ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/18/08 0410Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0345Z  GOES-11 0400Z KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...CENTRAL TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...BEST CONVECTION NW AND CENTRAL TX...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BEST ACTIVITY IN TEXAS ON WESTERN EDGE
OF DEEP MOISTURE...SO SEVERE ASPECTS PLAYING OUT MORE THAN PERSISTENT
HVY RAIN.  BUT MONITORING ESPECIALLY AREAS OF NW TEXAS CENTERED ON
YOUNG...ARCHER...WICHITA WHERE A LITTLE MORE ORGANIZATION AND TRAINING
ASPECTS CAN RESULT IN 1-1.5" IN A 2 TO 5 HR TIME PERIOD.  ALL THIS WILL
SPREAD INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WILL HAVE TO BE CONCERNED FOR ENOUGH
ACCULMULATION THERE FOR HEIGHTEN ISOLATED FF THREAT.  BETTER ORGANIZATION
A LITTLE FURTHER WEST AND EVEN FURTHER ON THE WESTERN FRINGES OF DEEP
MOISTURE ACROSS CENTRAL TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS CENTERED VAL VERDE TO NOLAN
COUNTY.  THIS AREA HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY THE PAST 2HRS AND CAN ORGANIZE
FURTHER INTO SOME TRAINING BURSTS ACROSS ONE OR TWO THE COUNTIES IN THIS
AREA AS ORIENTATION OF THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ALONG UPPER FLOW THAT CAN
ALLOW ONE OR CELLS TO TRAINING OVER MULTIPLE COUNTIES THE NEXT FEW HRS.
UPPER LOW AND CLOSENESS TO JET HELPING DESTABILZE AREA AND EVEN THOUGH
MOISTURE MUCH BETTER TO THE EAST...INSTABILITY CAN OVERCOME SOME OF THE
LACK OF MOISTURE TO ALLOW FOR ISOLATED FF THREAT IN A NARROW AREA FROM
VAL VERDE TO NOLAN AND REAGAN TO NOLAN COUNTY.    WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3410 9904 3286 9611 3032 9873 3059 10105 3096 10070
.
NNNN