Process and Human Factors Engineering
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Research and Technology 2002
 
Portfolio Analysis Tool (PAT)
 

A key characteristic that will distinguish successful enterprises of the next millennium will be the ability to respond quickly, proactively, and aggressively to unpredictable change. Robust methods and tools to facilitate change management are therefore an essential requirement for the modern enterprise. This project targets key technology gaps and challenges associated with strategic change management:

  • Lack of scientific methods for strategic change management.
  • Lack of information-integrated software tools to support the change management process.
  • Lack of knowledge management mechanisms that capture, store, and leverage corporate knowledge for strategic planning and control.


We have developed and demonstrated a Portfolio Analysis Tool, a Web-based software tool that facilitates strategic change management. Key functional requirements addressed by PAT include the following.

  • Provide technology investment decision information: PAT provides decisionmaking information to facilitate strategic planning.
  • Facilitate identification of technology gaps: A direct result of the portfolio analysis is to assist the precise identification of technology gaps.
  • Promote technology roadmap development: The portfolio gap analysis results provide information to construct a time-phased technology development approach/roadmap.
  • Facilitate decisionmaking over distributed teams: PAT facilitates the collaborative/distributed decisionmaking processes associated with strategic planning and change management.


Intended PAT end users are strategic planners and project/technology portfolio managers. The PAT architecture includes a database server that provides persistent storage of the information managed by PAT. PAT also provides a Web-based user interface that facilitates distributed capture of key information required to perform portfolio analysis. A central function of PAT is to facilitate sound project/technology investment decisionmaking as part of strategic change management. Different types of outputs and visualizations are generated by PAT to accomplish this function, including: (1) Risk-Return Portfolio Analysis, (2) Gap Analysis, (3) Sensitivity Analysis, (4) Roadmap Generation, and (5) On-Demand Reports. Key innovations include novel adaptation and application of portfolio theory for strategic decision support and structured, knowledge-based method for strategic planning and change management. PAT is expected to significantly improve NASA’s change management capability in the near term.

Key accomplishments:

  • 2000: Selection for Phase II research and development. Definition of PAT requirements. Design of PAT architecture.
  • 2001: Development of prototype Web-based portfolio analysis tool. Completion of change management method. Completion of initial test data collection and tool testing
 

Portfolio Analysis Tool Functional Architecture

Portfolio Analysis Tool Functional Architecture

 

Example Risk Return Analysis Output

Example Risk Return Analysis Output

 

Key milestones:
  • 2002: Completion of Phase II Final Report. Completion of PAT testing and validation. Completion of PAT deployment at KSC and end-user training. Development of PAT Commercialization and Phase III planning.

Contact: T.S. Barth (Timothy.Barth-1@ksc.nasa.gov), YA-C, (321) 867-6230
Participating Organization: Knowledge Based Systems, Inc. (Dr. P.C. Benjamin)

     
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