728 -.719986

AEO2003 .48772 -.457409

AEO2002 .514241 -.641766

AEO2001 .480517 -.381664

AEO2000 .327665 -.426144

AEO1999 .721197 -.338467

AEO1998 .532157 -.403222

Average 0.5623 -0.4812

Std. Dev. 0.179 0.143

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.3183 0.2972

Stability Variable Variable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Petroleum Product Imports

AEO Version PetDm OilSp OilM

AEO2004 6.160641 -1.321286 -3.037804

AEO2003 5.014262 -1.421642 -2.779044

AEO2002 4.278219 -1.027397 -1.649241

AEO2001 4.978588 -1.558811 -2.844655

AEO2000 4.791122 -1.220184 -2.301617

AEO1999 4.582718 -1.537071 -2.585474

AEO1998 5.461175 -2.130899 -3.97539

Average 5.0381 -1.4596 -2.739

Std. Dev. 0.6177 0.3491 0.711

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.1226 0.2392 0.2596

Stability Stable Stable Variable

Sign Change No No No

Endogenous Variable: Natural Gas Imports

AEO Version GasDm GasSp

AEO2004 3.102489 -2.066257

AEO2003 4.300391 -3.360996

AEO2002 3.578269 -2.692567

AEO2001 5.929612 -4.880129

AEO2000 5.270293 -4.292869

AEO1999 6.979914 -5.993108

AEO1998 6.205558 -5.242741

Average 5.0524 -4.0755

Std. Dev. 1.4378 1.4256

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.2846 0.3498

Stability Variable Variable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Other Energy Imports

AEO Version TotalDelEnergy Lag

AEO2004 .09378 .786115

AEO2003 -.048341 .801394

AEO2002 -.104759 .976762

AEO2001 .512407 .582767

AEO2000 .603269 .586072

AEO1999 .243126 .882575

AEO1998 .184867 .774518

Average 0.212 0.77

Std. Dev. 0.2668 0.1447

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.2585 0.1879

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Petroleum Product Exports

AEO Version WOP Lag

AEO2004 -.023381 .933286

AEO2003 .001359 1.003957

AEO2002 .001881 .941533

AEO2001 -.009056 1.036594

AEO2000 .026999 1.021779

AEO1999 -.000626 .990608

AEO1998 -.102056 .311946

Average -0.015 0.8914

Std. Dev. 0.0412 0.2584

abs(StdDev/Mean) 2.7467 0.2899

Stability Unstable Variable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Petroleum Products

AEO Version WOP TotalDelEnergy

AEO2004 -.13055 1.186344

AEO2003 -.054699 1.118636

AEO2002 -.056327 1.101731

AEO2001 -.075242 1.144833

AEO2000 -.083281 1.16715

AEO1999 -.092526 1.012368

AEO1998 -.081877 1.181547

Average -0.0821 1.1304

Std. Dev. 0.0256 0.0608

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.3118 0.0538

Stability Variable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Natural Gas

AEO Version GasPrice TotalDelEnergy Lag

AEO2004 -.04986 -.02741 1.038428

AEO2003 -.188814 .068471 1.027935

AEO2002 -.006319 -.06398 .979932

AEO2001 -.06071 -.296765 1.14666

AEO2000 .025728 .046654 .87053

AEO1999 -.086863 -.090146 .98988

AEO1998 -.007789 -.093999 .982405

Average -0.0535 -0.0653 1.0051

Std. Dev. 0.0708 0.1203 0.0828

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.3234 1.8423 0.0824

Stability Unstable Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Coal

AEO Version CoalPrice TotalDelEnergy

AEO2004 1.208721 .997532

AEO2003 1.089906 .970236

AEO2002 .833923 1.107686

AEO2001 -1.143334 -.372614

AEO2000 -.716073 -.240704

AEO1999 -.847221 -.041955

AEO1998 -.9198 -.557189

Average -0.0706 0.2661

Std. Dev. 1.0562 0.7276

abs(StdDev/Mean) 14.9603 2.7343

Stability Unstable Unstable

Sign Change Yes Yes

Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Renewable Energy

AEO Version WOP TotalDelEnergy

AEO2004 .05442 1.055911

AEO2003 .021093 .886283

AEO2002 .037915 .971978

AEO2001 .042817 .514455

AEO2000 .05504 .736326

AEO1999 .046281 .990455

AEO1998 .014298 .689631

Average 0.0388 0.835

Std. Dev. 0.0158 0.1949

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.4072 0.2334

Stability Variable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Other Energy

