Table A40. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, Reference Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf
Iran 3.2 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.5 5.7 6.8
Iraq 2.2 0.6 0.6 2.1 3.2 5.9 7.8
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.3 4.3 5.2
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Saudi Arabia 8.6 10.6 10.9 11.2 13.5 17.2 23.8
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.5 4.7 5.5
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 20.9 21.6 24.4 28.6 38.4 49.8
Other OPEC
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.0
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.8
Venezuela 2.4 3.2 3.7 4.2 5.2 5.7 5.9
Total Other OPEC 8.5 10.0 10.7 11.9 13.7 13.8 13.5
Total OPEC 27.2 30.9 32.3 36.3 42.3 52.2 63.3
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.5
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.9
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7
North Sea 4.2 6.3 7.6 7.8 7.1 6.4 5.9
Other 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 24.7 25.4 24.8 23.7 22.9
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.5 9.5 12.1 12.6 13.2
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.2 13.4 16.1 16.6 17.1
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.5 4.7 4.9 4.9
Middle East 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.6 5.3
Asia 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.3
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.7 10.0 11.3 13.2 14.1 14.9 15.4
Total Non-OPEC 42.3 43.5 47.2 52.0 55.0 55.2 55.4
Total World 69.5 74.4 79.5 88.3 97.3 107.4 118.7
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A41. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, High Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf
Iran 3.2 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.1 5.1 6.3
Iraq 2.2 0.6 0.6 2.0 2.5 4.3 6.9
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.6 4.4
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Saudi Arabia 8.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 13.5 18.2
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.8 5.0
Total Persian Gulf 18.6 20.9 20.9 22.3 23.2 30.9 41.4
Other OPEC
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.8
Venezuela 2.4 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.9 5.5 5.8
Total Other OPEC 8.6 10.0 10.6 11.7 13.3 13.5 13.4
Total OPEC 27.2 30.9 31.5 34.0 36.5 44.4 54.8
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.8 10.0 9.7
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
North Sea 4.2 6.3 7.7 7.9 7.1 6.5 6.0
Other 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 25.2 26.2 25.8 25.3 24.4
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.6
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.6 9.7 12.3 12.9 13.5
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.3 13.5 16.4 17.1 17.5
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.0 5.1
Middle East 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.5 4.1 4.7 5.3
Asia 1.7 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.4
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.6 9.9 11.4 13.3 14.5 15.2 15.8
Total Non-OPEC 42.3 43.4 47.9 53.0 56.7 57.6 57.7
Total World 69.5 74.3 79.4 87.0 93.2 102.0 112.5
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A42. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, Low Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf
Iran 3.2 3.9 4.2 4.6 5.2 6.0 7.0
Iraq 2.2 0.6 0.6 2.5 4.2 6.5 8.1
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.8 5.5
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7
Saudi Arabia 8.6 10.6 11.8 14.1 17.2 24.1 33.7
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.4 4.2 5.1 6.0
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 20.9 23.2 28.5 35.2 47.2 61.0
Other OPEC
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.1
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.2 3.1
Venezuela 2.4 3.2 3.9 5.6 6.8 7.1 7.0
Total Other OPEC 8.5 10.0 11.5 13.8 15.7 15.7 15.3
Total OPEC 27.2 30.9 34.7 42.3 50.9 62.9 76.3
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 8.7 8.1 7.8 7.5 7.3
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
North Sea 4.2 6.3 7.6 7.8 7.0 6.3 5.8
Other 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 24.2 24.2 23.1 22.2 21.3
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.3
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.4 9.3 11.7 12.2 12.6
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.0 13.0 15.6 16.1 16.3
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7
Middle East 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.9
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.5 5.0
Asia 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.2
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.7 10.0 11.2 12.9 13.8 14.3 14.8
Total Non-OPEC 42.3 43.5 46.4 50.1 52.5 52.6 52.4
Total World 69.5 74.4 81.1 92.4 103.4 115.5 128.7
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A43. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, High Non-OPEC Supply Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf
Iran 3.2 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.3 5.2 6.3
Iraq 2.2 0.6 0.6 1.9 2.5 4.9 6.8
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.5 4.4
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Saudi Arabia 8.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 12.0 15.7 21.6
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.9
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 20.9 20.9 22.2 25.2 33.6 44.6
Other OPEC
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.6 3.0 2.9 2.8
Venezuela 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.9 5.4 5.7
Total Other OPEC 8.5 10.0 10.6 11.3 13.0 13.3 13.3
Total OPEC 27.2 30.9 31.5 33.5 38.2 46.9 57.9
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.5
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
North Sea 4.2 6.3 7.9 8.3 7.5 7.0 6.5
Other 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 25.2 26.3 25.7 25.2 24.5
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.8
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.7 10.0 13.0 13.9 14.5
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.4 14.0 17.3 18.3 18.8
