COZ038>040-012200- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- INCLUDING FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...ARVADA... BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER 1159 AM MDT TUE MAY 1 2001 .THIS AFTERNOON...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH NEAR THE FOOTHILLS DIMINISHING LATE. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TOWARD DAYBREAK. LOWS 35 TO 40. NORTHEAST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING. .WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY AND MUCH COLDER WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. RAIN POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW NEAR THE FOOTHILLS LATE. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY AND BREEZY WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY... CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .THURSDAY...CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY AND MONDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. = COZ038>040-021100- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- INCLUDING FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...ARVADA... BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER 330 PM MDT TUE MAY 1 2001 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TOWARD DAYBREAK. LOWS AROUND 40. WIND BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH THIS EVENING. .WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY AND MUCH COLDER WITH AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN IN THE MORNING. RAIN BECOMING LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON. RAIN POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW LATE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY WITH SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY AND CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO THE LOWER 70S. = COZ038>040-021100- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- INCLUDING FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...ARVADA... BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER 928 PM MDT TUE MAY 1 2001 .REST OF TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. LOWS AROUND 40. .WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY AND MUCH COLDER WITH RAIN BECOMING LIKELY... ...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW BY AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY AND CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 40. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO THE LOWER 70S. = COZ039-040-022200- BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- INCLUDING ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA... BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER 430 AM MDT WED MAY 2 2001 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. .TONIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW WITH AREAS OF FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY AND CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. .THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS 50 TO 55. .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. = COZ038>040-022200- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- INCLUDING FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...ARVADA... BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER 506 AM MDT WED MAY 2 2001 .TODAY...CLOUDY AND MUCH COLDER WITH RAIN BECOMING LIKELY... ...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW BY AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW WITH AREAS OF FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY AND CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. .THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS 50 TO 55. .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. = COZ039-022200- BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET- INCLUDING ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT 656 AM MDT WED MAY 2 2001 UPDATED .TODAY...AREAS OF SNOW THIS MORNING WITH LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 INCHES...MAINLY IN BOULDER COUNTY. OTHERWISE...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY AND CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY COLD WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. .THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. COZ039-022200- BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET- INCLUDING ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT 1111 AM MDT WED MAY 2 2001 ...WINTER STORM WATCH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .THIS AFTERNOON...PERIODS OF SNOW WITH AROUND AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION ON GRASSY AREAS. SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. .TONIGHT...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY...SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. HIGHS 50 TO 55. .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. = COZ039>041-031100- BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-ELBERT/ CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET- INCLUDING ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA... BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...LARKSPUR 330 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2001 ...WINTER STORM WATCH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...LIGHT SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN EARLY...THEN SNOW INCREASING AND MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER MIDNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY...SNOW. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE FOOTHILLS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 50 TO 55. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. = COZ039>041-031100- BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-ELBERT/ CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET- INCLUDING ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA... BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...LARKSPUR 851 PM MDT WED MAY 2 2001 ...WINTER STORM WATCH LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SNOW INCREASING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY...SNOW. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE FOOTHILLS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 50 TO 55. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. .SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. = COZ039-040-032200- BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- INCLUDING ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA... BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER 430 AM MDT THU MAY 3 2001 .TODAY...RAIN...MIXED WITH SNOW THIS MORNING. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. .TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES...WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE FOOTHILLS. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 50. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED WITH SNOW AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. .SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS 40 TO 45. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. = COZ038-039-032200- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET- INCLUDING FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...ARVADA... BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT 858 AM MDT THU MAY 3 2001 UPDATED .TODAY...SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .TONIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...MIXED WITH RAIN EARLY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS 45 TO 50. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED WITH SNOW AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. .SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. = COZ040-032200- NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES- INCLUDING AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER 858 AM MDT THU MAY 3 2001 UPDATED .TODAY...PERIODS OF SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN 2 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. .TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES...WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE FOOTHILLS. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 50. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED WITH SNOW AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. .SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DRY AND BREEZY. LOWS 40 TO 45. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. = AFDDEN NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER COLORADO 350 AM MDT THU MAY 3 2001 SHORT TERM DISCUSSION: DECENT ELY WINDS IN A SHALLOW LAYER ON PROFILERS AND THE EASTERN HALF OF THE RADAR PICTURES THIS MORNING. IT APPEARS THAT THE POOL OF COLD AIR ALONG THE FRONT RANGE IS BEING OVERRUN...AND THE WIND PATTERN IS NOT SO CLEAR ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. THERE HAS BEEN MUCH LESS SNOW WEST OF THE DIVIDE WITH SOME LOCAL DATA SITES REPORTING 20-30 KT EASTERLY WINDS. MODELS ARE PRETTY SIMILAR THROUGH TODAY...WITH A DRY SLOT WORKING INTO EASTERN COLORADO ABOVE THE SHALLOW COOL AIR. RADAR ECHOES ARE DECREASING CORRESPONDINGLY. A NEW SNOW BAND IS THICKENING NICELY OVR THE CO/UT BORDER AS THE LOW DEEPENS AND RETROGRADES A BIT OVER SRN UT. THIS MAY NOT MOVE EAST AT ALL AS THE MID LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING DUE SOUTH. NONE OF THIS IS VERY GOOD FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TODAY...THOUGH THE MOUNTAINS MAY BE WEST OF THE DRY SLOT AND STILL GET DECENT SNOW FROM OROGRAPHICS AND INSTABILITY. I WILL KEEP THE WARNING GOING IN MOST OF THE MOUNTAIN AREAS...MAINLY FOR TONIGHTS SNOW. NORTH AND MIDDLE PARKS NEED TO BE DROPPED DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DOWNSLOPE WINDS. BOUNDARY LAYER PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE FARTHER EAST BUT NO HELP FROM ABOVE UNTIL SOMETIME TONIGHT. WITH THE TEMPERATURES WARMING A FEW DEGREES TODAY WE SHOULD BE JUST ABOUT ALL RAIN ON THE PLAINS BY MIDDAY. GIMMESTAD LONG TERM DISCUSSION: THREE BIG CHALLENGES STILL DOGGING US THIS MRNG HAS TO DO WITH THE SPEED AND TRAJECTORY OF GREAT BASIN LOW... PCPN AMOUNTS...AND WHERE WILL RAIN/SNOW LINE SETUP ON THE PLAINS. THE MONTH OF MAY IS LIVING UP TO ITS REPUTATION AS OUR WETTEST AND CLOUDIEST MONTH WITH THE MAY PCPN ACRS THE DEN METRO AREA AVERAGING FM ARND 2.6 INCHES AT D.I.A. TO A LTL MORE THAN 3 INCHES IN BOULDER. SO THE UNSEASONABLY COOL...WET AND CLOUDY WX SHOULD BE NO SURPRISE TO LONG TIME RESIDENTS. THIS SAID...PESKY UPR LOW SPINNING OVR UT SHOWING LITTLE SIGN OF MOVG AT THE MOMENT. MODELS KP LOW PRETTY MUCH STNRY NEXT 12-18 HRS. OVRALL LARGE SCALE