FXUS64 KHGX 100947
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
446 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2004

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH DEEPER MOISTURE POISED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND INTO SOUTH TEXAS. WILL CONTINUE
TO CARRY ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA OFFSHORE THROUGH SATURDAY. VFR CONDITIONS.
SEABREEZE MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH OVER THE MATAGORDA AND BRAZORIA
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR POSSIBLY
EVEN A THUNDERSTORM THOUGH THE SEABREEZE SHOULD HAVE LITTLE PUSH TO
GET VERY FAR INLAND. WILL CARRY ISOLATED POPS IN THESES COUNTIES FOR
THIS AFTERNOON. PROFILERS INDICATING THE FLOW AROUND THE SOUTHWEST
CORNER OF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST WEAKENING AND ALLOWING VERY LIGHT
WINDS TO RESPOND TO THE TROUGHINESS IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES TODAY
THEN RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST REESTABLISHES THE MORE NORTHEASTERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW DRYING US OUT A LITTLE MORE AND SHUNTING THE DEEPER
MOISTURE FARTHER SOUTH. MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD RUN NEAR CLIMO FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS WITH MINS A LITTLE BELOW. LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
EASTERLY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING TO VEER...BRINGING
BACK MOISTURE-CLOUDS-A WARM UP AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. HAVE
FOLLOWED THE GFS FOR THE MOST PART THROUGH SUNDAY THEN TRIED TO BLEND
THE GFS/ECMWF. GFS LOOKS AS THOUGH IT DEEPENS THE WESTERN US TROUGH ON
THURSDAY TOO QUICKLY. IT APPEARS THAT IVANS TRACK INTO FLORIDA SHOULD
HAVE LITTLE TO NO IMPACT ON SOUTHEAST TEXAS WEATHER. ANOTHER NICE
LOOKING WAVE HAS MOVED OFF OF AFRICA AND MAY BE ONE TO WATCH AS IT
HEADS INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.


45/37

&&


.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 92 69 94 67 94 / 00 00 00 00 00
HOUSTON (IAH)         92 69 93 68 93 / 00 00 00 00 00
GALVESTON (GLS)       89 77 90 77 89 / 00 00 05 00 00
&&

$$