000
FLUS44 KLUB 072225
HWOLUB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
510 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2005

TXZ021>044-082210-
BAILEY-BRISCOE-CASTRO-CHILDRESS-COCHRAN-COTTLE-CROSBY-DICKENS-FLOYD-
GARZA-HALE-HALL-HOCKLEY-KENT-KING-LAMB-LUBBOCK-LYNN-MOTLEY-PARMER-
STONEWALL-SWISHER-TERRY-YOAKUM-
506 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...

CONVECTIVE

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS 
THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND 
EAST OF A LINE FROM SILVERTON TO SLATON TO ODONNELL. 

LATE THIS AFTERNOON...A SHARP DRYLINE WAS LOCATED NEAR THE EDGE OF 
THE CAPROCK WITH STRONG SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OCCURRING IN 
THIS VICINITY. MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WAS 
ENTERING SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND BEGINNING TO TRANSLATE INTO THE PERMIAN 
BASIN. SO FAR TODAY...THUNDERSTORM FORMATION HAS BEEN REPRESSED DUE 
TO ABUNDANT HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER LIMITING AFTERNOON HEATING. 
HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES...SUFFICIENT 
LIFT IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 
DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRYLINE.   
 
GIVEN MODERATE WIND SHEAR...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM MAY QUICKLY 
DEVELOP INTO SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE 
MAIN THREAT. IN ADDITION...A FEW TORNADOES MAY OCCUR AS LOW LEVEL 
WINDS BACK AND STRENGTHEN DURING THE EVENING. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS 
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA AND INTERACTS WITH 
THE DRYLINE. 

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING. 

$$