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                                                           1
          1                      UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
          2                    NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION
          3                                 ***
          4                     BRIEFING ON FIRE PROTECTION
          5                                 ***
          6                           PUBLIC MEETING
          7                                 ***
          8
          9                             Nuclear Regulatory Commission
         10                             Commission Hearing Room
         11                             11555 Rockville Pike
         12                             Rockville, Maryland
         13
         14                             Thursday, March 31, 1998
         15
         16              The Commission met in open session, pursuant to
         17    notice, at 10:06 a.m., the Honorable SHIRLEY A. JACKSON,
         18    Chairman of the Commission, presiding.
         19
         20    COMMISSIONERS PRESENT:
         21              SHIRLEY A. JACKSON,  Chairman of the Commission
         22              GRETA J. DICUS, Member of the Commission
         23              NILS J. DIAZ, Member of the Commission
         24              EDWARD McGAFFIGAN, JR., Member of the Commission
         25
                                                                       2
          1    STAFF AND PRESENTERS SEATED AT COMMISSION TABLE:
          2    BRYAN SHERON, NRR
          3    GARY HOLAHAN, NRR
          4    STEVE WEST, FPES
          5    ED CONNELL, FPES
          6    MARK CUNNINGHAM, PSA
          7    JOSEPH CALLAN, NRR
          8
          9
         10
         11
         12
         13
         14
         15
         16
         17
         18
         19
         20
         21
         22
         23
         24
         25
                                                                       3
          1                        P R O C E E D I N G S
          2                                                    [10:06 a.m.]
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Good morning, ladies and
          4    gentlemen.  The purpose of today's Commission meeting is to
          5    be briefed by the NRC Staff on its efforts to date in
          6    developing a risk-informed performance-based regulation for
          7    fire protection at nuclear power plants.
          8              In October 1996, the Commission directed the Staff
          9    to revise 10 CFR 50.48 and modify or remove Appendix R.  The
         10    Staff was tasked with developing a plan for transitioning
         11    fire protection regulations to a more risk-informed and
         12    performance-based structure.
         13              The Commission received a Staff update in mid-1997
         14    and again directed the Staff to expedite the resolution of
         15    issues necessary to formulate a rule which takes a more
         16    risk-informed and performance-based approach.
         17              The Staff was directed to shift the rulemaking
         18    effort to NRR, the Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation, to
         19    finalize the current research, and to obtain the Office of
         20    General Counsel feedback on backfit implications; and
         21    finally, to obtain industry feedback on interest in the
         22    rule.
         23              This Commission meeting was scheduled to discuss
         24    these various issues.  The Commission is particularly
         25    interested in as much as the results are in, the Staff
                                                                       4
          1    discussion of fire protection functional inspection results,
          2    the IPEEE review results, the status of research review
          3    results on the 12 technical issues presented in the previous
          4    Commission paper, and the Staff's pros and cons and industry
          5    comments on the options presented in the recent Commission
          6    paper, and any differing professional views held by the
          7    Staff.
          8              Copies of the presentation are available at the
          9    entrances to the meeting, so unless my colleagues have any
         10    opening comments, Mr. Callan, please proceed.
         11              MR. CALLAN:  Thank you, Chairman, and good
         12    morning, Chairman and Commissioners.
         13              With me at the table are Bryan Sheron, who is the
         14    associate director for Technical Review in NRR, to my right;
         15    and to my left, Gary Holahan, the director of the Division
         16    of Systems Safety in NRR; to his left is Steve West, who is
         17    the chief of the Fire Protection Engineering Section; and to
         18    Bryan Sheron's right is Ed Connell, who is going to be the
         19    chief presenter.  He is the senior fire protection engineer. 
         20    And then finally, to Ed's right is Mark Cunningham, who is
         21    our sole representative from Research, and Mark is the chief
         22    of Probabilistic Safety Assessment Branch in Research.  And
         23    as I said, Ed Connell is our chief presenter, and Mark will
         24    also assist Ed in the presentation.
         25              With that, Ed.
                                                                       5
          1              MR. CONNELL:  Good morning.
          2              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Good morning.
          3              MR. CONNELL:  Lisa, could I have the first slide,
          4    please.
          5              I would like to briefly go over the agenda for the
          6    meeting.  First we are going to discuss briefly the
          7    background, how we got to where we are today.  The history
          8    of revising the existing fire protection regulations is
          9    rather long, so we will briefly cover that.
         10              We will talk a little bit about the external
         11    feedback that we have gotten from industry, from the
         12    National Fire Protection Association, also from some public
         13    interest groups that have expressed interest in this area.
         14              We will discuss about the Staff feedback that we
         15    have gotten from OGC regarding the backfit implications, the
         16    fire protection functional inspection program, and the IPEEE
         17    program.  Also we will finish up with the considerations
         18    that the Staff used making the options for the Commission's
         19    consideration, and then we will go into detail in the
         20    options and recommendations.
         21              Next slide, Lisa.
         22              This is an abbreviated background.  There's
         23    actually more than what I have here, but in the interest of
         24    time and brevity, we will shorten it.
         25              SECY 92-63, the Staff plans for elimination of
                                                                       6
          1    requirements marginal to safety, identified Appendix R as a
          2    candidate to reduce regulatory burden without adversely
          3    impacting safety.  The opportunity was to make the
          4    regulation less prescriptive, more performance-oriented, and
          5    use PRA as appropriate and consider the Commission's safety
          6    goals in revising the regulation.
          7              The follow-on SRM approved the Staff's
          8    recommendations.
          9              SECY 93-142, report on the reassessment of the NRC
         10    fire protection program.  This primarily dealt with the fire
         11    protection issues following the thermo-lag issue.  The Staff
         12    went back and reevaluated the entire fire protection program
         13    on the issues with thermo-lag and the Staff recommended that
         14    50.48 and Appendix R -- 50.48 be revised and Appendix R
         15    either be modified or eliminated, make the new regulation
         16    more reactor safety-oriented, add flexibility to the
         17    regulation, eliminate some of the confusion that exists,
         18    address shutdown conditions, and address compensatory
         19    measures such as fire watches which are currently not within
         20    the scope of the existing regulation.
         21              Yes?
         22              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  You know, if I look at this
         23    history, you know, there were the four years leading up to
         24    SECY 96-134 and five, 97-127.  It sounded like the original
         25    Staff plans in 92-263 were not unlike what were submitted
                                                                       7
          1    and addressed by the Commission in 96-134 and, to some
          2    extent, in 97-127.  What happened?
          3              MR. CONNELL:  A lot hasn't changed from --
          4    actually in 1986, in a NUREG the Staff considered making
          5    PRAs part of the fire protection and it really didn't use
          6    the term risk-informed, but it did use performance-oriented.
          7              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And PRA?
          8              MR. CONNELL:  Right.  And did use PRA, did use
          9    performance-oriented term, and that was in 1986, so this is
         10    a very old issue.  I'd say a lot has changed since the
         11    September SRM and now with industry changing its position,
         12    with the input from the National Fire Protection
         13    Association, as well as the fire protection functional
         14    inspections and we have some preliminary insights from the
         15    IPEEE results.  So I'd say a lot didn't happen that's
         16    changed our opinion up until September.  Since September, we
         17    have changed our opinion based on all the input we have
         18    gotten from external sources and the results of some of the
         19    internal reviews.
         20              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, I guess the question I
         21    really had was that back in 92-263, you didn't initiate a
         22    rulemaking.
         23              MR. CONNELL:  No.
         24              MR. HOLAHAN:  I think what was happening in that
         25    time period was that the industry expressed interest in
                                                                       8
          1    developing a rule option of their own, and rather than the
          2    Staff moving ahead and developing a rule to implement some
          3    of these thoughts, the industry had indicated that they were
          4    developing a rulemaking proposal and, in fact, eventually
          5    did submit what's been called the proposed Appendix S as a
          6    rulemaking to deal with those issues, and ultimately the
          7    Staff recommended and the Commission decided against that
          8    option, and I think that's what filled in a lot of that time
          9    period, where there was a hope that the industry initiative
         10    would deal with these issues in a risk-informed sort of way,
         11    but that didn't work out.
         12              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Yes?
         13              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  What was the basis of
         14    the Staff recommendation then in August or so of 1996 that
         15    it could come up with something better than Appendix S? 
         16    Because the recommendation was don't do Appendix S, reject
         17    the petition for rulemaking, but we will come up with
         18    something risk-informed performance-based, I think it was by
         19    December of '96, and submit it to you, Commission.
         20              Why was there that hope at that time?  What was
         21    the basis for that hope at that time that you could do that?
         22              MR. HOLAHAN:  Well, I'm not sure I can speak
         23    exactly to what was said in 1996.  My recollection is that
         24    it was a rulemaking plan that was going to be developed by
         25    the end of that period of time, and I think conceptually I
                                                                       9
          1    think we still do believe that you can develop such a
          2    risk-informed rule and, in effect, that's what option 1
          3    would be, for the Staff to go and on its own develop such a
          4    rule.  And I think there was -- it's not easy, but it was
          5    possible all throughout these years for the Staff to do such
          6    a thing.  It was possible in '96 and it's possible now.
          7              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Which changes what was
          8    said earlier, the difference from industry, but also is
          9    there a matter of resources involved, that you don't have to
         10    do that?
         11              MR. HOLAHAN:  I don't think it's so much a
         12    resource issue.  I think there is a technology issue of
         13    understanding that methodologies exist to implement a
         14    risk-informed approach, and I think it takes some time and
         15    effort to work, you know, a risk-informed approach into the
         16    regulatory framework for fire protection.  But I don't think
         17    that resources is what held us back in earlier years.  It
         18    was the question of which option to take, you know, whether
         19    to wait for an industry initiative, or whether to pursue a
         20    Staff direct writing of the rule, or what we have now, a
         21    proposal to work with industry fire protection group as an
         22    alternative.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay, then, why don't you go
         24    on.
         25              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.  Well, I won't cover the other
                                                                      10
          1    ones except just to note that in SECY 96-134, the Staff did
          2    state that if any alternatives became apparent, we would
          3    bring them to the Commission, so I think we are consistent
          4    with what we said in 96-134.  We have some alternatives we
          5    weren't aware of then and we are bringing them forward for
          6    your consideration.
