Elasticity
Estimates
Endogenous Variable: Crude Oil & Lease Condensate
Production
AEO Version
WOP Lag
AEO2004
.011154 1.029688
AEO2003
.065218 .665035
AEO2002
.069431 .884723
AEO2001
.134481 .718614
AEO2000 .030033 .976266
AEO1999
-.013115 1.071508
AEO1998
-.00001 1.03358
Average
0.0425 0.9113
Std. Dev.
0.0512 0.1619
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.2047 0.1777
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Natural Gas Plant Liquids Production
AEO Version
GasSp
AEO2004
.894265
AEO2003
.892418
AEO2002
.920669
AEO2001
.925108
AEO2000
.913461
AEO1999
.951577
AEO1998
1.059364
Average
0.9367
Std. Dev.
0.0577
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.0616
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Dry Natural Gas Production
AEO Version
TotalDelEnergy
AEO2004
.964817
AEO2003
.815099
AEO2002
1.056611
AEO2001
1.370569
AEO2000
1.046202
AEO1999
1.260784
AEO1998
.923278
Average
1.0625
Std. Dev.
0.1935
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.1821
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Coal Production
AEO Version
CoalPrice Lag
AEO2004
-.01794 1.104531
AEO2003
.104708 1.04978
AEO2002
.014236 1.137211
AEO2001
-.023398 1.125308
AEO2000
-.018036 1.114946
AEO1999
.014969 1.07931
AEO1998
.02663 1.052455
Average
0.0145 1.0948
Std. Dev. 0.0444 0.0349
abs(StdDev/Mean)
3.0621 0.0319
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Renewable Energy Production
AEO Version
TotalDelEnergy
AEO2004
.999511
AEO2003
.808657
AEO2002
.890822
AEO2001
.607758
AEO2000
.635167
AEO1999
.842643
AEO1998
.769162
Average
0.7934
Std. Dev.
0.1383
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.1743
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Other Energy Production
AEO Version
TotalDelEnergy Lag
AEO2004
.199746 .630616
AEO2003
.209672 .532251
AEO2002
-.499094 .91641
AEO2001 .335242 .762869
AEO2000
.207232 .925764
AEO1999
.552031 .875266
AEO1998
.196478 .735515
Average
0.1716 0.7684
Std. Dev.
0.3229 0.1494
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.8817 0.1944
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Crude Oil Imports
AEO Version
PetDm OilSp
AEO2004
.8728 -.719986
AEO2003
.48772 -.457409
AEO2002
.514241 -.641766
AEO2001 .480517 -.381664
AEO2000
.327665 -.426144
AEO1999
.721197 -.338467
AEO1998
.532157 -.403222
Average
0.5623 -0.4812
Std. Dev.
0.179 0.143
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.3183 0.2972
Stability
Variable Variable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Petroleum Product Imports
AEO Version
PetDm OilSp OilM
AEO2004
6.160641 -1.321286 -3.037804
AEO2003
5.014262 -1.421642 -2.779044
AEO2002
4.278219 -1.027397 -1.649241
AEO2001
4.978588 -1.558811 -2.844655
AEO2000
4.791122 -1.220184 -2.301617
AEO1999
4.582718 -1.537071 -2.585474
AEO1998
5.461175 -2.130899 -3.97539
Average
5.0381 -1.4596 -2.739
Std. Dev.
0.6177 0.3491 0.711
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.1226 0.2392 0.2596
Stability
Stable Stable Variable
Sign Change
No No No
Endogenous Variable: Natural Gas Imports
AEO Version
GasDm GasSp
AEO2004
3.102489 -2.066257
AEO2003
4.300391 -3.360996
AEO2002
3.578269 -2.692567
AEO2001
5.929612 -4.880129
AEO2000
5.270293 -4.292869
AEO1999
6.979914 -5.993108
AEO1998
6.205558 -5.242741
Average
5.0524 -4.0755
Std. Dev.
1.4378 1.4256
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.2846 0.3498
Stability
Variable Variable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Other Energy Imports
AEO Version
TotalDelEnergy Lag
AEO2004
.09378 .786115
AEO2003
-.048341 .801394
AEO2002
-.104759 .976762
AEO2001
.512407 .582767
AEO2000
.603269 .586072
AEO1999
.243126 .882575
AEO1998
.184867 .774518
Average
0.212 0.77
Std. Dev.
