secular change we know nothing at all. We can, however, perceive that the snowfall of winter results from water that was evaporated long before from tropical and equatorial regions, and that any excess of the glaciers of the Antarctic Continent over those of the Arctic must be due largely to the more abundant supply brought by moist ocean winds. When the African Continent was 10,000 feet above ocean level with its great gorges of the Nile, the Congo, and the Zambesi, and when the submarine gorges off the mouths of the Congo and the Hudson were being eroded, both the African and the American continents m y have had a larger snowfall and rainfall and a much larger outflow than now; but the existence of these gorges does not prove this since we see similar gorges now being cut down slowly by a comparatively small outflow in the Valley of the Colorado. Duration and quantity are equally important. We think it is safe to say that no great changes in continents, oceans, or plateaus, arctic or antarctic, are likely to have made any correspondingly great change in the rainfall of the globe as a whole, and that therefore the globe is not now slowly drying up. The maximum annual rainfall that can occur on this globe as a whole is determined by the maximum total annual evaporation that can be caused by the sun's heat acting on the ocean, taken in connection with the maximum vertical inter- change of air currents, since it is the cooling due to the latter that produces clouds and rain.-C. A. 413 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW. DECEXBHI, 1908 TASMANIA AND THE TOTAL SOLAR ECLIPSE. The meteorologist of Tasmania, W. H. C. Kingsmill, has called attention to the fact that the total solar eclipse of May 9, 1910, will be visible from that locality, and as this is one of the few places where observers can be located on land he anticipates that many government expeditions will be sent to that region. As these expeditions generally include not only technical astronomers but those representing other branches of science, such as meteorology, botany, and geology, it is likely that this event will be made the occasion of a very con- siderable eddition to our knowledge of that region. American scientists are especially invited, and it is hoped that our meteorologists and botanists will improve the opportunity. An extensive scientific expedition analogous to that sent by the United States Uovernment to the west coast of Africa in 1889 would be quite in order and probably yield as important results as those attained by the members of that expedition.- C. A. - DRIEST YEaR AT PORTLAND, ME. By E. B. J o ~a s , Local Forecaster. Dated Portland, Me., January 1, 1909. I n connection with the gcAnnual Index of Meteorological Notes," I will state that the year 1908 was the driest in the history of this station. Every month in the twelve was drier than normal, with three exceptions. The nearest approach to this record was in 1883, but this year had 1.25 inches of rain more than 1908. During the year just ended there were only 30.74 inches of precipitation. The normal precipitation for the year in Port- land is 42.51 inches, making a deficiency of 11.77 inches, or practically 1 foot. June was the driest, for this month, on record and Sep- tember was one of the driest, for the month, in the history of the local office. May was the only month which had any noticeable excess of precipitation. As a result of the extreme dry westher, Maine suffered one of the greatest droughts in her history, forest fires destroyed hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of timber and other property, and crops were seriously injured and in many cases completely cut off. At the present time the dry weather is being severely felt by mill owners and by farmers, who in many cases are hauling water from long distances. Many large industries have been obliged to shut down. ADDRESS TO THE MATHEMATICAL AND PHYSIUU SEUTION OF THE BRITISH ASSOUIATION FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF SUIENUE, DUBLIN, SEPTEMBER, 1908. By W. N. S H .A ~, Sc.D., LL D., F. R S., President of the Bection.1 It is with much misgiving that I endeavour to discharge the traditional duty of the president of a section of the British Association. So many other duties seem to find a natural resting place with anyone who has to reckon at the same time with the immediate requirements of the public, the claims of scientific opinion, and the interests of posterity, that, unless you are content with such contribution towards the advance- ment of the sciences of mathematics and physics as my daily experience enables me to offer you, I shall find the task im- possible. With a leaning towards periodicity perhaps slightly unortho- dox I have looked back to see what they were doing in Section A fifty years ago. Richard Owen was President of the Asso- ciation, William Whewell was President of Section A for the fifth time. At the meeting of 1858 they must have spent some time over nineteen very substantial reports on researches in science, which included a large section of Mallett's facts and theory of earthquake phenomena, magnetic surveys of Great Britian and of Ireland, and, oddly enough, an account of the self-record- ing anemometer by Beckley; perhaps a longer time was re- quired for fifty-seven papers contributed to the section, but very little was spent over the presidential address, for it only occupies two pages of print. My inclination