          7              Lisa, could I have the next slide, please.
          8              I will briefly cover the September SRM.  These are
          9    the things the Commission directed the Staff to do to
         10    finalize the current research and study, and we are going to
         11    discuss about the research -- Mark is going to discuss the
         12    research a little bit; obtain OGC feedback on backfit, we
         13    have done that; obtain industry feedback on the interest in
         14    the new rule, we have done that, we had some meetings with
         15    NEI, attended the NEI fire protection informational forums;
         16    we have gotten some feedback from the fire protection staff
         17    of the licensees, as well as they have made some
         18    presentations to the ACRS that we have been at as well;
         19    provide the Commission with an expedited schedule for
         20    rulemaking, that's in 98-058 SECY paper; expedite resolution
         21    of issues for rulemaking elimination and exemptions, that's
         22    dependent upon which option the Commission directs us to
         23    pursue; transfer the responsibility for the rulemaking,
         24    that's been completed; coordinate additional research with
         25    industry as necessary, and Mark is going to discuss the
                                                                      11
          1    research activities; and assessing the current regulatory
          2    requirements for transition, and that is dependent upon
          3    which option we pursue.
          4              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Let me just ask you a question
          5    about two of these that were in the SRM last September.  You
          6    know, the Commission directed that you finalize the current
          7    research and study.  Now in the paper that led up to that
          8    SRM in the June 1997 Commission paper, there were 12
          9    potential fire issues.  Things like hot shorts, compensatory
         10    measures, et cetera.  And I don't see a slide on these
         11    issues in terms of where we are, you know, in the packet
         12    that we got.  Are you going to be summarizing the status of
         13    these issues?
         14              MR. CONNELL:  Well, some -- there's only one of
         15    those 12 issues that's outside of the existing regulatory
         16    framework, and that's the fires during non-power operations,
         17    and that had been included in the shutdown rule, and since
         18    we are not going to pursue the shutdown rule, we are going
         19    to have to incorporate that into whatever else that we do.
         20              If we chose the option or allow an industry
         21    standard, that will be incorporated into the industry
         22    standard.  The rest of them are within the scope of the
         23    existing framework, compensatory measures, hot shorts, fire
         24    barriers, fire detection, all those items are within the
         25    scope of the existing regulatory framework.
                                                                      12
          1              We don't see any of those issues right now that we
          2    cannot address through the research effort.
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And then you have coordinated
          4    additional research with industry, if possible.  So a
          5    question I have is whether the National Fire Protection
          6    Association is doing much research that is applicable to
          7    nuclear plant applications.
          8              MR. CONNELL:  No, that's not -- the National Fire
          9    Protection Association is primarily a standards development
         10    organization.  It's a -- there are sixty some thousand
         11    members on all aspects of the fire protection area from code
         12    officials to manufacturers to building owners, so they don't
         13    fund that kind of research.  They don't have that kind of
         14    money.
         15              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  But I know that later on you
         16    talk about, you know, waiting on or making use of the
         17    National Fire Protection Association standard, and the
         18    question is, what informs their standard relative to the
         19    utility of it in a nuclear power plant operation context?
         20              MR. CONNELL:  We don't think that their standard
         21    will require additional research at this point.  Now we are
         22    early in the development stages of the standard, and we do
         23    participate in the standards committee, but we don't think
         24    there's any additional research needed to support that
         25    industry standard.
                                                                      13
          1              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  Thank you.  But
          2    nonetheless you think it's applicable, it will have a --
          3              MR. CONNELL:  Oh, I think there's benefit.
          4              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
          5              MR. CONNELL:  Next slide, Lisa.
          6              The next part of that SRM is why we are here
          7    today.  We are going to brief the Commission on all
          8    findings, observations and conclusions related to PRA and
          9    fire modeling results, that's primarily the IPEEE
         10    activities, the fire protection functional inspection, the
         11    backfit determination, as I mentioned before, industry
         12    interaction, and other relevant information.
         13              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  In speaking about other
         14    relevant interaction, you met with ACRS recently; is that
         15    correct?
         16              MR. CONNELL:  We had three meetings with the ACRS
         17    from November till this month on this topic.
         18              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And what's come out of those
         19    meetings?
         20              MR. CONNELL:  Well, we -- they heard from us, they
         21    also heard from the National Fire Protection Association,
         22    they heard from Nuclear Energy Institute, and they also
         23    heard from the Nuclear Information Resource Service, and the
         24    Union of Concerned Scientists made some presentations, and
         25    we don't have any formal feedback from the ACRS, but the
                                                                      14
          1    feedback that we did get during the meetings was they had
          2    supported the Staff's recommendation to pursue option 2,
          3    which was defer the rulemaking and allow the industry to
          4    develop a standard that we could adopt in the future.
          5              MR. HOLAHAN:  Can I add something to that?  I
          6    think early on, at least for our first meeting with the
          7    ACRS, there was a concern that option 1 was the
          8    risk-informed option and option 2 wasn't, and I think when
          9    that perception was on the table, the ACRS was -- I think
         10    would favor option 1.  I think we clarified that situation. 
         11    We in fact went back and talked to NFPA about assuring that
         12    NFPA process would address risk and would be a risk-informed
         13    process, and I think that alleviated some of the committee's
         14    concerns.
         15              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Now I also note that in terms
         16    of industry interaction and comments that, you know, the
         17    industry -- and let me just issue a caveat, Commissioner
         18    Dicus sitting here -- you know, we always talk about the
         19    industry.  As far as I know, NRC regulates more than one
         20    industry; is that correct?  So we are talking about the
         21    nuclear power industry; is that correct?
         22              MR. CONNELL:  Yes.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  I just wanted to clarify
         24    that.  And
         25              MR. CONNELL:  I'm assuming in the SRM that you
                                                                      15
          1    --that's the industry you wanted us to get feedback on.
          2              [Laughter.]
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I'm not saying that we're not
          4    equally guilty.
          5              [Laughter.]
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  So you make a good point.  But
          7    I noted that the industry does not want a new rule these
          8    days.
          9              MR. CONNELL:  That's correct.
         10              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  But yet the latest Commission
         11    paper states that they do desire more allowance for risk
         12    significance within the current rule.  And I guess the
         13    question I have is how much room does the current rule allow
         14    in terms of latitude vis-a-vis risk significance?  And I am
         15    going to ask you that, Mr. Connell, but I am also going to
         16    ask, if Karen is willing to be put on the spot, ask her
         17    that.
         18              MR. CONNELL:  Well, I'll answer it and then she
         19    can correct me if I'm wrong.
         20              The existing rule doesn't address risk at all. 
         21    And the existing fire protection staff guidance doesn't
         22    address risk at all.  So you can infer that to mean there's
         23    a lot of latitude or there is zero latitude since it doesn't
         24    address it at all.
         25              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  It's not there?
                                                                      16
          1              MR. CONNELL:  It's not there.  That's correct.
          2              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
          3              MS. CYR:  50.48, which is the underlying
          4    regulation, is quite I mean broadly written.  I mean you
          5    could say it's sort of a performance-based standard.  But to
          6    the extent that Appendix R is applied or the license
          7    condition has specific terms, those tend to be very
          8    prescriptive, and they do not account for risk.  They just
          9    say you are supposed to do certain things in certain ways.
         10              So I mean yes and no.  It depends on how you --
         11    but I think to the extent that Appendix R provisions apply
         12    in particular circumstances, those are, I would agree with
         13    him, that those are --
         14              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  But the rule itself, you're
         15    saying, is --
         16              MS. CYR:  50.48 itself is a very broadly written
         17    kind of prescriptive -- I mean performance-based regulation.
         18              MR. HOLAHAN:  The only thing I would have said a
         19    little differently from what Mr. Connell said was I think
         20    the fire protection rules do address safety.  I mean the
         21    words safety and risk assessment are not in the rule, but
         22    they certainly provide a level of safety.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I know Commissioner Diaz is
         24    going to look up these.
         25              MR. HOLAHAN:  And, you know, looking backwards
                                                                      17
          1    from a risk perspective, there have been some studies to
          2    suggest that in fact a risk reduction of something like a
          3    factor of 10 may have occurred because of the rule, even
          4    though it doesn't have, you know, risk assessment as part of
          5    the regulation itself.
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  We'll come back to that.
          7              Okay, Mr. Connell, why don't you proceed.
          8              MR. CONNELL:  Could I have the next slide, Lisa.
          9              The external feedback, the feedback we got from
         10    industry, the nuclear power industry, NEI conducted a survey
         11    of all the chief nuclear operating officers, and they got
         12    100 percent response, almost, and it was pretty consistent
         13    for all the CNOs, and they provided us a letter formally
         14    --they discussed this with us several times what the results
         15    of their survey were.  Basically the chief nuclear officers
         16    feel that a new rule is not desired or necessary to ensure
         17    improved safety.  Further development of risk and
         18    performance-bases should support changes in guidance to
         19    existing regulations.
         20              Changes to regulations or supporting guidance must
         21    allow adequate time for completion of support elements --
         22              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  What do you mean by support
         23    elements?
         24              MR. CONNELL:  IPEEE, fire protection functional
         25    inspections, that is what they're referring to.
                                                                      18
          1              MR. HOLAHAN:  More guidance documents.
          2              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
          3              MR. CONNELL:  And industry will participate
          4    actively in any changes to rule or supporting guidance.
          5              We have also had a lot of interaction with the
          6    practicing fire protection staff at the plants, and they
          7    also agree that a new rule is not necessary at this time.
          8              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Do they give you any input
          9    that's any different in terms of what should happen?
         10              MR. CONNELL:  They believe that the guidance could
         11    be improved because the guidance is scattered in many
         12    documents, the interpretations of guidance, and they believe
         13    that a lot of clarification would be beneficial, clean up
         14    the generic letters and the standard review plans and the
         15    branch technical positions, and said we could put that all
         16    in one place and any places where we have conflicts or
         17    holes, we could fill those.  So they support that.
         18              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  Please go on.
         19              MR. CONNELL:  Next --
         20              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  No, on that same point,
         21    how realistic are they in light of the conversation you just
         22    had about making through guidance documents the existing
         23    regulations more risk-informed?  Further development of risk
         24    and performance bases presumably means that they're asking
         25    within the current framework through this guidance process
                                                                      19
          1    which is part of option 2 that you're going to consolidate
          2    and get the guidance.  But is the industry expectation
          3    realistic here?
          4              MR. CONNELL:  Well, you know, we could potentially
          5    -- we haven't had much experience with it in the past, but
          6    we could use risk information as a supporting basis for
          7    supporting exemptions or deviations.  That's not prohibited
          8    by the rule.
