FXUS62 KFFC 172209 AAA AFDATL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 610 PM EDT THU JUL 17 2003 .UPDATED TO INCLUDE AVIATION DISCUSSION... .OVERVIEW...CURRENT CONVECTIVE DEVELIPMENT ALONG OLD TROF OVER CENTRAL GA AND ALONG CLASSIC CIRRUS STREAK CREATED CLOUD LINE. GIVEN WET ATMOSPHERE, WILL INCLUDE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN REMARK IN FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. PREFER ETA, BUT ALL MODELS CLOSE. .SHORT TERM...EAST US TROF PERSIST WITH RODGE BUILDING WEST. UPPER TROF REINFORCED BY VORT AND COOLER AIR FRI AND SAT. THE SURFACE TROF PERSIST FRIDAY, WITH A FRONT MOVING INTO GA SATURDAY AS A STORNG VORT DROPS INTO EAST US TROF, THUS REINFORCES TROF. THUS POPS HIGHER FRIDAY NITE INTO SATURDAY. HIGHS WILL COOL A LITTLE SATURDAY WIHT MORE LCOUDS AND PRECIP. THROUHG OUT THE PERIOD, LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALL SHOULD MONITOR THE SITUATION ANS IFA THUNDERSTOMS DEVELOPS, BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO SAFE GUARD LIVES AND PROPERTY AS HAS HAD TO BE DONE LAST FEW DAYS. .EXTENDED...THE PATTERN OF A EAST US TROF WITH A W US RIDGE WILL CONTINUE WITH MINOR MODIFICATIONS. THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL STAL IN GA OVER THE WWEKEND, SLOWLY WASHES OUT AND ANOTHER EFFECT THE STATE WED-THU. MODLES IN GENERAL CONSENSUS. CONFICENCE GOOD. .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... KATL 72 90 72 89 / 20 20 30 40 KAHN 70 91 70 90 / 30 30 30 40 KGVL 69 89 68 88 / 20 20 30 40 KRMG 70 90 69 90 / 10 10 20 40 KCSG 73 93 73 93 / 40 30 30 40 KMCN 72 92 71 93 / 40 30 40 40 .ATL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. .AVIATION DISCUSSION... POOL OF MOIST AIR BEING CREATED OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON MAY PROVIDE A SOURCE FOR LOW CLOUDS AND/OR FOG LATER TONIGHT. AS WEAK SURFACE LOW RETROGRADES TOWARD ALABAMA...A WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD DEVELOP OVER GEORGIA...ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN HALF OF STATE. THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW COULD TRANSPORT MOISTURE FROM THE MCN AREA TOWARD THE AHN AREA. WILL CONSIDER LOW CLOUDS AND FOG FOR THOSE LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY TOWARD DAYBREAK. ELSEWHERE...UNLESS SURFACE FLOW SWINGS AROUND MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THAN EXPECTED...ONLY A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR FOG/HAZE ANTICIPATED AROUND SUNRISE. $$ 24/15