FXUS63 KGID 040722
AFDGRI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
220 AM CDT FRI JUN 4 2004

.DISCUSSION...WK RTN FLW IN PLACE ACRS CNTRL PLAINS THIS AM AS SFC 
RIDGE CONTS TO RETREAT E. HWVR...OLD DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACRS 
TX TRAPPING BTR MSTR RTN INADV OF LEAD UPSTREAM SW TROF STEAMING 
THRU WRN US. 

CONSENSUS EVOLUTION TWD RENEWED AMPLIFICATION...AS DEEP TROF OVR THE 
NEPAC HEADS INLAND AND DOWNSTREAM HGTS SIGNIFICANTLY BUILD ACRS 
CNTRL US. LOOKS GOOD ESP IN LIGHT OF UPSTREAM BLOCKING ACRS PACIFIC 
AND XPCD RESULTING SLOW PROGRESSION OF THIS SYS INLAND SOMETIME SUN 
NIGHT.

IN THE INTERIM...INHERITED PRECIP CHC/S TIED TO LEAD SYS TROUBLING 
W/NW FLW ALOFT STILL IN PLACE AND POOR RTN FLW/LL MSTR PROGGED THRU 
SAT. ALTHOUGH SOMETHING TO BE SAID OF LL MASS INITIALIZATION OVR W 
TX AND APPARENT MISS OF SRN END OF LEAD WRN UPR TROF OVR NE NV THIS 
AM. HWVR W/THAT SAID...STILL SEEMINGLY ENOUGH IMPETUS ALG ERN EDGE 
OF STEEP EML BOUNDED ACRS WRN CWA BORDER. MOST LIKELY SCENARIO WOULD 
BE FOR LATE AFTN INITIATION OVR THE BLACK HILLS AND THEN A TURN SE 
FRI NIGHT IN ACCORDANCE W/CORFIDI VECTORS AND PROPAGATION FOLLOWING 
LL THETA AXIS OUT W. BUT EVEN W/THAT LL INFLUX QUITE WK AND WONDER 
IF ANYTHING WILL HOLD TOGETHER LONG ENOUGH TO IMPACT CWA LATE OR SAT 
AM. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE 30S GOING GIVEN ALL OF THE ABOVE.

AFT THAT...AMPLIFYING UPR HGT PATTN AND BLDG THERMAL RIDGE OVR HIGH 
PLAINS SIGNAL A RTN TO SUMMER TIME HEAT AND HUMIDITY COMMENCING MON 
AND LASTING MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. PREVIOUS POPS IN WED/THU TIME FRAME A 
LIKELY FALLACY GIVEN CONSENSUS PROGS OF TREMENDOUS RIDGING HERE AND 
DEGREE OF WARMING ALOFT AND REMOVED. OTHERWISE...AFOREMENTIONED HGT 
AMPLIFICATION WILL RESULT IN RTN TO HOT WX NEXT WEEK W/NEEDED UPWARD 
ADJUSTMENTS TO GOING TEMPS.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

EFFECTIVE JUNE 8 2004 THIS PRODUCT WILL HAVE THE ID CHANGED FROM
OMAAFDGRI...TO OMAAFDGID. FOR MORE INFORMATION CHECK OUT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS/USE LOWER CASE LETTERS:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUBLIC/WMOHEADERS/CR_PHASE1.HTM

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