          9              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Right.  You're going to
         10    get to it this week, you know, since NRC has folks talking
         11    about the fact that the inspections that we are doing at the
         12    moment are driving up, they project, over $1 million per
         13    plant will have to be spent to deal with issues that they
         14    don't think are very important, but could be construed as
         15    compliance matters under the current rule.  Is this issue,
         16    which may have also -- I don't know whether it came up in
         17    your meetings, but is the reaction of industry to the
         18    current inspections -- is there anything that can be done in
         19    guidance documents that will split that, or is this
         20    potentially going to overtake this feedback and say if you
         21    are going to interpret the current rules the way you are
         22    interpreting them in the current inspections, maybe we do
         23    need a new rule?
         24              MR. CONNELL:  Well, I think a lot of the problems
         25    with some of the existing exemptions, the existing
                                                                      20
          1    inspections, is that some of the interpretation of the
          2    requirements by industry has been incorrect and
          3    inconsistent.  I think that is the crux of the problem.  I
          4    think if you look at the River Bend inspection report, I
          5    think that you will find that that is the case.
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Has there been sufficient
          7    guidance for the industry to work off of that that incorrect
          8    or inconsistent interpretation shouldn't be there?  Given
          9    the existing regulations.
         10              MR. CONNELL:  Well, it depends.  For some areas,
         11    it has.  Of course, sometimes NEI issues their own guidance
         12    that doesn't necessarily concur with the Staff's guidance,
         13    and we have had that in several cases related to thermo-lag,
         14    related to the motor-operated valve issue.  So that causes a
         15    problem.
         16              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  I guess I am really
         17    asking a question of whether you feel that we have had
         18    adequate guidance out there.
         19              MR. CONNELL:  I think we can improve our guidance.
         20              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
         21              MR. HOLAHAN:  I think, in fact, in the area of
         22    circuit analysis or the so-called hot shorts, we have
         23    acknowledged that the existing guidance has left some
         24    confusion in the industry, and that's the reason that we
         25    have proposed to put out additional guidance and some
                                                                      21
          1    enforcement discretion associated with that issue, because,
          2    you know --
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  It also sounds like you're
          4    saying that there needs to be some consolidation of the
          5    guidance.
          6              MR. HOLAHAN:  Absolutely, yes.
          7              MR. WEST:  Could I add one thing about the
          8    guidance, please?
          9              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Sure.
         10              MR. WEST:  In the area of hot shorts, the kind of
         11    jargon we call hot shorts, we actually call it circuit
         12    analysis these days.  But we have completed two of the fire
         13    protection functional inspections and at one plant we had
         14    problems with their circuit analysis, and at the second
         15    plant we had no problems, and both plants used the same
         16    requirements and guidance to get to where they were.
         17              So I'm not -- we shouldn't -- I don't think we
         18    should suggest here today that all plants have all these
         19    problems, because that is not the case.  Some plants have
         20    done a better job than others in using the guidance that is
         21    available.
         22              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I see.  Okay.  Yes?
         23              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  I think I have heard the
         24    Chairman said a few times since I have been here that we
         25    enforce rules, not guidance.  Guidance is one means of
                                                                      22
          1    achieving compliance with a rule, and there are other means. 
          2    Are these -- so you get down to this issue of do it our way
          3    or no way, or is that what we're enforcing in these
          4    inspections, that you didn't follow, you know, perhaps
          5    ambiguous guidance exactly the right way?  Or what is going
          6    on?  What is the industry complaint about?
          7              MR. CONNELL:  Well, we don't enforce the guidance,
          8    okay.  The guidance is an acceptable method of meeting the
          9    regulation.  If a licensee wants to have an alternative
         10    method for meeting the regulation, provided it does meet the
         11    regulation, that is perfectly acceptable.
         12              The concern becomes, I guess, when they may
         13    interpret their alternative method as meeting the regulation
         14    and we may not agree.
         15              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  Why don't you go on.
         16              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.  Can I have the next slide,
         17    Lisa.
         18              The National Fire Protection Association is
         19    interested in this.  As I mentioned before, the NFPA, I
         20    think 70,000 members is approximately correct, they
         21    published 314 fire protection standards, four of which are
         22    related to nuclear facilities.  They have a standard for
         23    non-production -- non-electric generating nuclear facilities
         24    that the DOE, Department of Energy, uses a lot for their
         25    production facilities and their materials facilities.  And
                                                                      23
          1    they also have a standard for lightwater reactors that does
          2    not address safe shutdown criteria, it is more of a property
          3    protection standard.  They also have a standard for advanced
          4    lightwater reactors that does address safe shutdown and, of
          5    course, they are working on the performance-based,
          6    risk-informed standard for the existing reactors.
          7              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  What's the fire protection
          8    association's track record in developing standards?
          9              MR. CONNELL:  Well, they issued their first
         10    standard in the early 1800s on sprinkler systems, and they
         11    have had a lot of experience in this area.
         12              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  No, no, I'm really alluding to
         13    specifically performance-based standards.
         14              MR. CONNELL:  Okay, that's new to them.  Matter of
         15    fact, this standard is going to be one of the first
         16    standards.  They did some initial work with the life safety
         17    code, I guess it's been probably almost 10 years, where they
         18    looked at it, instead of being performance-based, they
         19    looked at tradeoffs from the prescriptive requirements.  If
         20    you put in sprinkler systems, maybe you could extend the
         21    travel distance out of the facility, stuff like that.  That
         22    was their first cut at it.  But they're working on it.
         23              There's some international effort going on and
         24    Australia and New Zealand have performance-based
         25    alternatives to their building codes.  So the building codes
                                                                      24
          1    are a little more ahead -- the international building codes
          2    are a little more ahead of the -- than the fire codes.
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And their schedule here is not
          4    contingent upon any confirmatory research?
          5              MR. CONNELL:  No, it is no.
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
          7              MR. CONNELL:  Just briefly tocover the NFPA, as I
          8    said, the schedule for them is May 2000.  We do participate
          9    on the technical committee.  We havea meeting the end of
         10    April, and the NFPA's position, they recommend that we adopt
         11    the consensus standard in lieu of pursuing our own
         12    rulemaking in accordance with this OMB circular and a public
         13    law.
         14              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And so you see that the
         15    schedule is realistic?
         16              MR. CONNELL:  I think the schedule is realistic. 
         17    Of course, they are -- we don't have control over that.
         18              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Right.
         19              MR. CONNELL:  The committee that is working on the
         20    standard expects to have a draft out in September that will
         21    be publicly available for public comment.  Then you go
         22    through the process resolving all the public comments and
         23    presenting it to the NFP standards council who is actually
         24    responsible for it, and then the NFPA membership gets to
         25    vote on it.  And the way that their cycle works, the
                                                                      25
          1    earliest that will happen is May 2000.  So it won't be
          2    before then.  It may be even a little after that.
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Yes?
          4              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Have we endorsed any of
          5    their previous standards?  You said that the --
          6              MR. CONNELL:  Yes, we have, like for sprinkler
          7    systems and detection systems, we have endorsed those
          8    standards.
          9              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  But the one for
         10    lightwater reactors, existing lightwater reactors?
         11              MR. CONNELL:  No.  It came out after most of the
         12    submittals were in from General Electric and Combustion
         13    Engineering and Westinghouse.  So it was not adopted for the
         14    reviews of the advanced lightwater reactors.
         15              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  For existing lightwater
         16    reactors, the --
         17              MR. CONNELL:  Oh, the existing?  It was not
         18    adopted.  The existing -- for existing reactors, that
         19    standard does not address safe shutdown.  It deferred that
         20    to the authorities having jurisdiction, which is us, in this
         21    country.  So we didn't adopt that.  It is primarily a
         22    property protection program continuity ensuring they have
         23    generation capability standard.  It's not a safe shutdown
         24    standard.
         25              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
                                                                      26
          1              MR. CONNELL:  The one for the advanced reactors
          2    is, though.
          3              Next slide, Lisa.
          4              Now continuing with the external feedback, the
          5    Nuclear Information Resource Service made some presentations
          6    with the Union of Concerned Scientists at the ACRS.  Their
          7    positions are that the existing regulations' licensing basis
          8    are complex and it makes compliance and enforcement
          9    difficult.  The plant risk assessments, primarily the
         10    IPEEEs, nonconservatively estimate risk and fire, and the
         11    NRC Staff has not adequately determined the technical basis
         12    for existing regulations.  And I think this focuses
         13    primarily on the issue concerning the penetration seals and
         14    the noncombustibility requirement in the existing rule.
         15              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Does the Staff agree with these
         16    bullets?
         17              MR. CONNELL:  Not entirely.  I agree that the
         18    licensing basis may be complex.  I do not agree that it
         19    makes compliance or enforcement difficult.  I think people
         20    that are working in this area understand the regulations,
         21    both the licensees and us, and I think that we have been
         22    very successful in compliance and enforcement.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Didn't the Staff have a
         24    difficult time in assessing and communicating the licensing
         25    basis vis-a-vis Appendix R for the Salem plant?  Could you
                                                                      27
          1    elaborate?
          2              MR. CONNELL:  I believe so, but --
          3              MR. WEST:  I was involved in that.  We had some
          4    letters to write to, I think, UCS and some senators, and I
          5    don't believe there was any particular difficulty.  As Ed
          6    was explaining, it is sometimes difficult to explain to
          7    someone that is not involved in this, so we had difficulty
          8    putting the licensing basis into language that would be
          9    readily understood by the people we are writing to.  But we
         10    didn't have any problem establishing the licensing basis.
         11              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
         12              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Could I follow on that? 
         13    It may be hard to understand by Commissioners, too, but the
         14    -- my recollection in Salem is the two units have two
         15    different bases, right?  One is Appendix R and one isn't?
         16              MR. WEST:  That's right.
         17              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  And they're -- I've been
         18    there.  They're cold -- you know, they're right next to each
         19    other, they share stuff.
         20              MR. WEST:  Right.
         21              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  How difficult --
         22    everybody knows where one set of regulations, you walk five
         23    meters that way, you go into a different space?  Or how does
         24    that work in fact?
         25              MR. WEST:  I wouldn't say everyone knows, but --
                                                                      28
          1              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  But the fire people at
          2    the plant know?
          3              MR. WEST:  Yes.
          4              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  This is because of this 1979
          5    bifurcation point?
          6              MR. WEST:  That's right.
          7              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  One of those plants was
          8    licensed in '77 and the other in '81?
          9              MR. WEST:  That's right, so one became an Appendix
         10    R plant and one is a post-Appendix R plant.  But the
         11    licensing basis for most plants are specified in the USAR
         12    and other reference documents, so if someone were determined
         13    to establish a licensing basis, for example, an inspector,
         14    the information is readily available.
         15              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Is it all summarized in
         16    the NUREG?  I mean do you have --
         17              MR. WEST:  No.
         18              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Here are the 104
         19    enduring plants, and --
         20              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  No, because it came up with the
         21    license at Watts Bar.  It wasn't even clear.