0.2668 0.1447
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.2585 0.1879
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Petroleum Product Exports
AEO Version WOP Lag
AEO2004
-.023381 .933286
AEO2003
.001359 1.003957
AEO2002
.001881 .941533
AEO2001
-.009056 1.036594
AEO2000
.026999 1.021779
AEO1999
-.000626 .990608
AEO1998
-.102056 .311946
Average
-0.015 0.8914
Std. Dev.
0.0412 0.2584
abs(StdDev/Mean)
2.7467 0.2899
Stability
Unstable Variable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Petroleum Products
AEO Version WOP TotalDelEnergy
AEO2004
-.13055 1.186344
AEO2003
-.054699 1.118636
AEO2002
-.056327 1.101731
AEO2001
-.075242 1.144833
AEO2000
-.083281 1.16715
AEO1999
-.092526 1.012368
AEO1998
-.081877 1.181547
Average
-0.0821 1.1304
Std. Dev.
0.0256 0.0608
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.3118 0.0538
Stability
Variable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Natural Gas
AEO Version
GasPrice
TotalDelEnergy Lag
AEO2004
-.04986 -.02741 1.038428
AEO2003
-.188814 .068471 1.027935
AEO2002
-.006319 -.06398 .979932
AEO2001
-.06071 -.296765 1.14666
AEO2000
.025728 .046654 .87053
AEO1999
-.086863 -.090146 .98988
AEO1998 -.007789 -.093999 .982405
Average
-0.0535 -0.0653 1.0051
Std. Dev.
0.0708 0.1203 0.0828
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.3234 1.8423 0.0824
Stability
Unstable Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Coal
AEO Version
CoalPrice TotalDelEnergy
AEO2004
1.208721 .997532
AEO2003
1.089906 .970236
AEO2002
.833923 1.107686
AEO2001
-1.143334 -.372614
AEO2000
-.716073 -.240704
AEO1999
-.847221 -.041955
AEO1998
-.9198 -.557189
Average
-0.0706 0.2661
Std. Dev.
1.0562 0.7276
abs(StdDev/Mean)
14.9603 2.7343
Stability
Unstable Unstable
Sign Change
Yes Yes
Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Renewable Energy
AEO Version
WOP TotalDelEnergy
AEO2004
.05442 1.055911
AEO2003
.021093 .886283
AEO2002
.037915 .971978
AEO2001
.042817 .514455
AEO2000 .05504 .736326
AEO1999
.046281 .990455
AEO1998
.014298 .689631
Average
0.0388 0.835
Std. Dev.
0.0158 0.1949
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.4072 0.2334
Stability
Variable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Consumption of Other Energy
AEO Version
WOP TotalDelEnergy Lag
AEO2004
-.026404 -1.986847 .580271
AEO2003
-.059096 -2.821671 .41884
AEO2002
.047927 -.012881 .663338
AEO2001
-.005358 -.283643 .533134
AEO2000
-.034331 .766678 .498947
AEO1999
.013061 .305697 .806482
AEO1998
.0055 .45077 .846714
Average
-0.0084 -0.5117 0.6211
Std. Dev.
0.0351 1.3566 0.1593
abs(StdDev/Mean)
4.1786 2.6512 0.2565
Stability
Unstable Unstable Variable
Sign Change
Yes Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of
Delivered Energy
AEO Version
ResPrice Households
AEO2004
-.30292 .995752
AEO2003
-.404306 1.013559
AEO2002
-.376734 1.10906
AEO2001
-.402074 1.150812
AEO2000 -.379656 .855932
AEO1999
-.410519 .682781
AEO1998
-.289327 .762003
Average
-0.3665 0.9386
Std. Dev.
0.0498 0.1763
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.1359 0.1878
Stability
Stable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of
Delivered Energy
AEO Version ComPrice Floorspace
AEO2004
-.208312 1.247944
AEO2003
-.241033 1.242666
AEO2002
-.260439 1.205768
AEO2001
-.266849 1.389821
AEO2000
-.295331 1.208496
AEO1999
-.422484 .941971
AEO1998
-.099753 .978492
Average
-0.2563 1.1736
Std. Dev.