FEATURES ON THE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT OUT THRU 12UTC/FRI. FROM THERE NGM AND AVN DIVERGE FM THE ETA AS THEY LIFT UPR LOW N/NEWRD OVR NWRN CO BY 12UTC/SAT AND ACRS ERN WY AS AN OPEN WAY BY 06UTC/SUN. WHEREAS ETA TAKES CLOSED H5 LOW EWRD ALG CO/NM BORDER TO XTRM SERN CO BY 12UTC/SAT...THEN LIFTS IT NERWD ACRS ERN CO/WRN KS AS AN OPEN WAVE BY SAT EVE. LOW TRAJECTORY PROGD BY THE NGM AND AVN WOULD END PCPN SOONER AND ALLOW TEMPS TO REBOUND QUICKER...WHILE THE PATH GIVEN BY THE ETA WOULD DELAY WARMUP AND ACTUALLY PUT US IN A POSITION FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL/SNOWFALL OUT THRU THIS FRIDAY. THEN THERE IS THE NOGAPS MODEL. THE NOGAPS HAS UPR LOW IN ABOUT THE SAME POSITION AT 00UTC/ FRI...THEN WHEN OTHER MODELS START MOVG LOW OUT...NOGAPS HANGS CLOSED LOW/UPR TROF BACK OVR UTAH AND NRN ARIZONA THRU 12UTC/SAT WITH THE LOW WARMING AND FILLING. NOGAPS THEN LIFTS A MUCH WEAKER TROF NERWD OVR ERN CO SAT AFTN/SAT NGT. BASED ON WHAT I'VE SEEN PAST FEW SHIFTS...THE SLOWER PROGRESSION OFFERED BY NOGAPS IS PREFERRED AS I SEE LTL UPSTREAM TO KICK LOW OUT FOR AWHILE. BUT I LIKE SMALL SCALE/BOUNDARY LYR FEATURES ON THE ETA...SO WILL MAKE TIMING ADJUSTMENTS TO THE ETA BASED ON THE NOGAPS. WITH ALL THIS SAID...WILL DELAY WARMING AND CLEARING TIL LATE SAT OR SUN...WHILE KEEP POPS ON THE HIGH SIDE FOR EAST FACING MTN SLOPES... THE FNT RNG FTHLS...AND FNT RNG URBAN CORRIDOR THRU FRI MRNG AS MOIST ELY UPSLOPE FLOW LKLY TO PERSIST TIL UPR LOW MAKES ITS MOVE... WHAT EVER THAT IS. FNT RNG FOOTHILLS IN BEST POSITION TO RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL DURING PDS 2 AND 3. HWVR IF LOW HANGS BACK OVR AZ/UT...WE MAY ONLY SEE INTERMITTANT LGT/MDT SNOWFALL IN THE FTHLS WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS STAYING WELL BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. APRS BEST SYNOPTIC AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT...INSTABLITY AND MOISTURE ALL COME TOGETHER OVR THE CWFA LATE THIS AFTN...TONIGHT AND FRI MORNING. THEREFORE WILL EXTEND WINTER STORM WARNING THRU 18Z/FRI FOR ZNS 35.. 36..37..31..33 AND 34...WITH EAST FACING MTN SLOPES IN BEST POSITION TO RECEIVE GREATEST SNOWFALL. WILL HOLD OFF ON HOISTING ANY HIGHLIGHTS FOR URBAN CORRIDOR...BUT AS CNDTNS DVLP LATER TODAY...DAY CREW MAY NEED TO ISSUE A SNOW ADVSY FOR TONIGHT AS POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR SVRL INCHES OF WET SNOW UP AGAINST THE FTHLS IN ZNS 38..39..40 AND FOR ALL OF ZN 41. FARTHER OUT ON THE PLAINS...DO NOT SEE MUCH MEASURABLE PCPN NEXT 48 HRS. PCPN IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN AS RAIN AS SFC AND WET BULB TEMPS STAY SVRL DEGS ABV 0C. IN THE EXTENDED PD SUN THRU WED...MEDIUM RANGE MDLS CONT TO SHOW WARMING AND DRYING. THEREFORE SEE NO REASON TO MAKE ANY CHANGES TO ONGOING FCST. BAKER .DEN...WINTER STORM WARNING THRU NOON FRIDAY FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS AND SOUTH PARK... ZONES 31..33>37. KDEN 030253Z 36005KT 3/4SM -DZSN BR BKN004 OVC010 01/00 A3012 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 3/4 SNB19 SLP207 TWR IN CLDS P0001 60002 T00060000 51015= KDEN 030353Z 06011KT 2SM -SN BR OVC004 01/01 A3012 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 4 DZE45 CIG 003V006 SLP204 P0001 T00060006= KDEN 030453Z 05008KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC004 01/00 A3013 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 SLP209 P0002 T00060000= KDEN 030553Z 01005KT 1/2SM R35L/4500V5000FT SN FZFG VV003 00/00 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP219 P0005 60010 T00000000 10017 20000 53009= KDEN 030653Z 35004KT 1/2SM -SN BR OVC004 00/00 A3016 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 SLP221 P0005 T00000000 400940000= KDEN 030753Z 34005KT 1SM -SN BR BKN004 OVC019 00/00 A3016 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 3/4 SLP219 P0001 T00000000= KDEN 030853Z 01004KT 1SM -SN BR BKN003 BKN012 OVC017 00/00 A3016 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 5 SNE29B49 SLP222 P0001 60007 T00000000 51002= KDEN 030953Z 01005KT 1SM -SN BR SCT001 BKN006 OVC014 00/M01 A3015 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3 SLP217 TWR IN CLDS P0000 T00001006= KDEN 031053Z 03004KT 1SM -SN OVC004 00/00 A3016 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 7 SLP219 P0000 T00000000= KDEN 031153Z 05005KT 1SM -SN BR OVC003 00/00 A3015 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3 SLP220 TWR IN CLDS P0001 60008 70025 T00000000 10000 20000 56001= KDEN 031253Z 05005KT 1/2SM R35L/5000V5500FT -SN BR OVC003 00/M01 A3017 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3/4 SLP226 TWR IN CLDS P0003 T00001006= KDEN 031353Z 03005KT 1/2SM -SN BR FEW003 OVC005 00/M01 A3018 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 SLP230 TWR IN CLDS P0000 T00001006= KDEN 031453Z 36007KT 1/2SM -SN BR FEW003 OVC005 00/00 A3020 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 SLP238 TWR IN CLDS P0002 60005 T00000000 53014 $= KBJC 030249Z 35009KT 1/2SM -SN BR VV002 00/00 A3013= KBJC 030345Z 33008KT 1/2SM SN VV001 00/M00 A3014= KBJC 031152Z 36006KT 3/4SM -SN VV002 M00/M01 A3017= KBJC 031246Z 36006KT 3/4SM -SN BR VV001 M00/M01 A3019= KBJC 031345Z 35006KT 1/2SM SNFG VV001 M00/M01 A3020= KBJC 031448Z 35008KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR VV001 M00/M00 A3022= KAPA 030253Z 