AEO Version WOP TotalDelEnergy Lag

AEO2004 -.026404 -1.986847 .580271

AEO2003 -.059096 -2.821671 .41884

AEO2002 .047927 -.012881 .663338

AEO2001 -.005358 -.283643 .533134

AEO2000 -.034331 .766678 .498947

AEO1999 .013061 .305697 .806482

AEO1998 .0055 .45077 .846714

Average -0.0084 -0.5117 0.6211

Std. Dev. 0.0351 1.3566 0.1593

abs(StdDev/Mean) 4.1786 2.6512 0.2565

Stability Unstable Unstable Variable

Sign Change Yes Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of Delivered Energy

AEO Version ResPrice Households

AEO2004 -.30292 .995752

AEO2003 -.404306 1.013559

AEO2002 -.376734 1.10906

AEO2001 -.402074 1.150812

AEO2000 -.379656 .855932

AEO1999 -.410519 .682781

AEO1998 -.289327 .762003

Average -0.3665 0.9386

Std. Dev. 0.0498 0.1763

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.1359 0.1878

Stability Stable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of Delivered Energy

AEO Version ComPrice Floorspace

AEO2004 -.208312 1.247944

AEO2003 -.241033 1.242666

AEO2002 -.260439 1.205768

AEO2001 -.266849 1.389821

AEO2000 -.295331 1.208496

AEO1999 -.422484 .941971

AEO1998 -.099753 .978492

Average -0.2563 1.1736

Std. Dev. 0.0969 0.1587

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.3781 0.1352

Stability Variable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of Delivered Energy

AEO Version IndPrice ValOutput

AEO2004 -.059231 .517916

AEO2003 -.026175 .499225

AEO2002 .019382 .395115

AEO2001 .094145 .378549

AEO2000 .000175 .489514

AEO1999 -.007461 .4683

AEO1998 .018875 .225712

Average 0.0057 0.4249

Std. Dev. 0.0476 0.1024

abs(StdDev/Mean) 8.3509 0.241

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of Delivered Energy

AEO Version TrnPrice GDP

AEO2004 -.359087 .550828

AEO2003 -.097986 .638928

AEO2002 -.071733 .536207

AEO2001 -.073553 .569793

AEO2000 -.106555 .697196

AEO1999 -.114021 .64595

AEO1998 -.149768 .660618

Average -0.139 0.6142

Std. Dev. 0.1006 0.0616

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.7237 0.1003

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Total Electricity Related Losses

AEO Version TotalDelEnergy

AEO2004 .669544

AEO2003 .640887

AEO2002 .723409

AEO2001 .546112

AEO2000 .512704

AEO1999 .607488

AEO1998 .774515

Average 0.6392

Std. Dev. 0.0931

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.1457

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Average Residential Sector Price

AEO Version WOP GasPrice ElecPrice

AEO2004 .028556 .159248 .740049

AEO2003 .036283 .12697 .784541

AEO2002 .026283 .20071 .590929

AEO2001 .045693 .118751 .606216

AEO2000 .031724 .169309 .468737

AEO1999 .036235 .14415 .571265

AEO1998 .043453 .200868 .536513

Average 0.0355 0.16 0.614

Std. Dev. 0.0073 0.0328 0.1114

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.2056 0.205 0.1814

Stability Stable Stable Stable

Sign Change No No No

Endogenous Variable: Average Commercial Sector Price

AEO Version WOP GasPrice ElecPrice

AEO2004 .037758 .249274 .668203

AEO2003 .032191 .341733 .670277

AEO2002 .023559 .31366 .345052

AEO2001 .037575 .230682 .728161

AEO2000 .027352 .147681 .916149

AEO1999 .023138 .190322 .763378

AEO1998 .027466 .195184 .808491

Average 0.0299 0.2384 0.7

Std. Dev. 0.0061 0.0694 0.1785

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.204 0.2911 0.255

Stability Stable Variable Variable

Sign Change No No No

Endogenous Variable: Average Industrial Sector Price

AEO Version WOP GasPrice

AEO2004 .274398 .51508

AEO2003 .249016 .684141

AEO2002 .222732 .496466

AEO2001 .238763 .500213

AEO2000 .281946 .480132

AEO1999 .268161 .531573

AEO1998 .268272 .433522

Average 0.2576 0.5202

Std. Dev. 0.0214 0.0786

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.0831 0.1511

Stability Stable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Average Transportation Sector Price