         22              MR. WEST:  It's easy to establish which are
         23    Appendix R plants and which are not, based on the date of
         24    operation.  But there are other components of the licensing
         25    basis, for example, which branch technical position they
                                                                      29
          1    established their program against, and it does add some
          2    complexity.
          3              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  And which exemptions
          4    they all have.  There were massive exemptions granted.
          5              MR. WEST:  We do have a database of exemptions, so
          6    we have that information readily available.  It's not a
          7    NUREG, but we do have it.  But it is complex to the public,
          8    there's no doubt, it would be complex.
          9              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, my perception is that it
         10    is sometimes complex to the Staff and the different
         11    documents and guidance that even our own Staff operates on,
         12    it's scattered hither and yon, and it's in branch technical
         13    positions, and discussions about whether a plant is a pre-
         14    or a post-1979 plant and so forth.
         15              MR. CALLAN:  Chairman, I would agree with that. 
         16    It's -- from my regional experience, it's complex for the
         17    residents and the regional management, the enforcement
         18    staff, et cetera.  Each region has a handful of fire
         19    protection specialists that work very closely with Steve
         20    West and his section, but it is -- it is not complex for
         21    them, but it is for the rest of the Staff, and that's how I
         22    would summarize it.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And this year the Staff has
         24    become enmeshed in reviewing and reassessing the licensing
         25    basis for the fire protection at Quad Cities.  Could you
                                                                      30
          1    discuss what some of those issues and difficulties are?
          2              MR. CONNELL:  Well, I don't think -- Quad Cities
          3    is an Appendix R plant, both units, so it's very simple.
          4              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, Mr. West was at the
          5    chairman's briefing.  Maybe you should speak to the
          6    situation vis-a-vis complexities.
          7              MR. WEST:  I guess in my view, being involved in,
          8    as you say, immersed in the review of the Quad Cities issues
          9    today, we have had to go back and take a look at the
         10    licensing basis and look at exemptions.  And again, I think
         11    the information that we found that we reviewed haven't
         12    presented any particular problems to the Staff in
         13    understanding the licensing basis.
         14              We do have, as we discussed with you, some
         15    technical questions with respect to implementation of
         16    exemptions or the staff approval of exemptions, and what
         17    that means to plant safety and risk.  But for the licensing
         18    basis itself, just understanding, you know, that they are an
         19    Appendix R plant, that they have exemptions, finding what
         20    the exemptions were, we were readily able to do that.
         21              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, I think in the end what
         22    we are trying to do is to tie the regulatory framework back
         23    to where the risk is, okay, and so the question becomes --
         24    and this is what seemed to come out of the briefing that I
         25    had, was that vis-a-vis the status of exemptions at Quad
                                                                      31
          1    Cities, there is a question, at least in one or more
          2    instances, as to whether the exemptions increased or
          3    decreased vulnerabilities vis-a-vis safe shutdown.  Is that
          4    correct?
          5              MR. WEST:  Those are definitely questions.
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And that's in terms of, you
          7    know, full disclosure, you know, I think that's -- I think
          8    it is important for you to talk about that to the Commission
          9    relative to what the issue is there.
         10              MR. HOLAHAN:  I think Quad Cities is an
         11    interesting example because even if in a legal sense it's --
         12    you can go back and construct whether it's an Appendix R
         13    plant or not and what are the exemptions, the safety
         14    implications of the Quad Cities fire protection program, I
         15    think, were not understood, and it is a complex matter.  And
         16    it's only recently through the IPEEE program and
         17    headquarters and regional work on Quad Cities that the full
         18    safety implications of their fire protection programs are
         19    being understood.  And I think -- I think I said it before,
         20    if we knew then what we know now, we wouldn't have granted
         21    some of the exemptions on Quad Cities.  And in the fullest
         22    sense, if that's part of the complexity of the regulation,
         23    it can lead to those situations.
         24              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Do you have today a methodology
         25    or means, either for yourselves or for licensees, to, as you
                                                                      32
          1    would say, understand the implications of any given plant's
          2    fire protection program?
          3              MR. HOLAHAN:  I think clearly the best tool
          4    available to address the fire protection safety is
          5    probabilistic risk assessment or alternative versions of
          6    that used in the IPEEE program.
          7              Those methodologies are not as fully developed as
          8    PRA for power operation and other initiating events.  But I
          9    think in a sense the IPEEE program has been very successful
         10    in shedding quite a lot of light on fire protection safety
         11    in these plants, you know, in some very real sense you
         12    should consider Quad Cities a success.  The IPEEE program
         13    found things in Quad cities that we didn't fully, and the
         14    licensee didn't fully understand for a long time.
         15              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Yes?
         16              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Could I follow up and
         17    ask in light of the statement Mr. Holahan made, can we -- if
         18    there are exemptions that we have misgivings about, legally
         19    can we pull them back or just reimpose a license condition
         20    on the plant?  This maybe is a question for Karen, but
         21    having once granted an exemption and later getting
         22    additional information that undermines the basis on which
         23    that exemption may have been granted or -- can we pull it
         24    back?
         25              MR. HOLAHAN:  I am prepared to be overridden by
                                                                      33
          1    general counsel as well, but my understanding is, because
          2    this is the current, the licensing basis of the plant,
          3    probably would constitute a backfit for the Staff to change
          4    an exemption.  But I think, you know, all of the options
          5    within the backfit rule, cost-justified or compliance, would
          6    seem to be available to Staff to deal with those issues.
          7              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Even if the exemption increased
          8    the vulnerabilities or the risk?
          9              MR. HOLAHAN:  Yes, absolutely.
         10              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Karen?
         11              MS. CYR:  It's clear we can go back, I mean, and
         12    address the issue.  We are granting an exemption by saying
         13    you can meet the equivalent of whatever the requirement is
         14    by alternative means.  If the underlying basis for that is
         15    not accurate, you can go back and address that, even if it's
         16    a backfit.  In that circumstance, it would be a compliance
         17    backfit because you're bringing the plant into a situation
         18    which is an equivalent level of compliance or safety with
         19    respect to the whatever underlying requirement is.
         20              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
         21              MR. WEST:  There was at least one case at Quad
         22    Cities where the Staff went in after the IPEEE results were
         23    submitted and we found an area where there was an exemption
         24    that appeared to contribute to the vulnerabilities and in
         25    that case, when it was discussed with the licensee, they
                                                                      34
          1    agreed and immediately -- I say immediately, they very
          2    quickly made a plant modification to fix that vulnerability.
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Why don't you go on.
          4              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.  Mark is going to cover the
          5    IPEE.
          6              Can we have the next slide, please.
          7              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  In January of this year, the
          8    Staff submitted a document called Preliminary Perspectives
          9    Gained From the Initial IPEEE Submittal Reviews to the
         10    Commission.  That document provided perspectives on the
         11    IPEEE results from the seismic fire and other external event
         12    initiators.  It's a document based on a preliminary review
         13    of the first one-third to one-half of the IPEEE submittals. 
         14    This slide provides some of the key points in terms of the
         15    fire IPEEE results.  A general result we have seen, based on
         16    this review of the first third to a half of the IPEEEs is
         17    that we have seen general success in meeting the goals of
         18    Generic Letter 88-20, the supplement of Generic Letter
         19    88-20.
         20              We have, however, seen some ones where -- the
         21    quality of the submittals has varied somewhat and we have
         22    seen some where we have a number of concerns about the
         23    quality of the submittal.
         24              In terms of core damage frequencies, we see a wide
         25    range of results.  Most plants are in the range of one times
                                                                      35
          1    10 to the minus 6 to one times 10 to the minus 4 per year. 
          2    We have some odd ones on either end.  We have one that's
          3    much below a 10 to the minus 9 per year, and we have a
          4    number of questions on that submittal, it's fair to say.
          5              We also have the one that we have talked about
          6    before of Quad Cities that came in at 5 times 10 to the
          7    minus 3 per year.
          8              The variability that you see there comes from a
          9    number of considerations.  Some of it is plant-to-plant
         10    variability in design and operation.  In the case of the
         11    fire IPEEEs, though, you also see a fair amount of
         12    variability coming from the method of analysis that's used. 
         13    This includes both the basic methods, be it PRA or some of
         14    the other methods used, comes from modeling assumptions
         15    within the analysis, and the level of detail that the
         16    analysis goes into.
         17              However, given this, you can see that the core
         18    damage frequency contribution from fires can be equivalent
         19    to or be near or in some -- I guess in the case of Quad
         20    Cities, exceed that from the core damage frequency from
         21    traditional internal events.  So this is consistent with a
         22    pattern that we have seen in fire PRAs from probably over
         23    the last 15 years, that fire contribution to core damage
         24    frequency from fire initiators can be a significant
         25    contribution.
                                                                      36
          1              In the IPEEEs in the area of fire, about half of
          2    the licensees of the third or the half that we have looked
          3    at have implemented or proposed plan improvements, be it
          4    procedural modifications or hardware changes, that sort of
          5    thing.
          6              And in the cases of -- we have a caveat here that
          7    as the case with the IPEEEs, the review that we performed
          8    was focused -- was limited and focused on whether or not the
          9    licensee met the intent of the generic letter.  If we want
         10    to use -- if the licensee wants to use their fire risk
         11    analysis or their fire results in other risk-informed,
         12    performance-based arenas, then the Staff would have to -- it
         13    would necessarily have more review to do.
         14              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  How large a universe of plants
         15    have a situation where the core damage frequency
         16    contribution from fire events approaches or exceeds that
         17    from internal events?  You know, based on the reviews that
         18    you have done so far.
         19              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  From what we have documented in
         20    the January report, there is one where I think it clearly
         21    succeeds -- exceeds, and that's Quad Cities.  There was
         22    another four or five on looking at it that the core damage
         23    frequencies are in the range of 10 to the minus 4 or above. 
         24    I suspect that those four or five then, that the -- that is
         25    comparable to or perhaps larger than the internal events. 
                                                                      37
          1    So you have got four or five out of the 24 that are
          2    documented in here.
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And when you say approximately
          4    50 percent of the licensees have implemented or proposed
          5    plan improvements, is it 50 percent of the five, or is it 50
          6    percent of all?
          7              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  50 percent of all.
          8              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And were they related to safe
          9    shutdown requirements or they were broader based than that?
         10              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  They were probably more broadly
         11    based than that.
         12              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
         13              MR. CONNELL:  Just some additional information. 
         14    As part of the assessment, some licensees did identify
         15    compliance issues and addressed them in their corrective
         16    action plan.