01007KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC003 00/M01 A3010 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 CIG 001V007 SLP216 P0001 60002 T00001006 51009= KAPA 030353Z 02007KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC003 00/M01 A3012 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 SLP223 P0000 T00001006= KAPA 030453Z 35006KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC003 00/M01 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP226 P0000 T00001006= KAPA 030553Z 03005KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR BKN003 OVC007 M01/M01 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP229 P0001 60003 4/001 T10061006 10006 21006 51009= KAPA 030653Z 35005KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR BKN003 OVC011 M01/M01 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP232 P0000 T10061006 401171006= KAPA 030753Z 34006KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC005 M01/M01 A3015 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 SLP237 P0001 T10061011= KAPA 030853Z 34005KT 2SM -SN BR BKN005 BKN018 OVC032 M01/M01 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP230 P0000 60001 T10061011 50003= KAPA 030953Z 01003KT 2SM -SN BR OVC003 M01/M01 A3013 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3 CIG 002V006 SLP231 PCPN VRY LGT P0000 T10061011= KAPA 031053Z 01005KT 2SM -SN BR OVC004 M01/M02 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP228 P0001 T10061017= KAPA 031153Z 01005KT 1SM -SN BR BKN004 OVC020 M01/M01 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP232 P0000 60002 70016 4/001 T10061011 10000 21006 55000= KAPA 031253Z 01005KT 1SM -SN BR BKN004 BKN008 OVC025 M01/M02 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP238 P0000 T10061017= KAPA 031353Z 04004KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR BKN004 OVC009 M01/M01 A3017 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 3/4 SLP244 P0001 T10061011= KAPA 031453Z 36004KT 1SM -SN BR BKN003 OVC008 M01/M01 A3019 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1 1/2 SLP249 P0001 60002 T10061011 51014= KBKF 030256Z 36006KT 2SM -SN BR OVC004 00/00 A3012 RMK SLP216 60004 8/5// 9/8// 52014 WR//= KBKF 030355Z 36005KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC002 00/00 A3013 RMK SLP221 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 030455Z 06006KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC002 00/00 A3013 RMK SLP223 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 030555Z 03005KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC002 00/00 A3015 RMK SLP229 60007 8/5// 9/8// 53010 RCRNR= KBKF 030655Z 33007KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3016 RMK SLP231 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 030755Z 32006KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3016 RMK SLP233 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 030857Z 35004KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3015 RMK SLP229 60002 8/5// 9/8// 50000 RCRNR= KBKF 030955Z 01006KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3015 RMK SLP227 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 031056Z 36006KT 3SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3015 RMK SLP229 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 031155Z 05005KT 3SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3015 RMK SLP229 60002 70019 8/5// 9/8// 55000 RCRNR=KBKF 031255Z 04004KT 2SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3017 RMK SLP235 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 031359Z 36007KT 2SM -SN BR OVC002 M01/M01 A3019 RMK SLP241 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 031457Z 35007KT 2SM -SN BR BKN002 OVC015 00/00 A3021 RMK VIS 3/4V2 3/4 SLP248 60010 8/8// 9/8// 52015 WR//= SRUS55 KBOU 031408 RR2DEN .B DEN 0503 M DH07/TX/TN/PPP/SF/SD ASIC2 34/22/.22/2.5/2 :32 ASPEN SPRINGS N 36 EAGC2 39/34/.63/2.0/2 :34 AURORA/EAGLECREST SE 40 BFRC2 37/29/.29/3.5/2 :53 BLACK FOREST 4W SW 72 BREC2 44/22/.17/2.0/2 :04 BRECKENRIDGE C 34 CNNC2 50/33/.27/0.5/0 :52 CANON CITY W 73 CASC2 32/29/.28/1.7.2 :43 CASTLE ROCK W 41 CONC2 33/28/.08/1.0/1 :36 CONIFER NC 36 CTZC2 77/34/.12/T/0 :74 CORTEZ C 21 CRHC2 29/20/.26/2.8/3 :16 CROW HILL SC 36 DVEC2 36/32/.33/T/0 :31 DENVER 4E C 40 DIVC2 42/20/.11/2.0/2 :06 DIVIDE 1SE C 67 DBLC2 34/22/.26/3.0/3 :38 DOUBLEHEADER EC 36 FLEC2 49/34/.27/T/0 :18 FLEMING EC 48 FOCC2 36/33/.92/6.0/1 :19 FORT COLLINS EC 38 FOGC2 41/35/.27/0/0 :20 FORT MORGAN C 44 FRTC2 66/38/.21/0/0 :86 FRUITA W 6 GJTC2 62/40/.23/0/0 :82 GRAND JUNCTION C 6 GUXC2 70/33/0/0/0 :76 GUNNISON 3WSW E 14 HRTC2 48/22/.40/5.0/2 :07 HARTSEL 12S SC 37 KIRC2 50/37/.02/0/0 :72 KIRK SW 90 LAHC2 55/39/T/0/0 :61 LA JUNTA EC 76 LGEC2 34/25/.20/2.0/0 :10 LAKE GEORGE SE 37 LDVC2 47/21/.31/3.0/3 :14 LEADVILLE NC 15 LONC2 36/30/.52/T/0 :22 LONGMONT NE 39 LSVC2 34/32/.50/3.5/4 :30 LOUISVILLE 2SW SE 39 MAZC2 56/38/T/0/0 :64 MANZANOLA 2SE WC 76 MERC2 41/32/.50/0.3/0 :24 MERINO SW 48 MNOC2 58/34/.33/T/0 :93 MONTROSE C 11 MRSC2 33/29/.51/3.5/3 :40 MORRISON W 40 NATC2 57/26/1.00/9.5/9 :68 NATHROP C 69 NDLC2 36/23/.26/2.0/5 :71 NEDERLAND 2NW SW 39 PADC2 M/34/.40/0/0 :29 PADRONI C 48 PAKC2 39/32/.39/2.0/2 :46 PARKER SE 40 PIJC2 32/23/.24/2.0/2 :39 PINE JUNCTION S 36 ROLC2 44/23/.25/2.0/3 :05 ROLLINSVILLE N 36 ROSC2 56/27/.50/3.5/3 :69 ROSITA W 70 SIAC2 38/30/.42/4.0/1 :73 SEDALIA 5SSE W 41 SDGC2 45/34/.27/0/0 :26 SEDGWICK NW 50 WASC2 56/44/.07/0/0 :63 WALSH EC 81 WDDC2 36/24/.06/1.0/1 :12 WOODLAND PARK NE 67 WWPC2 35/22/.06/1.2/0 :13 WEST WOODLAND PARK NE 67 WDRC2 42/33/.31/0/0 :28 WOODROW W 49 .END PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 900 AM MDT THU MAY 03 2001 ...ADDITIONAL SNOW REPORTS... ...AMOUNTS ARE IN INCHES... LOCATION COUNTY SNOWFALL AS OF 900 AM Crystal Lake/Larimer Co. 17.0 as of 18z/Wed HOOSIER PASS........... PARK........ 17.0 VIRGINIA DALE......... LARIMER..... 