AEO Version WOP ElecPrice

AEO2004 .35468 .328281

AEO2003 .477536 .397079

AEO2002 .487069 .277152

AEO2001 .467026 .249398

AEO2000 .485783 .330179

AEO1999 .467498 .517911

AEO1998 .445855 .576105

Average 0.4551 0.3823

Std. Dev. 0.0464 0.1228

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.102 0.3212

Stability Stable Variable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Average Price of Electricity (cents/Kwh)

AEO Version GasPrice CoalPrice Lag

AEO2004 .090742 .174326 .776713

AEO2003 .15263 .032773 .756924

AEO2002 .048362 .00913 .880227

AEO2001 .045929 .008663 .92278

AEO2000 .083077 .088226 .735153

AEO1999 .132694 .297798 .764986

AEO1998 .096492 .174141 .757407

Average 0.0928 0.1122 0.7992

Std. Dev. 0.0397 0.1083 0.0721

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.4278 0.9652 0.0902

Stability Variable Unstable Stable

Sign Change No No No

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Price of Petroleum Products

AEO Version WOP

AEO2004 .467765

AEO2003 .440525

AEO2002 .462439

AEO2001 .438212

AEO2000 .431728

AEO1999 .418645

AEO1998 .457269

Average 0.4452

Std. Dev. 0.0178

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.04

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Price of Natural Gas

AEO Version GasPrice

AEO2004 .409637

AEO2003 .421492

AEO2002 .409344

AEO2001 .33028

AEO2000 .338777

AEO1999 .165743

AEO1998 .450818

Average 0.3609

Std. Dev. 0.0966

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.2677

Stability Variable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Price of Electricity

