ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT WED OCT 21 1998
 
A THIN LAYER OF NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS NOTED BUT IT DOESNT SEEM TO
BE ADVERSELY AFFECTING LESTER AT THIS TIME.  THE EYE HAS PERSISTED
FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS AND T- AND CI-NUMBERS NOW MATCH AT 5.0...90
KT.  
 
THE HEADING IS 290/7 KT.  THE 12Z AVN AGAIN SHOWS A RIDGE DEVELOPING
TO THE NORTH OF LESTER...NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...IN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  BY 72 HOURS A MORE PROMINENT HIGH IS SHOWN COVERING
MUCH OF THE OFFSHORE AREA TO THE NW OF THE HURRICANE.  THESE
FEATURES SHOULD RESULT IN A TURN TOWARD THE LEFT...AS INDICATED BY
MOST GUIDANCE MODELS.  NO THREAT TO LAND IS INDICATED AT THIS TIME.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     21/2100Z 16.8N 109.0W    90 KTS
12HR VT     22/0600Z 17.2N 109.8W    90 KTS
24HR VT     22/1800Z 17.6N 110.7W    90 KTS
36HR VT     23/0600Z 17.8N 111.4W    90 KTS
48HR VT     23/1800Z 18.1N 112.2W    85 KTS
72HR VT     24/1800Z 18.0N 114.0W    75 KTS
 
 
NNNN