FXUS65 KABQ 051811 AAA AFDABQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 1111 AM MST FRI NOV 5 2004 .UPDATE... BLUE SKIES POKING THROUGH THE CIRRUS OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE EXCEPTION IS ALONG AND SLIGHTLY EAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS WHERE SOME MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING. WILL REDUCE MOSTLY CLOUDY WORDING IN THE ZONES FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND ADD IT TO THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS. IN ADDITION...WILL INCREASE MAX TEMPS FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS WHERE DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND PLENTY OF MIXING ARE ALLOWING TEMPS TO SOAR AND RH VALUES TO DROP. WILL SEND UPDATED ZONES SHORTLY. DPORTER && .PREV DISCUSSION 300 AM MST FRI NOV 5 2004...UPPER RIDGE TO DOMINATE TODAY INTO SATURDAY IN ADVANCE OF UPPER LOW CENTERED ALONG CALIFORNIA COAST. SUSPECT AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS MAY TEMPER WARMING TREND A BIT. BOTH ETA AND GFS BRING A VIGOROUS VORT MAX AROUND THE LOW AND ACROSS WESTERN NM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ETA BONE DRY BELOW MOUNTAIN TOP LEVELS AND GENERATES NO QPF WHILE GFS WETS UP LOWER LEVELS. NOT READY TO ACCEPT THE WETTER SOLUTION EXCEPT TO THINK THAT THERE MAY BE SOME VIRGA/HIGH BASED SHOWERS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. GFS CONTINUES TRACK OF LOW THROUGH FOUR CORNERS REGION MONDAY...EXITING TUESDAY INTO KANSAS. GRIDS APPEAR TO BE BASED ON THE SLOWER GFS AND WILL KEEP THIS TREND. THEREAFTER GFS SHOWING ALOT OF VARIABILITY IN THE POSITION OF THE MOSTLY CUTOFF LOW TO OUR SOUTHWEST...AND THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. IT DOES STILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES LATE WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK...THOUGH NOT QUITE AS IMPRESSIVE AS LAST NIGHT. 18Z DGEX FOLLOWING A SOMEWHAT SIMILAR TREND BUT ISOLATES CUTOFF LOW WELL OFF THE WEST COAST. WILL WAIT TO SEE WHAT THE MODELS DO NEXT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON................ 066/030 064/034 061 48000 GALLUP.................... 068/023 067/030 059 48000 GRANTS.................... 065/022 066/030 061 48000 GLENWOOD.................. 070/030 069/038 067 48000 CHAMA..................... 058/023 057/027 053 48000 LOS ALAMOS................ 059/030 061/031 058 48000 RED RIVER................. 055/020 056/026 054 48000 TAOS...................... 059/020 061/028 059 48000 SANTA FE.................. 060/030 063/031 060 48000 SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 062/031 065/033 063 48000 ESPANOLA.................. 064/027 065/031 065 48000 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 064/039 066/041 064 48000 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 065/032 067/038 065 48000 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 063/038 065/038 063 48000 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 065/039 067/040 065 48000 SOCORRO................... 066/034 071/038 069 48000 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 059/030 060/033 060 48000 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 060/028 064/032 062 48000 CARRIZOZO................. 064/031 068/037 067 48000 RUIDOSO................... 059/029 063/035 062 48000 RATON..................... 066/026 067/030 062 48000 LAS VEGAS................. 068/031 069/035 064 48000 ROY....................... 065/030 069/035 063 48000 CLAYTON................... 070/039 073/040 065 48000 SANTA ROSA................ 066/032 071/037 067 48000 TUCUMCARI................. 070/036 073/041 068 48000 FORT SUMNER............... 067/034 072/040 068 48000 CLOVIS.................... 070/037 073/042 068 48000 PORTALES.................. 071/036 074/042 069 48000 ROSWELL................... 069/036 074/041 071 48000 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$