towards perio- dicities and another consideration leads me to regard the pre- cedent as a good one. That other consideration is that kc- tion A has always more subjects for discussion than .it can properly dispose of; and, in this case, discipline, like charity, might begin at home. Since the section met last year it has lost its most illustrious member and its most faithful friend. Lord Kelvin made his first contribution to Section A at Cambridge in 1815, on the elementary laws of statical electricity; he was president of the section in 1852 at Belfast for the first of five times. I have looked to see what suggestion I could derive from his first essay in that capacity. I can find no reference to any address in. the published volume. I wish I had the courage to follow that great example. Lord Kelvin's association with Section A was so constant and so intimate that it requires more than a passing word of reference. There is probably no .student of mathematics or physics grown into a position of responsibility in this country but keeps among his treasured reminiscences some words of inspiration 'and of encouragement from Kelvin, spoken in the surroundings which we are once more met to inaugurate. I On the occasion of the recent meeting of the British Association at Dublin the Senate of Dublin University conferred honorary degrees on many dlstinguished men including the followlng well-known meteorolo- Dr. W. N. Shaw, Director of the Meteorological Omce, London; a p t . H. G. Lyons, Director-General of the Survey Department in Egypt. Also the following, who have contributed more or less directly to our science: Sir David Gill, late Director of the Royd Observatory, Cape Town, South Africa; Dr. Horace Lamb, Professor of Mathematics, Univoreity of Manchester, England; Dr. E. Rutherford, Professor of Physios, Uni- versity of Manchester. England, formerly of McGill University, Montreal, --- glsts: ,- -. Canada. The elegant address of Dr. W. N. Shew, as President of the Mathe- matical and Physical Section (Section A) of the Brttiih Association, will, we believe, be instructive to every reader of the Monthly Weather Review, and we therefore reprint it in full. DECEMBER, 1908. 413 refer to those unrecorded acts of kindness and help because they were really a striking characteristic of Section A. Their value for the amenity as well as for the advancement of science it would be difficult to overestimate. I could not, even if time permitted, hope to set before you an adequate appreciation of Kelvin’s contributions to science as illustrated by his com- munications to this section, and in this place it is not neces- sary. But I can not pass over that feature of his character without notice.. Closely following on the loss of Kelvin came the death of Sir Richard Strachey, a personal loss to which it is difficult to give expression. I am not aware that he had much to do with Section A. I wish, indeed, that the section had seen its way to bring. him more closely into touch with its proceedings. He was president of Section E in 1876, and, by appointment of the Royal Society, he was for twenty-two years chairman of the Meteorological Council. I had the good fortune to be very closely rtssociated with him during the last ten years of his life, and to realise the ideas which lay behind his official actions and to appreciate the reality of his services to science in the past and for the future. These losses unfortunately do not stand alone. Only last year Sir John Eliot received the congratulations of all his fellow workers upon the publioation of his Climatological Atlas of India as representing the most conspicuous achievement of orderly, deliberate, purposeful compilation of meteorological facts for a special area that has yet been seen. He was f u l l of projects for a handbook to accompany the atlas, and of ideas for the prosecution of meteorological remarch over wide areas by collecting information from all the world and enlist- ing the active cooperation of the constituent parts of the British Empire in using those observations for the advance- ment of science and the benefit of mankind. He died quite suddenly on March 18, not young as years go, but quite youth- ful in the deliberate purpose of manifold scientific activities and in his irrepressible faith in the future of the science which he has adorned. The section will, I hope, forgive me if I put before them some considerations which the careers of these three men sug- gest. Kelvin, a mathematician, a natural philosopher, a uni- versify professor, some part of whose scientific work is known to each one of us. He was possessed with the notion that mathematics and natural philosophy are applicable in every part of the work of daily life, and made good the contention by presenting to the world, besides innumerable theoretical papers, instruments of all degrees of complexity, from the harmonic analyser to an improved water-tap. It was he who transfigured and transformed the mariner’s compass and the lead-line into instruments which have been of the greatest practical service. It was he who, when experimental science was merely a collection of facts or generalisations, conceived the idee of transfiguring every branch of it by the application of the principles of natural philosophy, as Newton had trans- figured astronomy. The ambition of Thomson and Tait’s Natural Philosophy, of which only the first volume reached the stage of publication, is a fair