US Climate Change Science Program
Updated 11 October, 2003

Products and Processes to Maintain Scientific Credibility

 

 

The U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and Climate Change Research Initiative (CCRI) will consistently meet the highest standards of credibility, transparency, and responsiveness -- to the scientific community, to all interested constituencies, and to our international partners. To ensure credibility, scientific activities of the program will be policy-neutral. In keeping with this policy-neutral approach, products of the program's scientific inquiries will include:  

  • Scientific descriptions of current climate and ecosystems status, with particular emphasis on the factors that can impact (positively or negatively) current conditions.  
  • Prioritization of the importance of the various factors that can change current climate and ecosystems conditions.  
  • Trend information (based on careful evaluation of measurement records, supplemented by reference to scientific and computer model analysis) that helps identify significant patterns of variability, and that suggests the high-priority concerns regarding future changes in climate and ecosystems conditions.  
  • Descriptions of cause-effect relationships between key climate and ecosystem parameters. These descriptions should typically include both one-by-one cause-effect descriptions relative to individual key factors, and descriptions involving the combined influence of several key factors acting jointly.  

  • Comparisons between a selection of suggested scenarios that will facilitate our search for the most effective and efficient approaches to adapt to and mitigate the effects of both natural climate variability and potential human-induced climate change.  
  • Careful statements of the scientific uncertainties relative to each of the matters described above. Note that careful analysis and description of uncertainty will be included as a part of scientific descriptions.  

To maintain scientific credibility in the conduct of the USGCRP and CCRI, the following near-term steps are being taken:  

  • An integrated USGCRP/CCRI strategic plan has been produced after extensive open review. It describes major research questions, products, and research needs.  
  • A workshop was held in December 2002 to provide an opportunity for a comprehensive review of the updated plans for the USGCRP and CCRI.  
  • Ongoing reviews of the USGCRP/CCRI have been sought from the National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council. Specifically, the Academy was asked to review both the process and the substance of the updated program plan (including the public workshop) [see the NRC report, Planning Climate and Global Change Research: A Review of the Draft U.S. Climate Change Science Program Strategic Plan (2003).]
  • Individual agencies will facilitate review of their research strategies and plans by their respective Federal Advisory Committee Act (FACA) advisory committees to ensure quality, relevance, and timeliness for both the interagency program goals and agency-specific mission goals.  
  • The director, agency representatives, and staff of the Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) are regularly involved in ongoing discussions with a wide array of members of the national and international scientific community. The program encourages comments and critiques from all sources in the spirit of promoting open debate, including from interested stakeholders. The program is strictly neutral in these communications.  
  • The CCSP will provide all plans and reports to interested members of Congress and their staff. Program representatives are available to meet with members and staff upon request.  

Finally, an important ongoing objective of the USGCRP/CCRI will be to promote the dissemination and use of global change research and information in a fair and equitable fashion, both nationally and internationally. Open access to the information produced by the program is another way in which the program can promote open debate   that supports societal decisionmaking. Products from the program inform a variety of decision processes, ranging from El Niño/Southern Oscillation forecast products used in regional and national planning in agriculture and resource management, to research results on climate change that are incorporated in assessments, such as those of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which provides scientific underpinning for international negotiations. Information is disseminated on the Internet via the USGCRP and Climate Change Science Program Web sites, the Global Change Data and Information System, and the Global Change Research and Information Office.

 


 

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