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.6
Middle East 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.5 5.8
Asia 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.7
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.7 10.0 12.0 14.2 15.9 16.7 17.2
Total Non-OPEC 42.3 43.5 48.6 54.5 58.9 60.2 60.5
Total World 69.5 74.4 80.1 88.0 97.1 107.1 118.4
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A44. World Oil Production by Region and Country, Reference Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf 16.2 18.5 19.4 22.6 27.2 36.4 47.3
Other OPEC 8.3 9.8 10.5 11.6 13.4 13.5 13.2
Total OPEC 24.5 28.3 29.9 34.2 40.6 49.9 60.5
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.5
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.9
Western Europe 4.6 7.0 8.2 8.3 7.5 6.8 6.3
Other 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 24.8 25.5 24.7 23.7 22.9
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.5 9.5 12.1 12.6 13.2
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.2 13.4 16.1 16.6 17.1
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.5 4.7 4.9 4.9
Pacific Rim 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.3
Other 3.5 4.6 4.8 5.7 6.2 6.7 7.2
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.6 10.0 11.3 13.1 14.1 14.9 15.4
Total World 66.7 71.8 77.2 86.2 95.5 105.1 115.9
Persian Gulf Production
as a Percentage of
World Consumption 		24.6% 25.7% 25.2% 26.2% 28.5% 34.7% 40.9%
Notes: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Production includes crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas liquids, other hydrogen and hydrocarbons for refinery feedstocks, refinery gains, alcohol, and liquids produced from coal and other sources. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A45. World Oil Production by Region and Country, High Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf 16.2 18.5 17.8 19.5 22.2 29.4 39.4
Other OPEC 8.3 9.8 10.4 11.4 13.1 13.2 13.1
Total OPEC 24.5 28.3 28.2 30.9 35.3 42.6 52.5
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.8 10.0 9.7
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0
Western Europe 4.6 7.0 8.2 8.4 7.6 6.9 6.4
Other 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 25.2 26.2 25.8 25.3 24.4
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.6
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.6 9.7 12.3 12.9 13.5
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.3 13.6 16.4 17.0 17.5
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.0 5.1
Pacific Rim 1.7 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.4
Other 3.5 4.6 4.9 5.8 6.3 6.9 7.4
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.6 10.0 11.4 13.3 14.5 15.3 15.9
Total World 66.7 71.8 76.1 84.0 92.0 100.2 110.3
Persian Gulf Production
as a Percentage of
World Consumption 		24.6% 25.7% 23.2% 23.1% 24.1% 29.2% 35.6%
Notes: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Production includes crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas liquids, other hydrogen and hydrocarbons for refinery feedstocks, refinery gains, alcohol, and liquids produced from coal and other sources. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A46. World Oil Production by Region and Country, Low Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf 16.2 18.5 20.9 26.3 33.4 44.9 58.0
Other OPEC 8.3 9.8 11.2 13.6 15.4 15.4 15.0
Total OPEC 24.5 28.3 32.1 39.9 48.8 60.3 73.0
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 8.7 8.1 7.8 7.5 7.3
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8
Western Europe 4.6 7.0 8.1 8.2 7.4 6.7 6.2
Other 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 24.2 24.2 23.2 22.2 21.4
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.3
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.4 9.3 11.7 12.2 12.6
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.0 13.0 15.6 16.1 16.3
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7
Pacific Rim 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.2
Other 3.5 4.6 4.8 5.6 6.0 6.4 6.9
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.6 10.0 11.2 12.9 13.7 14.2 14.8
Total World 66.7 71.8 78.5 90.0 101.3 112.8 125.5
Persian Gulf Production
as a Percentage of
World Consumption 		24.6% 25.7% 26.4% 29.1% 32.9% 39.7% 46.1%
Notes: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Production includes crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas liquids, other hydrogen and hydrocarbons for refinery feedstocks, refinery gains, alcohol, and liquids produced from coal and other sources. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A47. World Oil Production by Region and Country, High Non-OPEC Supply Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC
Persian Gulf 16.2 18.5 18.2 20.6 23.9 32.0 42.3
Other OPEC 8.3 9.8 10.4 11.1 12.8 13.0 13.0
Total OPEC 24.5 28.3 28.6 31.7 36.7 45.0 55.3
Non-OPEC
Industrialized
United States 9.7 9.4 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.5
Canada 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7
Mexico 3.0 3.3 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5
Western Europe 4.6 7.0 8.4 8.7 7.9 7.3 6.8
Other 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.0 25.3 26.3 25.8 25.2 24.5
Eurasia
China 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.8
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.7 10.0 13.0 13.9 14.5
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.5 11.4 14.0 17.3 18.3 18.8
Other Non-OPEC
Central and South America 2.4 3.3 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.6
Pacific Rim 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.7
Other 3.5 4.6 5.1 6.3 7.2 7.7 7.9
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.6 10.0 12.0 14.2 15.9 16.7 17.2
Total World 66.7 71.8 77.3 86.2 95.7 105.2 115.8
Persian Gulf Production
as a Percentage of
World Consumption 		24.6% 25.7% 23.5% 23.8% 25.0% 30.3% 36.5%
Notes: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Production includes crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas liquids, other hydrogen and hydrocarbons for refinery feedstocks, refinery gains, alcohol, and liquids produced from coal and other sources. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.

Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1997).


Table A48. World Nuclear Generating Capacity by Region and Country, Reference Case, 1995-2020
(Megawatts)

Region/Country History Projections
1995 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Industrialized
North America
United States 99,148 100,817 95,605 86,800 80,357 63,881 49,217
Canada 14,907 14,902 11,146 11,994 11,994 10,298 8,631
Mexico 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308
Industrialized Asia
Japan 39,893 42,369 43,525 44,321 47,526 53,623 54,107
Western Europe
Belgium 5,631 5,712 5,712 5,712 3,966 3,966 1,015
Finland 2,310 2,355 2,610 2,610 2,610 0 0
France 58,493 59,948 64,303 62,870 62,870 62,870 62,950
Germany 22,017 22,282 21,063 20,083 16,120 11,800 5,250
Netherlands 504 504 449 449 0 0 0
Spain 7,124 7,207 7,207 7,054 6,614 6,614 3,842
Sweden 10,002 10,040 10,040 9,440 8,840 6,085 4,148
Switzerland 3,050 3,077 3,077 2,712 2,000 1,030 1,030
Turkey 0 0 0 0 0 1,300 1,300
United Kingdom 12,908 12,928 11,772 10,518 9,568 7,158 7,158
Total Industrialized 277,295 283,449 277,817 265,871 253,773 229,933 199,956
EE/FSU
Eastern Europe
Bulgaria 3,538 3,538 3,538 2,722 2,722 1,906 1,906
Czech Republic 1,648 1,648 2,560 3,472 3,472 3,472 3,472
Hungary 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 866
Romania 0 650 650 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300
Slovak Republic 1,632 1,632 2,020 1,592 1,592 1,592 1,592
Slovenia 632 632 632 632 632 632 0
Former Soviet Union
Armenia 376 376 376 752 752 752 752
Kazakhstan 70 70 70 570 500 500 500
Lithuania 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370 1,185
Russia 19,843 19,843 19,843 20,785 19,832 18,350 21,980
Ukraine 13,629 13,765 13,065 13,090 14,990 15,577 11,400
Total EE/FSU 45,467 46,253 46,853 49,014 49,891 48,180 44,953
See notes at end of table.