index of Kelvin’s genius. Strachey, on the other hand, by profession a military engi- neer, a great administrator, head of the Public Works Depart- ment in India, deeply versed in finance and in all the other constituent parts of administration, by his own natural instinct demanded the assistance of science for every branch of ad- ministration. I n promoting the development of botany, of meteorology, of geodesy, and of mathematics, he was not ad- ministering the patronage of a Macsnas, but claiming the practical serviee of science in forestry, in agriculture, in famine relief, in public works, and in finance. You can not gauge Strachey’s services in science by the papers which he con- tributed to scientific societies, if you leave out of account the fact that they were really incidents in the opening of fresh channels of communication between scientific work and the public service. And Eliot, as Meteorological Reporter to the Government of India, an accomplished aathematician (for he was second wrangler and first Smith’s prizeman in 1869), a capable and devoted public servant, the medium by which Strachey’s ideas as regards the use of meteorologyin administration found ex- pression in the Government of India, who caught the true perception of the place of science in the service of the State, and made his office the indispensable handmaid of the Indian administration. These three men together, who have all passed away within a space of three months, are such repre- sentative types of scientific workers, complementary and sup- plementary that a similar combination is not likely to occur again. All three indispensable, yet no two alike, except in their enthusiasm for the sciences for the advancement of which Section A exists. To these I might indeed add another type, the private con- tributor to the physical exploration of the visible universe, of which Ireland furnishes SO many noble examples; and in that connection let me give erpression to the sense of grievous loss, to this association and science, occasioned by the premature death of W. E. Wilson, of Daramona, a splendid example of that type. I n the division of the work of advancing the sciences of mathematics and physics and their application to the service of mankind, I am reminded of Dryden’s somewhat lopsided com- parison of the relative influence of music and song in his Ode to St. Cecelia’s Day. I f I may be pardoned for comparing small things with great, the power of Timotheus’ musio over . Alexander’s moods was hardly less complete than Kelvin’s power to touch every department of the working world with his genius. But I may remind you that, after a prolonged description of the tremendous influence of Timotheus upon the victorious hero, the poet deals in one stanza with his nominal subject:- A t last divine Cecilia came, Inventress of the vocal frame: The sweet enthusiast, from her sacred store, Enlarged the former narrow bounde With nature’s mother-wit, and arte unknown beJore. Let old Timotheus yield the prize, Or both divide the crown: He raised a mortal to the skies, She drew an angel down. * * e I I doubt if any of my hearers who knew Strachey by sight would remgnise in him the scientific reincarnation of 8t. Cecilia, but it is none the less true that he was preeminent among men in inventing the means of drawing angels down and using their service for the attuning of common life to a scientific standard. It may be equally hard for those who knew him to look upon Eliot as a vocal frame, for of all his physical capacitiee his voice was the least impressive; and yet it is not untrue to say that he was conspicuously a medium by which the celestial harmonies of the physical sciences were brought into touch with the practical life of India through his work, which is represented by a considerable number of the twenty volumes of Memoirs of the Indian Meteorological Service. I do not indulge in this poetic extravagance without some underlying reason. Speaking for the physics of the atmos- phere, there is a real distinction between these three sides of scientific work. To Bome is given the power of the mathema- tician or the physicist to raise the mortal.to the skies, to solve some problem which, if not in itself a meteorological one, still has a bearing, sooner or later to be discovered and developed, upon the working of atmospheric phenomena. It is easy enough to cite illustrious examples: among notable instances there recur to my mind Rayleigh’s work on the colour of the d l 4 DECEMBER, 1908 that the business of the scientific departments of Government is not to raise an occasional mortal to the skies, but to draw down as many angels as are within reach. I was much surprised, when Eliot wished to develop a large scheme for meteorological work on a wider scale, that he made his appeal to the British Association as Chairman of the Sub-section for Cosmical Physics at Cambridge, and thereby to the Clovern- menta of this country and the colonies. He felt that he could only urge the Indian Government to join, and he did so suc- cessfully, so far as India would be directly benefited thereby, however important the results might be from a purely scien- tific point of view. Strange as it may appear to some, it was to this country that he looked for assistance, on the plea of the increase of knoweledge for its own sake, or for the sake of mankind at large. I am disposed, therefore, to carry your thoughts a little fur- ther, and rely on