         17              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  Ed will go to the next slide
         18    then.
         19              MR. CONNELL:  Can I have the next one, Lisa.
         20              I will briefly cover the fire protection
         21    functional inspection program.  I'll just jump down to the
         22    fourth bullet very quickly here.  This is a risk-informed
         23    inspection.  We do use the IPEEE submittals, and if we have
         24    an existing PRA for the plant, fire PRA for the plant, we do
         25    use that for the inspection.
                                                                      38
          1              Four plants are part of the pilot.  River Bend
          2    inspection has been issued, that one is complete.
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  What are some of the
          4    preliminary results?
          5              MR. CONNELL:  I'll cover that on the next slide.
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay, I'll wait.
          7              MR. CONNELL:  Susquehanna, the inspection is
          8    complete.  The Staff is completing the report.
          9              St. Lucie, the Staff is right now down at the
         10    plant on their second week of their on-site inspection.
         11              We have a fourth plant, right now that's Prairie
         12    Island, that may change.
         13              Following the completion of the pilot program, we
         14    are going to have a public workshop in the fall.  The Staff
         15    is going to reassess the program after the workshop and the
         16    final inspection, and we owe the Commission a report on the
         17    results.
         18              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Let me ask you a question.  I
         19    mean given all the years that the Staff has been working
         20    with Appendix R and Appendix R issues, what is it that you
         21    do not know today?
         22              MR. CONNELL:  What is it that we do not know?
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I mean what are these fire
         24    protection functional inspections going to tell you?  I mean
         25    are they to tell you the status of the licensee's fire
                                                                      39
          1    protection programs, their compliance with 50.48?  I mean
          2    what is it that you do not know today?
          3              MR. CONNELL:  Well, it will tell us all those
          4    things.
          5              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  But I'm saying, you know, this
          6    has this long and sordid history, and the question is, I'm
          7    asking what are they focused on?  I mean what is it that you
          8    don't know that these pilots are focused on?
          9              MR. CONNELL:  Well, we're looking -- the risk
         10    information we didn't know before when the plants were
         11    originally assessed against Appendix R, so that's new
         12    information that we are using as part of the inspection.
         13              The thermo-lag, a lot of plants changed
         14    dramatically their safe shutdown methods as part of their
         15    thermo-lag resolution.  They did not submit those to the
         16    Staff.  The Staff originally approved or reviewed the
         17    initial safe shutdown methodology.  All the thermo-lag
         18    plants had changed their safe shutdown method.  The Staff
         19    doesn't know what that is, so the inspections are going to
         20    look at that.  So that's one of the things, how they
         21    resolved their thermo-lag issue detail.
         22              We had generic answers to questions where they
         23    said, well, we're going to upgrade some barriers, we are
         24    going to change our safe shutdown method in some areas, we
         25    are going to replace barriers, we are going to reroute
                                                                      40
          1    circuits, but they didn't say necessarily in this room we
          2    are going to do this to address charging pumps or something
          3    like that, we don't have that level of detail in their
          4    responses to the REIs we sent out.  So the FPFIs will go
          5    into more detail.
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, now, you know, I think we
          7    have issued one confirmatory order to one licensee because
          8    of the thermo-lag.
          9              MR. CONNELL:  That's right.
         10              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Is this then to play into the
         11    thermo-lag resolution and what other plants might have
         12    confirmatory orders?  Or I mean what --
         13              MR. CONNELL:  No, there's no direct tie between
         14    the FPFI and the thermo-lag corrective action plans.  The
         15    confirmatory orders were primarily schedule-driven to ensure
         16    that the licensees -- we have had some slippages with the
         17    schedules.  Licensees have sent a completion date of such
         18    and such a time and it ends up slipping.  So the
         19    confirmatory, you always kind of like to tighten that up a
         20    little bit to eliminate some of the slippage.
         21              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  Maybe we could go to the
         22    next slide because I think that gets to my question about
         23    what is it that we do not know?  You know, you have these
         24    observed weaknesses.
         25              MR. CONNELL:  Right.
                                                                      41
          1              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And except for the IPEEE
          2    process, can't all of these be viewed as Appendix R
          3    implementation issues?
          4              MR. CONNELL:  Well, actually only two of them are
          5    specific to Appendix R.  That's the safe shutdown capability
          6    and emergency lighting.  The other items are part of the
          7    licensee's fire protection program that is required by 50.48
          8    to meet General Design Criterion 3.  So they are not
          9    specifically Appendix R.  But it is part of their overall
         10    fire protection program and at one time the Staff reviewed
         11    and approved those.  Licensees that have the standard
         12    license condition can make changes to those programs without
         13    Staff approval.  So these things have changed over time. 
         14    The way they deal with compensatory measures has changed,
         15    and for a lot of plants their QA audits have changed. 
         16    Compliance with industry codes and standards has changed. 
         17    Codes and standards have changed from when the plants were
         18    licensed.
         19              So a lot of these things the licensees have
         20    modified from what the Staff originally looked at 10 or 15
         21    years ago, maybe.
         22              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  If an observed strength was the
         23    technical competency of the fire protection staff, why are
         24    all these issues still here as weaknesses?
         25              MR. CONNELL:  Well, I think it's a resource issue. 
                                                                      42
          1    I think the Staff knows what the requirements are.  I think
          2    the resources that have been applied for fire protection has
          3    kind of waned at some licensees' facilities, and that's not
          4    a criticism of the technical staff, it's working on it, but
          5    they're not getting the appropriate management support to
          6    implement their fire protection program.  We don't hold them
          7    responsible for that.
          8              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  So again, it's the issue
          9    that if we're not looking --
         10              MR. CONNELL:  If we're not looking, they're not
         11    looking.
         12              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
         13              MR. CALLAN:  Well, of course, the nuclear insurers
         14    also look at this and, in fact, in many fire protection
         15    areas are a bigger prime mover than the NRC is.  Isn't that
         16    right?  So I guess it's more of a question to Ed.
         17              MR. CONNELL:  It depends.  Of course, from a
         18    property protection standpoint, that's true, but the nuclear
         19    insurers do not address safe shutdown.
         20              MR. CALLAN:  No, they don't, no.  But we are
         21    talking about fire protection broadly, and we need to be
         22    careful because the nuclear insurers hold licensees' feet to
         23    the fire collectively almost more than we do in many areas.
         24              MR. CONNELL:  But the way the insurers do it is if
         25    a licensee elects not to make a modification, they will
                                                                      43
          1    increase their rates.
          2              MR. CALLAN:  So they just say okay, if you don't
          3    like this change, we are going to increase your insurance
          4    premiums.
          5              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  So then it's a tradeoff between
          6    what it costs to change versus the --
          7              MR. CONNELL:  That's right.  Whereas, of course,
          8    our perspective is very different.
          9              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
         10              MR. CONNELL:  The next slide is on Research, and
         11    Mark is going to address that.
         12              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Can I just ask a
         13    question?
         14              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Please.
         15              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  What do insurers look
         16    at?  I mean if they don't look at safe shutdown, yet they
         17    are smart enough to say if you don't make this change, we
         18    are going to increase your rates?
         19              MR. CONNELL:  Property protection.  They look at
         20    property protection, continuity of operations.  They are
         21    covering themselves for how much they are going to be liable
         22    for.  If you had a turbine building fire, it may not impact
         23    safe shutdown capability, but it certainly is going to
         24    represent a loss to the insurance company.
         25              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  And so they have a
                                                                      44
          1    prescriptive set of --
          2              MR. CONNELL:  Yes, very prescriptive.
          3              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  -- requirements that
          4    they will put on the balance of plant?
          5              MR. CONNELL:  Right.  It's a schedule that they
          6    look at.  They look at the suppression and detection.  If
          7    licensees have suppression and detection for these
          8    particular hazards, they give them a certain rate.  If they
          9    don't have the protection, the rate goes up.
         10              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  And if the insurers
         11    maintain a prescriptive set of requirements and we some day
         12    get to a performance-based rule, how will those two things
         13    mesh?  I mean --
         14              MR. CONNELL:  The licensee is going to have to
         15    address that, the licensees are going to have to address
         16    that.
         17              I just would note that the --
         18              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, but let me just make sure
         19    that you are saying that even though the insurers look at
         20    many things, particularly in the balance of plant, that some
         21    of the things that are the most sensitive to us from a
         22    safety significance perspective, they don't necessarily look
         23    at?
         24              MR. CONNELL:  They do not address.
         25              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
                                                                      45
          1              MR. WEST:  I think they are relying on the NRC to
          2    take care of that, so it works both ways.
          3              MR. CONNELL:  And I just would note that the
          4    chairman of the technical committee that is working on the
          5    standard does do the fire protection inspections for the
          6    insurance industry.  So they are involved in the development
          7    of the performance-based standard.
          8              May we have the next slide, please.
          9              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  There are two elements to the
         10    work that's been underway in the Office of Research with
         11    respect to fire.  The first is activities in Research that
         12    have been directly supporting the rulemaking when the
         13    rulemaking was in Research.  Basically that work is pretty
         14    much wrapped up now, and I'm not going to talk much about
         15    that.
         16              What is happening now, though, is more in the
         17    traditional sense of Research, which is we are trying to
         18    extend our state of knowledge, if you will, on fire risk
         19    analysis and try to improve the underlying technical basis
         20    for our fire risk analysis.
         21              In general we think that this is needed to support
         22    the increased use of fire PRA throughout the regulatory
         23    process, not just focused on fire protection rulemaking or
         24    anything, but it could be in the context of a proposed Reg
         25    Guide 1.174 as well where fire risk has to be considered in
                                                                      46
          1    licensing basis changes.
          2              Basically we are at the point now where we have
          3    been going through and trying to identify potential --
          4              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I don't mind if whoever that is
          5    turns off their alarm.  It's disturbing to the Commission.
          6              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  We are at the point now where we
          7    are trying to review previous work in Research and in other
          8    areas, looking at the IPEEE reviews to identify -- and other
          9    areas to identify potential Research issues.  We have a list
         10    that's a very broad list of 42 items.  It includes, I think,
         11    the 12 that we had talked about earlier.  And much broader
         12    than that.  I'm just trying to say let's find out all the
         13    issues we can possibly identify and then try and screen down
         14    to say which do we think are the most significant, which are
         15    the ones that are the most amenable to Research, which are
         16    the ones that are the most cost-effective, that sort of
         17    thing.
         18              And we have some examples here of issues that are
         19    in that list of 42.  We have talked about hot shorts, the
         20    fire-induced circuit failures before.  Treatment of operator
         21    performance during fires.  Reliability of fire protection
         22    systems, that sort of thing.  So we have a long list.  We
         23    are going to be working over the next month or two to talk
         24    to -- to try to settle down and come up with an initial list
         25    to begin working on this fiscal year.