AEO Version ElecPrice

AEO2004 1.058886

AEO2003 1.057269

AEO2002 1.084628

AEO2001 .880505

AEO2000 .879145

AEO1999 1.014033

AEO1998 .977751

Average 0.9932

Std. Dev. 0.0848

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.0854

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of Petroluem Products

AEO Version RPetPrice Lag

AEO2004 -.099701 .74186

AEO2003 -.058089 .896733

AEO2002 -.096329 .877833

AEO2001 -.150622 .796385

AEO2000 -.04963 .957258

AEO1999 -.027146 .987865

AEO1998 -.118133 .626533

Average -0.0857 0.8406

Std. Dev. 0.0429 0.1274

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.5006 0.1516

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of Natural Gas

AEO Version RGasPrice Lag

AEO2004 -.042743 1.029013

AEO2003 -.140171 1.11187

AEO2002 .01252 1.036779

AEO2001 -.00614 1.007368

AEO2000 .019655 1.00111

AEO1999 -.007607 .932796

AEO1998 -.015526 .959235

Average -0.0257 1.0112

Std. Dev. 0.0544 0.0578

abs(StdDev/Mean) 2.1167 0.0572

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of Renewable Energy

AEO Version WOP ResDm

AEO2004 -.001628 .048884

AEO2003 -.004585 -.105961

AEO2002 .015929 .274313

AEO2001 -.084928 .257495

AEO2000 -.001004 .402102

AEO1999 .010468 .508591

AEO1998 .003366 .30275

Average -0.0089 0.2412

Std. Dev. 0.0343 0.2082

abs(StdDev/Mean) 3.8539 0.8632

Stability Unstable Unstable

Sign Change Yes Yes

Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of Electricity

AEO Version RPetSub RGas RRenew ResDm

AEO2004 -.302446 -1.124699 -.080194 2.507735

AEO2003 -.267126 -1.120139 -.080596 2.46815

AEO2002 -.237433 -1.117071 -.097451 2.453884

AEO2001 -.23314 -1.111335 -.090365 2.447085

AEO2000 -.245513 -1.177691 -.130658 2.529989

AEO1999 -.242552 -1.170013 -.154903 2.566319

AEO1998 -.259981 -1.169366 -.020702 2.490736

Average -0.2555 -1.1415 -0.0936 2.4948

Std. Dev. 0.024 0.0293 0.0425 0.0432

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.0939 0.0257 0.4541 0.0173

Stability Stable Stable Variable Stable

Sign Change No No No No

Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Price of Petroleum Products

AEO Version WOP

AEO2004 .665984

AEO2003 .664661

AEO2002 .716965

AEO2001 .70625

AEO2000 .654108

AEO1999 .650021

AEO1998 .632499

Average 0.6701

Std. Dev. 0.0306

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.0457

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Price of Natural Gas

AEO Version GasPrice

AEO2004 .508685

AEO2003 .541322

AEO2002 .521165

AEO2001 .447998

AEO2000 .434812

AEO1999 .352721

AEO1998 .521341

Average 0.4754

Std. Dev. 0.0672

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.1414

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Price of Electricity

AEO Version ElecPrice

AEO2004 1.131639

AEO2003 1.176186

AEO2002 1.101494

AEO2001 1.31516

AEO2000 1.330604

AEO1999 1.178071

AEO1998 1.276339

Average 1.2156

Std. Dev. 0.0912

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.075

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of Petroluem Products

AEO Version CPetPrice Floorspace

AEO2004 -.413454 .61232

AEO2003 -.493807 .553585

AEO2002 -.40166 .502953

AEO2001 -.678176 .699987

AEO2000 -.463747 .143648

AEO1999 -.569767 -.116954

AEO1998 -.244821 -.180553

Average -0.4665 0.3164

Std. Dev. 0.1369 0.3629

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.2935 1.147

Stability Variable Unstable

Sign Change No Yes

Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of Natural Gas

AEO Version CGasPrice Floorspace

AEO2004 .014074 .713383

AEO2003 -.144051 .873537

AEO2002 -.094443 .986481

AEO2001 .194427 .662411

AEO2000 .039696 1.130952

AEO1999 .59293 .956102

AEO1998 .128981 .567469

Average 0.1045 0.8415

Std. Dev. 0.2453 0.2011

abs(StdDev/Mean) 2.3474 0.239

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of Electricity

AEO Version CElecPrice Floorspace Lag

AEO2004 -.060547 .993657 .368679

AEO2003 -.083837 -.302838 1.221871

AEO2002 -.086354 .977899 .285739

AEO2001 -.049929 .277006 .779941

AEO2000 -.091004 .415042 .617219

AEO1999 -.15514 .274975 .677283

AEO1998 -.043579 .388074 .658374

Average -0.0815 0.432 0.6584

Std. Dev. 0.0375 0.448 0.3047

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.4601 1.037 0.4628

Stability Variable Unstable Variable

Sign Change No Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of Petroleum Products

AEO Version WOP

AEO2004 .725293

AEO2003 .599707

AEO2002 .638449

AEO2001 .659105

AEO2000 .74239

AEO1999 .743295

AEO1998 .723184

Average 0.6902

Std. Dev. 0.0573

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.083

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of Natural Gas

AEO Version GasPrice

AEO2004 .884511

AEO2003 .929156

AEO2002 .856346

AEO2001 .843774

AEO2000 .815778

AEO1999 .899222

AEO1998 .80195

Average 0.8615

Std. Dev. 0.0457

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.053

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of Coal

AEO Version CoalPrice

AEO2004 1.007422

AEO2003 1.193635

AEO2002 .871719

AEO2001 .786118

AEO2000 .781563

AEO1999 1.054949

AEO1998 .214383

Average 0.8443

Std. Dev. 0.3157

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.3739

Stability Variable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of Electricity

AEO Version ElecPrice

AEO2004 1.289951

AEO2003 1.192611

AEO2002 1.301292

AEO2001 1.394572

AEO2000 1.45341

AEO1999 1.11294

AEO1998 1.189616

Average 1.2763

Std. Dev. 0.1207

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.0946

Stability Stable

Sign Change No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of Petroluem Products

AEO Version IPetPrice ValOutput

AEO2004 -.201802 .564852

AEO2003 -.129372 .508604

AEO2002 -.078044 .39781

AEO2001 -.169251 .486465

AEO2000 -.036624 .475546

AEO1999 -.212703 .431118

AEO1998 -.190834 .325663

Average -0.1455 0.4557

Std. Dev. 0.067 0.0784

abs(StdDev/Mean) 0.4605 0.172

Stability Variable Stable

Sign Change No No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of Natural Gas