0.0969 0.1587
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.3781 0.1352
Stability
Variable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of Delivered
Energy
AEO Version
IndPrice ValOutput
AEO2004
-.059231 .517916
AEO2003
-.026175 .499225
AEO2002
.019382 .395115
AEO2001
.094145 .378549
AEO2000
.000175 .489514
AEO1999
-.007461 .4683
AEO1998
.018875 .225712
Average
0.0057 0.4249
Std. Dev.
0.0476 0.1024
abs(StdDev/Mean)
8.3509 0.241
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of
Delivered Energy
AEO Version
TrnPrice
AEO2004
-.359087 .550828
AEO2003
-.097986 .638928
AEO2002
-.071733 .536207
AEO2001
-.073553 .569793
AEO2000
-.106555 .697196
AEO1999
-.114021 .64595
AEO1998
-.149768 .660618
Average
-0.139 0.6142
Std. Dev.
0.1006 0.0616
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.7237 0.1003
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Total Electricity Related Losses
AEO Version
TotalDelEnergy
AEO2004
.669544
AEO2003
.640887
AEO2002
.723409
AEO2001
.546112
AEO2000
.512704
AEO1999
.607488
AEO1998
.774515
Average
0.6392
Std. Dev.
0.0931
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.1457
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Average Residential Sector Price
AEO Version
WOP GasPrice ElecPrice
AEO2004
.028556 .159248 .740049
AEO2003
.036283 .12697 .784541
AEO2002
.026283 .20071 .590929
AEO2001
.045693 .118751 .606216
AEO2000
.031724 .169309 .468737
AEO1999
.036235 .14415 .571265
AEO1998
.043453 .200868 .536513
Average
0.0355 0.16 0.614
Std. Dev.
0.0073 0.0328 0.1114
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.2056 0.205 0.1814
Stability
Stable Stable Stable
Sign Change
No No No
Endogenous Variable: Average Commercial Sector Price
AEO Version
WOP GasPrice ElecPrice
AEO2004
.037758 .249274 .668203
AEO2003
.032191 .341733 .670277
AEO2002
.023559 .31366 .345052
AEO2001
.037575 .230682 .728161
AEO2000
.027352 .147681 .916149
AEO1999 .023138 .190322 .763378
AEO1998
.027466 .195184 .808491
Average
0.0299 0.2384 0.7
Std. Dev.
0.0061 0.0694 0.1785
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.204 0.2911 0.255
Stability
Stable Variable Variable
Sign Change
No No No
Endogenous Variable: Average Industrial Sector Price
AEO Version
WOP GasPrice
AEO2004
.274398 .51508
AEO2003
.249016 .684141
AEO2002
.222732 .496466
AEO2001
.238763 .500213
AEO2000
.281946 .480132
AEO1999
.268161 .531573
AEO1998
.268272 .433522
Average
0.2576 0.5202
Std. Dev.
0.0214 0.0786
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.0831 0.1511
Stability
Stable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Average Transportation Sector Price
AEO Version
WOP ElecPrice
AEO2004
.35468 .328281
AEO2003
.477536 .397079
AEO2002
.487069 .277152
AEO2001
.467026 .249398
AEO2000
.485783 .330179
AEO1999
.467498 .517911
AEO1998
.445855 .576105
Average
0.4551 0.3823
Std. Dev.
0.0464 0.1228
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.102 0.3212
Stability
Stable Variable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Average Price of Electricity
(cents/Kwh)
AEO Version
GasPrice CoalPrice Lag
AEO2004
.090742 .174326 .776713
AEO2003
.15263 .032773 .756924
AEO2002
.048362 .00913 .880227
AEO2001
.045929 .008663 .92278
AEO2000
.083077 .088226 .735153
AEO1999 .132694 .297798 .764986
AEO1998
.096492 .174141 .757407
Average
0.0928 0.1122 0.7992
Std. Dev.
0.0397 0.1083 0.0721
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.4278 0.9652 0.0902
Stability
Variable Unstable Stable
Sign Change
No No No
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Price of
Petroleum Products
AEO Version
WOP
AEO2004
.467765
AEO2003
.440525
AEO2002
.462439
AEO2001
.438212
AEO2000 .431728
AEO1999
.418645
AEO1998
.457269
Average
0.4452
Std. Dev.