Table A48. World Nuclear Generating Capacity by Region and Country, Reference Case, 1995-2020 (Continued)
(Megawatts)

Region/Country History Projections
1995 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Developing Countries
Developing Asia
China 2,167 2,167 2,167 6,737 11,542 14,700 18,760
India 1,695 1,695 2,503 3,103 5,913 7,640 9,890
Korea, North 0 0 0 950 1,900 1,900 1,900
Korea, South 9,120 9,120 12,990 12,990 14,890 16,234 15,000
Pakistan 125 125 425 425 600 600 600
Taiwan 4,884 4,884 4,884 7,384 7,384 6,176 4,280
Central and South America
Argentina 935 935 935 1,627 1,292 1,292 1,292
Brazil 626 626 626 1,871 1,871 1,871 1,871
Cuba 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Middle East
Iran 0 0 0 2,146 2,146 2,146 2,146
Africa
South Africa 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842
Total Developing 21,394 21,394 26,372 39,075 49,380 54,401 57,581
Total World 344,156 351,096 351,042 353,960 353,044 332,514 302,490
Note: EE/FSU = Eastern Europe/Former Soviet Union.

Sources: History: International Atomic Energy Agency, Nuclear Power Reactors in the World (Vienna, Austria, April 1997). Projections: Energy Information Administration, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels, based on detailed assessments of country-specific nuclear power plants. For some countries, the World Integrated Nuclear Evaluation System (WINES) model (December 1997 run) was used to supplement the 2020 capacity projection.


Table A49. World Nuclear Generating Capacity by Region and Country, Low Nuclear Case, 1995-2020
(Megawatts)

Region/Country History Projections
1995 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Industrialized
North America
United States 99,148 100,817 92,653 63,881 49,217 22,154 2,320
Canada 14,907 14,902 10,298 10,298 10,298 7,136 2,643
Mexico 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 654
Industrialized Asia
Japan 39,893 42,369 43,525 43,525 43,525 43,205 42,864
Western Europe
Belgium 5,631 5,712 5,712 5,712 3,966 2,000 0
Finland 2,310 2,355 2,355 2,355 1,155 0 0
France 58,493 59,948 64,070 62,870 62,870 62,870 56,190
Germany 22,017 22,282 20,723 18,916 13,075 7,896 1,269
Netherlands 504 504 449 0 0 0 0
Spain 7,124 7,207 7,054 6,614 6,614 4,797 1,906
Sweden 10,002 10,040 9,440 8,395 4,202 0 0
Switzerland 3,050 3,077 3,077 2,000 2,000 1,030 0
Turkey 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
United Kingdom 12,908 12,928 11,352 10,518 7,158 7,158 5,908
Total Industrialized 277,295 283,449 272,016 236,392 205,388 159,554 113,754
EE/FSU
Eastern Europe
Bulgaria 3,538 3,538 3,538 2,722 1,906 953 0
Czech Republic 1,648 1,648 1,648 3,472 3,472 3,472 3,472
Hungary 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,299 0
Romania 0 650 650 650 1,300 1,300 1,300
Slovak Republic 1,632 1,632 1,632 1,592 1,592 1,592 1,592
Slovenia 632 632 632 632 632 0 0
Former Soviet Union
Armenia 376 376 376 376 0 0 0
Kazakhstan 70 70 70 0 500 500 500
Lithuania 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370 1,185 1,185 0
Russia 19,843 19,843 19,843 20,132 17,397 10,050 6,275
Ukraine 13,629 13,765 12,140 13,090 13,677 11,400 7,600
Total EE/FSU 45,467 46,253 44,628 46,765 43,390 31,751 20,739
See notes at end of table.


Table A49. World Nuclear Generating Capacity by Region and Country, Low Nuclear Case, 1995-2020 (Continued)
(Megawatts)

Region/Country History Projections
1995 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Developing Countries
Developing Asia
China 2,167 2,167 2,167 6,737 11,542 11,542 11,542
India 1,695 1,695 1,799 3,103 4,726 4,416 4,416
Korea, North 0 0 0 0 950 950 950
Korea, South 9,120 9,120 10,730 12,340 12,340 13,684 11,939
Pakistan 125 125 125 300 300 600 600
Taiwan 4,884 4,884 4,884 4,884 6,176 4,280 2,500
Central and South America
Argentina 935 935 935 935 1,292 1,292 1,292
Brazil 626 626 626 626 1,871 1,871 1,871
Cuba 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Middle East
Iran 0 0 0 1,073 2,146 2,146 2,146
Africa
South Africa 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 0 0
Total Developing 21,394 21,394 23,108 31,840 43,185 40,781 37,256
Total World 344,156 351,096 339,752 314,997 291,963 232,086 171,749
Note: EE/FSU = Eastern Europe/Former Soviet Union.