your patience while I consider another aspect for the process of drawing down the angels from the mathe- matical and physical sky, a process which is su5ciently indi- cative of the functions of a state scientific department. View- ing the world at large, and not merely that part of it with which we are ourselves immediately mncerned, such depart- ments deal with celestial physics in astronomy, with the physics of the air in meteorology, and atmospherio electricity, with the physics of land and water in physical geography and geology, seismology and terrestrial magnatism, oceanography and hy- drography. It is for the practical applications of these scien- ces to the serpice of the navigator, the fisherman, the husband- man, the miner, the medical man, the engineer, and the general public that there is an obvious public want. Let me carry you with me in regarding these departments, primarily, as centers for establishing the growth of science by bringing it to bear upon the practical business of life, by a process of regular plantation, and not the occasional importa- tion of an exotic scientific expert. I shall carry you with me also if I say that the gravest danger to such scientific institu- tions is the tendency to waste. I use the term “waste,” not in its narrowest, but in its most liberal sense, to include waste of money, waste of effort, waste of scientific opportunity. I do not regard it as a waste that such a department should be unable to emulate Timotheus’ efforts. Any aspiration in that direction is, of course, worthy of every encouragement, but the environment is not generally suitable for such achievements. I do, however, regard it as waste if the divine Cecilia is not properly honored, and if advantage is not taken of the fullest and freest use of the newest and best scientific methods, and their application in the widest manner possible. I speak for the office with which I am connected when I say its temptations to waste are very numerous and very serious. It is wasteful to collect observations which will never be used; it is equally wasteful to decline to collect observations which in the future may prove to be of vital importance. It is waste- ful to discuss observations that are made with inadequate ap- pliances; it is equally wasteful to allow observations to accu- mulate in useless heaps because you are not sure that the instruments are good enough. It is wasteful to use antiquated methods of computation or discussion; it is equally wasteful to use all the time in making trial of new methods. It is wasteful to make use of researches if they are inaccurate; it is equally wasteful to neglect the results of researches because you have not made up your mind whether they are accurate or not. It is wasteful to work with an inadequate system in such matters as synoptic meteorology; it is equally wasteful to lose heart because you can not get all the facilities which you feel the occasion demands. It is the business of those responsible for the administration of such an office to keep a nice balance of adjustment between the different sides of activity, so that in the long run the waste is reduced to a minimum. There must in any case be a good sky and Pernter’s meteorological optics; papers by Ferrel and others on the general circulation of the atmosphere; the papers by Hagen, Helmholtz, Oberbeck, Margules, Hertz, and Von Bezoldon the dynamics and thermodynamics of the atmos- phere, collected and translated by Cleveland Abbe; the work on atmospheric absorption by Langley and the theoretical papers on radiation by Poynting; those on condensation nuclei by Aitken and Wilson, and the recent work on atmospheric electricity, including the remarkable paper by Wilson on the transference of electricity from the air to the ground. But these things are not of themselves applied to the meteor- ology of every-day life. It is, in a way, R separate sense, given to few, to realize the possibilities that may result from the solution of new theoretical problems, from the invention of new methodeto grasp, in fact, the idea of bringing the angels down. And, in order that the regular workers in such matters may be in a position constantly to reap the advantages which men of genius provide, the vocal frame must have its perma- nent embodiment. For the advancement of science in this sense we require all three-the professor with academic free- dom to illuminate with his genius any phenomenon which he may be pleseed to investigate, the administrator, face to face with the practical problems in which science can help, and the living voice which can tune itself in harmony with the advances of science andin sympathy with the needs of the people whom it serves. The true relations of these matters are not always apparent. Eliot, bringing to the work of the Indian Meteorological Office a mind trained in the mathematical school of which Kelvin was a most conspicuous exponent, achieved a remarkable success, with which perhaps my hearers are not familiar. I n this country there is a widespread idea that meteorology achieves its object if by its means the dailp papers can give such trustworthy advice as will enable a cautious man to decide whether to take out his walking-stick or his umbrella. Some of us are accuetomed to look upon India as a place of unusual scientific enlightenment, where governments have a worthy ap- preciation of the claims of science for recognition and support. But Eliot was never tired of