                                                                      47
          1              I should note that the Electric Power Research
          2    Institute is also beginning or has a fire research program. 
          3    The Staff is meeting with them next month to sort out what
          4    they are up to and give them an idea what we are doing.
          5              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Commissioner Diaz.
          6              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  Now, of course, you have been
          7    working for many years studying fires and establishing bases
          8    to deal with them.  Is there a comprehensive document that
          9    summarizes the efforts that Research has made in this area
         10    that could be used as a starting point, a launch to your new
         11    efforts?  Because I think it is important that efforts be
         12    closed, and if there are new efforts needed, they should be
         13    supported by state of the art, and I wonder if such a
         14    document exists?
         15              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  The document that we are putting
         16    together -- we have a document we are preparing that will
         17    describe these 42 issues, and the technical basis for them,
         18    and the technical issues and that sort of thing.  And I am
         19    trying to recall if it --
         20              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  This is what you want to do. 
         21    I want to say can you summarize, or has it been summarized
         22    at a point that we can say yes, you need to look at these 42
         23    because you never looked at them before?  You close so many
         24    each -- what is, you know, all the years you have been
         25    working on it, what is the comprehensive report that you can
                                                                      48
          1    present and say this is the state of the art from Research's
          2    perspective?
          3              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  What I was getting to is I can't
          4    quite recall if the document we are preparing now has that
          5    sort of summary or not.
          6              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  No, I think he's asking a
          7    separate question.  The issue is, clearly there's been
          8    thinking and analysis and/or research on fire protection
          9    issues over a number of years.  Question:  Does there exist
         10    a compendium of what's come out of that research so that we
         11    know what the state of the art is or was as of a certain
         12    point?  And then can we look at and have you look at these
         13    42 potential additional issues relative to what we already
         14    know?  I mean that's kind of the similar question that's
         15    behind, you know -- but it's different, I understand now,
         16    the fire protection functional inspections.  But it's a
         17    similar kind of thing.  What is it that you don't know and
         18    how does that play off of what you do know?  And is there a
         19    place where what you do know has been brought together and
         20    summarized and the significance of it?
         21              MR. CONNELL:  Let me get a crack at it.  There is
         22    a NUREG that combines all of the research.  Most of this
         23    fire research post-Browns Ferry was done by Sandia.  And
         24    Sandia, I think it's four or five years old, published a
         25    NUREG that -- all the research they had done over 10 or 12
                                                                      49
          1    years in one place.  So we have all of that in one place.
          2              We also have the NUREG 50.88, the fire risk
          3    scoping study issues that address a lot of the things, the
          4    hot shorts, that kind of stuff.  But they said there is
          5    needed more information to really address the smoke.  They
          6    are starting to do some more work on smoke; don't have a lot
          7    of information on smoke right now.  So there's -- we have a
          8    lot of that that is done, but we have identified in 50.88
          9    and some other documents stuff that we don't know from a
         10    research perspective.
         11              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  My point is that when you are
         12    going to launch a new initiative, you should precisely know
         13    and document where you are starting from.  I think that is a
         14    basic fundamental question.
         15              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Go ahead, Commissioner.
         16              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  I would be interested in
         17    what's in Draft NUREG 1521 because Mr. Dey, in his differing
         18    professional opinion or view, says that he believes Draft
         19    NUREG 1521 reports on a technical review of risk-informed
         20    performance-based methods for fire protection analyses that
         21    have become available since NRC issued its fire protection
         22    regs and goes on to say that this draft NUREG concludes the
         23    currently available risk-informed performance-based methods
         24    can be applied now, and then he says the reason this NUREG
         25    hasn't gotten out is violent disagreement with NRR, I guess,
                                                                      50
          1    on the need to change the current regulatory structure and
          2    the conclusions of the study, et cetera, et cetera.
          3              So is this document a document that would purport
          4    to be what Commissioner Diaz was working for, the basis
          5    where we are at the moment?
          6              MR. CONNELL:  No, I don't -- on the major obstacle
          7    that's listed in there is the persons having a lot of
          8    comments on it.
          9              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  But that document does
         10    not summarize the state of research as it is today?
         11              MR. CONNELL:  No, it does not.
         12              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Okay.  So it makes an
         13    argument for why we should go ahead with essentially option
         14    1 now, an argument that you all disagree with?
         15              MR. CONNELL:  For -- not just based on what is in
         16    the NUREG.  Option 2 includes a lot of things outside of the
         17    research area.
         18              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Right.
         19              MR. CONNELL:  I mean having a -- we could develop
         20    option 1.  If nobody adopted it, if we made it voluntary and
         21    nobody adopted it, what have we accomplished?  Nothing.  If
         22    we made it mandatory and it doesn't pass the backfit test,
         23    what have we accomplished?  Nothing.
         24              This option 2, I think, is our best shot at
         25    getting something that can be done, you don't have to worry
                                                                      51
          1    about the backfit, and in some plants they are never going
          2    to adopt it.  They don't care.  Some plants may.  So if we
          3    look at reality, option 1 to us, it looks cleaner.
          4              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  You know, we talk about
          5    backfits and compliance backfits, and I'm going to make a
          6    comment at the end about some of that, but I guess I'm
          7    confused.  I'm just going to leave you with kind of a
          8    general question, which is that if you really have a
          9    risk-informed and/or performance-based approach, why can
         10    such an approach not be developed and implemented in a way
         11    where, by definition, it meets a backfit test?  Because
         12    that, to me, is the intent of a true risk-informed approach. 
         13    Because we get into these discussions all the time about
         14    whether something meets the backfit smell test, and we have
         15    it, and it's a good regulation to have.  But it seems to me
         16    that there has to be a marriage between that and what you
         17    would call a risk-informed approach.
         18              But why don't we finish the discussion here.
         19              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.  Could I have the next slide,
         20    please.
         21              Okay, we have pretty much covered all of these in
         22    our discussion, so I'm really not going to go into a whole
         23    lot of detail.  I just wanted to note that there is a lot of
         24    flexibility today with the current regulations and guidance.
         25              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I guess I want to get back to
                                                                      52
          1    just asking a question because this -- if you look at the
          2    five plants that you talked about that either have fire as
          3    an initiator that exceeds or approaches that for others,
          4    just those five, what do we know or what are we doing about
          5    our understanding of their understanding of the safety
          6    implications of their fire protection programs, particularly
          7    vis-a-vis any exemptions that may exist, but more generally?
          8              MR. CONNELL:  Well, the IPEEE was supposed to
          9    assess the as-built plant, so in theory the exemption should
         10    be addressed in the IPEEE.  Now a lot of licensees did not
         11    specifically address exemptions in their submittal, and we
         12    have asked the questions about that, especially when we have
         13    looked at -- we have all the exemptions and we look at some
         14    that are pretty easy to dismiss without any detailed
         15    evaluation.  Things that we have had questions about
         16    specific exemptions, we have asked them how did you assess
         17    this particular exemption in your submittal.  Those are the
         18    kinds of questions that we asked to try to resolve those.
         19              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  But there was no systematic
         20    folding in of that into the IPEEE evaluation?
         21              MR. CONNELL:  Well, except that they are supposed
         22    to assess their plant as it exists, so that includes
         23    whatever exemptions they may have.  It's not really to
         24    assess the plant's compliance with Appendix R.
         25              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  It's not trying to assess it,
                                                                      53
          1    but the issue is if you do an IPEEE assessment, which is
          2    meant to get at the risk, and you find out that for a small
          3    limited universe of plants, that risk is higher than what
          4    you might have anticipated, and any IPEEE is going to be
          5    done relative to the plant as it exists, and the exemptions
          6    in that case relate to them how they have implemented a fire
          7    protection program.
          8              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.
          9              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And the issue is what are the
         10    implications of that relative to the risk profile of that
         11    plant?  It's not a compliance issue.
         12              MR. CONNELL:  Right.
         13              It's where the two things come together because
         14    what you're interested in is the risk significance.
         15              So is your question have they specifically
         16    assessed the delta in risk relating to a particular
         17    exemption?
         18              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  The safety implications of
         19    their fire protection program.
         20              MR. CONNELL:  The only plant that has done that is
         21    Quad Cities.  Most plants do not specifically address we
         22    have this particular exemption that results in this delta.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I understand, but you mentioned
         24    five plants.
         25              MR. CONNELL:  Right.
                                                                      54
          1              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Where the IPEEEs show that
          2    their core damage frequency from fire approaches or exceeds
          3    that from any other initiating event.  What are you doing
          4    relative to those plants?  That's all I'm asking.
          5              MR. CONNELL:  And we're following up with those
          6    plants.
          7              MR. CUNNINGHAM:  The first piece is within the
          8    context of Generic Letter 88-20, one of the objectives is
          9    for them to consider improvements to the plant, and as we
         10    have said, in half of the cases or so, they voluntarily go
         11    back and make changes to their plant.  Whether they relate
         12    to exemptions or something else.
         13              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I'm only asking about the five
         14    plants.  I'm trying to focus on those where --
         15              MR. CONNELL:  When they report a high number, that
         16    increases our attention, and those plants --
         17              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  What is the attention?  What do
         18    you mean specifically?
         19              MR. CONNELL:  Well, what we do is we ask them --
         20    if we get a -- if we see something in the submittal that
         21    doesn't look right, in other words, an assumption that
         22    doesn't look valid or they have done something that's
         23    different from everybody else, we are saying why is this
         24    plant getting a different number?
         25              A good example would be Limerick and Susquehanna. 
                                                                      55
          1    Limerick reported a 10 to the minus 6 number; Susquehanna
          2    reported a 10 to the minus 9 number.  They are basically the
          3    same plant, same NSSS, built about the same time, in the
          4    same state, they just happen to be operated by two separate
          5    utilities.  Why is there three orders of magnitude
          6    difference?  It's the method of the analysis that was used.
          7              So you've got to take the numbers with a grain of
          8    salt.  The plants basically are the same, they have similar
          9    safe shutdown methodologies.  If the methods were sound,
         10    they would give you relatively similar results.  Three
         11    orders of magnitude difference shows you that the methods
         12    are not as -- for getting a core damage frequency are not as
         13    sound as we would like.
         14              MR. CALLAN:  Now, Chairman, I think the question
         15    you are asking is have we shifted gears, so to speak, like
         16    we did with Quad Cities for the other handful of plants that
         17    rose to that level and done any kind of systematic
         18    assessment of their exemptions?  And I think the answer is
         19    no, we haven't.