Sources: History: International Atomic Energy Agency, Nuclear Power Reactors in the World (Vienna, Austria, April 1997). Projections: Energy Information Administration, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels, based on detailed assessments of country-specific nuclear power plants.


Table A50. World Nuclear Generating Capacity by Region and Country, High Nuclear Case, 1995-2020
(Megawatts)

Region/Country History Projections
1995 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Industrialized
North America
United States 99,148 100,817 97,635 95,555 93,525 86,800 80,357
Canada 14,907 14,902 13,024 14,902 14,902 12,842 10,298
Mexico 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308 1,308
Industrialized Asia
Japan 39,893 42,369 43,525 50,176 54,768 61,870 69,260
Western Europe
Belgium 5,631 5,712 5,712 5,712 5,712 5,320 3,966
Finland 2,310 2,355 2,610 2,610 2,610 2,610 0
France 58,493 59,948 64,303 62,870 64,320 70,400 76,500
Germany 22,017 22,282 21,063 20,723 20,083 14,835 10,540
Netherlands 504 504 449 449 449 0 0
Spain 7,124 7,207 7,207 7,207 7,054 6,614 6,614
Sweden 10,002 10,040 10,040 10,040 10,040 10,040 6,685
Switzerland 3,050 3,077 3,077 3,077 2,712 2,355 2,000
Turkey 0 0 0 0 1,300 1,300 1,300
United Kingdom 12,908 12,928 12,682 11,035 9,568 7,768 7,158
Total Industrialized 277,295 283,449 282,635 285,664 288,351 284,062 275,986
EE/FSU
Eastern Europe
Bulgaria 3,538 3,538 3,538 2,722 2,722 2,859 3,812
Czech Republic 1,648 1,648 3,472 3,472 3,472 3,472 3,472
Hungary 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729 1,729
Romania 0 650 650 1,300 1,950 1,950 1,950
Slovak Republic 1,632 1,632 2,020 2,408 1,592 1,592 1,592
Slovenia 632 632 632 632 632 632 632
Former Soviet Union
Armenia 376 376 752 752 752 752 752
Kazakhstan 70 70 70 570 570 500 500
Lithuania 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370 2,370
Russia 19,843 19,843 19,843 22,668 20,785 23,590 26,360
Ukraine 13,629 13,765 13,065 14,040 15,940 15,940 15,577
Total EE/FSU 45,467 46,253 48,141 52,663 52,514 55,386 58,746
See notes at end of table.


Table A50. World Nuclear Generating Capacity by Region and Country, High Nuclear Case, 1995-2020 (Continued)
(Megawatts)

Region/Country History Projections
1995 1996 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Developing Countries
Developing Asia
China 2,167 2,167 2,167 6,737 11,542 17,160 25,070
India 1,695 1,695 2,503 3,103 5,913 9,180 14,000
Korea, North 0 0 0 1,900 1,900 1,900 1,900
Korea, South 9,120 9,120 12,990 14,890 16,790 21,957 27,987
Pakistan 125 125 425 425 600 600 600
Taiwan 4,884 4,884 4,884 7,384 7,384 7,384 6,176
Central and South America
Argentina 935 935 935 1,627 1,292 1,292 1,292
Brazil 626 626 626 1,871 1,871 3,100 3,100
Cuba 0 0 0 0 408 816 816
Middle East
Iran 0 0 0 2,146 2,146 2,146 2,146
Africa
South Africa 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842
Total Developing 21,394 21,394 26,372 41,925 51,688 67,377 84,929
Total World 344,156 351,096 357,148 380,252 392,553 406,825 419,661
Note: EE/FSU = Eastern Europe/Former Soviet Union.

Sources: History: International Atomic Energy Agency, Nuclear Power Reactors in the World (Vienna, Austria, April 1997). Projections: Energy Information Administration, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels, based on detailed assessments of country-specific nuclear power plants. For some countries, the World Integrated Nuclear Evaluation System (WINES) model (December 1997 run) was used to supplement the 2020 capacity projection.


International Energy Outlook 1998 Homepage

File last modified: April 30, 1998

URL: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo98/a40-50.html
Contact Name:Linda Doman, linda.doman@eia.doe.gov
Phone: (202) 586-1041
Fax: (202) 586-3045


If you having technical problems with this site, please contact the EIA Webmaster at wmaster@eia.doe.gov