telling me that it was the adminis- tration of India, and not the advancement of science, that the Indian administrators had in view; and among his achieve- ments the one of which he was the most proud was that the conduct of his ofice upon scientific lines during his tenure had so commended itself to the administrators that his BUD- cessor was to be allowed three assistants, with special scientific training, in order that the State might have the benefit of their knowledge. It is, of course, easy to suggest in explanation of this success that the Department of Public Works of India can not afford to be unmindful of the distribution of rainfall, and that there is an obvious connection between Indian finances and Indian droughts; but it is a new fact in British history that the ap- plication of scientific considerations to the phenomena of rain- fall are of such direct practical importance that meteorological information is a matter of consequence to all Government of- ficials, and that meteorological prospects are a factor of finance. Imagine his Majesty’s Chancellor of the Exchequer calling at 63 Victoria street to make inquiries with a view to framing his next Budget, or taking his prospects of a realized surplus from the Daily Weather Report. Yet in India meteorology is to such an extent a public servant that such proceedings would not excite remark. To have placed a scientific service on’such a footing is, in- deed, a notable sucbess. Again, I rely on Eliot when I say that that success is only to be achieved by being constantly on the watch to render service wherever service can be rendered. There is a difference between this attitude and that which has for ita object the contribution of an effective paper to a soien- tific publication; in other words, it must be frankly recognised DECEMBEB, 1908. deal of routine work which is drudgery; and if one is to look at all beyond the public requirements and public appreciation of the immediate present, there must be a certain amount of enterprise and consequently a certain amount of speculation. Let me remark by the way that there is a tendency among some of my meteorological friends to consider that a meteoro- logical establishment can be regarded as alive, and even in good health, if it keeps up its regular output of observations in proper order and up to date, and that initiative in discussing the observations is exclusively the duty of a central office. That is a view that I should like to see changed. I do not wish to sacrifice my own privilege of initiative in meteorologi- cal speculation, but I have no wish for a monopoly. To me, I confess, the speculation which may be dignified by the name of meteorological research is the part of the ‘office work which makes the drudgery of routine work tolerable. For my part I should like every worker in the office, no matter how humble his position may be, somehow or other to have the opportunity of realizing that he is taking part in the unraveling of the mysteries of the weather; and I do not think that any estab- lishment, or section of an establishment, that depends upon science can be regarded as really alive unless it feels itself in active touch with that speculation which results in the ad- vancement of knowledge. I do not hesitate to apply to other meteorological establishments, and indeed to all scientific institutions that claim an interest in meteorology, the same criterion of life that I apply to my own office. It is contained in the answer to the question, How do you show your interest in the advancement of our knowledge of the atmosphere? The reply that such and such volumes of data and mean values measure the contribution to the stock of knowledge leaves me rather cold and unimpressed. But to return to the endeavor after the delicate adjustment between speculation and routine, whioh will reduce. the waste of such an institution to a minimum; experience very soon teaches certain rules. I have said elsewhere that the peculiarity of meteorological work is that an investigator is always dependent upon other people’s observations; his own are only applicable in so far as they are compared with those of others. Up to the present time, I have never known anyone t o take up an investigation that involved a reference to accumulated data, without his being hampered and harassed by unoertainties that might have been resolved if they had been taken in time. I shall give you an example presently, but, in the meantime, experience of that kind is so universal that it has now become with us a primary rule that any data collected shall be forthwith critically ex- amined and so far dealt with as to make sure that they are available for scientific purposes-that is, for the purposes of comparison. A second rule is that as public evidence of the completion of this most important task there shall be at least a line of summary in a published report, or a point on a pub- lished map, as a primary representation of the results. Such publication is not to be regarded as the ultimate application of the observations, but it is evidence that the observations are there, and are ready for use. You will find, if you inquire, that at the Office we have been gradually lining up these troops of meteorological data into due order, with all their buttons on, until, from the com- mencement of this year, anyone who wishes to do so can hold a general review of the whole meteorological army, in printed order-first order