         20              MR. CONNELL:  No, we have not.
         21              MR. CALLAN:  Yes.
         22              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Thank you.
         23              MR. CONNELL:  Okay, next slide, please.
         24              These are basically stuff we've done.  So next
         25    slide.
                                                                      56
          1              Some additional considerations.  We'll skip over
          2    that, except for one, the International Fire Protection
          3    Performance-Based Effort.  I just wanted to note that the --
          4    there has been a lot of ideas floated that we ought to do
          5    this.  The fact is where this has been done in other
          6    countries, it's primarily limited to new construction.  That
          7    is not our situation.  It's only been adopted in about five
          8    or 10 percent of the new construction in the other
          9    countries.  It's primarily based on occupant egress, which
         10    is not really relevant to our interest.  Most of them are
         11    just an alternative to a prescriptive building code, so even
         12    in countries that have this, 90 or 95 percent of the
         13    building owners that supposedly benefit from this elect to
         14    use the prescriptive code, and I would expect if we adopted
         15    a voluntary performance-based, risk-informed code, 99 to 100
         16    percent of our plants would elect to do what they have.
         17              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  Following now that I got
         18    started with research in the same vein, is there something
         19    that the Staff has or where they summarize all of these fire
         20    protection issues, including the IPEEE, the fire protection
         21    action plans, fire protection functional inspections?  Is
         22    there something -- and I'm not a glutton for paper.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Yes, he is.
         24              [Laughter.]
         25              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  But is there a summary of
                                                                      57
          1    these issues that the Commission could look at and become
          2    better informed about what is -- because you talk about
          3    resolution of issues, and I haven't seen evidence this has
          4    been resolved in this matter.  And I certainly hope that all
          5    the --
          6              MR. CONNELL:  The research issues -- I should let
          7    Mark address this.  Of course, it's still being worked.  Are
          8    there other issues that you were interested in?
          9              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  No, at the very top of your
         10    previous page 13 it says resolutions of outstanding fire
         11    protection issues.
         12              MR. CONNELL:  Those were the 12 issues that were
         13    in 97-127.
         14              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  Right.  But now I am looking
         15    at that from a complete perspective.  There's a summary of
         16    all of these issues, both from the IPEEE, the fire
         17    protection technical -- you know, the inspections, something
         18    that summarizes it in a few pages, what are the key issues,
         19    the ones that we will have to deal with.  You can keep the
         20    ones that are --
         21              MR. CONNELL:  I don't think we have anything like
         22    that right now, I don't think so.
         23              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  Well, it might be a good idea,
         24    because I am getting confused.
         25              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Right, I'm confused, too.  And,
                                                                      58
          1    for instance, you know, there is this issue of having some
          2    voluntary standard.  You know, to inform my thinking I want
          3    to know if you have done IPEEE, you do the fire protection
          4    functional inspections.  Do we have any fallout between
          5    those plants that are pre-Appendix R and those that are
          6    post-Appendix R?
          7              MR. CONNELL:  The IPEEE results don't show a
          8    correlation between core damage frequency and vintage.
          9              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  But all I'm really trying to
         10    say, it relates to the Commissioner's point, that in terms
         11    of informed decision-making, it is helpful if relative to
         12    what you're asking us to act on, consider, that there is
         13    some compendium of what's come out of all these various
         14    initiatives to date; fire protection functional inspections,
         15    IPEEE relative to the issues you are asking us to address. 
         16    Because that's necessary for informed decision-making.
         17              Yes, Commissioner?
         18              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  I would just say that that's
         19    perfect, and if I might jump back to research, the Chairman
         20    used the words up to date.  I understand you have something
         21    that is four or five years old.  The point is somebody that
         22    is an expert should look at all of the information and bring
         23    it up to date and bring it to the Commission for
         24    consideration.
         25              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.
                                                                      59
          1              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
          2              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.  Now we get to the options. 
          3    Next slide, Lisa.
          4              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  You see, the reason I ask about
          5    the issue of the post versus the pre-Appendix R plants is
          6    that some of what we have been talking about revolves around
          7    Appendix R, you know, that you have a prescriptive appendix
          8    versus things, whether they are voluntary or not, that are
          9    more performance-based or more risk-informed, and so we need
         10    to know, and that's regulatory effectiveness is, is the
         11    regulation or this part of it accomplishing what we expect,
         12    et cetera, et cetera.  I mean particularly if you are
         13    talking about moving away from it or offering an additional
         14    menu of choices relative to whatever exists.
         15              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  If I may.  I'm sorry, but
         16    there was something in here that caught my attention.  It's
         17    the bottom of page 13, it says application for
         18    performance-based/risk-informed method.  I've seen in the
         19    last three weeks that we are changing, and probably it might
         20    be a healthy change, the way we bring together or separate
         21    in a risk-informed performance-based.  I think the Staff
         22    should be very, very, very aware that when you put them
         23    together, risk-informed/performance-based, you mean
         24    something different than when you say risk-informed and
         25    performance-based, or risk-informed or performance-based or
                                                                      60
          1    risk-informed and/or performance-based.  And that separation
          2    is not trivial.  It actually defines the fact that there are
          3    many cases in which risks are not available, nor will they
          4    be performance-based would be applicable.
          5              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Or vice versa.
          6              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  Or vice versa.
          7              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Or both.
          8              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  And so I would like to
          9    sensitive, Mr. Callan, please, to make sure when these
         10    things are written that people separate them so that the
         11    Commission has the benefits of the Staff thinking ahead of
         12    them.
         13              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Right.  And if you are bringing
         14    forward options, the options should make clear whether you
         15    are talking ones that are risk-informed options but not
         16    performance-based, performance-based but not risk-informed,
         17    or if you somehow believe they are both.
         18              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  Does the entire Commission --
         19    CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I think everybody agrees with that.  We
         20    just took a vote.
         21              No, we didn't vote.
         22              [Laughter.]
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  It's consensus.
         24              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  Well, I like consensus.
         25              MS. CYR:  You were just confirming your
                                                                      61
          1    understanding.
          2              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  That's what I was looking at,
          3    the heads nodding.
          4              MR. CONNELL:  Okay, I'd like to briefly go over
          5    the three options in the Staff paper.
          6              Option 1 is continue the performance-based and/or
          7    risk-informed effort to replace the existing fire protection
          8    requirements.  The Staff would develop a comprehensive reg
          9    guide that provides for a prescriptive and a
         10    performance-based and/or risk-informed alternatives in
         11    compliance with the new rule.  This would be one rule that
         12    would apply to everybody.  The backfit Appendix R would be
         13    eliminated.  The existing exemptions from Appendix R would
         14    be eliminated.  Everybody would have to re-baseline their
         15    fire protection program, the Staff would have to review --
         16    re-review their fire protection program.
         17              Option 2 is defer the performance-based,
         18    risk-informed rulemaking.  We would be working with industry
         19    to develop the consensus standard.  In parallel to that, the
         20    Staff would like to develop a comprehensive regulatory guide
         21    that captures all the existing fire protection guidance and
         22    adds to guidance wherever we think it is necessary.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  So this would be concurrent?
         24              MR. CONNELL:  Concurrently, yes, ma'am.
         25              Option 3 is basically maintain the status quo, and
                                                                      62
          1    the note on the bottom there addresses the combustible
          2    penetration seal issue.
          3              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  How soon in fact on the
          4    combustible penetration seal will the Commission see this
          5    rule change?
          6              MR. CONNELL:  Well, it depends which option is
          7    selected.  If Option 1 is selected, there is no need to
          8    change the penetration seal issue since we are eliminating
          9    Appendix R.
         10              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.  But if one of the
         11    others?
         12              MR. CONNELL:  It would be quick.  We could give
         13    you a schedule.  It would be short term.
         14              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Commissioner Dicus?
         15              COMMISSIONER DICUS:  Given this vulnerability that
         16    you have noticed, if we were to defer rulemaking, are there
         17    other vulnerabilities that have to be addressed, or are we
         18    --
         19              MR. CONNELL:  We are not aware of any other
         20    vulnerabilities with the existing rule that need to be
         21    changed, with the exception of this one.
         22              Okay, for each option I have pros and cons, and
         23    then I will say there is not consensus between everybody
         24    about what's a pro and what's a con.  This is the Staff's
         25    categorization of the issues.  Industry may not agree, and I
                                                                      63
          1    think some of the public interest groups may not agree with
          2    some of -- the way I have categorized these, just to let you
          3    know.
          4              Option 1, of course, would eliminate the 850
          5    exemptions.  It would eliminate the need for most future
          6    exemptions.  However, 50.12 would still be there, so
          7    licensees could still request an exemption, although they
          8    may not need to quite as often.  It would provide a single
          9    uniform consistent licensing basis for all the plants, and
         10    the schedule is an 18-month schedule, and that's in the
         11    Commission paper.
         12              The cons, the fire risk assessment method
         13    limitations and uncertainties.  We don't have really good
         14    prior models, we don't have good data for those fire models. 
         15    There's a lot of uncertainties with the risk assessment
         16    methods, as I explained with the different results we are
         17    getting from IPEEEs for different plants, all that kind of
         18    stuff.
         19              Inspectability and enforceability.  If we have new
         20    requirements, we are going to have to bring both the
         21    licensees and the Staff up to speed on inspection and
         22    enforcing these new requirements.
         23              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  So one would have to do a
         24    re-baseline inspection of all plants?
         25              MR. CONNELL:  Yes.  There would be a learning
                                                                      64
          1    curve, both for industry and ourselves in implementing these
          2    new requirements.  There would be a significant resource
          3    commitment.  Industry does not support this option.  It does
          4    preempt the NFPA effort, and based on the feedback we got
          5    from OGC, it would be a backfit.
          6              Option 2, the pros of this.  The Staff considers
          7    this to be consistent with DSI-13.  We do have fairly broad
          8    support for this, and we could -- we have been assured of
          9    much involvement.  The comprehensive reg guide would be
         10    developed in parallel.  We think this would be useful.
         11              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  How long would it take?
         12              MR. CONNELL:  Twelve months, ma'am, once the
         13    Commission directs us to pursue this, 12 months.
         14              It is less resource-intensive, and since the
         15    industry standard would be an alternative that licensees
         16    could choose, it would not be a backfit.
         17              Option 2 does maintain the existing exemptions and
         18    the existing exemption process.  It does provide a third
         19    licensing basis.  We could have the pre-Appendix -- the
         20    post-Appendix R plants, the Appendix R plants, and now the
         21    NFPA standard plants, and that might cause some people some
         22    uncomfort.  Of course, we are not controlling this schedule. 