12.0 LIVERMORE.............. LARIMER..... 11.0 HOURGLASS LAKE......... LARIMER..... 10.0 HORSETOOTH INLET BAY... LARIMER..... 9.6 FAIRPLAY............... PARK........ 8.0 ANTERO RESERVOIR....... PARK........ 6.0 FORT COLLINS WEST...... LARIMER..... 6.0 RUSTIC................. LARIMER..... 6.0 FORT COLLINS EAST...... LARIMER..... 4.7 << bkf ST STATION ICAO IATA SYNOP LAT LONG ELEV M N V U A C CN ZONE TZ D CommonName CO BUCKLEY ANGB/DEN KBKF BKF 00000 39 43N 104 45W 1726 X US CO040 -7 T Buckley Angb/Den d STATIONS> den ST STATION ICAO IATA SYNOP LAT LONG ELEV M N V U A C CN ZONE TZ D CommonName CO DENVER (DIA) KDEN DEN 72565 39 50N 104 39W 1640 X U A US CO040 -7 T Denver STATIONS> bjc ST STATION ICAO IATA SYNOP LAT LONG ELEV M N V U A C CN ZONE TZ D CommonName CO BROOMFIELD/JEFFC KBJC BJC 00000 39 55N 105 07W 1724 X T US CO039 -7 T Boulder KBKF 042055Z 33007KT 10SM -RA BKN005 OVC012 03/03 A3014 RMK SLP220 60025 8/5// 9/8// 57014 WR//= KBKF 042156Z 33008KT 10SM -RA BKN005 OVC012 03/03 A3013 RMK SLP216 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 042255Z 35008KT 5SM -RA BR BKN005 OVC013 02/02 A3012 RMK SLP214 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 042355Z 33006KT 3SM -SN BR BKN005 OVC010 00/00 A3012 RMK VIS E 3/4 SLP216 60023 8/5// 9/8// 56007 WR//= KBKF 050055Z 31005KT 1SM R32/2400FT -SN BR BKN002 OVC011 00/00 A3010 RMK SLP212 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 050155Z 28006KT 1SM R32/2400FT -SN BR BKN002 OVC011 00/00 A3009 RMK SLP206 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 050255Z 27007KT 3/4SM R32/2000FT -SN BR BKN002 OVC008 00/00 A3007 RMK SLP197 60020 8/5// 9/8// 57012 WR//= KBKF 050357Z 25005KT 3SM -SN BR BKN003 OVC010 00/00 A3006 RMK SLP191 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 050455Z 30007KT 3SM -RA BR OVC003 01/01 A3003 RMK SLP178 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 050555Z 33005KT 3SM -RA BR OVC003 02/02 A3001 RMK SLP169 60021 8/5// 9/8// 58019 RCRNR= KBKF 050655Z 35007KT 3SM -RA BR OVC003 02/02 A3000 RMK SLP165 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 050757Z 33010KT 3SM -RA BR OVC003 02/02 A2995 RMK SLP149 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 050855Z 32013KT 3SM -RA BR OVC003 02/02 A2992 RMK SLP138 60003 8/5// 9/8// 58025 RCRNR= KBKF 050956Z 32010KT 3SM -RA BR OVC003 02/02 A2988 RMK SLP124 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 051055Z 31012KT 3SM -RA BR OVC003 02/02 A2986 RMK SLP115 8/5// 9/8// RCRNR= KBKF 051155Z 33013KT 7SM -RA OVC005 03/03 A2983 RMK SLP109 60025 70089 8/5// 9/8// 56027 RCRNR= KBKF 051155Z COR 33013KT 7SM -RA OVC005 03/03 A2983 RMK SLP109 60025 70089 8/5// 9/8// 56027 WR// COR 1157= KBKF 051255Z 33013KT 7SM -RA OVC005 03/03 A2980 RMK SLP101 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 051355Z 31015G23KT 7SM -RA OVC005 03/03 A2977 RMK SLP088 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 051455Z 31018KT 3SM -RA BR OVC005 04/04 A2974 RMK SLP076 60019 8/5// 9/8// 57024 WR//= KBKF 051555Z 32020KT 3SM -RA BR BKN005 OVC012 05/05 A2972 RMK SLP067 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 051656Z 33016G24KT 3SM -RA BR BKN007 OVC015 05/05 A2970 RMK PK WND 33026/28 SLP056 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 051756Z 33018G24KT 3SM -RA BR BKN007 OVC015 06/06 A2968 RMK PK WND 33026/42 SLP043 60046 8/5// 9/8// 57019 WR//= KBKF 051856Z 34016G28KT 3SM -RA BR BKN007 OVC020 06/06 A2967 RMK SLP039 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 051956Z 35015G24KT 4SM -RA BR BKN015 OVC030 06/06 A2967 RMK PK WND 33025/07 SLP041 8/5// 9/8// WR//= KBKF 051956Z COR 35015G24KT 4SM -RA BR BKN015 OVC030 06/06 A2967 RMK PK WND 33025/07 SLP041 8/5// 9/8// WR// COR 2004= KBKF 052055Z 35010KT 3SM -RA BR BKN015 OVC030 06/06 A2967 RMK SLP041 60020 8/5// 9/8// 56002 WR//= KAPA 042053Z 32008KT 6SM -RA BR BKN004 OVC007 02/01 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP225 SNE39 P0001 60012 T00220011 58013= KAPA 042153Z 32007KT 3SM -RA BR BKN004 OVC007 02/02 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP220 P0001 T00220015= KAPA 042253Z 34010KT 3SM RASN BR BKN005 OVC010 02/02 A3011 RMK AO2 SNB48 SLP217 P0006 T00220018= KAPA 042353Z 33006KT 1/2SM SN BR OVC003 02/02 A3011 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3/4 RAE30 SLP216 P0004 60019 T00170016 10022 20006 56007 $= KAPA 042353Z COR 33006KT 1/2SM SN BR OVC003 02/02 A3011 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3/4 RAE30 SLP216 P0004 60024 T00170016 10022 20006 56007 $= KAPA 050053Z 33004KT 1/4SM +SN FG OVC001 00/00 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP217 P0002 T00000000 $= KAPA 050153Z 30005KT 1/4SM SN FG OVC001 00/00 A3008 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1/2 SLP208 SNINCR 1/1 P0001 T00000000 $= KAPA 050253Z 27005KT 1SM -SN BR OVC001 00/M00 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP208 P0002 60005 T00001004 56012 $= KAPA 050353Z 26006KT 1SM -SN BR OVC001 00/M01 A3005 RMK AO2 CIG 001V006 SLP202 VIS NE 3/4 P0001 T00001007 $= KAPA 050453Z 27006KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 01/00 A3003 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 SLP188 P0001 T00060002 $= KAPA 050553Z 26006KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 01/M01 A3001 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 SLP181 P0004 60011 T00061006 10006 20000 58017 $= KAPA 050653Z 32007KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 01/M01 A2999 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 SLP173 P0007 T00111006 400220000 $= KAPA 050753Z 29006KT 1SM -SNRA BR SCT002 OVC004 01/01 A2995 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 RAB12 SLP159 P0010 T00060006 $= KAPA 050853Z 30009KT 1SM -SNRA BR BKN002 OVC004 01/01 A2991 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 SLP143 P0010 60027 T00060006 58028 $=KAPA 050953Z 30007KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 01/01 A2988 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 RAE52 SLP133 P0006 T00060006 $= KAPA 051053Z 30004KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 00/M01 A2986 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/4 SLP126 4/002 P0003 T00001006 $= KAPA 051053Z COR 30004KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 00/M01 A2986 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/4 SLP126 P0003 T00001006 $= KAPA 051153Z 27006KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 00/M01 A2983 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/4 SLP116 P0002 60038 7//// T00001006 10011 20000 57024 $= KAPA 051153Z COR 27006KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 00/M01 A2983 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/4 SLP116 P0002 60038 70073 4/002 T00001006 10011 20000 57024 $= KAPA 051253Z 28009KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 00/M01 A2980 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 CIG 001V006 SLP112 60038 70073 4/002 P0002 T00001006 $= KAPA 051253Z COR 28009KT 1SM -SN BR OVC002 00/M01 A2980 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 CIG 001V006 SLP112 P0002 T00001006 $= KAPA 051353Z 32016G20KT 1SM RA BR OVC004 02/M01 A2978 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 RAB17SNE17 SLP099 P0016 T00171006 $= KAPA 051453Z 30015KT 1SM -RA OVC004 02/M01 A2975 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 1 1/2 SLP089 P0024 60042 T00221006 56022 $= KAPA 051553Z 31016G24KT 3SM -RA BKN007 OVC012 03/M01 A2972 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 4 SLP076 P0023 T00281006 $= KAPA 051653Z 32019G23KT 3SM -RA BKN008 OVC012 04/M01 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 32030/1624 SFC VIS 5 SLP068 P0012 T00391006 $= KAPA 051753Z 33016G22KT 3SM -RA BKN011 OVC019 04/M01 A2968 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 5 SLP057 4/000 P0009 60086 T00441006 10044 20000 56019 $= KAPA 051953Z 34017KT 4SM -RA BKN012 OVC017 06/M01 A2967 RMK AO2 PK WND 33026/1854 SLP050 P0009 T00561011 $= KAPA 052053Z 35012KT 2SM RA BR BKN011 OVC026 05/M04 A2967 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 2 1/2 SLP053 P0014 60030 T00501039 55003 $= KDEN 042053Z 32010KT 6SM -RA BR FEW005 BKN009 OVC015 03/02 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP208 P0007 60022 T00330022 58014= KDEN 042153Z 34010KT 7SM -RA FEW005 BKN009 OVC018 03/02 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP204 P0003 T00330022= KDEN 042253Z 33009KT 6SM RA BR FEW005 BKN009 OVC014 03/02 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP204 P0008 T00280017= KDEN 042353Z 33009KT 2SM -RASN BR OVC007 01/01 A3011 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 1/2 SNB29 SLP199 P0009 60042 T00110006 10039 20011 57007= KDEN 050053Z 29006KT 1SM -RASN BR FEW001 BKN005 OVC012 01/01 A3010 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 1/2 SLP197 P0006 T00060006= KDEN 050153Z 27007KT 1/4SM -RASN BR OVC003 01/01 A3008 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 SLP189 TWR IN CLDS P0004 T00110011= KDEN 050253Z 27010KT 1/4SM -RASN BR OVC001 01/01 A3006 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 4 CIG 001V004 SLP180 P0002 60012 T00110011 58014= KDEN 050353Z 26008KT 1/4SM -RA BR OVC003 02/01 A3006 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 5 RAE13B29SNE29 SLP178 TWR IN CLDS P0003 T00170011= KDEN 050453Z 29007KT 1/2SM -SN BR BKN003 OVC007 02/02 A3003 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 RAE33UPB33E37SNB37 CIG 001V005 SLP162 TWR IN CLDS P0005 T00220022= KDEN 050453Z COR 29007KT 1/2SM -SN BR BKN003 OVC007 02/02 A3003 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 RAE33SNB34 CIG 001V005 SLP162 TWR IN CLDS P0005 T00220022= KDEN 050453Z 29007KT 1/2SM -SN BR BKN003 OVC007 02/02 A3003= KDEN 050553Z 01009KT 1 1/2SM -RA BR BKN006 BKN013 OVC018 04/03 A3000 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 5 RAB12SNE28 SLP152 P0004 60024 T00390033 10039 20006 58017= KDEN 050653Z 34009KT 1 1/2SM -RA BKN007 BKN019 OVC025 04/03 A2999 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 8 SLP146 P0003 T00390033 400440000= KDEN 050753Z 34013KT 1 1/2SM -RA BKN007 BKN019 OVC025 04/03 A2994 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 8 SLP131 P0005 T00390028= KDEN 050853Z 34012KT 5SM -RA BR BKN005 BKN012 OVC017 03/02 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP122 