0.0178
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.04
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Price of Natural
Gas
AEO Version
GasPrice
AEO2004
.409637
AEO2003
.421492
AEO2002
.409344
AEO2001 .33028
AEO2000
.338777
AEO1999
.165743
AEO1998
.450818
Average
0.3609
Std. Dev.
0.0966
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.2677
Stability Variable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Price of
Electricity
AEO Version
ElecPrice
AEO2004
1.058886
AEO2003
1.057269
AEO2002 1.084628
AEO2001
.880505
AEO2000
.879145
AEO1999
1.014033
AEO1998
.977751
Average
0.9932
Std. Dev.
0.0848
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.0854
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of
Petroluem Products
AEO Version
RPetPrice Lag
AEO2004
-.099701 .74186
AEO2003
-.058089 .896733
AEO2002
-.096329 .877833
AEO2001
-.150622 .796385
AEO2000
-.04963 .957258
AEO1999
-.027146 .987865
AEO1998
-.118133 .626533
Average
-0.0857 0.8406
Std. Dev.
0.0429 0.1274
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.5006 0.1516
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of
Natural Gas
AEO Version
RGasPrice Lag
AEO2004
-.042743 1.029013
AEO2003
-.140171 1.11187
AEO2002
.01252 1.036779
AEO2001
-.00614 1.007368
AEO2000
.019655 1.00111
AEO1999
-.007607 .932796
AEO1998
-.015526 .959235
Average
-0.0257 1.0112
Std. Dev.
0.0544 0.0578
abs(StdDev/Mean) 2.1167 0.0572
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of
Renewable Energy
AEO Version
WOP ResDm
AEO2004
-.001628 .048884
AEO2003
-.004585 -.105961
AEO2002
.015929 .274313
AEO2001
-.084928 .257495
AEO2000 -.001004 .402102
AEO1999
.010468 .508591
AEO1998
.003366 .30275
Average
-0.0089 0.2412
Std. Dev.
0.0343 0.2082
abs(StdDev/Mean)
3.8539 0.8632
Stability
Unstable Unstable
Sign Change
Yes Yes
Endogenous Variable: Residential Sector Consumption of
Electricity
AEO Version RPetSub RGas RRenew ResDm
AEO2004
-.302446 -1.124699 -.080194 2.507735
AEO2003
-.267126 -1.120139 -.080596 2.46815
AEO2002
-.237433 -1.117071 -.097451 2.453884
AEO2001
-.23314 -1.111335 -.090365 2.447085
AEO2000
-.245513 -1.177691 -.130658 2.529989
AEO1999
-.242552 -1.170013 -.154903 2.566319
AEO1998
-.259981 -1.169366 -.020702 2.490736
Average
-0.2555 -1.1415 -0.0936 2.4948
Std. Dev.
0.024 0.0293 0.0425 0.0432
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.0939 0.0257 0.4541 0.0173
Stability
Stable Stable Variable Stable
Sign Change
No No No No
Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Price of Petroleum
Products
AEO Version
WOP
AEO2004
.665984
AEO2003
.664661
AEO2002
.716965
AEO2001
.70625
AEO2000
.654108
AEO1999
.650021
AEO1998
.632499
Average
0.6701
Std. Dev.
0.0306
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.0457
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Price of Natural
Gas
AEO Version
GasPrice
AEO2004
.508685
AEO2003
.541322
AEO2002
.521165
AEO2001
.447998
AEO2000
.434812
AEO1999
.352721
AEO1998
.521341
Average
0.4754
Std. Dev.
0.0672
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.1414
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Price of
Electricity
AEO Version
ElecPrice
AEO2004
1.131639
AEO2003
1.176186
AEO2002
1.101494
AEO2001
1.31516
AEO2000
1.330604
AEO1999 1.178071
AEO1998
1.276339
Average
1.2156
Std. Dev.
0.0912
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.075
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of
Petroluem Products
AEO Version
CPetPrice Floorspace
AEO2004
-.413454 .61232
AEO2003
-.493807 .553585
AEO2002 -.40166 .502953
AEO2001
-.678176 .699987
AEO2000
-.463747 .143648
AEO1999
-.569767 -.116954
AEO1998
-.244821 -.180553
Average
-0.4665 0.3164
Std. Dev.