         23    It is the NFPA's document, so they may or may not meet that
         24    date.  Of course, with new requirements, we would have the
         25    same inspectability and enforceability and learning curve.
                                                                      65
          1              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  How does this option -- I mean
          2    how do you fix inspectability and enforceability?
          3              MR. CONNELL:  Time.
          4              MR. CALLAN:  Chairman, if I -- I think Edward is
          5    right here.  The Staff isn't monolithic on how these are
          6    pros and cons.  I would almost list inspectability and
          7    enforceability as a pro under Option 1 for the very reason
          8    that option -- the pros indicate that you have a single
          9    uniform consistent licensing basis, essentially no
         10    exemptions, so you have that simplicity there.  So it would
         11    enhance its inspectability and enforceability.
         12              Option 2, you sort of maintain the status quo in
         13    terms of complexity.
         14              MR. CONNELL:  The problem I have with that is I
         15    think it would be difficult for our inspectors to start
         16    looking at fire models and the input data into fire models. 
         17    They haven't had to do that before.  They are not trained to
         18    do that.  So that's going to be a problem.
         19              Looking at risk deltas, all the inputs that go
         20    into those things, that's all going to be -- if we went that
         21    way, that would all be input into the rule, and our people
         22    have not had a lot of experience with that and neither have
         23    the licensees.  So that's why I think inspectability and
         24    enforceability is going to be a problem area.  It can be
         25    done, but it's a concern.
                                                                      66
          1              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  And doesn't that get you back
          2    to Commissioner McGaffigan's comment on what he says about
          3    inspecting against guidance versus -- I mean enforcing
          4    against guidance as opposed to enforcing against a rule?
          5              MR. CONNELL:  Well, if we wrote a rule that had
          6    some sort of core damage frequency as the requirement, how
          7    do you inspect against that?  It's everything that the
          8    licensee does to get to that number, and all the input that
          9    goes into that.  What kind of cable are they having, what's
         10    the fragility data on that particular cable.  That's not
         11    stuff we have had to look at before.  Inspectors had to look
         12    at does the area have a --
         13              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  I'm on the enforceability, not
         14    the inspectability.
         15              MR. CONNELL:  Okay.  It's the same-- but one leads
         16    to the other.
         17              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Okay.
         18              MR. CONNELL:  Option 3.  Next slide, Lisa.
         19              This basically maintains the status quo.  The NFPA
         20    standard could be used, and actually industry would prefer
         21    that that first bullet be incorporated into Option 2.  They
         22    would rather we didn't adopt the NFPA standard as an
         23    alternative to the rule.  They would prefer that it be used
         24    as say a basis for 50.59 evaluations, Generic Letter 86-10
         25    evaluations or as a basis for exemptions and deviations.
                                                                      67
          1              And we'll go to the last slide.
          2              Okay, as we discussed today, the Staff recommends
          3    development of a performance-based risk-informed rule be
          4    deferred, and that the proposal described in Option 2 be
          5    approved and we discussed the reasons for the Staff
          6    recommendation.
          7              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, my only comment or
          8    question -- I mean again, you talk about the adequacy of the
          9    current regulatory framework, and the low number of new
         10    exemption requests, but sticking with the first bullet, you
         11    know, I think if you go back to the issues that Commissioner
         12    Diaz and I raised, the issue is -- you are talking about
         13    having a new research program with 42 -- you know, potential
         14    issues, no compendium of where things are today, a
         15    systematic assessment of Appendix R versus non-Appendix R
         16    plants, a systematic follow-up even for the five in terms of
         17    the safety significance of the existing fire protection
         18    program.  And so in the absence of that information, the
         19    issue is what are we to work off of and kind of have a basis
         20    for any of the options?
         21              I mean I'm not looking at one versus the other
         22    versus the other, because the Commission will decide, but I
         23    just challenge you particularly vis-a-vis your first bullet
         24    that we don't have a sense of what the adequacy is, given
         25    that there is no systematic statement about exactly where
                                                                      68
          1    things are today, both in terms of state of the art from a
          2    research and a technical issue point of view, you know, a
          3    systematic statement in terms of how the IPEEE programs,
          4    what they say about the adequacy of existing programs, what
          5    have come out of the fire protection functional inspections,
          6    et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
          7              So -- and I'm not sure about the bases of the --
          8    go ahead.
          9              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  And I think that it might be
         10    very well that you are convinced of the adequacy.  We just
         11    want to have the appropriate documentation that supports
         12    that statement, and so I do think we are saying that you
         13    don't know, as we don't know.
         14              MR. CONNELL:  I understand.  I understand.  And
         15    it's not in one place.  I mean I could go over licensee
         16    event reports, I could go over our enforcement history, I
         17    can go over industry's position, I can cover the IPEEE
         18    results, but it's not in one place.
         19              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  I understand.
         20              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Yes, Commissioner?
         21              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  I have a couple
         22    questions.  In passing, you said industry's view on Option 3
         23    is that it's really a variation on Option 2, that rather
         24    than adopt ultimately in the year 2001 by rule this standard
         25    that may come out of the standards-setting body, that they
                                                                      69
          1    would suggest we simply use it as a device for 50.59 and
          2    Generic Letter 86-10 evaluations.
          3              Does the Staff have an opinion on that?  That's
          4    not what you are proposing.
          5              MR. CONNELL:  Well, obviously our opinion is that
          6    that's not what we would prefer.  We would prefer that
          7    industry standard, if we find it acceptable, be adopted as
          8    an alternative.  We would prefer that plants fall in one of
          9    the bins.  If they want to adopt the industry standard, they
         10    adopt it in total, not in piece.  I think industry would
         11    prefer that while we'd like to use our existing licensing
         12    basis for this area, we'd like to take this chapter or
         13    paragraph out of the NFPA standard and use it for this
         14    issue, and the Staff is very uncomfortable with doing that.
         15              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Okay.  So you do not
         16    recommend that option?
         17              MR. CONNELL:  No.  No, that is not an option -- we
         18    recommend Option 2.
         19              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Now let me just try
         20    Option 1 for a second.  As I understand the differing
         21    professional opinion, his is a variation as well, somewhere
         22    between Option 1 and Option 2, in that he would avoid the
         23    backfit issue.  He lays out the history of Appendix J,
         24    Option 2, the performance-based option, which has a long
         25    history, and believes that something of that order can
                                                                      70
          1    happen.  That was a voluntary option, you know, but it was
          2    such a good option, I'm not sure whether we have very many
          3    people left still pursuing the Option A in Appendix J.  But
          4    it's the judgment of Mr. Dey that -- if I'm pronouncing the
          5    name right -- that we are -- that there is a similar
          6    opportunity available at this point in time and, as I say,
          7    he would avoid -- just make such a good deal, people would
          8    voluntarily transition to the new deal as they did in
          9    Appendix J Option --
         10              MR. CONNELL:  Well, I think fire protection is a
         11    lot broader than Appendix J, and I don't believe that -- my
         12    feedback from the practicing fire protection professionals
         13    is they would not adopt a performance-based rule, even if it
         14    would grant them some relief in some areas.
         15              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  But in saying that, are
         16    you also saying -- back to the first part of my question,
         17    that if we don't give them the chance to pick and choose,
         18    the industry version of Option 2, and we say by rulemaking
         19    in the year 2001 you can take this new third option, but you
         20    have to take it in toto, we're not going to let you pick and
         21    choose, that there won't be many takers for that?
         22              MR. CONNELL:  I don't expect the majority are
         23    going to adopt it.  That's reality.  I mean we are going to
         24    give them the alternative, but I don't think a majority are
         25    going to adopt it.
                                                                      71
          1              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  So that gets back to --I
          2    mean what I detect through all this is the Staff and the
          3    industry have sort of peered into the abyss of
          4    risk-informed/performance-based regulation in fire
          5    protection and are jointly stepping back from it.
          6              MR. CONNELL:  That's correct.
          7              COMMISSIONER McGAFFIGAN:  Okay.
          8              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Commissioner Dicus?
          9              Commissioner Diaz?
         10              COMMISSIONER DIAZ:  The only point is that again
         11    does risk-informed/performance-based.  I can generally see
         12    the risk insights are definitely a pro, and I am encouraged
         13    that the industry agrees with that.
         14              CHAIRMAN JACKSON:  Well, I would like to thank the
         15    NRC Staff for briefing the Commission on the subject of the
         16    development of a risk-informed and/or performance-based
         17    regulation for fire protection, and as you can tell from the
         18    questions, actually, the Commission realizes that this is a
         19    complicated task, and we have a lot of history, for better
         20    or for worse, that we are operating off of, and the
         21    Commission has also realized, however, that the current
         22    regulation or implementation of it is confusing, and
         23    requires a high degree of maintenance, whether we are
         24    talking with respect to interpretations, inspections,
         25    exemptions.  It's a high maintenance process, and -- but the
                                                                      72
          1    discussion this morning has been good, and so I do want to
          2    compliment you on that, and I think it's been a robust
          3    discussion.  And the deliberations will help the Commission
          4    in its decision-making, and the Commission has before it the
          5    Staff's paper recommending one of the three options
          6    presented, and we obviously then will further study the
          7    issue, and we will vote on your recommendation.
          8              But let me just say that the Staff should expedite
          9    its handling of any differing views among the Staff, and if
         10    you can provide an assessment in a timely manner to help
         11    inform the Commission's decision-making, I think that would
         12    be very useful.
         13              In addition, I think you need to look carefully at
         14    this issue of having documents summarizing where we are from
         15    the point of view particularly of the decision you are
         16    asking the Commission to make, although we will probably end
         17    up acting on the recommendation in a time frame that's more
         18    expedited than that.
         19              Nonetheless, you owe it to the Commission to bring
         20    this forward because the place to have the data and the
         21    convincing arguments is not at the table, but to have the
         22    Commission have the opportunity to evaluate these things
         23    before we get here, and then we can have informed questions.
         24              I would like to ask OGC to look at this issue of
         25    compliance backfits versus backfits vis-a-vis the backfit
                                                                      73
          1    rule, because there seems to be some element of confusion
          2    that keeps coming up in our discussions.
          3              And then my last comment is that consolidation and
          4    reconciliation of guidance should just be an operational
          5    principle.  It should not be something that requires a
          6    Commission vote, it doesn't make sense to have guidance
          7    documents all over the place and have things that have
          8    apparent conflicts with each other or only the well-schooled
          9    and well-practiced can understand them.
         10              And so if we don't have any further discussion, we
         11    are adjourned.
         12              [Whereupon, at 11:43 a.m., the public meeting was
         13    concluded.]
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