stations, second order stations, rainfall sta- tions, sunshine and wind ‘stations, sea temperatures and other marine observations-on his own study table, within six months of the date of the observations, upon paying to His Majesty’s Stationery Office the modest sum of four shillings and sixpence. For all the publications except one the interval between ob- servation and publication is only six weeks, and as that one has overtaken four years of arrears within the last four years, 415 I trust that by the end.of this year six weeks will be the full measure of the interval between observation and publication in all departments. This satisfactory state of affairs you owe to the indefatigable care and skill of Captain Hepworth, Mr. Lempfert, and Mr. R. H. Curtis, and the members of the staff of the Office who work under their superintendence. I need say little about corresponding work in connection with the Daily Weather Report, in which Mr. Brodie is my chief assis- tant, although it has received and is receiving a great deal of attention. , The promptitude with which the daily work is dealt with hardly needs remark from me, though I know the difficulties of it as well as anyone. I f I spend only one long sentence in mentioning that on July 1,1908, the morning hour of observation at twenty-seven out of the full number of twenty-nine stations in the British Isles was changed from 8 a. m. to 7 a. m., and the corresponding post-offices, as well as the Meteorological Office, opened at 7:15 a. m. in order to deal with them, so that we may have a strictly synchronous inter- national system for western and central Europe, and thus realise the aspiration of many years, you will not misunder- stand me to mean that I estimate the task as an easy one. The third general rule is that the effectiveness of the data of all kinds, thus collected and ordered, should be tested by the prosecution of some inquiry which makes use of them in summary or in detail. It is here that the stimulating force of speculative inquiry comes in; and it is in the selection and prosecution of these inquiries, which test not only the ade- quacy and effectiveness of the data collected, but also the e%iciency of the Office as contributing to the advance of knowl- edge, that the most serious responsibility falls upon the ad- ministrators of Parliamentary funds. Scientific Shylocks are not the least exacting of the tribe, and there have been times when I have thought I caught the rumination: Shv. Three thousand ducats? ’tis a good round sum ! Bas. For the which, as I told you, Antonio shall be bound. Shy. Antonio is a good man? Bus. Have you heard any imputation to the contrary? #hy. Oh ! no, no, no, no. * * Yet his means are in supposition: he hath an argosy bound to Tripolis, another to the Indies; I understand, moreover, upon the Rialto, that he hath a third in Mexico, a fourth for England, and other ventures he hath squandered abroad. But ships are. but boards, sailors but men. There is the peril of water, wfnds, and rocke. Three thousandducats. We at the Meteorological Office are very mucli in Antonio’s position. Our means of research are very much in supposi- tion: four observatories and over four hundred stations ‘of one sort or another in the British Isles; an elaborate installa- tion of wind-measuring apparatus at Holy head; besides other ventures squandered abroad; an anemometer at Gibraltar, another at St. Helena; a sunshine recorder a t the Falkland Isles, half a dozen sets of instruments in British New Guinea, and a couple of hundred on the wide sea. The efforts seem so disconnected that the rumination about the ducats is not unnatural. And you must remember that we lack an inestimable nd- vantage that belongs to a physical laboratory or a school of mathematics, where the question of the equivalent number of ducats does not arise in quite the same way. The relative disadvantage that I speak of is that in an office the allowance for the use of time and material in practice and training dis- appears. All the world seems to agree that time or money spent on teaching or learning is well spent. In the course of twenty years’ experience at a physical laboratory, and in examinations not a few, I have seen M and H or the wave- length of sodium light determined in ways that would earn very few ducats on the principle of payment by results; but, having regard to the psychological effect upon the culprit or the examiner, the question of ducats never came in. Wisely * * 8 * * * 416 DECEXBER. 1908 or unwisely public opinion has been educated to regard the psychological effect as of infinite value compared with the immediate result obtained. But in an office the marks that an observer or computer gets for showing that he knew how to do it,’ when he did not succeed in doing it, do not count towards a first class,’ and we have to abide by what we do; we can not rely on what we might have done. Consequently our means in supposition, spread over sea and land, are matters of real solicitude. I n such circumstances there might be reason for despondency if one were depend- ent merely upon one’s own ventures and the results achieved thereby. But when one has the advantage of the gradual development of investigations of long standing, it is possible to maintain a show of cheerfulness. When Shylock demands his pound of flesh in the form of an annual report, it is not uncommon at all to find. that some argosy that started on its voyage long ago