0.1369 0.3629
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.2935 1.147
Stability
Variable Unstable
Sign Change
No Yes
Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of
Natural Gas
AEO Version
CGasPrice Floorspace
AEO2004
.014074 .713383
AEO2003
-.144051 .873537
AEO2002
-.094443 .986481
AEO2001
.194427 .662411
AEO2000
.039696 1.130952
AEO1999
.59293 .956102
AEO1998
.128981 .567469
Average
0.1045 0.8415
Std. Dev.
0.2453 0.2011
abs(StdDev/Mean)
2.3474 0.239
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Commercial Sector Consumption of
Electricity
AEO Version
CElecPrice Floorspace Lag
AEO2004
-.060547 .993657 .368679
AEO2003
-.083837 -.302838 1.221871
AEO2002
-.086354 .977899 .285739
AEO2001
-.049929 .277006 .779941
AEO2000
-.091004 .415042 .617219
AEO1999
-.15514 .274975 .677283
AEO1998
-.043579 .388074 .658374
Average
-0.0815 0.432 0.6584
Std. Dev.
0.0375 0.448 0.3047
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.4601 1.037 0.4628
Stability
Variable Unstable Variable
Sign Change
No Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of Petroleum
Products
AEO Version
WOP
AEO2004
.725293
AEO2003
.599707
AEO2002
.638449
AEO2001
.659105
AEO2000
.74239
AEO1999
.743295
AEO1998
.723184
Average
0.6902
Std. Dev.
0.0573
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.083
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of Natural
Gas
AEO Version
GasPrice
AEO2004
.884511
AEO2003
.929156
AEO2002
.856346
AEO2001
.843774
AEO2000
.815778
AEO1999
.899222
AEO1998
.80195
Average
0.8615
Std. Dev.
0.0457
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.053
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of Coal
AEO Version
CoalPrice
AEO2004
1.007422
AEO2003 1.193635
AEO2002
.871719
AEO2001
.786118
AEO2000
.781563
AEO1999
1.054949
AEO1998
.214383
Average
0.8443
Std. Dev. 0.3157
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.3739
Stability
Variable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Price of
Electricity
AEO Version
ElecPrice
AEO2004 1.289951
AEO2003
1.192611
AEO2002
1.301292
AEO2001
1.394572
AEO2000
1.45341
AEO1999
1.11294
AEO1998
1.189616
Average 1.2763
Std. Dev.
0.1207
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.0946
Stability
Stable
Sign Change
No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of
Petroluem Products
AEO Version
IPetPrice ValOutput
AEO2004
-.201802 .564852
AEO2003
-.129372 .508604
AEO2002
-.078044 .39781
AEO2001
-.169251 .486465
AEO2000
-.036624 .475546
AEO1999
-.212703 .431118
AEO1998
-.190834 .325663
Average
-0.1455 0.4557
Std. Dev.
0.067 0.0784
abs(StdDev/Mean)
0.4605 0.172
Stability
Variable Stable
Sign Change
No No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of
Natural Gas
AEO Version
IGasPrice ValOutput
AEO2004
.265801 .326955
AEO2003
-.117243 .508077
AEO2002
.39473 .17804
AEO2001
1.4167 -.35717
AEO2000
.111789 .480603
AEO1999
3.489835 -.617061
AEO1998
2.246333 -.963461
Average
1.1154 -0.0634
Std. Dev.
1.3401 0.5825
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.2015 9.1877
Stability
Unstable Unstable
Sign Change
Yes Yes
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of
Renewable Energy
AEO Version
WOP IndDm
AEO2004
.021304 1.656051
AEO2003
.00831 1.802229
AEO2002
-.016726 1.706662
AEO2001
-.047973 1.476778
AEO2000
.067243 1.030341
AEO1999
.045551 1.260909
AEO1998
-.017931 1.347833
Average
0.0085 1.4687
Std. Dev.
0.0398 0.2748
abs(StdDev/Mean)
4.6824 0.1871
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of
Coal
AEO Version
ICoalPrice ValOutput
AEO2004
2.63822 .510789
AEO2003
-.055952 .146133
AEO2002
-.021102 .071665
AEO2001
.098386 .029924
AEO2000
-1.374822 -.49152
AEO1999
2.50749 1.782497
AEO1998
1.911816 .376271
Average
0.8149 0.3465
Std. Dev.