AEO Version IGasPrice ValOutput

AEO2004 .265801 .326955

AEO2003 -.117243 .508077

AEO2002 .39473 .17804

AEO2001 1.4167 -.35717

AEO2000 .111789 .480603

AEO1999 3.489835 -.617061

AEO1998 2.246333 -.963461

Average 1.1154 -0.0634

Std. Dev. 1.3401 0.5825

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.2015 9.1877

Stability Unstable Unstable

Sign Change Yes Yes

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of Renewable Energy

AEO Version WOP IndDm

AEO2004 .021304 1.656051

AEO2003 .00831 1.802229

AEO2002 -.016726 1.706662

AEO2001 -.047973 1.476778

AEO2000 .067243 1.030341

AEO1999 .045551 1.260909

AEO1998 -.017931 1.347833

Average 0.0085 1.4687

Std. Dev. 0.0398 0.2748

abs(StdDev/Mean) 4.6824 0.1871

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of Coal

AEO Version ICoalPrice ValOutput

AEO2004 2.63822 .510789

AEO2003 -.055952 .146133

AEO2002 -.021102 .071665

AEO2001 .098386 .029924

AEO2000 -1.374822 -.49152

AEO1999 2.50749 1.782497

AEO1998 1.911816 .376271

Average 0.8149 0.3465

Std. Dev. 1.5361 0.7081

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.885 2.0436

Stability Unstable Unstable

Sign Change Yes Yes

Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of Electricity

AEO Version IElecPrice ValOutput

AEO2004 -.107736 .624683

AEO2003 -.198658 .65865

AEO2002 -.015827 .557983

AEO2001 .187716 .517812

AEO2000 .028618 .703988

AEO1999 -.023711 .590478

AEO1998 .808416 1.201462

Average 0.097 0.6936

Std. Dev. 0.3356 0.2324

abs(StdDev/Mean) 3.4598 0.3351

Stability Unstable Variable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Price of Distillate

AEO Version WOP Lag

AEO2004 -.044453 1.119401

AEO2003 .095067 .825335

AEO2002 .040101 .909796

AEO2001 -.008932 1.039506

AEO2000 -.003367 1.027316

AEO1999 -.006246 1.029807

AEO1998 .007476 1.002883

Average 0.0114 0.9934

Std. Dev. 0.0445 0.0964

abs(StdDev/Mean) 3.9035 0.097

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Price of Jet Fuel

AEO Version WOP Lag

AEO2004 -.042299 1.060883

AEO2003 .057602 .945502

AEO2002 .14511 .802965

AEO2001 .09753 .885661

AEO2000 -.012066 1.057589

AEO1999 -.038991 1.074845

AEO1998 .084647 .909528

Average 0.0416 0.9624

Std. Dev. 0.0734 0.1047

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.7644 0.1088

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Price of Motor Gasoline

AEO Version WOP Lag

AEO2004 .0184 .966168

AEO2003 .052008 .921974

AEO2002 .03801 .945442

AEO2001 .039436 .941518

AEO2000 -.01381 1.040106

AEO1999 -.013294 1.039961

AEO1998 .008858 .994091

Average 0.0185 0.9785

Std. Dev. 0.0261 0.0477

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.4108 0.0487

Stability Unstable Stable

Sign Change Yes No

Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of Distillate

AEO Version TDistPrice VMT(>10k) MPG(>10k)

AEO2004 -.005845 1.113859 -1.174204

AEO2003 .027116 1.021024 -.877576

AEO2002 .034812 1.011186 -.961868

AEO2001 .034921 .653374 .13665

AEO2000 -.00043 1.00824 -.580922

AEO1999 -.007925 1.127731 -.771364

AEO1998 .018669 .944408 -1.060631

Average 0.0145 0.9828 -0.7557

Std. Dev. 0.0189 0.1587 0.4383

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.3034 0.1615 0.58

Stability Unstable Stable Unstable

Sign Change Yes No Yes

Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of Jet Fuel

AEO Version TJetPrice SeatMiles SeatMiles/Gal

AEO2004 -.001704 .998439 -.924632

AEO2003 -.005695 .879847 -.732528

AEO2002 -.014238 .738522 -.153403

AEO2001 -.009369 .810446 -.32852

AEO2000 -.00994 .81006 -.402136

AEO1999 -.008697 .836674 -.683053

AEO1998 .011091 1.133536 -2.032216

Average -0.0055 0.8868 -0.7509

Std. Dev. 0.0083 0.1352 0.6237

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.5091 0.1525 0.8306

Stability Unstable Stable Unstable

Sign Change Yes No No

Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of Motor Gasoline

AEO Version TMogasPrice VMT(LtDuty) MPG(LtDuty)

AEO2004 -.033445 .910891 -.973614

AEO2003 -.00579 .943947 -1.148806

AEO2002 .005669 .987152 -1.287535

AEO2001 .002408 .960592 -1.317737

AEO2000 .001926 .868696 -1.07117

AEO1999 -.010323 .854622 -.958816

AEO1998 -.007284 .853112 -.834516

Average -0.0067 0.9113 -1.0846

Std. Dev. 0.0132 0.0543 0.1782

abs(StdDev/Mean) 1.9701 0.0596 0.1643

Stability Unstable Stable Stable

Sign Change Yes No No