####018002756#### WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVE) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z --- NEAR 13.1N 141.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 141.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 13.3N 139.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 13.3N 136.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 13.0N 133.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 12.7N 130.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 12.0N 126.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 11.4N 123.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 10.5N 121.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 112100Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 141.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS INTENSIFIED AND TRACKED WEST AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO REMAIN AT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN SLOWLY DISSI- PATE AND MOVE ON A MORE WEST-SOUTWESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS BOHOL, PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.//