1.5361 0.7081
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.885 2.0436
Stability
Unstable Unstable
Sign Change
Yes Yes
Endogenous Variable: Industrial Sector Consumption of
Electricity
AEO Version
IElecPrice ValOutput
AEO2004
-.107736 .624683
AEO2003
-.198658 .65865
AEO2002
-.015827 .557983
AEO2001
.187716 .517812
AEO2000
.028618 .703988
AEO1999
-.023711 .590478
AEO1998
.808416 1.201462
Average 0.097 0.6936
Std. Dev.
0.3356 0.2324
abs(StdDev/Mean)
3.4598 0.3351
Stability
Unstable Variable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Price of
Distillate
AEO Version
WOP Lag
AEO2004
-.044453 1.119401
AEO2003
.095067 .825335
AEO2002 .040101 .909796
AEO2001
-.008932 1.039506
AEO2000
-.003367 1.027316
AEO1999
-.006246 1.029807
AEO1998
.007476 1.002883
Average
0.0114 0.9934
Std. Dev.
0.0445 0.0964
abs(StdDev/Mean)
3.9035 0.097
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Price of Jet
Fuel
AEO Version
WOP Lag
AEO2004
-.042299 1.060883
AEO2003
.057602 .945502
AEO2002
.14511 .802965
AEO2001
.09753 .885661
AEO2000
-.012066 1.057589
AEO1999
-.038991 1.074845
AEO1998
.084647 .909528
Average
0.0416 0.9624
Std. Dev.
0.0734 0.1047
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.7644 0.1088
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Price of Motor
Gasoline
AEO Version
WOP Lag
AEO2004
.0184 .966168
AEO2003
.052008 .921974
AEO2002
.03801 .945442
AEO2001
.039436 .941518
AEO2000
-.01381 1.040106
AEO1999
-.013294 1.039961
AEO1998 .008858 .994091
Average
0.0185 0.9785
Std. Dev.
0.0261 0.0477
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.4108 0.0487
Stability
Unstable Stable
Sign Change
Yes No
Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of
Distillate
AEO Version
TDistPrice
VMT(>10k)
MPG(>10k)
AEO2004
-.005845 1.113859 -1.174204
AEO2003
.027116 1.021024 -.877576
AEO2002
.034812 1.011186 -.961868
AEO2001
.034921 .653374 .13665
AEO2000 -.00043 1.00824 -.580922
AEO1999
-.007925 1.127731 -.771364
AEO1998
.018669 .944408 -1.060631
Average
0.0145 0.9828 -0.7557
Std. Dev.
0.0189 0.1587 0.4383
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.3034 0.1615 0.58
Stability
Unstable Stable Unstable
Sign Change Yes No Yes
Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of
Jet Fuel
AEO Version
TJetPrice SeatMiles SeatMiles/Gal
AEO2004
-.001704 .998439 -.924632
AEO2003
-.005695 .879847 -.732528
AEO2002
-.014238 .738522 -.153403
AEO2001
-.009369 .810446 -.32852
AEO2000 -.00994 .81006 -.402136
AEO1999
-.008697 .836674 -.683053
AEO1998
.011091 1.133536 -2.032216
Average
-0.0055 0.8868 -0.7509
Std. Dev.
0.0083 0.1352 0.6237
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.5091 0.1525 0.8306
Stability
Unstable Stable Unstable
Sign Change Yes No No
Endogenous Variable: Transportation Sector Consumption of
Motor Gasoline
AEO Version
TMogasPrice VMT(LtDuty) MPG(LtDuty)
AEO2004
-.033445 .910891 -.973614
AEO2003
-.00579 .943947 -1.148806
AEO2002
.005669 .987152 -1.287535
AEO2001
.002408 .960592 -1.317737
AEO2000 .001926 .868696 -1.07117
AEO1999
-.010323 .854622 -.958816
AEO1998
-.007284 .853112 -.834516
Average
-0.0067 0.9113 -1.0846
Std. Dev.
0.0132 0.0543 0.1782
abs(StdDev/Mean)
1.9701 0.0596 0.1643
Stability
Unstable Stable Stable
Sign Change Yes No No