P0004 60012 T00330022 58027= KDEN 050953Z 33015KT 6SM -RA BR BKN007 OVC013 03/02 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP109 CIG RGD P0002 T00330022= KDEN 051053Z 33018G22KT 5SM -RA BR OVC005 03/03 A2984 RMK AO2 CIG 004V008 SLP098 P0004 T00330028= KDEN 051153Z 33015G21KT 5SM -RASN BR OVC005 03/03 A2982 RMK AO2 SNB16 SLP094 P0004 60022 70097 T00330028 10044 20033 56026= KDEN 051253Z 33015G22KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN005 OVC010 04/03 A2979 RMK AO2 SNE35 SLP083 P0009 T00390033= KDEN 051353Z 32022G25KT 2SM -RA BR OVC007 04/03 A2975 RMK AO2 PK WND 32026/1352 SFC VIS 3 CIG 004V008 SLP069 SFC VIS 2 1/2 P0000 T00440033 $= KDEN 051353Z COR 32022G25KT 2SM -RA BR OVC007 04/03 A2975 RMK AO2 PK WND 32026/1352 SFC VIS 3 CIG 004V008 SLP069 SFC VIS 2 1/2 P0004 T00440033 $= KDEN 051353Z 32022G25KT 2SM -RA BR OVC007 04/03 A2975= KDEN 051453Z 33023G28KT 7SM -RA BKN009 OVC015 05/04 A2973 RMK AO2 PK WND 33028/1447 CIG 006V012 SLP059 P0006 60019 T00500039 56025 $= KDEN 051553Z 33023G30KT 5SM -RA BR BKN009 OVC015 06/04 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 33031/1543 SLP046 P0003 T00560044 $= KDEN 051653Z 33026G32KT 4SM -RA BR SCT008 BKN015 OVC020 06/04 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 34032/1652 SLP037 P0003 T00610044 $=KDEN 051753Z 34023G30KT 9SM -RA SCT009 BKN015 OVC024 07/05 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND 33032/1732 SLP025 P0005 60011 T00670050 10067 20033 56020 $= KDEN 051953Z 35016G23KT 3SM RA BR BKN025 OVC033 06/05 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND 33026/1919 TWR VIS 7 SLP025 P0007 T00610050 $= KDEN 052053Z 36012KT 5SM RA BR BKN029 OVC037 07/06 A2965 RMK AO2 SLP023 P0011 60021 T00670056 56003 $= KBJC 042054Z 35010KT 6SM -RA BKN005 OVC015 03/02 A3016= KBJC 042154Z 34010KT 5SM -RA BKN006 OVC15 03/02 A3014= KBJC 042245Z 35010KT 4SM -RA VV005 03/02 A3014= KBJC 042345Z 35008KT 1SM SN VV002 01/01 A3014= KBJC 050045Z 31005KT 1/2SM SN VV001 00/00 A3012= KBJC 050120Z 31006KT 3SM -SNBR VV005 01/00 A3011= KBJC 050147Z 31005KT 5SM BR VV006 01/00 A3010= KBJC 050250Z 31007KT 5SM -SHSNRA VV006 01/01 A3009= KBJC 050345Z 31010KT 5SM -SHRA VV006 02/01 A3007 RMK LAST= KBJC 051149Z 31008KT 5SM -RA VV002 03/02 A2985= KBJC 051245Z 33011KT 5SM -RA OVC004 04/02 A2984= KBJC 051345Z 30013KT 5SM -RA OVC003 04/03 A2981= KBJC 051449Z 31011KT 3SM -RA OVC008 05/03 A2978= KBJC 051545Z 32014KT 4SM -RA OVC008 05/04 A2976= KBJC 051653Z 32010KT 5SM -RA OVC008 07/05 A2973= KBJC 051757Z 33015KT 4SM -RA OVC007 07/06 A2970= KBJC 051945Z 34005KT 4SM -RA VV007 07/06 A2968= KBJC 052045Z VRB03KT 5SM -RA SCT005 BKN015 OVC026 07/05 A2968= COZ041-051100- ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET- INCLUDING CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...LARKSPUR 349 PM MDT FRI MAY 4 2001 .TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...HEAVIEST ABOVE 6500 FEET. LOWS 30 TO 35. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MIXED RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN ALL RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 35 TO 40. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 50. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING CLOUDS. LOWS 30 TO 35. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...DRY...EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 55 TO 65. = COZ041-051100- ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET- INCLUDING CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...LARKSPUR 617 PM MDT FRI MAY 4 2001 .TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...HEAVIEST ABOVE 6500 FEET. LOWS 30 TO 35. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MIXED RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN ALL RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 35 TO 40. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 50. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING CLOUDS. LOWS 30 TO 35. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...DRY...EXCEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 55 TO 65. = COZ038>041-052200- LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET-NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET- INCLUDING FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...ARVADA... BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...PARKER... CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...LARKSPUR 430 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2001 .TODAY...AREAS OF RAIN AND FOG CONTINUING...ALONG WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SNOW MIXED IN EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. .TONIGHT...SCATTERED EVENING RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...DECREASING CLOUDINESS LATE. LOWS 35 TO 40. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED EARLY EVENING RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING LATE. LOWS IN THE 30S. .EXTENDED FORECAST... .MONDAY...DRY AND WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S. .TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...DRY EXCEPT FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S. = COZ041-052200- ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET- INCLUDING CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...LARKSPUR 758 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2001 .TODAY...OCCASIONAL SNOW THIS MORNING...DECREASING AND MIXING WITH RAIN BY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES. HIGHS AROUND 40. .TONIGHT...SCATTERED EVENING RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...DECREASING CLOUDINESS LATE. LOWS 35 TO 40. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. Email from Ed: I have been a bit sloppy with the records lately, but here goes. Except for the inital period of drizzle on Wednesday, there was not another drop of liquid in Parker until around 7:30AM on Saturday. We had real trouble getting started with the precip as Wednesday night put down 1.6" and late Thursday night early Friday another .9". Then it snowed all day Friday and basically held the light snowpack through the day w/o additional accumulations. I had to come to work on Friday night and observed the snow level rise from 5700 to 5900 feet during the two hour period ending at 1AM (both legs of my round trip). Apparently the snow level held there until after sunrise. On my trip home I came upon an SUV which had slid off of a snow-covered secondary road (3 days of cold weather will do this) and of course the neighborhood streets were pretty dicey. Sat AM had a solid 8.5" of snow on the ground and some where between 7 and 8 of those fell overnight. I had called NWS office at 7:20 PM on Sat evening and asked for at least a winter weather advisory for zone 41, but they wouldn't accept. I told them the snow level was still at 5900' at 1:00 AM and called them again at 4:30 to inform them the snow level had still not yet reached 6000' because they indicated in their discussion that the snow level had risen to around 6200'. The changeover was quick over about an hour. By early afternoon storm liquid had reached to around 2.30" and we probably got another tenth or two after that. So I guess from the numbers above that 11" would be a good total for the whole event. This gives a seasonal total of around 85". As for the second event in April, only around 3" at my place. Had some serious dry surge problems with that one. Also had some serious dry sruge problems with limited liquid equivalent until Friday AM. I think only 0.40" of liquid had fallen by Friday AM. Despite an all day rain, still a good 3 to 4 inch snowpack at sunset on Saturday. However, on my way in to the office, I did not have to even get out of the Parker city limits to see completely bare ground. That 5900' snow level really did hold for the remainder of Friday night. I noticed the snow total report for Castle Rock had 12" snow depth on Sat AM. Likewise Larkspur and other areas reported a significant snow pack as well. Hey .. I need better powers of persuasion because I did ask for a winter weather advisory for zone 41 .. but to no avail. I seem to be able to use the standard METARs and the urban flood district sensors along with the radar and that one critical observation at 6050' to get a good picture of what's going on. This, by the way is the only reason that Parker would have been a better choice for the BOU office. However, for about 100 other reasons, Boulder is a better choice. And an additional fact: the max temp between Wed AM and 8:30AM on Saturday was 34.6. Here is how to contact me if you want to know what's going on in Parker or for any other reason: 303-840-6164 (yes it is a local call which is amazing to me as I recall the tiny local calling area of the east coast) or rscheinhar@aol.com Bob Ed Szoke wrote: > bob wrote: > > > > Ed: > > > > Just arrived at work. Snow level at 10AM was around 5800' on the east > > side of town. Any chance this could turn into one of those famous New > > England late April type events with the deep isothermal layer and an > > enormous dumping of heavy snow? Temp was still 32.7 at my house at > > 930AM but had risen about 0.5 in just 20 minutes. I told my wife to > > expect a certain disaster tonight above 6500'. The low-level westerlies > > don't bother me so much as they are shallow and actually may help to > > focus precip on the west side of an inverted trough. I suppose it will > > be just barely too warm, but with heavier bands approaching from the SE > > perhaps Parker may only max out at 34 or 35 today and stay snow? BTW, > > about 2" on the ground at 930AM and only a trace here in Aurora. The 37 > > dewpoint at DIA bothers me, but as usual I rely on you for the final > > verdict on any possibility of intense vertical motions at least creating > > periods of heavy snow and then back to rain as it lets up. > > > > Bob > Bob: I was off attempting one last powder day at Loveland on Friday. > There was only about 3-5" up there but very winterlike espcly in the > morning. Disappointing event down here, 4.0" total snow for me with > first 1-1.25" of pcpn thru Fri AM, with 1.0" Wed mrng by 0900 then > better snow (finally) Wed night ~4am - Thu ~9AM for another 3", but that > all melted on Thu even tho it snowed lightly all day. Then snow (/ocnl > r-) went over to ALL R- by 2am Fri, heavier rain fell Fri, tried to snow > Fri night with mixed 5-8pm then was all rain for the remainder with > 2.30" pcpn total as of 8am this AM. Would be interested to hear what you > got Fri night, I heard it was terrible traveling Sat AM over the Palmer > Divide on I25. Could have been the big one had it come out last Thu but > waited too long, in my opinion, so we lost the cold air we had W/R. ed